Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

San Francisco Giants v New York Mets

Kickoff: 2026-04-03 01:45 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

57 sportsbooks (19 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

San Francisco Giants (Local)

Prediction 47.33%2.11fair odd
EV -2.49%
Edge -1.21%
Kelly -2.35%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.06

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.05%47.29%47.37%48.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.952.022.042.0651.28%49.45%49.02%48.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

New York Mets (Visit)

Prediction 52.67%1.90fair odd
EV -0.989%
Edge -0.526%
Kelly -1.12%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.88

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.95%52.71%52.63%53.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.751.811.801.8857.14%55.18%55.56%53.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: San Francisco Giants (Local): 47.33%; New York Mets (Visit): 52.67%. For New York Mets (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.90. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.88, with an expected value of -0.989%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (57 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 47.72%EV -2.49%E -1.21%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.28%EV -0.989%E -0.526%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.7%2026-04-03 01:30
FanDuel🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.77%EV -2.49%E -1.21%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.23%EV -4.68%E -2.58%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-02 08:50
1xBet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 47.84%EV -2.96%E -1.45%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.16%EV -0.989%E -0.526%K -1.12%G +0.000%2.0%2026-04-03 01:05
GTbets🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -2.96%E -1.45%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -1.52%E -0.811%K -1.74%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-02 22:45
BetUS🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -2.96%E -1.45%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -1.52%E -0.811%K -1.74%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-02 22:50
ReBet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 47.16%EV -2.96%E -1.45%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.84%EV -3.62%E -1.98%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-02 23:25
Unibet (NL)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.89%EV -2.96%E -1.45%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.11%EV -4.68%E -2.58%K -5.77%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-02 22:55
Unibet (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.89%EV -2.96%E -1.45%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.11%EV -4.68%E -2.58%K -5.77%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-02 22:59
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.96%E -1.45%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.20%E -2.89%K -6.50%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-02 12:49
theScore Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.96%E -1.45%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.20%E -2.89%K -6.50%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-02 03:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.96%E -1.45%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.20%E -2.89%K -6.50%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-02 21:34
Betway🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.96%E -1.45%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.20%E -2.89%K -6.50%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-02 03:00
Fliff🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -2.96%E -1.45%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -6.78%E -3.83%K -8.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-03 01:40
Tipico (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -2.96%E -1.45%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.84%E -4.48%K -10.45%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-02 06:45
BetOnline.ag🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%EV -3.44%E -1.68%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%EV -1.52%E -0.811%K -1.74%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-02 22:45
LowVig.ag🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%EV -3.44%E -1.68%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%EV -1.52%E -0.811%K -1.74%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-02 22:45
Unibet (UK)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 47.29%EV -3.44%E -1.68%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.71%EV -3.62%E -1.98%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-02 23:50
MyBookie.ag🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 47.15%EV -3.44%E -1.68%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.85%EV -4.15%E -2.28%K -5.06%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-02 23:33
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -3.44%E -1.68%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -5.73%E -3.20%K -7.25%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-02 22:59
LeoVegas🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -3.44%E -1.68%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -5.73%E -3.20%K -7.25%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-02 22:59
Unibet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -3.44%E -1.68%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -5.73%E -3.20%K -7.25%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-02 23:00
Casumo🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -3.44%E -1.68%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -5.73%E -3.20%K -7.25%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-02 23:00
Grosvenor🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -3.44%E -1.68%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -5.73%E -3.20%K -7.25%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-02 23:00
betPARX🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -3.44%E -1.68%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -5.73%E -3.20%K -7.25%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-02 23:00
Bally Bet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -3.44%E -1.68%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -5.73%E -3.20%K -7.25%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-02 23:00
BetRivers🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -3.44%E -1.68%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -6.26%E -3.51%K -8.02%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-02 23:00
LiveScore Bet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -3.44%E -1.68%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -6.26%E -3.51%K -8.02%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-02 22:59
Virgin Bet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -3.44%E -1.68%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -6.26%E -3.51%K -8.02%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-02 23:00
TABtouch🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -3.44%E -1.68%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -6.26%E -3.51%K -8.02%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-02 23:00
Bet Right🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 47.00%EV -3.91%E -1.93%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.00%EV -5.20%E -2.89%K -6.50%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-03 01:25
SportsBet🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 46.86%EV -3.91%E -1.93%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.14%EV -5.73%E -3.20%K -7.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-02 13:49
DraftKings🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -4.38%E -2.17%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -4.15%E -2.28%K -5.06%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-02 23:25
Coolbet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.38%E -2.17%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.20%E -2.89%K -6.50%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-02 03:20
TAB🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -5.33%E -2.67%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -2.57%E -1.39%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-03 00:44
Caesars🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.33%E -2.67%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.62%E -1.98%K -4.36%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-03 01:00
Fanatics🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.33%E -2.67%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.62%E -1.98%K -4.36%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-03 00:55
BetMGM🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.33%E -2.67%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.62%E -1.98%K -4.36%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-02 14:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.33%E -2.67%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.62%E -1.98%K -4.36%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-02 14:34
Coral🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.33%E -2.67%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.62%E -1.98%K -4.36%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-02 14:35
Bovada🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.33%E -2.67%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.62%E -1.98%K -4.36%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-03 01:35
PlayUp🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.33%E -2.67%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.15%E -2.28%K -5.06%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-03 01:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.33%E -2.67%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.15%E -2.28%K -5.06%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-02 14:35
Neds🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.33%E -2.67%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.15%E -2.28%K -5.06%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-02 14:34
888sport🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.33%E -2.67%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.20%E -2.89%K -6.50%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-03 01:00
Betr (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.33%E -2.67%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.20%E -2.89%K -6.50%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-02 03:20
888sport (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.33%E -2.67%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.20%E -2.89%K -6.50%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-03 00:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.33%E -2.67%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.20%E -2.89%K -6.50%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-03 01:00
Winamax (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.33%E -2.67%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.20%E -2.89%K -6.50%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-02 23:30
William Hill🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.33%E -2.67%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.20%E -2.89%K -6.50%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-01 17:53
BoyleSports🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.33%E -2.67%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.20%E -2.89%K -6.50%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-02 03:55
Unibet (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.23%EV -5.33%E -2.67%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.77%EV -5.73%E -3.20%K -7.25%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-03 01:35
NordicBet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -6.28%E -3.17%K -6.41%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -3.62%E -1.98%K -4.36%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-03 00:45
Betsson🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -6.28%E -3.17%K -6.41%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -3.62%E -1.98%K -4.36%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-03 00:44
Marathon Bet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -6.28%E -3.17%K -6.41%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -3.62%E -1.98%K -4.36%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-03 01:39
Dabble (AU)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -6.28%E -3.17%K -6.41%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -4.15%E -2.28%K -5.06%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-03 01:35
Winamax (FR)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.34%EV -6.28%E -3.17%K -6.41%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.66%EV -6.26%E -3.51%K -8.02%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-02 23:25
Paddy Power🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.70%E -3.95%K -8.10%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.20%E -2.89%K -6.50%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-02 23:19
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly2.09I 47.85%NM 47.88%1.92I 52.08%NM 52.12%-0.1%2026-04-03 01:40
ProphetX2.07I 48.31%NM 47.99%1.91I 52.36%NM 52.01%0.7%2026-04-03 01:40
Matchbook2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74%1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26%0.7%2026-04-03 01:40
Novig2.09I 47.85%NM 47.49%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.51%0.8%2026-04-03 01:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.06I 48.54%NM 48.11%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.89%0.9%2026-04-03 01:35
Polymarket2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%1.0%2026-04-03 00:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.06I 48.54%NM 47.85%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.15%1.5%2026-04-03 01:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.06I 48.54%NM 47.85%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.15%1.5%2026-04-03 01:40
Smarkets2.06I 48.54%NM 47.72%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.28%1.7%2026-04-03 01:35
Kalshi2.04I 49.02%NM 48.09%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.91%1.9%2026-04-03 01:40