La escuela de los momios

San Francisco Giants v Philadelphia Phillies

Inicio: 2026-04-08 01:46 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

59 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

San Francisco Giants (Local)

Predicción 42.14%2.37momio equitativo
EV -0.969%
Ventaja -0.412%
Kelly -0.718%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.35

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
40.36%42.06%42.07%42.89%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.152.272.252.3546.51%44.09%44.44%42.55%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Philadelphia Phillies (Visitante)

Predicción 57.86%1.73momio equitativo
EV -2.22%
Ventaja -1.31%
Kelly -3.21%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.69

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
57.11%57.94%57.93%59.64%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.561.651.651.6964.10%60.67%60.61%59.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (59 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Svenska Spel2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -0.969%E -0.412%K -0.718%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -4.53%E -2.75%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-08 01:10
Unibet (UK)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -0.969%E -0.412%K -0.718%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -6.27%E -3.87%K -10.11%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-08 01:45
Fliff2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -0.969%E -0.412%K -0.718%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -8.00%E -5.03%K -13.57%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-08 00:15
1xBet2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%EV -1.81%E -0.778%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%EV -2.22%E -1.31%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-07 21:20
GTbets2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%EV -1.81%E -0.778%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%EV -2.22%E -1.31%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-08 01:30
Pinnacle2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%EV -1.81%E -0.778%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%EV -2.22%E -1.31%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-08 01:44
FanDuel2.32I 43.10%NM 41.41%EV -2.23%E -0.963%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.59%EV -5.11%E -3.12%K -7.99%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-06 18:35
BetOnline.ag2.31I 43.29%NM 42.25%EV -2.65%E -1.15%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.75%EV -2.22%E -1.31%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-08 01:30
LowVig.ag2.31I 43.29%NM 42.25%EV -2.65%E -1.15%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.75%EV -2.22%E -1.31%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-08 01:30
BetUS2.30I 43.48%NM 42.36%EV -3.08%E -1.34%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.64%EV -2.22%E -1.31%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-08 01:30
PointsBet (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.08%E -1.34%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.38%E -2.02%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-07 02:05
Caesars2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.08%E -1.34%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.53%E -2.75%K -6.97%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-06 20:34
Hard Rock Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.08%E -1.34%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.53%E -2.75%K -6.97%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-06 22:59
Coral2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.08%E -1.34%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.53%E -2.75%K -6.97%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-07 22:24
Ladbrokes (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.08%E -1.34%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.53%E -2.75%K -6.97%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-07 22:24
BetMGM2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.08%E -1.34%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.53%E -2.75%K -6.97%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-07 22:25
SportsBet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.08%E -1.34%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.27%E -3.87%K -10.11%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-07 13:50
William Hill2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.08%E -1.34%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.27%E -3.87%K -10.11%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-07 02:10
Betway2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -3.08%E -1.34%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.85%E -4.25%K -11.22%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-08 01:45
Winamax (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -3.08%E -1.34%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -7.43%E -4.64%K -12.38%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-08 01:44
Tipico (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -3.08%E -1.34%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -7.43%E -4.64%K -12.38%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-07 17:35
Bovada2.29I 43.67%NM 41.88%EV -3.50%E -1.53%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.12%EV -4.53%E -2.75%K -6.97%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-08 01:02
MyBookie.ag2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -3.92%E -1.72%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -3.95%E -2.38%K -5.99%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-08 01:39
Bet Right2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -3.92%E -1.72%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -5.11%E -3.12%K -7.99%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-08 01:30
Coolbet2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -4.34%E -1.91%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -5.11%E -3.12%K -7.99%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-08 01:29
theScore Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -5.18%E -2.30%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -2.22%E -1.31%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-08 01:29
TAB2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -5.18%E -2.30%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -2.80%E -1.66%K -4.11%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-08 01:40
ReBet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.18%E -2.30%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.38%E -2.02%K -5.04%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-08 01:34
Fanatics2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.18%E -2.30%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.38%E -2.02%K -5.04%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-08 01:35
888sport2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.18%E -2.30%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.53%E -2.75%K -6.97%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-08 01:30
PlayUp2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.18%E -2.30%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.53%E -2.75%K -6.97%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-08 01:39
888sport (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.18%E -2.30%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.53%E -2.75%K -6.97%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-08 01:30
Mr Green (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.18%E -2.30%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.53%E -2.75%K -6.97%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-08 01:30
Casumo2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.18%E -2.30%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.53%E -2.75%K -6.97%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-08 01:10
Unibet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.18%E -2.30%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.53%E -2.75%K -6.97%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-08 01:10
LeoVegas (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.18%E -2.30%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.53%E -2.75%K -6.97%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-08 01:10
Unibet (NL)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.18%E -2.30%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.53%E -2.75%K -6.97%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-08 01:30
Grosvenor2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.18%E -2.30%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.53%E -2.75%K -6.97%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-08 01:10
Unibet (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.18%E -2.30%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.53%E -2.75%K -6.97%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-08 01:30
LeoVegas2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.18%E -2.30%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.53%E -2.75%K -6.97%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-08 01:09
Bally Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.18%E -2.30%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.53%E -2.75%K -6.97%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-08 01:10
betPARX2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.18%E -2.30%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.53%E -2.75%K -6.97%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-08 01:10
Dabble (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.18%E -2.30%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.53%E -2.75%K -6.97%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-08 01:40
ATG (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.18%E -2.30%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.53%E -2.75%K -6.97%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-08 01:10
Betr (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.18%E -2.30%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.11%E -3.12%K -7.99%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-08 01:29
Neds2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.18%E -2.30%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.11%E -3.12%K -7.99%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-07 22:25
Ladbrokes (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.18%E -2.30%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.11%E -3.12%K -7.99%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-07 22:24
Paddy Power2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -5.18%E -2.30%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -7.43%E -4.64%K -12.38%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-07 23:19
Marathon Bet2.24I 44.64%NM 42.42%EV -5.60%E -2.50%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -4.53%E -2.75%K -6.97%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-08 01:40
DraftKings2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -6.03%E -2.70%K -4.90%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -3.38%E -2.02%K -5.04%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-08 01:25
BetRivers2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -6.03%E -2.70%K -4.90%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -4.53%E -2.75%K -6.97%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-08 01:30
LiveScore Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -6.03%E -2.70%K -4.90%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -4.53%E -2.75%K -6.97%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-08 01:29
TABtouch2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -6.03%E -2.70%K -4.90%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -4.53%E -2.75%K -6.97%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-08 01:30
Virgin Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -6.03%E -2.70%K -4.90%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -4.53%E -2.75%K -6.97%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-08 01:29
NordicBet2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -6.45%E -2.90%K -5.28%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -3.95%E -2.38%K -5.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-08 01:37
Betsson2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -6.45%E -2.90%K -5.28%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -3.95%E -2.38%K -5.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-08 01:39
Unibet (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -7.29%E -3.31%K -6.07%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -5.11%E -3.12%K -7.99%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-08 01:35
BoyleSports2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.29%E -3.31%K -6.07%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.27%E -3.87%K -10.11%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-08 01:32
Winamax (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.05%EV -9.40%E -4.37%K -8.17%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 57.95%EV -9.74%E -6.24%K -17.39%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-08 01:45
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly2.38I 42.02%NM 41.95%1.72I 58.14%NM 58.05%0.2%2026-04-08 01:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.38I 42.02%NM 41.67%1.70I 58.82%NM 58.33%0.8%2026-04-08 01:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.38I 42.02%NM 41.67%1.70I 58.82%NM 58.33%0.8%2026-04-08 01:20
Polymarket2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%1.2%2026-04-07 06:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.34I 42.74%NM 42.08%1.70I 58.82%NM 57.92%1.6%2026-04-08 01:45
Novig2.35I 42.55%NM 41.83%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.17%1.7%2026-04-08 01:45
Kalshi2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%2.1%2026-04-08 01:40
ProphetX2.32I 43.10%NM 42.14%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.86%2.3%2026-04-08 01:45
Smarkets2.34I 42.74%NM 41.65%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.35%2.6%2026-04-08 01:25
Matchbook2.24I 44.64%NM 43.29%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.71%3.1%2026-04-08 01:45