مدرسة الاحتمالات

Seattle Mariners v Atlanta Braves

البداية: 2026-05-06 20:11 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Seattle Mariners 3–1 Atlanta Braves

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

58 شركة مراهنات (18 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Seattle Mariners (المضيف)

التنبؤ 54.72%1.83السعر العادل
EV -0.948%
الأفضلية -0.524%
Kelly -1.17%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.81

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
52.63%54.68%54.74%55.93%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.701.751.751.8158.82%57.19%57.14%55.25%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Atlanta Braves (الضيف)

التنبؤ 45.28%2.21السعر العادل
EV -1.30%
الأفضلية -0.596%
Kelly -1.10%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.18

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
44.07%45.32%45.26%47.37%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.002.112.102.1850.00%47.44%47.62%45.87%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (58 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
BetUS1.81I 55.25%NM 54.06%EV -0.948%E -0.524%K -1.17%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.94%EV -3.56%E -1.67%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-06 20:09
GTbets1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -1.50%E -0.831%K -1.87%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -2.66%E -1.24%K -2.31%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-06 20:09
Everygame1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -1.50%E -0.831%K -1.87%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -2.66%E -1.24%K -2.31%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-06 20:09
BetOnline.ag1.80I 55.56%NM 54.20%EV -1.50%E -0.831%K -1.87%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.80%EV -3.56%E -1.67%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-06 20:10
LowVig.ag1.80I 55.56%NM 54.20%EV -1.50%E -0.831%K -1.87%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.80%EV -3.56%E -1.67%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-06 20:10
Fliff1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -1.50%E -0.831%K -1.87%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -9.45%E -4.72%K -9.45%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-06 20:10
Pinnacle1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%EV -2.04%E -1.14%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%EV -1.75%E -0.808%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.9%2026-05-06 20:09
Svenska Spel1.77I 56.50%NM 54.73%EV -3.14%E -1.77%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.27%EV -3.11%E -1.45%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-06 20:10
Fanatics1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.14%E -1.77%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.92%E -2.34%K -4.47%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-06 20:10
PointsBet (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.14%E -1.77%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.92%E -2.34%K -4.47%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-06 20:09
BetMGM1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.14%E -1.77%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.92%E -2.34%K -4.47%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-06 20:10
Winamax (DE)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -3.68%E -2.09%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -7.19%E -3.51%K -6.84%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-06 20:10
Winamax (FR)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -3.68%E -2.09%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -9.45%E -4.72%K -9.45%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-06 20:09
FanDuel1.75I 57.14%NM 55.24%EV -4.23%E -2.42%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.76%EV -2.21%E -1.02%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-06 20:10
TAB1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -4.23%E -2.42%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -2.66%E -1.24%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-06 20:09
MyBookie.ag1.75I 57.14%NM 54.90%EV -4.23%E -2.42%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.10%EV -3.56%E -1.67%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-06 20:08
Bovada1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -4.23%E -2.42%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -4.02%E -1.89%K -3.59%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-06 20:05
Unibet (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -4.23%E -2.42%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -4.02%E -1.89%K -3.59%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-06 20:10
Unibet (NL)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -4.23%E -2.42%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -4.02%E -1.89%K -3.59%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-06 20:10
Unibet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.23%E -2.42%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.92%E -2.34%K -4.47%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-06 20:10
Casumo1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.23%E -2.42%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.92%E -2.34%K -4.47%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-06 20:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.23%E -2.42%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.92%E -2.34%K -4.47%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-06 20:10
Grosvenor1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.23%E -2.42%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.92%E -2.34%K -4.47%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-06 20:10
LeoVegas1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.23%E -2.42%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.92%E -2.34%K -4.47%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-06 20:10
Neds1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.23%E -2.42%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.92%E -2.34%K -4.47%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-06 20:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.23%E -2.42%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.92%E -2.34%K -4.47%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-06 20:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.23%E -2.42%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.92%E -2.34%K -4.47%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-06 20:10
Coral1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.23%E -2.42%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.92%E -2.34%K -4.47%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-06 20:10
Bally Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.23%E -2.42%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.92%E -2.34%K -4.47%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-06 20:10
betPARX1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.23%E -2.42%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.92%E -2.34%K -4.47%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-06 20:10
ATG (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.23%E -2.42%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.92%E -2.34%K -4.47%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-06 20:10
Bet Victor1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -4.23%E -2.42%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -9.45%E -4.72%K -9.45%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-06 20:09
Caesars1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.78%E -2.75%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.66%E -1.24%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-06 20:09
ReBet1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.78%E -2.75%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.66%E -1.24%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-06 20:09
theScore Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.78%E -2.75%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.66%E -1.24%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-06 20:10
TABtouch1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.78%E -2.75%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.92%E -2.34%K -4.47%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 20:10
BetRivers1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.78%E -2.75%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.92%E -2.34%K -4.47%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 20:10
LiveScore Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.78%E -2.75%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.92%E -2.34%K -4.47%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 20:10
Virgin Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.78%E -2.75%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.92%E -2.34%K -4.47%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 20:10
Hard Rock Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.78%E -2.75%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.92%E -2.34%K -4.47%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 20:10
Marathon Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.57%EV -4.78%E -2.75%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.43%EV -5.37%E -2.57%K -4.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 20:09
Betway1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.78%E -2.75%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.19%E -3.51%K -6.84%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-06 20:10
Unibet (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.75%EV -5.33%E -3.08%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.25%EV -1.30%E -0.596%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-06 20:09
SportsBet1.73I 57.80%NM 55.18%EV -5.33%E -3.08%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.82%EV -3.56%E -1.67%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-06 20:10
Bet Right1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -5.33%E -3.08%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.02%E -1.89%K -3.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-06 20:09
Coolbet1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -5.33%E -3.08%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.02%E -1.89%K -3.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-06 20:08
888sport1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.33%E -3.08%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.92%E -2.34%K -4.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 20:09
Betr (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.33%E -3.08%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.92%E -2.34%K -4.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 20:09
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.33%E -3.08%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.92%E -2.34%K -4.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 20:10
888sport (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.33%E -3.08%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.92%E -2.34%K -4.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 20:09
Mr Green (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.33%E -3.08%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.92%E -2.34%K -4.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 20:09
Paddy Power1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -5.33%E -3.08%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -7.19%E -3.51%K -6.84%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-06 20:10
NordicBet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.87%E -3.41%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.02%E -1.89%K -3.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 20:10
PlayUp1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.87%E -3.41%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.02%E -1.89%K -3.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 20:10
Dabble (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.87%E -3.41%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -4.92%E -2.34%K -4.47%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-06 20:09
DraftKings1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -6.42%E -3.75%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -1.75%E -0.808%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-06 20:09
Unibet (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.97%E -4.10%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -4.92%E -2.34%K -4.47%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-06 20:08
Tipico (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.97%E -4.10%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -4.92%E -2.34%K -4.47%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-06 20:10
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (10)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
BetOpenly1.83I 54.64%NM 54.59%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.41%0.1%2026-05-06 20:09
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14%0.7%2026-05-06 20:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14%0.7%2026-05-06 20:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14%0.7%2026-05-06 20:10
Polymarket1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-05-06 20:10
ProphetX1.81I 55.25%NM 54.64%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.36%1.1%2026-05-06 20:10
Novig1.79I 55.87%NM 55.14%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.86%1.3%2026-05-06 20:10
Matchbook1.80I 55.56%NM 54.77%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.23%1.4%2026-05-06 20:10
Smarkets1.80I 55.56%NM 54.55%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.45%1.9%2026-05-06 20:10
Kalshi1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%1.9%2026-05-06 20:10