The School of Odds

San Francisco Giants v Toronto Blue Jays

Kickoff: 2026-07-08 01:46 UTC

Final: San Francisco Giants 3–9 Toronto Blue Jays

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

59 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

San Francisco Giants (Local)

Prediction 48.11%2.08fair odd
EV -0.419%
Edge -0.203%
Kelly -0.392%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.07

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.34%48.04%48.16%50.00%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.901.981.982.0752.63%50.40%50.51%48.31%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Toronto Blue Jays (Visit)

Prediction 51.89%1.93fair odd
EV -1.40%
Edge -0.738%
Kelly -1.56%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.00%51.96%51.84%53.66%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.751.841.841.9057.14%54.32%54.35%52.63%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (59 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
GTbets2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -0.419%E -0.203%K -0.392%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -4.00%E -2.16%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-08 01:45
LowVig.ag2.06I 48.54%NM 47.31%EV -0.901%E -0.437%K -0.850%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.69%EV -4.00%E -2.16%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-08 01:45
BetOnline.ag2.06I 48.54%NM 47.31%EV -0.901%E -0.437%K -0.850%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.69%EV -4.00%E -2.16%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-08 01:44
Pinnacle2.05I 48.78%NM 47.84%EV -1.38%E -0.674%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.16%EV -2.44%E -1.30%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-08 01:05
BetUS2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -1.38%E -0.674%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -2.96%E -1.58%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-08 01:35
Caesars2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -1.38%E -0.674%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -6.59%E -3.66%K -8.24%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-07 23:04
Fliff2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -1.38%E -0.674%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -8.15%E -4.60%K -10.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-08 01:30
1xBet2.04I 49.02%NM 48.09%EV -1.86%E -0.913%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.91%EV -1.92%E -1.02%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-08 01:10
Everygame2.03I 49.26%NM 48.21%EV -2.34%E -1.15%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.79%EV -1.92%E -1.02%K -2.16%G +0.000%2.2%2026-07-07 18:45
BetAnything2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%EV -2.82%E -1.40%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%EV -1.92%E -1.02%K -2.16%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-08 01:30
betPARX2.00I 50.00%NM 48.45%EV -3.79%E -1.89%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.55%EV -2.44%E -1.30%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-08 01:45
Svenska Spel2.00I 50.00%NM 48.45%EV -3.79%E -1.89%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.55%EV -2.44%E -1.30%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-08 00:05
ReBet2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32%EV -3.79%E -1.89%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.68%EV -2.96%E -1.58%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.5%2026-07-07 19:49
TAB2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.79%E -1.89%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.00%E -2.16%K -4.70%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-08 00:25
Fanatics2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.79%E -1.89%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.03%E -2.75%K -6.07%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-08 00:20
PointsBet (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.79%E -1.89%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.03%E -2.75%K -6.07%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-07 04:05
theScore Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.79%E -1.89%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.03%E -2.75%K -6.07%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-07 04:05
Hard Rock Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.79%E -1.89%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.03%E -2.75%K -6.07%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-07 22:40
Coral2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.79%E -1.89%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.03%E -2.75%K -6.07%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-08 01:45
Ladbrokes (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.79%E -1.89%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.03%E -2.75%K -6.07%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-08 01:45
Bovada2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.79%E -1.89%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.03%E -2.75%K -6.07%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-08 01:29
Ladbrokes (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -3.79%E -1.89%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.55%E -3.05%K -6.77%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-08 01:45
Neds2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -3.79%E -1.89%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.55%E -3.05%K -6.77%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-08 01:45
888sport2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.79%E -1.89%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.59%E -3.66%K -8.24%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-07 16:55
888sport (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.79%E -1.89%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.59%E -3.66%K -8.24%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-07 16:54
Mr Green (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.79%E -1.89%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.59%E -3.66%K -8.24%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-07 16:55
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.79%E -1.89%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.59%E -3.66%K -8.24%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-07 17:35
MyBookie.ag1.99I 50.25%NM 48.31%EV -4.27%E -2.14%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.69%EV -3.48%E -1.87%K -4.04%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-07 16:54
Unibet (UK)1.98I 50.51%NM 48.57%EV -4.75%E -2.40%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.43%EV -2.96%E -1.58%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-07 23:45
FanDuel1.98I 50.51%NM 48.44%EV -4.75%E -2.40%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.56%EV -3.48%E -1.87%K -4.04%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-07 16:50
DraftKings1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -4.75%E -2.40%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.00%E -2.16%K -4.70%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-07 16:55
BetMGM1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -4.75%E -2.40%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.00%E -2.16%K -4.70%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-07 16:50
Bet Right1.98I 50.51%NM 48.17%EV -4.75%E -2.40%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.83%EV -4.52%E -2.45%K -5.38%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-08 00:05
PlayUp1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.75%E -2.40%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -5.03%E -2.75%K -6.07%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-08 00:25
Betr (AU)1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.75%E -2.40%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -5.03%E -2.75%K -6.07%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-08 00:05
Marathon Bet1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.75%E -2.40%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -5.03%E -2.75%K -6.07%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-08 01:10
Unibet (SE)1.97I 50.76%NM 48.70%EV -5.23%E -2.65%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.30%EV -2.96%E -1.58%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-08 00:05
Unibet (NL)1.97I 50.76%NM 48.70%EV -5.23%E -2.65%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.30%EV -2.96%E -1.58%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-08 00:04
NordicBet1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -5.23%E -2.65%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -4.52%E -2.45%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-08 00:05
Betsson1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -5.23%E -2.65%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -4.52%E -2.45%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-08 00:05
Virgin Bet1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -5.71%E -2.91%K -5.95%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.00%E -2.16%K -4.70%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-08 00:05
Unibet1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -5.71%E -2.91%K -5.95%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.00%E -2.16%K -4.70%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-08 00:05
LeoVegas (SE)1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -5.71%E -2.91%K -5.95%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.00%E -2.16%K -4.70%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-08 00:05
ATG (SE)1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -5.71%E -2.91%K -5.95%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.00%E -2.16%K -4.70%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-08 00:05
Bally Bet1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -5.71%E -2.91%K -5.95%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.00%E -2.16%K -4.70%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-08 00:05
Betway1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.19%E -3.18%K -6.52%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.96%E -1.58%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-07 05:40
SportsBet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.82%EV -6.19%E -3.18%K -6.52%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.18%EV -3.48%E -1.87%K -4.04%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-07 16:50
BetRivers1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.19%E -3.18%K -6.52%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.00%E -2.16%K -4.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-08 00:05
TABtouch1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.19%E -3.18%K -6.52%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.00%E -2.16%K -4.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-08 00:04
Unibet (FR)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.19%E -3.18%K -6.52%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.03%E -2.75%K -6.07%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-08 01:34
Tipico (DE)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -6.19%E -3.18%K -6.52%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -9.19%E -5.25%K -12.25%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-08 01:45
Winamax (DE)1.94I 51.55%NM 48.68%EV -6.67%E -3.44%K -7.10%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.32%EV -4.52%E -2.45%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-08 01:45
Casumo1.94I 51.55%NM 48.54%EV -6.67%E -3.44%K -7.10%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.46%EV -5.03%E -2.75%K -6.07%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-08 01:45
Grosvenor1.93I 51.81%NM 48.53%EV -7.15%E -3.71%K -7.69%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.47%EV -5.55%E -3.05%K -6.77%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-08 00:05
Winamax (FR)1.92I 52.08%NM 48.66%EV -7.64%E -3.98%K -8.30%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.34%EV -5.55%E -3.05%K -6.77%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-08 01:45
LiveScore Bet1.92I 52.08%NM 48.53%EV -7.64%E -3.98%K -8.30%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.47%EV -6.07%E -3.36%K -7.50%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-08 01:45
Paddy Power1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -8.12%E -4.25%K -8.92%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.03%E -2.75%K -6.07%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-07 23:20
Betclic (FR)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -8.12%E -4.25%K -8.92%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.59%E -3.66%K -8.24%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-08 01:15
Dabble (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -8.60%E -4.53%K -9.55%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -1.40%E -0.738%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-08 00:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly2.10I 47.62%NM 47.63%1.91I 52.36%NM 52.37%-0.0%2026-07-08 01:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74%1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26%0.7%2026-07-08 01:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74%1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26%0.7%2026-07-08 01:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74%1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26%0.7%2026-07-08 01:45
Kalshi2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%1.1%2026-07-08 01:40
Novig2.06I 48.54%NM 47.85%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.15%1.5%2026-07-08 01:45
Polymarket2.04I 49.02%NM 48.22%1.90I 52.63%NM 51.78%1.7%2026-07-08 01:45
Smarkets2.06I 48.54%NM 47.58%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.42%2.0%2026-07-08 01:40
ProphetX2.01I 49.75%NM 48.33%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.67%2.9%2026-07-08 01:45
Matchbook2.06I 48.54%NM 47.04%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.96%3.2%2026-07-08 01:45