A Escola das Odds

Seattle Mariners v Atlanta Braves

Início: 2026-05-06 20:11 UTC

Final: Seattle Mariners 3–1 Atlanta Braves

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

58 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Seattle Mariners (Local)

Previsão 54.72%1.83odd justa
EV -0.948%
Vantagem -0.524%
Kelly -1.17%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.81

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
52.63%54.68%54.74%55.93%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.701.751.751.8158.82%57.19%57.14%55.25%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Atlanta Braves (Visitante)

Previsão 45.28%2.21odd justa
EV -1.30%
Vantagem -0.596%
Kelly -1.10%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.18

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
44.07%45.32%45.26%47.37%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.002.112.102.1850.00%47.44%47.62%45.87%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (58 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
BetUS1.81I 55.25%NM 54.06%EV -0.948%E -0.524%K -1.17%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.94%EV -3.56%E -1.67%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-06 20:09
GTbets1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -1.50%E -0.831%K -1.87%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -2.66%E -1.24%K -2.31%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-06 20:09
Everygame1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -1.50%E -0.831%K -1.87%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -2.66%E -1.24%K -2.31%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-06 20:09
BetOnline.ag1.80I 55.56%NM 54.20%EV -1.50%E -0.831%K -1.87%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.80%EV -3.56%E -1.67%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-06 20:10
LowVig.ag1.80I 55.56%NM 54.20%EV -1.50%E -0.831%K -1.87%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.80%EV -3.56%E -1.67%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-06 20:10
Fliff1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -1.50%E -0.831%K -1.87%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -9.45%E -4.72%K -9.45%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-06 20:10
Pinnacle1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%EV -2.04%E -1.14%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%EV -1.75%E -0.808%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.9%2026-05-06 20:09
Svenska Spel1.77I 56.50%NM 54.73%EV -3.14%E -1.77%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.27%EV -3.11%E -1.45%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-06 20:10
Fanatics1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.14%E -1.77%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.92%E -2.34%K -4.47%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-06 20:10
PointsBet (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.14%E -1.77%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.92%E -2.34%K -4.47%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-06 20:09
BetMGM1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.14%E -1.77%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.92%E -2.34%K -4.47%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-06 20:10
Winamax (DE)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -3.68%E -2.09%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -7.19%E -3.51%K -6.84%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-06 20:10
Winamax (FR)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -3.68%E -2.09%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -9.45%E -4.72%K -9.45%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-06 20:09
FanDuel1.75I 57.14%NM 55.24%EV -4.23%E -2.42%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.76%EV -2.21%E -1.02%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-06 20:10
TAB1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -4.23%E -2.42%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -2.66%E -1.24%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-06 20:09
MyBookie.ag1.75I 57.14%NM 54.90%EV -4.23%E -2.42%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.10%EV -3.56%E -1.67%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-06 20:08
Bovada1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -4.23%E -2.42%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -4.02%E -1.89%K -3.59%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-06 20:05
Unibet (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -4.23%E -2.42%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -4.02%E -1.89%K -3.59%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-06 20:10
Unibet (NL)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -4.23%E -2.42%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -4.02%E -1.89%K -3.59%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-06 20:10
Unibet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.23%E -2.42%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.92%E -2.34%K -4.47%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-06 20:10
Casumo1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.23%E -2.42%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.92%E -2.34%K -4.47%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-06 20:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.23%E -2.42%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.92%E -2.34%K -4.47%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-06 20:10
Grosvenor1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.23%E -2.42%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.92%E -2.34%K -4.47%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-06 20:10
LeoVegas1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.23%E -2.42%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.92%E -2.34%K -4.47%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-06 20:10
Neds1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.23%E -2.42%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.92%E -2.34%K -4.47%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-06 20:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.23%E -2.42%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.92%E -2.34%K -4.47%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-06 20:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.23%E -2.42%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.92%E -2.34%K -4.47%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-06 20:10
Coral1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.23%E -2.42%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.92%E -2.34%K -4.47%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-06 20:10
Bally Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.23%E -2.42%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.92%E -2.34%K -4.47%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-06 20:10
betPARX1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.23%E -2.42%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.92%E -2.34%K -4.47%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-06 20:10
ATG (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.23%E -2.42%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.92%E -2.34%K -4.47%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-06 20:10
Bet Victor1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -4.23%E -2.42%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -9.45%E -4.72%K -9.45%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-06 20:09
Caesars1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.78%E -2.75%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.66%E -1.24%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-06 20:09
ReBet1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.78%E -2.75%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.66%E -1.24%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-06 20:09
theScore Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.78%E -2.75%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.66%E -1.24%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-06 20:10
TABtouch1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.78%E -2.75%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.92%E -2.34%K -4.47%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 20:10
BetRivers1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.78%E -2.75%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.92%E -2.34%K -4.47%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 20:10
LiveScore Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.78%E -2.75%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.92%E -2.34%K -4.47%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 20:10
Virgin Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.78%E -2.75%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.92%E -2.34%K -4.47%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 20:10
Hard Rock Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.78%E -2.75%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.92%E -2.34%K -4.47%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 20:10
Marathon Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.57%EV -4.78%E -2.75%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.43%EV -5.37%E -2.57%K -4.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 20:09
Betway1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.78%E -2.75%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.19%E -3.51%K -6.84%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-06 20:10
Unibet (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.75%EV -5.33%E -3.08%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.25%EV -1.30%E -0.596%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-06 20:09
SportsBet1.73I 57.80%NM 55.18%EV -5.33%E -3.08%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.82%EV -3.56%E -1.67%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-06 20:10
Bet Right1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -5.33%E -3.08%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.02%E -1.89%K -3.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-06 20:09
Coolbet1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -5.33%E -3.08%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.02%E -1.89%K -3.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-06 20:08
888sport1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.33%E -3.08%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.92%E -2.34%K -4.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 20:09
Betr (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.33%E -3.08%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.92%E -2.34%K -4.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 20:09
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.33%E -3.08%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.92%E -2.34%K -4.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 20:10
888sport (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.33%E -3.08%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.92%E -2.34%K -4.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 20:09
Mr Green (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.33%E -3.08%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.92%E -2.34%K -4.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 20:09
Paddy Power1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -5.33%E -3.08%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -7.19%E -3.51%K -6.84%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-06 20:10
NordicBet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.87%E -3.41%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.02%E -1.89%K -3.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 20:10
PlayUp1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.87%E -3.41%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.02%E -1.89%K -3.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 20:10
Dabble (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.87%E -3.41%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -4.92%E -2.34%K -4.47%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-06 20:09
DraftKings1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -6.42%E -3.75%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -1.75%E -0.808%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-06 20:09
Unibet (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.97%E -4.10%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -4.92%E -2.34%K -4.47%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-06 20:08
Tipico (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.97%E -4.10%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -4.92%E -2.34%K -4.47%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-06 20:10
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
BetOpenly1.83I 54.64%NM 54.59%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.41%0.1%2026-05-06 20:09
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14%0.7%2026-05-06 20:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14%0.7%2026-05-06 20:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14%0.7%2026-05-06 20:10
Polymarket1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-05-06 20:10
ProphetX1.81I 55.25%NM 54.64%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.36%1.1%2026-05-06 20:10
Novig1.79I 55.87%NM 55.14%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.86%1.3%2026-05-06 20:10
Matchbook1.80I 55.56%NM 54.77%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.23%1.4%2026-05-06 20:10
Smarkets1.80I 55.56%NM 54.55%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.45%1.9%2026-05-06 20:10
Kalshi1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%1.9%2026-05-06 20:10