Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

San Francisco Giants v New York Yankees

Kickoff: 2026-03-26 00:27 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

47 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

San Francisco Giants (Local)

Prediction 47.49%2.11fair odd
EV -0.261%
Edge -0.124%
Kelly -0.237%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.74%47.65%47.47%49.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.822.001.982.1054.95%50.12%50.51%47.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

New York Yankees (Visit)

Prediction 52.51%1.90fair odd
EV -1.29%
Edge -0.686%
Kelly -1.47%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.88

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.28%52.35%52.53%54.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.751.811.801.8857.14%55.15%55.56%53.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: San Francisco Giants (Local): 47.49%; New York Yankees (Visit): 52.51%. For San Francisco Giants (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.11. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.10, with an expected value of -0.261%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (47 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetMGM🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -0.261%E -0.124%K -0.237%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -3.92%E -2.14%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.3%2026-03-26 00:24
Caesars🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -0.261%E -0.124%K -0.237%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -7.07%E -3.99%K -9.18%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-26 00:25
BetAnything🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 46.82%EV -0.736%E -0.352%K -0.675%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 53.18%EV -3.39%E -1.84%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.2%2026-03-26 00:23
BetUS🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%EV -1.21%E -0.582%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%EV -2.87%E -1.55%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.1%2026-03-26 00:21
Pinnacle🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 47.33%EV -1.69%E -0.814%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 52.67%EV -2.34%E -1.26%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.1%2026-03-26 00:18
LowVig.ag🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 47.31%EV -2.16%E -1.05%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.69%EV -2.87%E -1.55%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.6%2026-03-26 00:24
BetOnline.ag🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 47.31%EV -2.16%E -1.05%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.69%EV -2.87%E -1.55%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.6%2026-03-26 00:25
Coral🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.64%E -1.29%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.49%E -3.05%K -6.86%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-26 00:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.64%E -1.29%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.49%E -3.05%K -6.86%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-26 00:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.64%E -1.29%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.49%E -3.05%K -6.86%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-26 00:25
TAB🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.64%E -1.29%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.49%E -3.05%K -6.86%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-26 00:25
Bet Victor🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.64%E -1.29%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.49%E -3.05%K -6.86%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-26 00:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -2.64%E -1.29%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -6.54%E -3.67%K -8.39%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-26 00:24
Neds🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -2.64%E -1.29%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -6.54%E -3.67%K -8.39%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-26 00:25
Tipico (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -2.64%E -1.29%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -8.12%E -4.64%K -10.82%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-26 00:25
Bovada🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 47.01%EV -3.11%E -1.52%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.99%EV -4.97%E -2.74%K -6.13%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-26 00:14
DraftKings🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -3.11%E -1.52%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -6.02%E -3.36%K -7.61%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-26 00:24
SportsBet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.06%E -2.01%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.49%E -3.05%K -6.86%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-26 00:18
Dabble (AU)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.06%E -2.01%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.49%E -3.05%K -6.86%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-26 00:25
PlayUp🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.06%E -2.01%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.49%E -3.05%K -6.86%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-26 00:25
Paddy Power🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.01%E -2.51%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.92%E -2.14%K -4.72%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-26 00:25
William Hill🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.01%E -2.51%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.49%E -3.05%K -6.86%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-26 00:25
NordicBet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.96%E -3.01%K -6.08%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -3.92%E -2.14%K -4.72%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-26 00:25
Betsson🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.96%E -3.01%K -6.08%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -3.92%E -2.14%K -4.72%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-26 00:25
GTbets🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.96%E -3.01%K -6.08%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -3.92%E -2.14%K -4.72%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-26 00:25
FanDuel🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -5.96%E -3.01%K -6.08%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -5.49%E -3.05%K -6.86%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-26 00:25
BetRivers🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -6.44%E -3.27%K -6.63%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -3.92%E -2.14%K -4.72%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-26 00:25
TABtouch🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -6.44%E -3.27%K -6.63%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -3.92%E -2.14%K -4.72%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-26 00:25
Unibet (SE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -6.44%E -3.27%K -6.63%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -4.44%E -2.44%K -5.42%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-26 00:25
Unibet (NL)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -6.44%E -3.27%K -6.63%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -4.44%E -2.44%K -5.42%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-26 00:25
Casumo🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -6.44%E -3.27%K -6.63%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -4.44%E -2.44%K -5.42%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-26 00:25
Unibet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -6.44%E -3.27%K -6.63%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -4.44%E -2.44%K -5.42%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-26 00:25
betPARX🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -6.44%E -3.27%K -6.63%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -4.44%E -2.44%K -5.42%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-26 00:25
Coolbet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -7.39%E -3.79%K -7.77%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -2.87%E -1.55%K -3.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-26 00:25
Fanatics🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.39%E -3.79%K -7.77%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.49%E -3.05%K -6.86%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-26 00:25
Virgin Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.39%E -3.79%K -7.77%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.49%E -3.05%K -6.86%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-26 00:25
LiveScore Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.39%E -3.79%K -7.77%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.49%E -3.05%K -6.86%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-26 00:25
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.39%E -3.79%K -7.77%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.49%E -3.05%K -6.86%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-26 00:25
Winamax (DE)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.68%EV -7.86%E -4.05%K -8.36%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.32%EV -3.39%E -1.84%K -4.04%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-26 00:25
Grosvenor🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.13%EV -7.86%E -4.05%K -8.36%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.87%EV -5.49%E -3.05%K -6.86%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-26 00:25
Bally Bet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.13%EV -7.86%E -4.05%K -8.36%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.87%EV -5.49%E -3.05%K -6.86%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-26 00:25
Unibet (UK)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -8.81%E -4.59%K -9.58%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -1.29%E -0.686%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-26 00:25
LeoVegas🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.11%EV -8.81%E -4.59%K -9.58%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.89%EV -6.54%E -3.67%K -8.39%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-26 00:25
Betway🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -9.29%E -4.86%K -10.20%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -1.82%E -0.971%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-26 00:25
Fliff🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -9.29%E -4.86%K -10.20%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -5.49%E -3.05%K -6.86%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-26 00:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.96%EV -9.29%E -4.86%K -10.20%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.04%EV -7.59%E -4.31%K -9.99%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-26 00:25
Winamax (FR)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 49.72%EV -13.56%E -7.45%K -16.54%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.28%EV -5.49%E -3.05%K -6.86%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-26 00:25
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (8)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig2.15I 46.51%NM 46.52%1.87I 53.48%NM 53.48%-0.0%2026-03-26 00:24
Polymarket2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%1.1%2026-03-26 00:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.02I 49.50%NM 48.73%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.27%1.6%2026-03-26 00:25
Kalshi2.04I 49.02%NM 48.09%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.91%1.9%2026-03-26 00:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.06I 48.54%NM 47.58%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.42%2.0%2026-03-26 00:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.06I 48.54%NM 47.58%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.42%2.0%2026-03-26 00:25
Smarkets1.93I 51.81%NM 47.41%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.59%9.3%2026-03-26 00:20
Matchbook1.88I 53.19%NM 47.63%1.71I 58.48%NM 52.37%11.7%2026-03-26 00:25