مدرسة الاحتمالات

Seattle Mariners v Baltimore Orioles

البداية: 2026-06-18 01:41 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Seattle Mariners 3–5 Baltimore Orioles

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

64 شركة مراهنات (21 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Seattle Mariners (المضيف)

التنبؤ 54.16%1.85السعر العادل
EV +0.739%
الأفضلية +0.397%
Kelly +0.859%
النمو +0.006%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.86

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
52.43%54.19%54.05%56.02%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.681.751.741.8659.52%57.14%57.47%53.76%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Baltimore Orioles (الضيف)

التنبؤ 45.84%2.18السعر العادل
EV -0.987%
الأفضلية -0.457%
Kelly -0.851%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.16

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
43.98%45.81%45.95%47.57%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.962.102.102.1651.02%47.62%47.62%46.30%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (64 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
LowVig.ag1.86I 53.76%NM 52.43%EV +0.739%E +0.397%K +0.859%G +0.006%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.57%EV -6.03%E -2.94%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-18 01:40
BetOnline.ag1.86I 53.76%NM 52.43%EV +0.739%E +0.397%K +0.859%G +0.006%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.57%EV -6.03%E -2.94%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-18 01:40
Pinnacle1.84I 54.35%NM 53.30%EV -0.344%E -0.187%K -0.410%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.70%EV -3.74%E -1.78%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.0%2026-06-18 01:39
BetUS1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -0.886%E -0.484%K -1.07%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -3.74%E -1.78%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-18 01:39
Everygame1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -0.886%E -0.484%K -1.07%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -3.74%E -1.78%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-18 01:39
GTbets1.81I 55.25%NM 54.06%EV -1.97%E -1.09%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.94%EV -2.36%E -1.11%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.2%2026-06-18 01:20
BetAnything1.81I 55.25%NM 54.06%EV -1.97%E -1.09%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.94%EV -2.36%E -1.11%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.2%2026-06-18 01:39
1xBet1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -2.51%E -1.39%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -1.45%E -0.672%K -1.26%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-17 14:20
PointsBet (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.51%E -1.39%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -6.03%E -2.94%K -5.74%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-18 01:39
Fanatics1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.51%E -1.39%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -6.03%E -2.94%K -5.74%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-18 01:40
Coral1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.51%E -1.39%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -6.03%E -2.94%K -5.74%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-18 01:40
Ladbrokes (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.51%E -1.39%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -6.03%E -2.94%K -5.74%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-18 01:30
Bovada1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.51%E -1.39%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -6.03%E -2.94%K -5.74%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-18 01:39
MyBookie.ag1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%EV -3.05%E -1.71%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%EV -4.65%E -2.24%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-18 01:40
Unibet (UK)1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -3.59%E -2.02%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -4.65%E -2.24%K -4.31%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-18 01:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -3.59%E -2.02%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -6.03%E -2.94%K -5.74%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-18 01:39
Neds1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -3.59%E -2.02%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -6.03%E -2.94%K -5.74%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-18 01:39
Dabble (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -3.59%E -2.02%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -6.03%E -2.94%K -5.74%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-18 01:10
Marathon Bet1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -3.59%E -2.02%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -6.49%E -3.18%K -6.24%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-18 01:39
Caesars1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.14%E -2.34%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.74%E -1.78%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-17 14:30
BetMGM1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.14%E -2.34%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.03%E -2.94%K -5.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-18 01:28
NordicBet1.77I 56.50%NM 53.54%EV -4.14%E -2.34%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.46%EV -6.49%E -3.18%K -6.24%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-18 01:40
Betsson1.77I 56.50%NM 53.54%EV -4.14%E -2.34%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.46%EV -6.49%E -3.18%K -6.24%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-18 01:40
Winamax (DE)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -4.68%E -2.66%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -6.03%E -2.94%K -5.74%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-18 01:40
Svenska Spel1.75I 57.14%NM 55.24%EV -5.22%E -2.98%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.76%EV -0.987%E -0.457%K -0.851%G +0.000%3.4%2026-06-18 01:40
Bet Victor1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -5.22%E -2.98%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -1.45%E -0.672%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-17 22:50
FanDuel1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -5.22%E -2.98%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -1.90%E -0.890%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-17 14:20
PlayUp1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.22%E -2.98%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.74%E -1.78%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-18 01:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.22%E -2.98%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.74%E -1.78%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-17 20:50
Coolbet1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.22%E -2.98%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.03%E -2.94%K -5.74%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-18 01:40
TAB1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.22%E -2.98%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.03%E -2.94%K -5.74%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-18 01:40
ReBet1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.76%E -3.31%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -1.45%E -0.672%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-17 23:00
theScore Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.76%E -3.31%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -1.45%E -0.672%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-17 14:20
Hard Rock Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.76%E -3.31%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -1.45%E -0.672%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-17 15:09
Fliff1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.76%E -3.31%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.74%E -1.78%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-18 01:40
Betway1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.76%E -3.31%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.03%E -2.94%K -5.74%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-18 01:40
DraftKings1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -6.30%E -3.64%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -1.90%E -0.890%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-17 23:00
Bet Right1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -6.30%E -3.64%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -2.82%E -1.33%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-17 14:40
SportsBet1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -6.30%E -3.64%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -3.28%E -1.55%K -2.95%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-17 14:20
888sport1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.30%E -3.64%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.74%E -1.78%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-17 14:40
Betr (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.30%E -3.64%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.74%E -1.78%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-17 14:30
888sport (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.30%E -3.64%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.74%E -1.78%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-17 14:40
Mr Green (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.30%E -3.64%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.74%E -1.78%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-17 14:40
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.30%E -3.64%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.74%E -1.78%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-17 14:29
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.30%E -3.64%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.74%E -1.78%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-17 23:00
Paddy Power1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.30%E -3.64%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.03%E -2.94%K -5.74%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-17 23:20
Unibet (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -6.84%E -3.98%K -9.50%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -3.74%E -1.78%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-18 01:29
Unibet (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -7.39%E -4.32%K -10.40%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -0.987%E -0.457%K -0.851%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-18 01:40
Unibet (NL)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -7.39%E -4.32%K -10.40%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -0.987%E -0.457%K -0.851%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-18 01:40
BetRivers1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -7.93%E -4.66%K -11.32%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -0.987%E -0.457%K -0.851%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-18 01:40
Unibet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -7.93%E -4.66%K -11.32%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -0.987%E -0.457%K -0.851%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-18 01:40
LeoVegas1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -7.93%E -4.66%K -11.32%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -0.987%E -0.457%K -0.851%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-18 01:40
LiveScore Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -7.93%E -4.66%K -11.32%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -0.987%E -0.457%K -0.851%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-18 01:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -7.93%E -4.66%K -11.32%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -0.987%E -0.457%K -0.851%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-18 01:40
Virgin Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -7.93%E -4.66%K -11.32%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -0.987%E -0.457%K -0.851%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-18 01:40
Casumo1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -7.93%E -4.66%K -11.32%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -0.987%E -0.457%K -0.851%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-18 01:40
TABtouch1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -7.93%E -4.66%K -11.32%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -0.987%E -0.457%K -0.851%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-18 01:40
betPARX1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -7.93%E -4.66%K -11.32%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -0.987%E -0.457%K -0.851%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-18 01:39
Bally Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -7.93%E -4.66%K -11.32%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -0.987%E -0.457%K -0.851%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-18 01:40
ATG (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -7.93%E -4.66%K -11.32%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -0.987%E -0.457%K -0.851%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-18 01:40
Tipico (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -7.93%E -4.66%K -11.32%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -8.32%E -4.16%K -8.32%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-18 01:40
Betclic (FR)1.69I 59.17%NM 54.81%EV -8.47%E -5.01%K -12.27%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.19%EV -6.03%E -2.94%K -5.74%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-18 01:19
Grosvenor1.68I 59.52%NM 56.02%EV -9.01%E -5.36%K -13.25%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.98%EV -1.90%E -0.890%K -1.67%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-18 01:40
Winamax (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 53.85%EV -9.01%E -5.36%K -13.25%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 46.15%EV -10.16%E -5.18%K -10.58%G +0.000%10.5%2026-06-18 01:40
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (10)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 53.87%2.16I 46.30%NM 46.13%0.4%2026-06-18 01:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 53.63%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.37%0.8%2026-06-18 01:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.85I 54.05%NM 53.63%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.37%0.8%2026-06-18 01:40
Polymarket1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-06-18 01:40
ProphetX1.84I 54.35%NM 53.54%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.46%1.5%2026-06-18 01:40
Kalshi1.82I 54.95%NM 53.92%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.08%1.9%2026-06-18 01:40
Novig1.82I 54.95%NM 53.92%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.08%1.9%2026-06-18 01:40
BetOpenly1.76I 56.82%NM 55.33%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.67%2.7%2026-06-18 01:39
Smarkets1.80I 55.56%NM 54.08%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.92%2.7%2026-06-18 01:40
Matchbook1.74I 57.47%NM 53.23%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.77%8.0%2026-06-18 01:40