Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Seattle Mariners v Athletics

Kickoff: 2026-09-06 20:12 UTC

Final: Seattle Mariners 2–0 Athletics

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

64 sportsbooks (20 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Seattle Mariners (Local)

Prediction 65.43%1.53fair odd
EV -0.554%
Edge -0.364%
Kelly -1.06%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.52

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
62.96%65.19%65.54%66.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.401.471.471.5271.43%68.14%68.03%65.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Athletics (Visit)

Prediction 34.57%2.89fair odd
EV +2.00%
Edge +0.676%
Kelly +1.02%
Growth +0.020%

assuming max odds 2.95

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.26%34.81%34.46%37.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.552.722.752.9539.22%36.70%36.36%33.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Seattle Mariners (Local): 65.43%; Athletics (Visit): 34.57%. For Athletics (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.89. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.95, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.00%.

Sportsbook Odds (64 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Caesars🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 66.74%EV -3.82%E -2.60%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 33.26%EV +2.00%E +0.676%K +1.02%G +0.020%1.9%2026-09-06 20:09
Pinnacle🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 66.21%EV -3.17%E -2.14%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.79%EV +0.267%E +0.092%K +0.140%G +0.000%2.1%2026-09-06 20:00
theScore Bet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 66.05%EV -3.82%E -2.60%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.95%EV -1.12%E -0.390%K -0.600%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-06 19:50
GTbets🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 65.67%EV -2.52%E -1.69%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 34.33%EV -1.46%E -0.513%K -0.790%G +0.000%2.2%2026-09-06 20:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.79%E -4.02%K -13.15%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -1.46%E -0.513%K -0.790%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-06 20:00
BetOnline.ag🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 65.59%EV -2.52%E -1.69%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.41%EV -1.81%E -0.637%K -0.982%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-06 20:05
LowVig.ag🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 65.59%EV -2.52%E -1.69%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.41%EV -1.81%E -0.637%K -0.982%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-06 20:05
FanDuel🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 66.20%EV -5.13%E -3.54%K -11.41%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.80%EV -1.81%E -0.637%K -0.982%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-06 19:55
1xBet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 65.05%EV -1.21%E -0.800%K -2.37%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 34.95%EV -2.84%E -1.01%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.8%2026-09-06 19:50
SportsBet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.12%EV -5.79%E -4.02%K -13.15%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 33.88%EV -2.84%E -1.01%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-06 19:55
Everygame🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 65.27%EV -2.52%E -1.69%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.73%EV -3.19%E -1.14%K -1.77%G +0.000%2.8%2026-09-06 20:08
BetAnything🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -3.17%E -2.14%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -3.19%E -1.14%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.3%2026-09-06 20:05
MyBookie.ag🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 65.73%EV -4.48%E -3.07%K -9.74%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.27%EV -3.19%E -1.14%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-06 20:05
BetMGM🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.13%E -3.54%K -11.41%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.19%E -1.14%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-06 19:50
Bovada🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.13%E -3.54%K -11.41%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.19%E -1.14%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-06 20:09
Fanatics🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.13%E -3.54%K -11.41%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.19%E -1.14%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-06 20:00
betfred_uk🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.79%E -4.02%K -13.15%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.19%E -1.14%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-06 20:00
Coral🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.79%E -4.02%K -13.15%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.19%E -1.14%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-06 19:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.79%E -4.02%K -13.15%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.19%E -1.14%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-06 19:50
Tipico (DE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -7.10%E -5.00%K -16.90%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -3.19%E -1.14%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-06 19:50
Paddy Power🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -8.40%E -6.00%K -21.01%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -3.19%E -1.14%K -1.77%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-06 18:30
BetUS🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 65.11%EV -2.52%E -1.69%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.89%EV -3.88%E -1.40%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-06 19:49
Coolbet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.72%EV -5.13%E -3.54%K -11.41%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.28%EV -3.88%E -1.40%K -2.18%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-06 20:00
DraftKings🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 65.48%EV -4.48%E -3.07%K -9.74%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.52%EV -4.23%E -1.53%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-06 19:50
ReBet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.17%E -2.14%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.92%E -1.79%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-06 19:50
Fliff🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -3.82%E -2.60%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -4.92%E -1.79%K -2.81%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-06 20:10
Bet Right🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -4.48%E -3.07%K -9.74%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -4.92%E -1.79%K -2.81%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-06 20:00
888sport🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.13%E -3.54%K -11.41%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.92%E -1.79%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-06 20:00
Betr (AU)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.13%E -3.54%K -11.41%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.92%E -1.79%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-06 20:00
PlayUp🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.13%E -3.54%K -11.41%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.92%E -1.79%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-06 20:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.13%E -3.54%K -11.41%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.92%E -1.79%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-06 19:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.13%E -3.54%K -11.41%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.92%E -1.79%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-06 19:55
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.13%E -3.54%K -11.41%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.92%E -1.79%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-06 19:49
Dabble (AU)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.79%E -4.02%K -13.15%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.92%E -1.79%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-06 19:55
Marathon Bet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 65.07%EV -4.48%E -3.07%K -9.74%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.93%EV -5.96%E -2.19%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-06 19:50
Svenska Spel🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -1.86%E -1.24%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -6.65%E -2.46%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-06 18:30
BetRivers🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -1.86%E -1.24%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -6.65%E -2.46%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-06 18:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -2.52%E -1.69%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -6.65%E -2.46%K -3.91%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-06 18:30
Unibet (SE)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -2.52%E -1.69%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -6.65%E -2.46%K -3.91%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-06 18:30
TAB🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.17%E -2.14%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -6.65%E -2.46%K -3.91%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-06 20:00
Unibet (FR)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.13%E -3.54%K -11.41%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.65%E -2.46%K -3.91%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-06 19:55
Betsson🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.58%EV -3.82%E -2.60%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.42%EV -7.34%E -2.74%K -4.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-06 19:59
NordicBet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.58%EV -3.82%E -2.60%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.42%EV -7.34%E -2.74%K -4.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-06 20:00
Unibet (UK)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.55%EV -0.554%E -0.364%K -1.06%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.45%EV -8.38%E -3.16%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-06 20:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -2.52%E -1.69%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -8.38%E -3.16%K -5.08%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-06 18:35
Casumo🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -2.52%E -1.69%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -8.38%E -3.16%K -5.08%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-06 18:35
ATG (SE)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -2.52%E -1.69%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -8.38%E -3.16%K -5.08%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-06 18:35
betPARX🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -2.52%E -1.69%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -8.38%E -3.16%K -5.08%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-06 18:35
Bally Bet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -2.52%E -1.69%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -8.38%E -3.16%K -5.08%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-06 18:35
Unibet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -2.52%E -1.69%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -8.38%E -3.16%K -5.08%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-06 18:55
Neds🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -3.17%E -2.14%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -8.38%E -3.16%K -5.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-06 19:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -3.17%E -2.14%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -8.38%E -3.16%K -5.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-06 19:50
TABtouch🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -3.17%E -2.14%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -8.38%E -3.16%K -5.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-06 18:55
Virgin Bet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.30%EV -4.48%E -3.07%K -9.74%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.70%EV -9.07%E -3.45%K -5.56%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-06 18:30
LiveScore Bet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.30%EV -4.48%E -3.07%K -9.74%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.70%EV -9.07%E -3.45%K -5.56%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-06 18:30
Winamax (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -1.86%E -1.24%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -10.11%E -3.89%K -6.32%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-06 20:10
William Hill🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -1.86%E -1.24%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -10.11%E -3.89%K -6.32%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-06 04:40
LeoVegas🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -5.13%E -3.54%K -11.41%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -10.11%E -3.89%K -6.32%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-06 20:10
Betclic (FR)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.52%EV -6.44%E -4.50%K -14.98%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.48%EV -10.11%E -3.89%K -6.32%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-06 19:48
Betway🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -1.86%E -1.24%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -11.83%E -4.64%K -7.64%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-06 20:10
Winamax (FR)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -2.52%E -1.69%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -11.83%E -4.64%K -7.64%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-06 20:10
betano_uk🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -5.13%E -3.54%K -11.41%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -11.83%E -4.64%K -7.64%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-06 19:55
Bet Victor🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -5.13%E -3.54%K -11.41%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -11.83%E -4.64%K -7.64%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-06 19:59
Grosvenor🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.07%EV -6.44%E -4.50%K -14.98%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.93%EV -11.83%E -4.64%K -7.64%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-06 18:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly◎1.51I 66.23%NM 66.22%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.78%0.0%2026-09-06 20:09
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.51I 66.23%NM 65.91%2.92I 34.25%NM 34.09%0.5%2026-09-06 20:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.51I 66.23%NM 65.91%2.92I 34.25%NM 34.09%0.5%2026-09-06 20:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.51I 66.23%NM 65.91%2.92I 34.25%NM 34.09%0.5%2026-09-06 20:10
Kalshi◎1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70%0.8%2026-09-06 19:50
Polymarket◎1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70%0.8%2026-09-06 20:00
ProphetX◎1.51I 66.23%NM 65.60%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.40%0.9%2026-09-06 20:10
Matchbook◎1.50I 66.67%NM 65.91%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.09%1.1%2026-09-06 20:10
Novig◎1.50I 66.67%NM 65.91%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.09%1.1%2026-09-06 20:10
Smarkets◎1.48I 67.57%NM 66.06%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.94%2.3%2026-09-06 20:10