默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

San Francisco Giants v San Diego Padres

开赛时间： 2026-09-13 23:21 UTC

最终结果： San Francisco Giants 4–6 San Diego Padres

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

66 家博彩公司 (21 家纳入分析 )

44%

56%

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

San Francisco Giants (主队)

预测 43.75%2.29公平赔率

EV +4.12%

优势 +1.73%

Kelly +2.98%

增长率 +0.123%

假设最高赔率为 2.38

博彩公司预测分布

40.35%44.07%43.72%46.67%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

2.002.182.202.3850.00%45.78%45.45%42.02%最小值均值中位数最大值

San Diego Padres (客队)

预测 56.25%1.78公平赔率

EV +0.130%

优势 +0.073%

Kelly +0.167%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.78

博彩公司预测分布

53.33%55.93%56.28%59.65%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

1.601.691.691.7862.50%59.04%59.00%56.18%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：San Francisco Giants (主队)：43.75%；San Diego Padres (客队)：56.25%。对于“San Francisco Giants (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.29。当时有5家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为2.38，对应+4.12%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (66 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司	主队 ▼	客队	利润率	更新时间
Svenska Spel🎯	2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV +4.12%E +1.73%K +2.98%G +0.123%	1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -9.43%E -5.86%K -15.46%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-09-13 23:20
Casumo🎯	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV +2.81%E +1.19%K +2.08%G +0.058%	1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -9.43%E -5.86%K -15.46%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-09-13 23:20
Unibet🎯	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV +2.81%E +1.19%K +2.08%G +0.058%	1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -9.43%E -5.86%K -15.46%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-09-13 23:20
TABtouch🎯	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV +2.81%E +1.19%K +2.08%G +0.058%	1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -10.00%E -6.25%K -16.66%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-09-13 23:20
GTbets🎯	2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV +0.618%E +0.269%K +0.476%G +0.003%	1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -3.81%E -2.23%K -5.36%G +0.000%	2.0%	2026-09-13 23:19
BetOnline.ag🎯	2.27I 44.05%NM 42.96%EV -0.694%E -0.306%K -0.547%G +0.000%	1.71I 58.48%NM 57.04%EV -3.81%E -2.23%K -5.36%G +0.000%	2.5%	2026-09-13 23:15
LowVig.ag🎯	2.27I 44.05%NM 42.96%EV -0.694%E -0.306%K -0.547%G +0.000%	1.71I 58.48%NM 57.04%EV -3.81%E -2.23%K -5.36%G +0.000%	2.5%	2026-09-13 23:20
Caesars🎯	2.26I 44.25%NM 42.49%EV -1.13%E -0.501%K -0.898%G +0.000%	1.67I 59.88%NM 57.51%EV -6.06%E -3.63%K -9.04%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-09-13 23:20
Everygame🎯	2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV -1.57%E -0.697%K -1.26%G +0.000%	1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -2.12%E -1.22%K -2.86%G +0.000%	1.9%	2026-09-13 22:09
theScore Bet🎯	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -1.57%E -0.697%K -1.26%G +0.000%	1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.93%E -2.92%K -7.15%G +0.000%	3.6%	2026-09-13 22:35
Fliff🎯	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -1.57%E -0.697%K -1.26%G +0.000%	1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -7.18%E -4.35%K -11.05%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-09-13 23:20
Pinnacle🎯	2.24I 44.64%NM 43.72%EV -2.01%E -0.896%K -1.62%G +0.000%	1.74I 57.47%NM 56.28%EV -2.12%E -1.22%K -2.86%G +0.000%	2.1%	2026-09-13 23:20
BetAnything🎯	2.24I 44.64%NM 43.29%EV -2.01%E -0.896%K -1.62%G +0.000%	1.71I 58.48%NM 56.71%EV -3.81%E -2.23%K -5.36%G +0.000%	3.1%	2026-09-13 22:10
Unibet (SE)🎯	2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -2.44%E -1.10%K -1.99%G +0.000%	1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -5.50%E -3.27%K -8.08%G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-09-13 23:05
Unibet (NL)🎯	2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -2.44%E -1.10%K -1.99%G +0.000%	1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -5.50%E -3.27%K -8.08%G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-09-13 23:05
BetRivers🎯	2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -2.44%E -1.10%K -1.99%G +0.000%	1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -5.50%E -3.27%K -8.08%G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-09-13 23:05
ATG (SE)🎯	2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -2.44%E -1.10%K -1.99%G +0.000%	1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -6.06%E -3.63%K -9.04%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-09-13 23:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -2.44%E -1.10%K -1.99%G +0.000%	1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -6.06%E -3.63%K -9.04%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-09-13 23:20
Bally Bet🎯	2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -2.44%E -1.10%K -1.99%G +0.000%	1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -6.06%E -3.63%K -9.04%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-09-13 23:20
betPARX🎯	2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -2.44%E -1.10%K -1.99%G +0.000%	1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -6.06%E -3.63%K -9.04%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-09-13 23:20
1xBet🎯	2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%EV -2.88%E -1.30%K -2.36%G +0.000%	1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%EV -1.56%E -0.890%K -2.08%G +0.000%	2.2%	2026-09-13 22:00
BetUS🎯	2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -2.88%E -1.30%K -2.36%G +0.000%	1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -2.12%E -1.22%K -2.86%G +0.000%	2.5%	2026-09-13 23:00
Bovada🎯	2.21I 45.25%NM 43.33%EV -3.32%E -1.50%K -2.74%G +0.000%	1.69I 59.17%NM 56.67%EV -4.93%E -2.92%K -7.15%G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-09-13 23:18
PointsBet (AU)🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.76%E -1.71%K -3.13%G +0.000%	1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.81%E -2.23%K -5.36%G +0.000%	3.9%	2026-09-13 19:10
MyBookie.ag🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.76%E -1.71%K -3.13%G +0.000%	1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.81%E -2.23%K -5.36%G +0.000%	3.9%	2026-09-13 19:45
Hard Rock Bet🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.76%E -1.71%K -3.13%G +0.000%	1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.81%E -2.23%K -5.36%G +0.000%	3.9%	2026-09-13 21:49
FanDuel🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.76%E -1.71%K -3.13%G +0.000%	1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.37%E -2.57%K -6.24%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-09-13 19:15
Coral🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.76%E -1.71%K -3.13%G +0.000%	1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.37%E -2.57%K -6.24%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-09-13 19:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.76%E -1.71%K -3.13%G +0.000%	1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.37%E -2.57%K -6.24%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-09-13 19:10
Fanatics🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.76%E -1.71%K -3.13%G +0.000%	1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.93%E -2.92%K -7.15%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-09-13 19:10
Bet Right🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.76%E -1.71%K -3.13%G +0.000%	1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.50%E -3.27%K -8.08%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-09-13 23:20
Coolbet🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.76%E -1.71%K -3.13%G +0.000%	1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.50%E -3.27%K -8.08%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-09-13 23:19
888sport🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.76%E -1.71%K -3.13%G +0.000%	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.06%E -3.63%K -9.04%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-09-13 23:19
Betr (AU)🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.76%E -1.71%K -3.13%G +0.000%	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.06%E -3.63%K -9.04%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-09-13 23:19
888sport (SE)🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.76%E -1.71%K -3.13%G +0.000%	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.06%E -3.63%K -9.04%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-09-13 23:19
Mr Green (SE)🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.76%E -1.71%K -3.13%G +0.000%	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.06%E -3.63%K -9.04%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-09-13 23:19
William Hill🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.76%E -1.71%K -3.13%G +0.000%	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.06%E -3.63%K -9.04%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-09-13 20:20
Tipico (DE)🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -3.76%E -1.71%K -3.13%G +0.000%	1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.18%E -4.35%K -11.05%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-09-13 20:50
LiveScore Bet🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -3.76%E -1.71%K -3.13%G +0.000%	1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -7.75%E -4.72%K -12.10%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-09-13 23:20
Virgin Bet🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -3.76%E -1.71%K -3.13%G +0.000%	1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -7.75%E -4.72%K -12.10%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-09-13 23:20
BetMGM🎯	2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -4.63%E -2.12%K -3.92%G +0.000%	1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -4.93%E -2.92%K -7.15%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-09-13 23:10
SportsBet🎯	2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -5.51%E -2.55%K -4.75%G +0.000%	1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -4.37%E -2.57%K -6.24%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-09-13 19:15
TAB🎯	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -5.94%E -2.76%K -5.17%G +0.000%	1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -1.56%E -0.890%K -2.08%G +0.000%	3.7%	2026-09-13 21:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -5.94%E -2.76%K -5.17%G +0.000%	1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -1.56%E -0.890%K -2.08%G +0.000%	3.7%	2026-09-13 20:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -5.94%E -2.76%K -5.17%G +0.000%	1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.24%E -1.89%K -4.51%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-09-13 23:10
Neds🎯	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -5.94%E -2.76%K -5.17%G +0.000%	1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.24%E -1.89%K -4.51%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-09-13 23:10
betfred_uk🎯	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.94%E -2.76%K -5.17%G +0.000%	1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.37%E -2.57%K -6.24%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-09-13 23:10
Marathon Bet🎯	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.94%E -2.76%K -5.17%G +0.000%	1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.37%E -2.57%K -6.24%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-09-13 22:00
Unibet (FR)🎯	2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.94%E -2.76%K -5.17%G +0.000%	1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.50%E -3.27%K -8.08%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-09-13 23:05
Dabble (AU)🎯	2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.94%E -2.76%K -5.17%G +0.000%	1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.50%E -3.27%K -8.08%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-09-13 23:19
Paddy Power🎯	2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.94%E -2.76%K -5.17%G +0.000%	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.06%E -3.63%K -9.04%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-09-13 20:55
BoyleSports🎯	2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.94%E -2.76%K -5.17%G +0.000%	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.06%E -3.63%K -9.04%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-09-13 21:00
Grosvenor🎯	2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -5.94%E -2.76%K -5.17%G +0.000%	1.61I 62.11%NM 57.18%EV -9.43%E -5.86%K -15.46%G +0.000%	8.6%	2026-09-13 23:20
Betsson🎯	2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -7.26%E -3.42%K -6.48%G +0.000%	1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.24%E -1.89%K -4.51%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-09-13 21:45
PlayUp🎯	2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -7.26%E -3.42%K -6.48%G +0.000%	1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.24%E -1.89%K -4.51%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-09-13 21:45
NordicBet🎯	2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -7.26%E -3.42%K -6.48%G +0.000%	1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.24%E -1.89%K -4.51%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-09-13 21:45
DraftKings🎯	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -8.13%E -3.87%K -7.39%G +0.000%	1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.37%E -2.57%K -6.24%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-09-13 23:20
Betclic (FR)🎯	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -8.13%E -3.87%K -7.39%G +0.000%	1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -7.18%E -4.35%K -11.05%G +0.000%	8.2%	2026-09-13 22:59
Unibet (UK)🎯	2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -9.01%E -4.33%K -8.34%G +0.000%	1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV +0.130%E +0.073%K +0.167%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-09-13 23:20
Winamax (DE)🎯	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -10.32%E -5.03%K -9.83%G +0.000%	1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -0.995%E -0.565%K -1.31%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-09-13 23:20
Betway🎯	2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -10.32%E -5.03%K -9.83%G +0.000%	1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -2.12%E -1.22%K -2.86%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-09-13 23:20
ReBet🎯	2.02I 49.50%NM 46.42%EV -11.63%E -5.76%K -11.40%G +0.000%	1.75I 57.14%NM 53.58%EV -1.56%E -0.890%K -2.08%G +0.000%	6.6%	2026-09-13 23:19
Bet Victor🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -12.51%E -6.25%K -12.51%G +0.000%	1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -1.56%E -0.890%K -2.08%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-09-13 23:20
betano_uk🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -12.51%E -6.25%K -12.51%G +0.000%	1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -1.56%E -0.890%K -2.08%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-09-13 23:20
LeoVegas🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -12.51%E -6.25%K -12.51%G +0.000%	1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -1.56%E -0.890%K -2.08%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-09-13 23:20
Winamax (FR)🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -12.51%E -6.25%K -12.51%G +0.000%	1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -2.12%E -1.22%K -2.86%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-09-13 23:20

利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (10)

博彩公司	主队	客队	利润率 ▲	更新时间
BetOpenly◎	2.30I 43.48%NM 43.49%	1.77I 56.50%NM 56.51%	-0.0%	2026-09-13 23:19
ProphetX◎	2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42%	1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58%	0.5%	2026-09-13 23:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎	2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%	1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%	0.7%	2026-09-13 23:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎	2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%	1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%	0.7%	2026-09-13 23:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎	2.26I 44.25%NM 43.78%	1.76I 56.82%NM 56.22%	1.1%	2026-09-13 23:20
Polymarket◎	2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%	1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%	1.2%	2026-09-13 23:20
Kalshi◎	2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%	1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%	1.2%	2026-09-13 19:15
Novig◎	2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%	1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%	1.2%	2026-09-13 23:20
Matchbook◎	2.26I 44.25%NM 43.64%	1.75I 57.14%NM 56.36%	1.4%	2026-09-13 23:20
Smarkets◎	2.24I 44.64%NM 43.58%	1.73I 57.80%NM 56.42%	2.4%	2026-09-13 23:00

San Francisco Giants v San Diego Padres

胜负盘

San Francisco Giants (主队)

San Diego Padres (客队)

博彩公司赔率 (66 家博彩公司)

博彩交易所 ? (10)

博彩交易所 (10)