La escuela de los momios

Seattle Mariners v Athletics

Inicio: 2026-04-22 20:11 UTC

Final: Seattle Mariners 5–4 Athletics

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

62 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Seattle Mariners (Local)

Predicción 62.64%1.60momio equitativo
EV -1.03%
Ventaja -0.652%
Kelly -1.78%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.58

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
60.90%62.56%62.63%63.88%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.471.541.541.5868.03%64.98%64.94%63.29%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Athletics (Visitante)

Predicción 37.36%2.68momio equitativo
EV -1.74%
Ventaja -0.662%
Kelly -1.07%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.63

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
36.12%37.44%37.37%39.10%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.432.522.502.6341.15%39.69%40.00%38.02%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (62 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
1xBet1.58I 63.29%NM 62.02%EV -1.03%E -0.652%K -1.78%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.98%EV -3.61%E -1.40%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-22 00:25
BetAnything1.58I 63.29%NM 61.65%EV -1.03%E -0.652%K -1.78%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.35%EV -5.10%E -2.01%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.7%2026-04-22 20:10
GTbets1.57I 63.69%NM 62.44%EV -1.66%E -1.05%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 37.56%EV -2.49%E -0.953%K -1.55%G +0.000%2.0%2026-04-22 20:04
BetOnline.ag1.57I 63.69%NM 62.26%EV -1.66%E -1.05%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 37.74%EV -3.24%E -1.25%K -2.04%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-22 20:05
LowVig.ag1.57I 63.69%NM 62.26%EV -1.66%E -1.05%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 37.74%EV -3.24%E -1.25%K -2.04%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-22 20:04
BetUS1.57I 63.69%NM 61.80%EV -1.66%E -1.05%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.20%EV -5.10%E -2.01%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-22 16:34
Svenska Spel1.57I 63.69%NM 61.23%EV -1.66%E -1.05%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.77%EV -7.35%E -2.96%K -4.96%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-22 19:44
Unibet (NL)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -1.66%E -1.05%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -8.47%E -3.46%K -5.84%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-22 19:44
Unibet (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -1.66%E -1.05%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -8.47%E -3.46%K -5.84%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-22 19:45
Pinnacle1.56I 64.10%NM 62.77%EV -2.28%E -1.46%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.23%EV -1.74%E -0.662%K -1.07%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-22 20:09
Everygame1.56I 64.10%NM 62.50%EV -2.28%E -1.46%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.50%EV -2.86%E -1.10%K -1.79%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-22 20:04
Fliff1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -2.28%E -1.46%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -8.47%E -3.46%K -5.84%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-22 20:10
LeoVegas1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -2.28%E -1.46%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -8.47%E -3.46%K -5.84%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-22 19:40
Unibet1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -2.28%E -1.46%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -8.47%E -3.46%K -5.84%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-22 19:40
Casumo1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -2.28%E -1.46%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -8.47%E -3.46%K -5.84%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-22 19:39
LeoVegas (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -2.28%E -1.46%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -8.47%E -3.46%K -5.84%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-22 19:40
Grosvenor1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -2.28%E -1.46%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -8.47%E -3.46%K -5.84%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-22 19:40
betPARX1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -2.28%E -1.46%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -8.47%E -3.46%K -5.84%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-22 19:40
Bally Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -2.28%E -1.46%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -8.47%E -3.46%K -5.84%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-22 19:40
ATG (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -2.28%E -1.46%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -8.47%E -3.46%K -5.84%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-22 19:40
BetRivers1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -2.28%E -1.46%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -9.21%E -3.79%K -6.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-22 19:39
TABtouch1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -2.28%E -1.46%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -9.21%E -3.79%K -6.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-22 19:39
LiveScore Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -2.28%E -1.46%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -9.21%E -3.79%K -6.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-22 19:40
Virgin Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -2.28%E -1.46%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -9.21%E -3.79%K -6.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-22 19:39
Ladbrokes (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -2.91%E -1.88%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -6.60%E -2.64%K -4.40%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-22 18:50
Neds1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -2.91%E -1.88%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -6.60%E -2.64%K -4.40%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-22 18:50
Coral1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -2.91%E -1.88%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -6.60%E -2.64%K -4.40%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-22 18:50
Ladbrokes (UK)1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -2.91%E -1.88%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -6.60%E -2.64%K -4.40%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-22 18:50
TAB1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -2.91%E -1.88%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -6.60%E -2.64%K -4.40%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-22 04:44
PlayUp1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -2.91%E -1.88%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -8.47%E -3.46%K -5.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-22 20:09
MyBookie.ag1.54I 64.94%NM 62.44%EV -3.54%E -2.30%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.56%EV -4.36%E -1.70%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-22 17:44
theScore Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -3.54%E -2.30%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -4.73%E -1.86%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-22 14:05
BetMGM1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -3.54%E -2.30%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -6.60%E -2.64%K -4.40%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-22 18:49
Betsson1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -3.54%E -2.30%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -7.35%E -2.96%K -4.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-22 01:04
NordicBet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -3.54%E -2.30%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -7.35%E -2.96%K -4.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-22 01:05
FanDuel1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.16%E -2.72%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -2.86%E -1.10%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-22 17:29
ReBet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.16%E -2.72%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -2.86%E -1.10%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-22 17:39
PointsBet (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.16%E -2.72%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -2.86%E -1.10%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-21 22:35
Hard Rock Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.16%E -2.72%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -2.86%E -1.10%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-22 18:14
Caesars1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -4.16%E -2.72%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -3.61%E -1.40%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-21 22:40
Bovada1.53I 65.36%NM 62.59%EV -4.16%E -2.72%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.41%EV -4.36%E -1.70%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-22 20:03
Fanatics1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.16%E -2.72%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -4.73%E -1.86%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-22 17:19
Bet Right1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.16%E -2.72%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -4.73%E -1.86%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-22 17:29
Coolbet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.22%EV -4.16%E -2.72%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.78%EV -5.85%E -2.32%K -3.85%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-22 17:29
Betr (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.16%E -2.72%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.60%E -2.64%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-22 17:29
Marathon Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.16%E -2.72%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.60%E -2.64%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-22 00:19
William Hill1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.16%E -2.72%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.60%E -2.64%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-22 17:44
Unibet (UK)1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -4.79%E -3.15%K -9.21%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -2.86%E -1.10%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-22 20:10
DraftKings1.52I 65.79%NM 62.84%EV -4.79%E -3.15%K -9.21%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.16%EV -3.98%E -1.55%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-22 17:39
Unibet (FR)1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -5.41%E -3.59%K -10.62%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -6.60%E -2.64%K -4.40%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-22 19:55
SportsBet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.33%EV -6.04%E -4.03%K -12.08%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 36.67%EV -3.24%E -1.25%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-22 17:29
888sport1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.04%E -4.03%K -12.08%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.73%E -1.86%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-21 22:40
888sport (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.04%E -4.03%K -12.08%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.73%E -1.86%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-21 22:35
Mr Green (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.04%E -4.03%K -12.08%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.73%E -1.86%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-21 22:35
Winamax (DE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.04%E -4.03%K -12.08%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.73%E -1.86%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-22 17:39
Betway1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.04%E -4.03%K -12.08%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.73%E -1.86%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-22 20:09
Dabble (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.04%E -4.03%K -12.08%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.73%E -1.86%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-22 20:00
Paddy Power1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.04%E -4.03%K -12.08%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.60%E -2.64%K -4.40%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-22 17:44
Bet Victor1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.04%E -4.03%K -12.08%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.60%E -2.64%K -4.40%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-22 20:05
BoyleSports1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.04%E -4.03%K -12.08%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.60%E -2.64%K -4.40%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-22 17:39
Winamax (FR)1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -6.67%E -4.47%K -13.61%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -4.73%E -1.86%K -3.05%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-22 20:09
Tipico (DE)1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -7.92%E -5.39%K -16.85%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -2.86%E -1.10%K -1.79%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-22 17:44
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
ProphetX1.58I 63.29%NM 63.08%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.92%0.3%2026-04-22 20:10
BetOpenly1.58I 63.29%NM 63.08%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.92%0.3%2026-04-22 18:59
Novig1.59I 62.89%NM 62.68%2.67I 37.45%NM 37.32%0.3%2026-04-22 20:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.59I 62.89%NM 62.59%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.41%0.5%2026-04-22 20:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.59I 62.89%NM 62.59%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.41%0.5%2026-04-22 19:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.58I 63.29%NM 62.74%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.26%0.9%2026-04-22 20:10
Polymarket1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65%0.9%2026-04-22 20:10
Kalshi1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68%0.9%2026-04-22 20:05
Matchbook1.58I 63.29%NM 62.38%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.62%1.5%2026-04-22 20:10
Smarkets1.56I 64.10%NM 62.68%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.32%2.3%2026-04-22 19:50