L’École des cotes

San Francisco Giants v Philadelphia Phillies

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-08 01:46 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

59 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

San Francisco Giants (Local)

Prévision 42.14%2.37cote équitable
EV -0.969%
Avantage -0.412%
Kelly -0.718%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.35

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
40.36%42.06%42.07%42.89%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.152.272.252.3546.51%44.09%44.44%42.55%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Philadelphia Phillies (Visiteur)

Prévision 57.86%1.73cote équitable
EV -2.22%
Avantage -1.31%
Kelly -3.21%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.69

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
57.11%57.94%57.93%59.64%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.561.651.651.6964.10%60.67%60.61%59.17%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (59 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Svenska Spel2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -0.969%E -0.412%K -0.718%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -4.53%E -2.75%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-08 01:10
Unibet (UK)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -0.969%E -0.412%K -0.718%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -6.27%E -3.87%K -10.11%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-08 01:45
Fliff2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -0.969%E -0.412%K -0.718%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -8.00%E -5.03%K -13.57%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-08 00:15
1xBet2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%EV -1.81%E -0.778%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%EV -2.22%E -1.31%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-07 21:20
GTbets2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%EV -1.81%E -0.778%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%EV -2.22%E -1.31%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-08 01:30
Pinnacle2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%EV -1.81%E -0.778%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%EV -2.22%E -1.31%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-08 01:44
FanDuel2.32I 43.10%NM 41.41%EV -2.23%E -0.963%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.59%EV -5.11%E -3.12%K -7.99%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-06 18:35
BetOnline.ag2.31I 43.29%NM 42.25%EV -2.65%E -1.15%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.75%EV -2.22%E -1.31%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-08 01:30
LowVig.ag2.31I 43.29%NM 42.25%EV -2.65%E -1.15%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.75%EV -2.22%E -1.31%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-08 01:30
BetUS2.30I 43.48%NM 42.36%EV -3.08%E -1.34%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.64%EV -2.22%E -1.31%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-08 01:30
PointsBet (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.08%E -1.34%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.38%E -2.02%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-07 02:05
Caesars2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.08%E -1.34%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.53%E -2.75%K -6.97%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-06 20:34
Hard Rock Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.08%E -1.34%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.53%E -2.75%K -6.97%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-06 22:59
Coral2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.08%E -1.34%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.53%E -2.75%K -6.97%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-07 22:24
Ladbrokes (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.08%E -1.34%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.53%E -2.75%K -6.97%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-07 22:24
BetMGM2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.08%E -1.34%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.53%E -2.75%K -6.97%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-07 22:25
SportsBet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.08%E -1.34%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.27%E -3.87%K -10.11%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-07 13:50
William Hill2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.08%E -1.34%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.27%E -3.87%K -10.11%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-07 02:10
Betway2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -3.08%E -1.34%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.85%E -4.25%K -11.22%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-08 01:45
Winamax (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -3.08%E -1.34%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -7.43%E -4.64%K -12.38%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-08 01:44
Tipico (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -3.08%E -1.34%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -7.43%E -4.64%K -12.38%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-07 17:35
Bovada2.29I 43.67%NM 41.88%EV -3.50%E -1.53%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.12%EV -4.53%E -2.75%K -6.97%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-08 01:02
MyBookie.ag2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -3.92%E -1.72%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -3.95%E -2.38%K -5.99%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-08 01:39
Bet Right2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -3.92%E -1.72%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -5.11%E -3.12%K -7.99%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-08 01:30
Coolbet2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -4.34%E -1.91%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -5.11%E -3.12%K -7.99%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-08 01:29
theScore Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -5.18%E -2.30%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -2.22%E -1.31%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-08 01:29
TAB2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -5.18%E -2.30%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -2.80%E -1.66%K -4.11%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-08 01:40
ReBet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.18%E -2.30%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.38%E -2.02%K -5.04%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-08 01:34
Fanatics2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.18%E -2.30%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.38%E -2.02%K -5.04%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-08 01:35
888sport2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.18%E -2.30%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.53%E -2.75%K -6.97%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-08 01:30
PlayUp2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.18%E -2.30%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.53%E -2.75%K -6.97%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-08 01:39
888sport (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.18%E -2.30%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.53%E -2.75%K -6.97%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-08 01:30
Mr Green (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.18%E -2.30%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.53%E -2.75%K -6.97%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-08 01:30
Casumo2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.18%E -2.30%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.53%E -2.75%K -6.97%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-08 01:10
Unibet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.18%E -2.30%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.53%E -2.75%K -6.97%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-08 01:10
LeoVegas (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.18%E -2.30%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.53%E -2.75%K -6.97%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-08 01:10
Unibet (NL)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.18%E -2.30%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.53%E -2.75%K -6.97%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-08 01:30
Grosvenor2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.18%E -2.30%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.53%E -2.75%K -6.97%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-08 01:10
Unibet (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.18%E -2.30%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.53%E -2.75%K -6.97%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-08 01:30
LeoVegas2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.18%E -2.30%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.53%E -2.75%K -6.97%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-08 01:09
Bally Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.18%E -2.30%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.53%E -2.75%K -6.97%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-08 01:10
betPARX2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.18%E -2.30%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.53%E -2.75%K -6.97%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-08 01:10
Dabble (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.18%E -2.30%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.53%E -2.75%K -6.97%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-08 01:40
ATG (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.18%E -2.30%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.53%E -2.75%K -6.97%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-08 01:10
Betr (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.18%E -2.30%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.11%E -3.12%K -7.99%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-08 01:29
Neds2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.18%E -2.30%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.11%E -3.12%K -7.99%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-07 22:25
Ladbrokes (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.18%E -2.30%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.11%E -3.12%K -7.99%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-07 22:24
Paddy Power2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -5.18%E -2.30%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -7.43%E -4.64%K -12.38%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-07 23:19
Marathon Bet2.24I 44.64%NM 42.42%EV -5.60%E -2.50%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -4.53%E -2.75%K -6.97%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-08 01:40
DraftKings2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -6.03%E -2.70%K -4.90%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -3.38%E -2.02%K -5.04%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-08 01:25
BetRivers2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -6.03%E -2.70%K -4.90%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -4.53%E -2.75%K -6.97%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-08 01:30
LiveScore Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -6.03%E -2.70%K -4.90%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -4.53%E -2.75%K -6.97%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-08 01:29
TABtouch2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -6.03%E -2.70%K -4.90%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -4.53%E -2.75%K -6.97%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-08 01:30
Virgin Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -6.03%E -2.70%K -4.90%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -4.53%E -2.75%K -6.97%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-08 01:29
NordicBet2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -6.45%E -2.90%K -5.28%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -3.95%E -2.38%K -5.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-08 01:37
Betsson2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -6.45%E -2.90%K -5.28%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -3.95%E -2.38%K -5.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-08 01:39
Unibet (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -7.29%E -3.31%K -6.07%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -5.11%E -3.12%K -7.99%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-08 01:35
BoyleSports2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.29%E -3.31%K -6.07%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.27%E -3.87%K -10.11%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-08 01:32
Winamax (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.05%EV -9.40%E -4.37%K -8.17%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 57.95%EV -9.74%E -6.24%K -17.39%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-08 01:45
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly2.38I 42.02%NM 41.95%1.72I 58.14%NM 58.05%0.2%2026-04-08 01:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.38I 42.02%NM 41.67%1.70I 58.82%NM 58.33%0.8%2026-04-08 01:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.38I 42.02%NM 41.67%1.70I 58.82%NM 58.33%0.8%2026-04-08 01:20
Polymarket2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%1.2%2026-04-07 06:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.34I 42.74%NM 42.08%1.70I 58.82%NM 57.92%1.6%2026-04-08 01:45
Novig2.35I 42.55%NM 41.83%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.17%1.7%2026-04-08 01:45
Kalshi2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%2.1%2026-04-08 01:40
ProphetX2.32I 43.10%NM 42.14%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.86%2.3%2026-04-08 01:45
Smarkets2.34I 42.74%NM 41.65%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.35%2.6%2026-04-08 01:25
Matchbook2.24I 44.64%NM 43.29%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.71%3.1%2026-04-08 01:45