مدرسة الاحتمالاتodds.school
النموذج الافتراضيالمتوسط بين الربيعين (القائمة المنتقاة)
+ نموذج جديدجميع النماذج

San Francisco Giants v St. Louis Cardinals

البداية: 2026-09-08 00:11 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: San Francisco Giants 5–4 St. Louis Cardinals

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

65 شركة مراهنات (21 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: المتوسط بين الربيعين (القائمة المنتقاة)

San Francisco Giants (المضيف)

التنبؤ 54.40%1.84السعر العادل
EV +0.102%
الأفضلية +0.055%
Kelly +0.121%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.84

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
52.00%54.11%54.48%55.58%الأدنىالمتوسطالوسيطالأقصى
توزيع الأسعار
1.701.761.761.8458.82%56.85%56.82%54.35%الأدنىالمتوسطالوسيطالأقصى

St. Louis Cardinals (الضيف)

التنبؤ 45.60%2.19السعر العادل
EV -0.143%
الأفضلية -0.065%
Kelly -0.120%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.19

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
44.42%45.89%45.52%48.00%الأدنىالمتوسطالوسيطالأقصى
توزيع الأسعار
1.952.082.102.1951.28%47.99%47.62%45.66%الأدنىالمتوسطالوسيطالأقصى

وفق آخر الأسعار قبل البداية، قدّر نموذج ⁨المتوسط بين الربيعين (القائمة المنتقاة)⁩ احتمالات سوق ⁨نتيجة المباراة⁩ كالآتي: ⁨San Francisco Giants (المضيف)⁩: ⁨54.40%⁩؛ ⁨St. Louis Cardinals (الضيف)⁩: ⁨45.60%⁩. بالنسبة إلى ⁨San Francisco Giants (المضيف)⁩، كان هذا التقدير يعادل سعرًا عشريًا عادلًا قدره ⁨1.838⁩. عرضت شركة مراهنات واحدة (1) سعر إغلاق أعلى من ذلك المستوى؛ وكان أفضل سعر ⁨1.840⁩، بما يقابل قيمة متوقعة موجبة قدرها ⁨+0.102%⁩.

أسعار شركات المراهنات (65 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
Unibet (UK)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 52.33%EV +0.102%E +0.055%K +0.121%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.67%EV -7.89%E -3.91%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-08 00:10
Winamax (DE)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -0.986%E -0.542%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -9.72%E -4.91%K -9.92%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-08 00:10
ReBet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -0.986%E -0.542%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -9.72%E -4.91%K -9.92%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-08 00:09
Everygame🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -2.07%E -1.15%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -1.97%E -0.915%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.1%2026-09-07 23:47
Betway🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.07%E -1.15%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.81%E -4.40%K -8.81%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-08 00:10
Winamax (FR)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.13%EV -2.07%E -1.15%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -10.63%E -5.42%K -11.07%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-08 00:10
Bet Victor🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -2.07%E -1.15%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -11.09%E -5.69%K -11.67%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-07 23:59
betano_uk🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -2.07%E -1.15%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -11.09%E -5.69%K -11.67%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-08 00:00
Caesars🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%EV -2.62%E -1.46%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%EV -1.06%E -0.486%K -0.902%G +0.000%1.9%2026-09-07 23:23
BetOnline.ag🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 54.57%EV -2.62%E -1.46%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.43%EV -1.97%E -0.915%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-08 00:10
LowVig.ag🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 54.57%EV -2.62%E -1.46%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.43%EV -1.97%E -0.915%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-08 00:10
Pinnacle🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 55.16%EV -3.16%E -1.78%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 44.84%EV -0.143%E -0.065%K -0.120%G +0.000%1.8%2026-09-08 00:10
1xBet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.94%EV -3.16%E -1.78%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.06%EV -1.06%E -0.486%K -0.902%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-07 21:25
theScore Bet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.48%EV -3.16%E -1.78%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.52%EV -2.88%E -1.35%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-07 11:20
MyBookie.ag🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.01%EV -3.16%E -1.78%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.99%EV -4.70%E -2.25%K -4.31%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-07 23:05
BetUS🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -3.71%E -2.09%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV -0.599%E -0.275%K -0.508%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-08 00:09
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.71%E -2.09%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.25%E -2.02%K -3.86%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-06 23:15
Svenska Spel🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.71%E -2.09%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.25%E -2.02%K -3.86%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-08 00:10
Fanatics🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.71%E -2.09%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.25%E -2.02%K -3.86%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-07 22:18
BetRivers🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -3.71%E -2.09%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -5.16%E -2.48%K -4.78%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-07 23:15
Unibet (NL)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -3.71%E -2.09%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -5.16%E -2.48%K -4.78%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-07 23:15
Unibet (SE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -3.71%E -2.09%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -5.16%E -2.48%K -4.78%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-07 23:15
Casumo🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -3.71%E -2.09%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -5.16%E -2.48%K -4.78%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-07 23:14
betPARX🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -3.71%E -2.09%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -5.16%E -2.48%K -4.78%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-07 23:14
Neds🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.71%E -2.09%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.53%E -3.18%K -6.22%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-07 22:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.71%E -2.09%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.53%E -3.18%K -6.22%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-07 22:55
FanDuel🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -4.25%E -2.41%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -3.33%E -1.57%K -2.98%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-08 00:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -4.25%E -2.41%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -4.25%E -2.02%K -3.86%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-08 00:10
Unibet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -4.25%E -2.41%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -4.25%E -2.02%K -3.86%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-08 00:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -4.25%E -2.41%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -4.25%E -2.02%K -3.86%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-08 00:10
Bally Bet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -4.25%E -2.41%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -4.25%E -2.02%K -3.86%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-08 00:10
DraftKings🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.29%EV -4.25%E -2.41%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.71%EV -4.70%E -2.25%K -4.31%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-08 00:10
Betsson🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.25%E -2.41%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.61%E -2.71%K -5.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-07 23:05
NordicBet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.25%E -2.41%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.61%E -2.71%K -5.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-07 23:05
GTbets🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.25%E -2.41%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.61%E -2.71%K -5.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-08 00:10
BetAnything🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.58%EV -4.79%E -2.74%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 44.42%EV -0.143%E -0.065%K -0.120%G +0.000%2.8%2026-09-08 00:10
Bovada🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -4.79%E -2.74%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -3.33%E -1.57%K -2.98%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-08 00:09
Bet Right🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.79%E -2.74%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.25%E -2.02%K -3.86%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-07 23:05
Coolbet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.79%E -2.74%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.25%E -2.02%K -3.86%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-07 23:04
TAB🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.79%E -2.74%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.25%E -2.02%K -3.86%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-08 00:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.79%E -2.74%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.25%E -2.02%K -3.86%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-07 03:15
Coral🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.79%E -2.74%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.25%E -2.02%K -3.86%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-07 22:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.79%E -2.74%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.25%E -2.02%K -3.86%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-07 23:00
PlayUp🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.79%E -2.74%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.16%E -2.48%K -4.78%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-07 23:05
TABtouch🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.79%E -2.74%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.16%E -2.48%K -4.78%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-08 00:10
SportsBet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.34%E -3.07%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.25%E -2.02%K -3.86%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-08 00:05
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.34%E -3.07%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.25%E -2.02%K -3.86%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-07 10:05
BetMGM🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.34%E -3.07%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.25%E -2.02%K -3.86%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-07 23:00
Marathon Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.57%EV -5.34%E -3.07%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.43%EV -4.70%E -2.25%K -4.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-08 00:09
Unibet (FR)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.34%E -3.07%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.53%E -3.18%K -6.22%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-08 00:09
Virgin Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.34%E -3.07%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.53%E -3.18%K -6.22%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-07 23:15
888sport🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.88%E -3.40%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.25%E -2.02%K -3.86%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-07 05:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.88%E -3.40%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.25%E -2.02%K -3.86%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-07 05:35
888sport (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.88%E -3.40%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.25%E -2.02%K -3.86%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-07 05:35
Betr (AU)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.88%E -3.40%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.25%E -2.02%K -3.86%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-07 03:20
William Hill🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.88%E -3.40%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.25%E -2.02%K -3.86%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-06 23:04
betfred_uk🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.88%E -3.40%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.25%E -2.02%K -3.86%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-08 00:05
LiveScore Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.35%EV -5.88%E -3.40%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.65%EV -6.07%E -2.95%K -5.73%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-08 00:10
Paddy Power🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -5.88%E -3.40%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.53%E -3.18%K -6.22%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-07 21:45
BoyleSports🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -5.88%E -3.40%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.53%E -3.18%K -6.22%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-08 00:10
Dabble (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -6.43%E -3.74%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -4.25%E -2.02%K -3.86%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-07 23:55
LeoVegas🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -6.43%E -3.74%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -6.53%E -3.18%K -6.22%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-08 00:10
Tipico (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -7.51%E -4.42%K -10.73%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -4.25%E -2.02%K -3.86%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-07 21:30
Betclic (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.55%EV -7.51%E -4.42%K -10.73%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.45%EV -6.98%E -3.42%K -6.71%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-08 00:05
Grosvenor🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -7.51%E -4.42%K -10.73%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -8.81%E -4.40%K -8.81%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-07 23:15
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (10)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
BetOpenly◎1.81I 55.25%NM 55.09%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.91%0.3%2026-09-08 00:08
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14%0.7%2026-09-08 00:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14%0.7%2026-09-08 00:10
ProphetX◎1.80I 55.56%NM 55.11%2.21I 45.25%NM 44.89%0.8%2026-09-08 00:10
Kalshi◎1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.0%2026-09-07 23:10
Novig◎1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.0%2026-09-08 00:10
Polymarket◎1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.0%2026-09-07 23:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.81I 55.25%NM 54.64%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.36%1.1%2026-09-08 00:10
Matchbook◎1.80I 55.56%NM 54.77%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.23%1.4%2026-09-08 00:10
Smarkets◎1.80I 55.56%NM 54.55%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.45%1.9%2026-09-08 00:10