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Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)
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San Francisco Giants v San Diego Padres

Início: 2026-09-13 23:21 UTC

Final: San Francisco Giants 4–6 San Diego Padres

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

66 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

San Francisco Giants (Local)

Previsão 43.75%2.29odd justa
EV +4.12%
Vantagem +1.73%
Kelly +2.98%
Crescimento +0.123%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.38

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
40.35%44.07%43.72%46.67%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.002.182.202.3850.00%45.78%45.45%42.02%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

San Diego Padres (Visitante)

Previsão 56.25%1.78odd justa
EV +0.130%
Vantagem +0.073%
Kelly +0.167%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.78

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
53.33%55.93%56.28%59.65%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.601.691.691.7862.50%59.04%59.00%56.18%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: San Francisco Giants (Local): 43.75%; San Diego Padres (Visitante): 56.25%. Para San Francisco Giants (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.29. 5 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 2.38, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +4.12%.

Odds das casas de apostas (66 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Svenska Spel🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV +4.12%E +1.73%K +2.98%G +0.123%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -9.43%E -5.86%K -15.46%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-13 23:20
Casumo🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV +2.81%E +1.19%K +2.08%G +0.058%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -9.43%E -5.86%K -15.46%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-13 23:20
Unibet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV +2.81%E +1.19%K +2.08%G +0.058%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -9.43%E -5.86%K -15.46%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-13 23:20
TABtouch🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV +2.81%E +1.19%K +2.08%G +0.058%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -10.00%E -6.25%K -16.66%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-13 23:20
GTbets🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV +0.618%E +0.269%K +0.476%G +0.003%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -3.81%E -2.23%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.0%2026-09-13 23:19
BetOnline.ag🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 42.96%EV -0.694%E -0.306%K -0.547%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.04%EV -3.81%E -2.23%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-13 23:15
LowVig.ag🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 42.96%EV -0.694%E -0.306%K -0.547%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.04%EV -3.81%E -2.23%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-13 23:20
Caesars🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 42.49%EV -1.13%E -0.501%K -0.898%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.51%EV -6.06%E -3.63%K -9.04%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-13 23:20
Everygame🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV -1.57%E -0.697%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -2.12%E -1.22%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.9%2026-09-13 22:09
theScore Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -1.57%E -0.697%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.93%E -2.92%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-13 22:35
Fliff🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -1.57%E -0.697%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -7.18%E -4.35%K -11.05%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-13 23:20
Pinnacle🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 43.72%EV -2.01%E -0.896%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.28%EV -2.12%E -1.22%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.1%2026-09-13 23:20
BetAnything🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 43.29%EV -2.01%E -0.896%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.71%EV -3.81%E -2.23%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-13 22:10
Unibet (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -2.44%E -1.10%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -5.50%E -3.27%K -8.08%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-13 23:05
Unibet (NL)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -2.44%E -1.10%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -5.50%E -3.27%K -8.08%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-13 23:05
BetRivers🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -2.44%E -1.10%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -5.50%E -3.27%K -8.08%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-13 23:05
ATG (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -2.44%E -1.10%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -6.06%E -3.63%K -9.04%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-13 23:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -2.44%E -1.10%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -6.06%E -3.63%K -9.04%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-13 23:20
Bally Bet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -2.44%E -1.10%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -6.06%E -3.63%K -9.04%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-13 23:20
betPARX🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -2.44%E -1.10%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -6.06%E -3.63%K -9.04%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-13 23:20
1xBet🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%EV -2.88%E -1.30%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%EV -1.56%E -0.890%K -2.08%G +0.000%2.2%2026-09-13 22:00
BetUS🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -2.88%E -1.30%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -2.12%E -1.22%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-13 23:00
Bovada🎯2.21I 45.25%NM 43.33%EV -3.32%E -1.50%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.67%EV -4.93%E -2.92%K -7.15%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-13 23:18
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.76%E -1.71%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.81%E -2.23%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-13 19:10
MyBookie.ag🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.76%E -1.71%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.81%E -2.23%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-13 19:45
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.76%E -1.71%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.81%E -2.23%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-13 21:49
FanDuel🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.76%E -1.71%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.37%E -2.57%K -6.24%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-13 19:15
Coral🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.76%E -1.71%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.37%E -2.57%K -6.24%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-13 19:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.76%E -1.71%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.37%E -2.57%K -6.24%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-13 19:10
Fanatics🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.76%E -1.71%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.93%E -2.92%K -7.15%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-13 19:10
Bet Right🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.76%E -1.71%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.50%E -3.27%K -8.08%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-13 23:20
Coolbet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.76%E -1.71%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.50%E -3.27%K -8.08%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-13 23:19
888sport🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.76%E -1.71%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.06%E -3.63%K -9.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-13 23:19
Betr (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.76%E -1.71%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.06%E -3.63%K -9.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-13 23:19
888sport (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.76%E -1.71%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.06%E -3.63%K -9.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-13 23:19
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.76%E -1.71%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.06%E -3.63%K -9.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-13 23:19
William Hill🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.76%E -1.71%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.06%E -3.63%K -9.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-13 20:20
Tipico (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -3.76%E -1.71%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.18%E -4.35%K -11.05%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-13 20:50
LiveScore Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -3.76%E -1.71%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -7.75%E -4.72%K -12.10%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-13 23:20
Virgin Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -3.76%E -1.71%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -7.75%E -4.72%K -12.10%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-13 23:20
BetMGM🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -4.63%E -2.12%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -4.93%E -2.92%K -7.15%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-13 23:10
SportsBet🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -5.51%E -2.55%K -4.75%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -4.37%E -2.57%K -6.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-13 19:15
TAB🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -5.94%E -2.76%K -5.17%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -1.56%E -0.890%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-13 21:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -5.94%E -2.76%K -5.17%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -1.56%E -0.890%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-13 20:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -5.94%E -2.76%K -5.17%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.24%E -1.89%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-13 23:10
Neds🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -5.94%E -2.76%K -5.17%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.24%E -1.89%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-13 23:10
betfred_uk🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.94%E -2.76%K -5.17%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.37%E -2.57%K -6.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-13 23:10
Marathon Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.94%E -2.76%K -5.17%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.37%E -2.57%K -6.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-13 22:00
Unibet (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.94%E -2.76%K -5.17%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.50%E -3.27%K -8.08%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-13 23:05
Dabble (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.94%E -2.76%K -5.17%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.50%E -3.27%K -8.08%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-13 23:19
Paddy Power🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.94%E -2.76%K -5.17%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.06%E -3.63%K -9.04%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-13 20:55
BoyleSports🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.94%E -2.76%K -5.17%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.06%E -3.63%K -9.04%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-13 21:00
Grosvenor🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -5.94%E -2.76%K -5.17%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.18%EV -9.43%E -5.86%K -15.46%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-13 23:20
Betsson🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -7.26%E -3.42%K -6.48%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.24%E -1.89%K -4.51%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-13 21:45
PlayUp🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -7.26%E -3.42%K -6.48%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.24%E -1.89%K -4.51%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-13 21:45
NordicBet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -7.26%E -3.42%K -6.48%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.24%E -1.89%K -4.51%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-13 21:45
DraftKings🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -8.13%E -3.87%K -7.39%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.37%E -2.57%K -6.24%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-13 23:20
Betclic (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -8.13%E -3.87%K -7.39%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -7.18%E -4.35%K -11.05%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-13 22:59
Unibet (UK)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -9.01%E -4.33%K -8.34%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV +0.130%E +0.073%K +0.167%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-13 23:20
Winamax (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -10.32%E -5.03%K -9.83%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -0.995%E -0.565%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-13 23:20
Betway🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -10.32%E -5.03%K -9.83%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -2.12%E -1.22%K -2.86%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-13 23:20
ReBet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.42%EV -11.63%E -5.76%K -11.40%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.58%EV -1.56%E -0.890%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-13 23:19
Bet Victor🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -12.51%E -6.25%K -12.51%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -1.56%E -0.890%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-13 23:20
betano_uk🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -12.51%E -6.25%K -12.51%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -1.56%E -0.890%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-13 23:20
LeoVegas🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -12.51%E -6.25%K -12.51%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -1.56%E -0.890%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-13 23:20
Winamax (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -12.51%E -6.25%K -12.51%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -2.12%E -1.22%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-13 23:20
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
BetOpenly◎2.30I 43.48%NM 43.49%1.77I 56.50%NM 56.51%-0.0%2026-09-13 23:19
ProphetX◎2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58%0.5%2026-09-13 23:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%0.7%2026-09-13 23:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%0.7%2026-09-13 23:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.26I 44.25%NM 43.78%1.76I 56.82%NM 56.22%1.1%2026-09-13 23:20
Polymarket◎2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%1.2%2026-09-13 23:20
Kalshi◎2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%1.2%2026-09-13 19:15
Novig◎2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%1.2%2026-09-13 23:20
Matchbook◎2.26I 44.25%NM 43.64%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.36%1.4%2026-09-13 23:20
Smarkets◎2.24I 44.64%NM 43.58%1.73I 57.80%NM 56.42%2.4%2026-09-13 23:00