Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Seattle Mariners v Athletics

Início: 2026-04-22 20:11 UTC

Final: Seattle Mariners 5–4 Athletics

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

62 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Seattle Mariners (Local)

Previsão 62.64%1.60odd justa
EV -1.03%
Vantagem -0.652%
Kelly -1.78%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.58

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
60.90%62.56%62.63%63.88%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.471.541.541.5868.03%64.98%64.94%63.29%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Athletics (Visitante)

Previsão 37.36%2.68odd justa
EV -1.74%
Vantagem -0.662%
Kelly -1.07%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.63

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
36.12%37.44%37.37%39.10%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.432.522.502.6341.15%39.69%40.00%38.02%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Seattle Mariners (Local): 62.64%; Athletics (Visitante): 37.36%. Para Seattle Mariners (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 1.60. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 1.58, com valor esperado de -1.03%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (62 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
1xBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 62.02%EV -1.03%E -0.652%K -1.78%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.98%EV -3.61%E -1.40%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-22 00:25
BetAnything🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 61.65%EV -1.03%E -0.652%K -1.78%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.35%EV -5.10%E -2.01%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.7%2026-04-22 20:10
GTbets🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 62.44%EV -1.66%E -1.05%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 37.56%EV -2.49%E -0.953%K -1.55%G +0.000%2.0%2026-04-22 20:04
BetOnline.ag🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 62.26%EV -1.66%E -1.05%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 37.74%EV -3.24%E -1.25%K -2.04%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-22 20:05
LowVig.ag🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 62.26%EV -1.66%E -1.05%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 37.74%EV -3.24%E -1.25%K -2.04%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-22 20:04
BetUS🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.80%EV -1.66%E -1.05%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.20%EV -5.10%E -2.01%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-22 16:34
Svenska Spel🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.23%EV -1.66%E -1.05%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.77%EV -7.35%E -2.96%K -4.96%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-22 19:44
Unibet (NL)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -1.66%E -1.05%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -8.47%E -3.46%K -5.84%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-22 19:44
Unibet (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -1.66%E -1.05%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -8.47%E -3.46%K -5.84%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-22 19:45
Pinnacle🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.77%EV -2.28%E -1.46%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.23%EV -1.74%E -0.662%K -1.07%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-22 20:09
Everygame🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.50%EV -2.28%E -1.46%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.50%EV -2.86%E -1.10%K -1.79%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-22 20:04
Fliff🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -2.28%E -1.46%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -8.47%E -3.46%K -5.84%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-22 20:10
LeoVegas🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -2.28%E -1.46%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -8.47%E -3.46%K -5.84%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-22 19:40
Unibet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -2.28%E -1.46%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -8.47%E -3.46%K -5.84%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-22 19:40
Casumo🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -2.28%E -1.46%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -8.47%E -3.46%K -5.84%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-22 19:39
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -2.28%E -1.46%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -8.47%E -3.46%K -5.84%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-22 19:40
Grosvenor🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -2.28%E -1.46%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -8.47%E -3.46%K -5.84%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-22 19:40
betPARX🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -2.28%E -1.46%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -8.47%E -3.46%K -5.84%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-22 19:40
Bally Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -2.28%E -1.46%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -8.47%E -3.46%K -5.84%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-22 19:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -2.28%E -1.46%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -8.47%E -3.46%K -5.84%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-22 19:40
BetRivers🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -2.28%E -1.46%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -9.21%E -3.79%K -6.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-22 19:39
TABtouch🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -2.28%E -1.46%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -9.21%E -3.79%K -6.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-22 19:39
LiveScore Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -2.28%E -1.46%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -9.21%E -3.79%K -6.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-22 19:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -2.28%E -1.46%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -9.21%E -3.79%K -6.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-22 19:39
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -2.91%E -1.88%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -6.60%E -2.64%K -4.40%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-22 18:50
Neds🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -2.91%E -1.88%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -6.60%E -2.64%K -4.40%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-22 18:50
Coral🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -2.91%E -1.88%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -6.60%E -2.64%K -4.40%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-22 18:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -2.91%E -1.88%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -6.60%E -2.64%K -4.40%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-22 18:50
TAB🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -2.91%E -1.88%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -6.60%E -2.64%K -4.40%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-22 04:44
PlayUp🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -2.91%E -1.88%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -8.47%E -3.46%K -5.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-22 20:09
MyBookie.ag🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.44%EV -3.54%E -2.30%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.56%EV -4.36%E -1.70%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-22 17:44
theScore Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -3.54%E -2.30%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -4.73%E -1.86%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-22 14:05
BetMGM🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -3.54%E -2.30%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -6.60%E -2.64%K -4.40%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-22 18:49
Betsson🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -3.54%E -2.30%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -7.35%E -2.96%K -4.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-22 01:04
NordicBet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -3.54%E -2.30%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -7.35%E -2.96%K -4.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-22 01:05
FanDuel🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.16%E -2.72%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -2.86%E -1.10%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-22 17:29
ReBet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.16%E -2.72%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -2.86%E -1.10%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-22 17:39
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.16%E -2.72%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -2.86%E -1.10%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-21 22:35
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.16%E -2.72%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -2.86%E -1.10%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-22 18:14
Caesars🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -4.16%E -2.72%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -3.61%E -1.40%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-21 22:40
Bovada🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.59%EV -4.16%E -2.72%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.41%EV -4.36%E -1.70%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-22 20:03
Fanatics🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.16%E -2.72%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -4.73%E -1.86%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-22 17:19
Bet Right🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.16%E -2.72%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -4.73%E -1.86%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-22 17:29
Coolbet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.22%EV -4.16%E -2.72%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.78%EV -5.85%E -2.32%K -3.85%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-22 17:29
Betr (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.16%E -2.72%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.60%E -2.64%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-22 17:29
Marathon Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.16%E -2.72%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.60%E -2.64%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-22 00:19
William Hill🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.16%E -2.72%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.60%E -2.64%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-22 17:44
Unibet (UK)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -4.79%E -3.15%K -9.21%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -2.86%E -1.10%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-22 20:10
DraftKings🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.84%EV -4.79%E -3.15%K -9.21%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.16%EV -3.98%E -1.55%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-22 17:39
Unibet (FR)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -5.41%E -3.59%K -10.62%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -6.60%E -2.64%K -4.40%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-22 19:55
SportsBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.33%EV -6.04%E -4.03%K -12.08%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 36.67%EV -3.24%E -1.25%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-22 17:29
888sport🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.04%E -4.03%K -12.08%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.73%E -1.86%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-21 22:40
888sport (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.04%E -4.03%K -12.08%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.73%E -1.86%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-21 22:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.04%E -4.03%K -12.08%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.73%E -1.86%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-21 22:35
Winamax (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.04%E -4.03%K -12.08%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.73%E -1.86%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-22 17:39
Betway🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.04%E -4.03%K -12.08%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.73%E -1.86%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-22 20:09
Dabble (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.04%E -4.03%K -12.08%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.73%E -1.86%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-22 20:00
Paddy Power🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.04%E -4.03%K -12.08%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.60%E -2.64%K -4.40%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-22 17:44
Bet Victor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.04%E -4.03%K -12.08%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.60%E -2.64%K -4.40%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-22 20:05
BoyleSports🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.04%E -4.03%K -12.08%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.60%E -2.64%K -4.40%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-22 17:39
Winamax (FR)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -6.67%E -4.47%K -13.61%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -4.73%E -1.86%K -3.05%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-22 20:09
Tipico (DE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -7.92%E -5.39%K -16.85%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -2.86%E -1.10%K -1.79%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-22 17:44
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
ProphetX1.58I 63.29%NM 63.08%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.92%0.3%2026-04-22 20:10
BetOpenly1.58I 63.29%NM 63.08%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.92%0.3%2026-04-22 18:59
Novig1.59I 62.89%NM 62.68%2.67I 37.45%NM 37.32%0.3%2026-04-22 20:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.59I 62.89%NM 62.59%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.41%0.5%2026-04-22 20:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.59I 62.89%NM 62.59%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.41%0.5%2026-04-22 19:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.58I 63.29%NM 62.74%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.26%0.9%2026-04-22 20:10
Polymarket1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65%0.9%2026-04-22 20:10
Kalshi1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68%0.9%2026-04-22 20:05
Matchbook1.58I 63.29%NM 62.38%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.62%1.5%2026-04-22 20:10
Smarkets1.56I 64.10%NM 62.68%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.32%2.3%2026-04-22 19:50