Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

San Francisco Giants v St. Louis Cardinals

Inicio: 2026-09-08 00:11 UTC

Final: San Francisco Giants 5–4 St. Louis Cardinals

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

65 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

San Francisco Giants (Local)

Predicción 54.40%1.84momio equitativo
EV +0.102%
Ventaja +0.055%
Kelly +0.121%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.84

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
52.00%54.11%54.48%55.58%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.701.761.761.8458.82%56.85%56.82%54.35%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

St. Louis Cardinals (Visitante)

Predicción 45.60%2.19momio equitativo
EV -0.143%
Ventaja -0.065%
Kelly -0.120%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.19

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
44.42%45.89%45.52%48.00%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.952.082.102.1951.28%47.99%47.62%45.66%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: San Francisco Giants (Local): 54.40%; St. Louis Cardinals (Visitante): 45.60%. Para San Francisco Giants (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 1.838. 1 corredor ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 1.840, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +0.102%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (65 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Unibet (UK)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 52.33%EV +0.102%E +0.055%K +0.121%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.67%EV -7.89%E -3.91%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-08 00:10
Winamax (DE)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -0.986%E -0.542%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -9.72%E -4.91%K -9.92%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-08 00:10
ReBet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -0.986%E -0.542%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -9.72%E -4.91%K -9.92%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-08 00:09
Everygame🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -2.07%E -1.15%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -1.97%E -0.915%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.1%2026-09-07 23:47
Betway🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.07%E -1.15%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.81%E -4.40%K -8.81%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-08 00:10
Winamax (FR)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.13%EV -2.07%E -1.15%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -10.63%E -5.42%K -11.07%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-08 00:10
Bet Victor🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -2.07%E -1.15%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -11.09%E -5.69%K -11.67%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-07 23:59
betano_uk🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -2.07%E -1.15%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -11.09%E -5.69%K -11.67%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-08 00:00
Caesars🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%EV -2.62%E -1.46%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%EV -1.06%E -0.486%K -0.902%G +0.000%1.9%2026-09-07 23:23
BetOnline.ag🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 54.57%EV -2.62%E -1.46%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.43%EV -1.97%E -0.915%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-08 00:10
LowVig.ag🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 54.57%EV -2.62%E -1.46%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.43%EV -1.97%E -0.915%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-08 00:10
Pinnacle🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 55.16%EV -3.16%E -1.78%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 44.84%EV -0.143%E -0.065%K -0.120%G +0.000%1.8%2026-09-08 00:10
1xBet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.94%EV -3.16%E -1.78%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.06%EV -1.06%E -0.486%K -0.902%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-07 21:25
theScore Bet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.48%EV -3.16%E -1.78%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.52%EV -2.88%E -1.35%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-07 11:20
MyBookie.ag🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.01%EV -3.16%E -1.78%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.99%EV -4.70%E -2.25%K -4.31%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-07 23:05
BetUS🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -3.71%E -2.09%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV -0.599%E -0.275%K -0.508%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-08 00:09
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.71%E -2.09%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.25%E -2.02%K -3.86%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-06 23:15
Svenska Spel🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.71%E -2.09%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.25%E -2.02%K -3.86%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-08 00:10
Fanatics🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.71%E -2.09%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.25%E -2.02%K -3.86%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-07 22:18
BetRivers🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -3.71%E -2.09%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -5.16%E -2.48%K -4.78%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-07 23:15
Unibet (NL)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -3.71%E -2.09%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -5.16%E -2.48%K -4.78%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-07 23:15
Unibet (SE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -3.71%E -2.09%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -5.16%E -2.48%K -4.78%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-07 23:15
Casumo🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -3.71%E -2.09%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -5.16%E -2.48%K -4.78%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-07 23:14
betPARX🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -3.71%E -2.09%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -5.16%E -2.48%K -4.78%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-07 23:14
Neds🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.71%E -2.09%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.53%E -3.18%K -6.22%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-07 22:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.71%E -2.09%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.53%E -3.18%K -6.22%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-07 22:55
FanDuel🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -4.25%E -2.41%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -3.33%E -1.57%K -2.98%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-08 00:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -4.25%E -2.41%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -4.25%E -2.02%K -3.86%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-08 00:10
Unibet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -4.25%E -2.41%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -4.25%E -2.02%K -3.86%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-08 00:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -4.25%E -2.41%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -4.25%E -2.02%K -3.86%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-08 00:10
Bally Bet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -4.25%E -2.41%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -4.25%E -2.02%K -3.86%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-08 00:10
DraftKings🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.29%EV -4.25%E -2.41%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.71%EV -4.70%E -2.25%K -4.31%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-08 00:10
Betsson🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.25%E -2.41%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.61%E -2.71%K -5.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-07 23:05
NordicBet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.25%E -2.41%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.61%E -2.71%K -5.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-07 23:05
GTbets🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.25%E -2.41%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.61%E -2.71%K -5.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-08 00:10
BetAnything🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.58%EV -4.79%E -2.74%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 44.42%EV -0.143%E -0.065%K -0.120%G +0.000%2.8%2026-09-08 00:10
Bovada🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -4.79%E -2.74%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -3.33%E -1.57%K -2.98%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-08 00:09
Bet Right🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.79%E -2.74%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.25%E -2.02%K -3.86%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-07 23:05
Coolbet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.79%E -2.74%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.25%E -2.02%K -3.86%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-07 23:04
TAB🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.79%E -2.74%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.25%E -2.02%K -3.86%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-08 00:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.79%E -2.74%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.25%E -2.02%K -3.86%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-07 03:15
Coral🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.79%E -2.74%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.25%E -2.02%K -3.86%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-07 22:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.79%E -2.74%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.25%E -2.02%K -3.86%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-07 23:00
PlayUp🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.79%E -2.74%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.16%E -2.48%K -4.78%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-07 23:05
TABtouch🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.79%E -2.74%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.16%E -2.48%K -4.78%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-08 00:10
SportsBet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.34%E -3.07%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.25%E -2.02%K -3.86%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-08 00:05
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.34%E -3.07%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.25%E -2.02%K -3.86%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-07 10:05
BetMGM🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.34%E -3.07%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.25%E -2.02%K -3.86%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-07 23:00
Marathon Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.57%EV -5.34%E -3.07%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.43%EV -4.70%E -2.25%K -4.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-08 00:09
Unibet (FR)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.34%E -3.07%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.53%E -3.18%K -6.22%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-08 00:09
Virgin Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.34%E -3.07%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.53%E -3.18%K -6.22%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-07 23:15
888sport🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.88%E -3.40%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.25%E -2.02%K -3.86%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-07 05:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.88%E -3.40%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.25%E -2.02%K -3.86%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-07 05:35
888sport (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.88%E -3.40%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.25%E -2.02%K -3.86%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-07 05:35
Betr (AU)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.88%E -3.40%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.25%E -2.02%K -3.86%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-07 03:20
William Hill🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.88%E -3.40%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.25%E -2.02%K -3.86%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-06 23:04
betfred_uk🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.88%E -3.40%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.25%E -2.02%K -3.86%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-08 00:05
LiveScore Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.35%EV -5.88%E -3.40%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.65%EV -6.07%E -2.95%K -5.73%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-08 00:10
Paddy Power🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -5.88%E -3.40%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.53%E -3.18%K -6.22%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-07 21:45
BoyleSports🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -5.88%E -3.40%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.53%E -3.18%K -6.22%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-08 00:10
Dabble (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -6.43%E -3.74%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -4.25%E -2.02%K -3.86%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-07 23:55
LeoVegas🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -6.43%E -3.74%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -6.53%E -3.18%K -6.22%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-08 00:10
Tipico (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -7.51%E -4.42%K -10.73%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -4.25%E -2.02%K -3.86%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-07 21:30
Betclic (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.55%EV -7.51%E -4.42%K -10.73%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.45%EV -6.98%E -3.42%K -6.71%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-08 00:05
Grosvenor🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -7.51%E -4.42%K -10.73%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -8.81%E -4.40%K -8.81%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-07 23:15
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly◎1.81I 55.25%NM 55.09%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.91%0.3%2026-09-08 00:08
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14%0.7%2026-09-08 00:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14%0.7%2026-09-08 00:10
ProphetX◎1.80I 55.56%NM 55.11%2.21I 45.25%NM 44.89%0.8%2026-09-08 00:10
Kalshi◎1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.0%2026-09-07 23:10
Novig◎1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.0%2026-09-08 00:10
Polymarket◎1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.0%2026-09-07 23:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.81I 55.25%NM 54.64%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.36%1.1%2026-09-08 00:10
Matchbook◎1.80I 55.56%NM 54.77%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.23%1.4%2026-09-08 00:10
Smarkets◎1.80I 55.56%NM 54.55%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.45%1.9%2026-09-08 00:10