La scuola delle quote

Seattle Mariners v Baltimore Orioles

Inizio: 2026-06-18 01:41 UTC

Finale: Seattle Mariners 3–5 Baltimore Orioles

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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64 bookmaker (21 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Seattle Mariners (Casa)

Previsione 54.16%1.85quota equa
EV +0.739%
Vantaggio +0.397%
Kelly +0.859%
Crescita +0.006%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.86

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
52.43%54.19%54.05%56.02%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.681.751.741.8659.52%57.14%57.47%53.76%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Baltimore Orioles (Trasferta)

Previsione 45.84%2.18quota equa
EV -0.987%
Vantaggio -0.457%
Kelly -0.851%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.16

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
43.98%45.81%45.95%47.57%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.962.102.102.1651.02%47.62%47.62%46.30%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (64 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
LowVig.ag1.86I 53.76%NM 52.43%EV +0.739%E +0.397%K +0.859%G +0.006%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.57%EV -6.03%E -2.94%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-18 01:40
BetOnline.ag1.86I 53.76%NM 52.43%EV +0.739%E +0.397%K +0.859%G +0.006%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.57%EV -6.03%E -2.94%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-18 01:40
Pinnacle1.84I 54.35%NM 53.30%EV -0.344%E -0.187%K -0.410%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.70%EV -3.74%E -1.78%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.0%2026-06-18 01:39
BetUS1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -0.886%E -0.484%K -1.07%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -3.74%E -1.78%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-18 01:39
Everygame1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -0.886%E -0.484%K -1.07%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -3.74%E -1.78%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-18 01:39
GTbets1.81I 55.25%NM 54.06%EV -1.97%E -1.09%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.94%EV -2.36%E -1.11%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.2%2026-06-18 01:20
BetAnything1.81I 55.25%NM 54.06%EV -1.97%E -1.09%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.94%EV -2.36%E -1.11%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.2%2026-06-18 01:39
1xBet1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -2.51%E -1.39%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -1.45%E -0.672%K -1.26%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-17 14:20
PointsBet (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.51%E -1.39%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -6.03%E -2.94%K -5.74%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-18 01:39
Fanatics1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.51%E -1.39%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -6.03%E -2.94%K -5.74%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-18 01:40
Coral1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.51%E -1.39%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -6.03%E -2.94%K -5.74%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-18 01:40
Ladbrokes (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.51%E -1.39%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -6.03%E -2.94%K -5.74%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-18 01:30
Bovada1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.51%E -1.39%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -6.03%E -2.94%K -5.74%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-18 01:39
MyBookie.ag1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%EV -3.05%E -1.71%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%EV -4.65%E -2.24%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-18 01:40
Unibet (UK)1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -3.59%E -2.02%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -4.65%E -2.24%K -4.31%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-18 01:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -3.59%E -2.02%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -6.03%E -2.94%K -5.74%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-18 01:39
Neds1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -3.59%E -2.02%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -6.03%E -2.94%K -5.74%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-18 01:39
Dabble (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -3.59%E -2.02%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -6.03%E -2.94%K -5.74%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-18 01:10
Marathon Bet1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -3.59%E -2.02%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -6.49%E -3.18%K -6.24%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-18 01:39
Caesars1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.14%E -2.34%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.74%E -1.78%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-17 14:30
BetMGM1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.14%E -2.34%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.03%E -2.94%K -5.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-18 01:28
NordicBet1.77I 56.50%NM 53.54%EV -4.14%E -2.34%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.46%EV -6.49%E -3.18%K -6.24%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-18 01:40
Betsson1.77I 56.50%NM 53.54%EV -4.14%E -2.34%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.46%EV -6.49%E -3.18%K -6.24%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-18 01:40
Winamax (DE)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -4.68%E -2.66%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -6.03%E -2.94%K -5.74%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-18 01:40
Svenska Spel1.75I 57.14%NM 55.24%EV -5.22%E -2.98%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.76%EV -0.987%E -0.457%K -0.851%G +0.000%3.4%2026-06-18 01:40
Bet Victor1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -5.22%E -2.98%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -1.45%E -0.672%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-17 22:50
FanDuel1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -5.22%E -2.98%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -1.90%E -0.890%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-17 14:20
PlayUp1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.22%E -2.98%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.74%E -1.78%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-18 01:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.22%E -2.98%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.74%E -1.78%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-17 20:50
Coolbet1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.22%E -2.98%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.03%E -2.94%K -5.74%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-18 01:40
TAB1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.22%E -2.98%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.03%E -2.94%K -5.74%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-18 01:40
ReBet1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.76%E -3.31%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -1.45%E -0.672%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-17 23:00
theScore Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.76%E -3.31%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -1.45%E -0.672%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-17 14:20
Hard Rock Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.76%E -3.31%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -1.45%E -0.672%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-17 15:09
Fliff1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.76%E -3.31%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.74%E -1.78%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-18 01:40
Betway1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.76%E -3.31%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.03%E -2.94%K -5.74%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-18 01:40
DraftKings1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -6.30%E -3.64%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -1.90%E -0.890%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-17 23:00
Bet Right1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -6.30%E -3.64%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -2.82%E -1.33%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-17 14:40
SportsBet1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -6.30%E -3.64%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -3.28%E -1.55%K -2.95%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-17 14:20
888sport1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.30%E -3.64%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.74%E -1.78%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-17 14:40
Betr (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.30%E -3.64%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.74%E -1.78%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-17 14:30
888sport (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.30%E -3.64%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.74%E -1.78%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-17 14:40
Mr Green (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.30%E -3.64%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.74%E -1.78%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-17 14:40
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.30%E -3.64%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.74%E -1.78%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-17 14:29
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.30%E -3.64%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.74%E -1.78%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-17 23:00
Paddy Power1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.30%E -3.64%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.03%E -2.94%K -5.74%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-17 23:20
Unibet (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -6.84%E -3.98%K -9.50%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -3.74%E -1.78%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-18 01:29
Unibet (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -7.39%E -4.32%K -10.40%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -0.987%E -0.457%K -0.851%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-18 01:40
Unibet (NL)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -7.39%E -4.32%K -10.40%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -0.987%E -0.457%K -0.851%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-18 01:40
BetRivers1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -7.93%E -4.66%K -11.32%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -0.987%E -0.457%K -0.851%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-18 01:40
Unibet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -7.93%E -4.66%K -11.32%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -0.987%E -0.457%K -0.851%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-18 01:40
LeoVegas1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -7.93%E -4.66%K -11.32%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -0.987%E -0.457%K -0.851%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-18 01:40
LiveScore Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -7.93%E -4.66%K -11.32%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -0.987%E -0.457%K -0.851%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-18 01:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -7.93%E -4.66%K -11.32%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -0.987%E -0.457%K -0.851%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-18 01:40
Virgin Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -7.93%E -4.66%K -11.32%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -0.987%E -0.457%K -0.851%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-18 01:40
Casumo1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -7.93%E -4.66%K -11.32%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -0.987%E -0.457%K -0.851%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-18 01:40
TABtouch1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -7.93%E -4.66%K -11.32%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -0.987%E -0.457%K -0.851%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-18 01:40
betPARX1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -7.93%E -4.66%K -11.32%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -0.987%E -0.457%K -0.851%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-18 01:39
Bally Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -7.93%E -4.66%K -11.32%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -0.987%E -0.457%K -0.851%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-18 01:40
ATG (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -7.93%E -4.66%K -11.32%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -0.987%E -0.457%K -0.851%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-18 01:40
Tipico (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -7.93%E -4.66%K -11.32%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -8.32%E -4.16%K -8.32%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-18 01:40
Betclic (FR)1.69I 59.17%NM 54.81%EV -8.47%E -5.01%K -12.27%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.19%EV -6.03%E -2.94%K -5.74%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-18 01:19
Grosvenor1.68I 59.52%NM 56.02%EV -9.01%E -5.36%K -13.25%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.98%EV -1.90%E -0.890%K -1.67%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-18 01:40
Winamax (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 53.85%EV -9.01%E -5.36%K -13.25%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 46.15%EV -10.16%E -5.18%K -10.58%G +0.000%10.5%2026-06-18 01:40
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (10)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 53.87%2.16I 46.30%NM 46.13%0.4%2026-06-18 01:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 53.63%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.37%0.8%2026-06-18 01:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.85I 54.05%NM 53.63%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.37%0.8%2026-06-18 01:40
Polymarket1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-06-18 01:40
ProphetX1.84I 54.35%NM 53.54%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.46%1.5%2026-06-18 01:40
Kalshi1.82I 54.95%NM 53.92%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.08%1.9%2026-06-18 01:40
Novig1.82I 54.95%NM 53.92%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.08%1.9%2026-06-18 01:40
BetOpenly1.76I 56.82%NM 55.33%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.67%2.7%2026-06-18 01:39
Smarkets1.80I 55.56%NM 54.08%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.92%2.7%2026-06-18 01:40
Matchbook1.74I 57.47%NM 53.23%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.77%8.0%2026-06-18 01:40