Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.74
assuming max odds 2.33
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Seattle Mariners (Local): 56.56%; Arizona Diamondbacks (Visit): 43.44%. For Arizona Diamondbacks (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.30. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.33, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.21%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.40%EV -6.11%E -3.68%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.60%EV +1.21%E +0.519%K +0.909%G +0.011% | 3.2% | 2026-05-30 02:10 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.61%EV -3.84%E -2.26%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 42.39%EV +0.340%E +0.147%K +0.259%G +0.001% | 2.1% | 2026-05-30 02:09 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.50%EV -3.84%E -2.26%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.50%EV -0.095%E -0.041%K -0.073%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-05-30 02:09 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.50%EV -3.84%E -2.26%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.50%EV -0.095%E -0.041%K -0.073%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-05-30 02:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -6.67%E -4.04%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -0.095%E -0.041%K -0.073%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-30 02:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -6.67%E -4.04%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -0.095%E -0.041%K -0.073%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-30 02:10 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.29%EV -3.84%E -2.26%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.71%EV -0.963%E -0.422%K -0.753%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-05-30 02:09 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -7.24%E -4.41%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -0.963%E -0.422%K -0.753%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-30 02:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -7.24%E -4.41%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -0.963%E -0.422%K -0.753%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-30 02:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -7.24%E -4.41%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -0.963%E -0.422%K -0.753%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-30 02:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -7.24%E -4.41%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -0.963%E -0.422%K -0.753%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-30 02:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -7.24%E -4.41%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -0.963%E -0.422%K -0.753%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-30 02:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -7.24%E -4.41%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -0.963%E -0.422%K -0.753%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-30 02:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -7.24%E -4.41%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -0.963%E -0.422%K -0.753%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-30 02:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -7.24%E -4.41%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -0.963%E -0.422%K -0.753%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-30 02:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -7.80%E -4.79%K -12.39%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -0.963%E -0.422%K -0.753%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-30 02:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -7.80%E -4.79%K -12.39%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -0.963%E -0.422%K -0.753%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-30 02:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -7.80%E -4.79%K -12.39%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -0.963%E -0.422%K -0.753%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-30 02:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -7.80%E -4.79%K -12.39%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -0.963%E -0.422%K -0.753%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-30 02:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.75%EV -2.15%E -1.24%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.25%EV -1.40%E -0.616%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-05-30 02:00 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.75%EV -2.15%E -1.24%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.25%EV -1.40%E -0.616%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-05-29 23:39 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.89%EV -2.71%E -1.58%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.11%EV -1.40%E -0.616%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-05-29 23:29 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.41%E -2.61%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.27%E -1.01%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-05-30 02:09 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.41%E -2.61%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.27%E -1.01%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-05-30 02:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.54%E -3.32%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -2.27%E -1.01%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-30 02:09 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.54%E -3.32%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -2.27%E -1.01%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-30 02:09 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.54%E -3.32%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -2.27%E -1.01%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-30 02:09 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.54%E -3.32%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -2.27%E -1.01%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-30 01:50 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -7.24%E -4.41%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -2.27%E -1.01%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-30 02:09 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.17%EV -1.58%E -0.908%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.83%EV -3.14%E -1.41%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-05-30 02:09 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -4.41%E -2.61%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -3.57%E -1.61%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-30 02:09 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.52%EV -3.84%E -2.26%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.48%EV -4.00%E -1.81%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-29 23:09 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.28%E -1.92%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.44%E -2.02%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-30 02:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.28%E -1.92%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.44%E -2.02%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-29 15:49 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.84%E -2.26%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.44%E -2.02%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-29 22:20 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.84%E -2.26%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.44%E -2.02%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-29 22:49 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.41%E -2.61%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.44%E -2.02%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-29 22:59 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.97%E -2.96%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.44%E -2.02%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-30 01:19 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.97%E -2.96%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.44%E -2.02%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-30 01:49 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.97%E -2.96%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.44%E -2.02%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-30 01:19 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.54%E -3.32%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.44%E -2.02%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-29 23:09 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.54%E -3.32%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.44%E -2.02%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-30 01:19 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.54%E -3.32%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.44%E -2.02%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-29 23:09 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.54%E -3.32%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.44%E -2.02%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-29 23:09 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.54%E -3.32%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.44%E -2.02%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-30 00:59 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.54%E -3.32%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.44%E -2.02%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-29 23:29 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -6.11%E -3.68%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -4.44%E -2.02%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-30 02:09 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.67%E -4.04%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -4.44%E -2.02%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-30 02:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.44%EV -4.41%E -2.61%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.56%EV -4.87%E -2.22%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-29 23:09 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -3.28%E -1.92%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -5.31%E -2.43%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-30 02:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -4.41%E -2.61%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -5.31%E -2.43%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-29 22:19 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -4.41%E -2.61%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -5.31%E -2.43%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-29 23:29 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.97%E -2.96%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.31%E -2.43%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-29 23:29 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.97%E -2.96%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.31%E -2.43%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-29 23:29 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.28%E -1.92%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -6.61%E -3.07%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-30 02:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.84%E -2.26%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.61%E -3.07%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-29 23:29 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -4.41%E -2.61%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -6.61%E -3.07%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-30 02:10 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -4.97%E -2.96%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -6.61%E -3.07%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-29 22:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.54%E -3.32%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.61%E -3.07%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-29 23:50 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -4.97%E -2.96%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -8.78%E -4.18%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-30 02:10 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 57.35% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.65% | 0.2% | 2026-05-30 02:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86% | 0.6% | 2026-05-30 02:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21% | 0.6% | 2026-05-30 02:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21% | 0.6% | 2026-05-30 02:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.58% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42% | 1.0% | 2026-05-30 02:10 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53% | 1.2% | 2026-05-29 23:00 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53% | 1.2% | 2026-05-30 01:40 |
| Novig◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53% | 1.2% | 2026-05-30 02:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.07% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.93% | 1.3% | 2026-05-30 02:10 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.70% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.30% | 2.6% | 2026-05-30 02:09 |