The School of Odds

San Francisco Giants v Toronto Blue Jays

Kickoff: 2026-07-08 19:46 UTC

Final: San Francisco Giants 0–10 Toronto Blue Jays

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

63 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

San Francisco Giants (Local)

Prediction 45.89%2.18fair odd
EV +0.030%
Edge +0.014%
Kelly +0.026%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.18

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.30%45.90%45.88%47.37%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.992.082.082.1850.25%48.08%48.08%45.87%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Toronto Blue Jays (Visit)

Prediction 54.11%1.85fair odd
EV -1.51%
Edge -0.830%
Kelly -1.84%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.82

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.63%54.10%54.12%55.70%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.711.761.761.8258.48%56.68%56.82%54.95%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (63 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
GTbets2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95%EV +0.030%E +0.014%K +0.026%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05%EV -3.68%E -2.07%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-08 19:09
Everygame2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95%EV +0.030%E +0.014%K +0.026%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05%EV -3.68%E -2.07%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-08 19:15
Pinnacle2.16I 46.30%NM 45.32%EV -0.887%E -0.411%K -0.765%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.68%EV -3.13%E -1.75%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.2%2026-07-08 19:44
BetUS2.16I 46.30%NM 45.32%EV -0.887%E -0.411%K -0.765%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.68%EV -3.13%E -1.75%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.2%2026-07-08 19:00
LowVig.ag2.16I 46.30%NM 45.18%EV -0.887%E -0.411%K -0.765%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.82%EV -3.68%E -2.07%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-08 19:05
BetOnline.ag2.16I 46.30%NM 45.18%EV -0.887%E -0.411%K -0.765%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.82%EV -3.68%E -2.07%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-08 19:10
Caesars2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -1.35%E -0.626%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.84%E -3.36%K -7.89%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-08 18:04
Fliff2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -1.35%E -0.626%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -7.46%E -4.36%K -10.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-08 19:45
1xBet2.13I 46.95%NM 46.08%EV -2.26%E -1.06%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.92%EV -1.51%E -0.830%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-08 18:50
BetAnything2.13I 46.95%NM 45.94%EV -2.26%E -1.06%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.06%EV -2.05%E -1.13%K -2.53%G +0.000%2.2%2026-07-08 19:44
Svenska Spel2.12I 47.17%NM 45.78%EV -2.72%E -1.28%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.22%EV -3.13%E -1.75%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-08 18:30
Bovada2.11I 47.39%NM 45.34%EV -3.18%E -1.51%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.66%EV -5.30%E -3.03%K -7.07%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-08 19:44
Unibet (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -3.64%E -1.73%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -3.68%E -2.07%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-08 19:45
Fanatics2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.64%E -1.73%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.22%E -2.38%K -5.48%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-08 18:05
PointsBet (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.64%E -1.73%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.22%E -2.38%K -5.48%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-08 17:50
Hard Rock Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.64%E -1.73%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.22%E -2.38%K -5.48%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-08 18:04
BetMGM2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.64%E -1.73%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.22%E -2.38%K -5.48%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-08 19:09
theScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.64%E -1.73%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.22%E -2.38%K -5.48%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-08 18:04
Unibet (NL)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.64%E -1.73%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.22%E -2.38%K -5.48%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-08 18:30
Unibet (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.64%E -1.73%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.22%E -2.38%K -5.48%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-08 18:30
Neds2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.64%E -1.73%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.30%E -3.03%K -7.07%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-08 18:45
Coral2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.64%E -1.73%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.30%E -3.03%K -7.07%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-08 18:45
Ladbrokes (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.64%E -1.73%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.30%E -3.03%K -7.07%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-08 18:44
Ladbrokes (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.64%E -1.73%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.30%E -3.03%K -7.07%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-08 18:45
FanDuel2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%EV -4.56%E -2.19%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%EV -3.13%E -1.75%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-08 17:55
Casumo2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.56%E -2.19%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -4.76%E -2.70%K -6.26%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-08 18:30
LeoVegas (SE)2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.56%E -2.19%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -4.76%E -2.70%K -6.26%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-08 18:30
Unibet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.56%E -2.19%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -4.76%E -2.70%K -6.26%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-08 18:30
betPARX2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.56%E -2.19%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -4.76%E -2.70%K -6.26%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-08 18:29
Bally Bet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.56%E -2.19%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -4.76%E -2.70%K -6.26%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-08 18:30
ATG (SE)2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.56%E -2.19%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -4.76%E -2.70%K -6.26%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-08 18:30
Coolbet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.56%E -2.19%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -4.76%E -2.70%K -6.26%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-08 19:30
MyBookie.ag2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV -5.02%E -2.42%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -3.13%E -1.75%K -3.97%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-08 19:30
BetRivers2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -5.02%E -2.42%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -5.30%E -3.03%K -7.07%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-08 18:30
LiveScore Bet2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -5.02%E -2.42%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -5.30%E -3.03%K -7.07%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-08 18:30
Virgin Bet2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -5.02%E -2.42%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -5.30%E -3.03%K -7.07%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-08 18:29
TABtouch2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -5.02%E -2.42%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -5.30%E -3.03%K -7.07%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-08 18:30
SportsBet2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -5.48%E -2.66%K -5.17%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -4.22%E -2.38%K -5.48%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-08 17:54
Bet Right2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -5.48%E -2.66%K -5.17%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -4.22%E -2.38%K -5.48%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-08 19:30
Marathon Bet2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -5.48%E -2.66%K -5.17%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -4.76%E -2.70%K -6.26%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-08 18:50
ReBet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.93%E -2.90%K -5.65%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.59%E -1.44%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-08 17:50
TAB2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.93%E -2.90%K -5.65%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.59%E -1.44%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-08 17:50
Dabble (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -5.93%E -2.90%K -5.65%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -3.68%E -2.07%K -4.71%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-08 19:44
Unibet (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.93%E -2.90%K -5.65%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.22%E -2.38%K -5.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-08 19:34
PlayUp2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.93%E -2.90%K -5.65%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.22%E -2.38%K -5.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-08 18:55
Winamax (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -5.93%E -2.90%K -5.65%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -4.76%E -2.70%K -6.26%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-08 19:45
Betr (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -5.93%E -2.90%K -5.65%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -4.76%E -2.70%K -6.26%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-08 18:10
Bet Victor2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.93%E -2.90%K -5.65%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.30%E -3.03%K -7.07%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-08 19:39
Mr Green (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.93%E -2.90%K -5.65%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.30%E -3.03%K -7.07%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-08 17:55
888sport (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.93%E -2.90%K -5.65%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.30%E -3.03%K -7.07%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-08 17:55
888sport2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.93%E -2.90%K -5.65%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.30%E -3.03%K -7.07%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-08 17:55
Tipico (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.93%E -2.90%K -5.65%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.30%E -3.03%K -7.07%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-08 17:15
Winamax (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.93%E -2.90%K -5.65%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.84%E -3.36%K -7.89%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-08 19:44
Betway2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.93%E -2.90%K -5.65%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.84%E -3.36%K -7.89%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-08 19:44
BoyleSports2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -5.93%E -2.90%K -5.65%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.38%E -3.69%K -8.74%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-08 19:29
NordicBet2.04I 49.02%NM 46.46%EV -6.39%E -3.13%K -6.15%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.54%EV -4.22%E -2.38%K -5.48%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-08 19:44
Betsson2.04I 49.02%NM 46.46%EV -6.39%E -3.13%K -6.15%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.54%EV -4.22%E -2.38%K -5.48%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-08 19:45
Grosvenor2.04I 49.02%NM 45.74%EV -6.39%E -3.13%K -6.15%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.26%EV -6.92%E -4.02%K -9.62%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-08 18:30
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.23%E -4.11%K -8.23%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.59%E -1.44%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-08 07:45
DraftKings2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -8.23%E -4.11%K -8.23%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.22%E -2.38%K -5.48%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-08 19:45
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -8.23%E -4.11%K -8.23%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -5.30%E -3.03%K -7.07%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-08 17:54
LeoVegas2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -8.23%E -4.11%K -8.23%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -5.30%E -3.03%K -7.07%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-08 19:45
Betclic (FR)1.99I 50.25%NM 46.65%EV -8.69%E -4.37%K -8.78%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.35%EV -5.84%E -3.36%K -7.89%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-08 19:25
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78%1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22%0.6%2026-07-08 19:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.18I 45.87%NM 45.50%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.50%0.8%2026-07-08 19:45
Polymarket2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%0.9%2026-07-08 19:45
Kalshi2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%1.0%2026-07-08 19:40
ProphetX2.21I 45.25%NM 44.75%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.25%1.1%2026-07-08 19:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.18I 45.87%NM 45.36%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.64%1.1%2026-07-08 19:45
Novig2.20I 45.45%NM 44.86%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.14%1.3%2026-07-08 19:45
Matchbook2.20I 45.45%NM 44.86%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.14%1.3%2026-07-08 19:45
Smarkets2.16I 46.30%NM 45.32%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.68%2.2%2026-07-08 19:45
BetOpenly2.04I 49.02%NM 47.15%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.85%4.0%2026-07-08 19:35