Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

San Francisco Giants v Minnesota Twins

Kickoff: 2026-09-23 01:46 UTC

Final: San Francisco Giants 2–3 Minnesota Twins

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

61 sportsbooks (19 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

San Francisco Giants (Local)

Prediction 43.68%2.29fair odd
EV +0.472%
Edge +0.205%
Kelly +0.363%
Growth +0.002%

assuming max odds 2.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.49%43.94%43.59%46.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.202.202.3048.78%45.54%45.45%43.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Minnesota Twins (Visit)

Prediction 56.32%1.78fair odd
EV +0.244%
Edge +0.137%
Kelly +0.312%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 1.78

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.95%56.06%56.41%58.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.561.691.691.7864.10%59.33%59.17%56.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: San Francisco Giants (Local): 43.68%; Minnesota Twins (Visit): 56.32%. For San Francisco Giants (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.29. 10 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.30, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.472%.

Sportsbook Odds (61 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetRivers🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV +0.472%E +0.205%K +0.363%G +0.002%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -7.64%E -4.66%K -11.94%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-23 01:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV +0.472%E +0.205%K +0.363%G +0.002%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -7.64%E -4.66%K -11.94%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-23 01:25
Unibet (NL)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV +0.472%E +0.205%K +0.363%G +0.002%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -7.64%E -4.66%K -11.94%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-23 01:25
Casumo🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV +0.472%E +0.205%K +0.363%G +0.002%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -7.64%E -4.66%K -11.94%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-23 01:25
Unibet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV +0.472%E +0.205%K +0.363%G +0.002%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -7.64%E -4.66%K -11.94%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-23 01:25
Unibet (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV +0.472%E +0.205%K +0.363%G +0.002%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -7.64%E -4.66%K -11.94%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-23 01:25
Svenska Spel🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV +0.472%E +0.205%K +0.363%G +0.002%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -7.64%E -4.66%K -11.94%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-23 01:25
Bally Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV +0.472%E +0.205%K +0.363%G +0.002%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -7.64%E -4.66%K -11.94%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-23 01:25
betPARX🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV +0.472%E +0.205%K +0.363%G +0.002%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -7.64%E -4.66%K -11.94%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-23 01:25
ATG (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV +0.472%E +0.205%K +0.363%G +0.002%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -7.64%E -4.66%K -11.94%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-23 01:25
Pinnacle🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00%EV -0.402%E -0.176%K -0.314%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00%EV -3.14%E -1.82%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.0%2026-09-23 01:45
TABtouch🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -0.402%E -0.176%K -0.314%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -8.20%E -5.03%K -13.02%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-23 01:25
LowVig.ag🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 43.22%EV -1.28%E -0.564%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.78%EV -3.14%E -1.82%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-23 01:45
BetOnline.ag🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 43.22%EV -1.28%E -0.564%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.78%EV -3.14%E -1.82%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-23 01:45
BetUS🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 43.07%EV -1.28%E -0.564%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.93%EV -3.70%E -2.16%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.7%2026-09-23 01:39
BetAnything🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 43.18%EV -1.71%E -0.761%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.82%EV -3.70%E -2.16%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.9%2026-09-23 01:45
LiveScore Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -1.71%E -0.761%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -9.33%E -5.80%K -15.30%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-23 01:25
Virgin Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -1.71%E -0.761%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -9.33%E -5.80%K -15.30%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-23 01:25
Everygame🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 43.86%EV -2.15%E -0.959%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.14%EV -1.45%E -0.826%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.8%2026-09-23 01:31
GTbets🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 42.56%EV -2.15%E -0.959%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.44%EV -6.51%E -3.92%K -9.87%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-23 01:45
Bovada🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -2.59%E -1.16%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -5.39%E -3.21%K -7.92%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-23 01:43
MyBookie.ag🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%EV -3.02%E -1.36%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63%EV -4.26%E -2.51%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-23 01:43
Caesars🎯2.21I 45.25%NM 43.62%EV -3.46%E -1.57%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.38%EV -3.70%E -2.16%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-23 01:41
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.90%E -1.77%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.70%E -2.16%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-23 01:35
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.90%E -1.77%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.70%E -2.16%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-23 01:44
FanDuel🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.90%E -1.77%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.26%E -2.51%K -6.09%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-23 01:35
TAB🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.90%E -1.77%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.26%E -2.51%K -6.09%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-23 01:34
Fliff🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.90%E -1.77%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.82%E -2.85%K -6.99%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-23 01:25
Fanatics🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.90%E -1.77%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.82%E -2.85%K -6.99%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-23 01:35
Bet Right🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.90%E -1.77%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.39%E -3.21%K -7.92%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-23 01:45
Coolbet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.90%E -1.77%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.39%E -3.21%K -7.92%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-23 01:43
888sport🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.90%E -1.77%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.95%E -3.56%K -8.88%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-23 01:44
Betr (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.90%E -1.77%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.95%E -3.56%K -8.88%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-23 01:44
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.90%E -1.77%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.95%E -3.56%K -8.88%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-23 01:44
888sport (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.90%E -1.77%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.95%E -3.56%K -8.88%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-23 01:44
Tipico (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -3.90%E -1.77%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.08%E -4.29%K -10.89%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-23 01:40
Grosvenor🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -3.90%E -1.77%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.51%EV -12.15%E -7.79%K -21.69%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-23 01:25
1xBet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95%EV -4.77%E -2.19%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05%EV +0.244%E +0.137%K +0.312%G +0.001%2.1%2026-09-23 00:40
BetMGM🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -4.77%E -2.19%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -3.70%E -2.16%K -5.21%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-23 01:35
NordicBet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.77%E -2.19%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.39%E -3.21%K -7.92%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-23 01:40
Betsson🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.77%E -2.19%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.39%E -3.21%K -7.92%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-23 01:40
DraftKings🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.19%EV -5.21%E -2.40%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.81%EV -7.08%E -4.29%K -10.89%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-23 01:45
SportsBet🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -5.64%E -2.61%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -4.26%E -2.51%K -6.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-23 01:34
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -6.08%E -2.83%K -5.29%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.14%E -1.82%K -4.35%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-23 01:35
Neds🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -6.08%E -2.83%K -5.29%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.14%E -1.82%K -4.35%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-23 01:35
betfred_uk🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.08%E -2.83%K -5.29%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.26%E -2.51%K -6.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-23 01:30
PlayUp🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.08%E -2.83%K -5.29%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.26%E -2.51%K -6.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-23 01:35
Coral🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.08%E -2.83%K -5.29%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.26%E -2.51%K -6.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-23 01:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.08%E -2.83%K -5.29%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.26%E -2.51%K -6.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-23 01:35
Paddy Power🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.08%E -2.83%K -5.29%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.95%E -3.56%K -8.88%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-23 01:25
Marathon Bet🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -7.83%E -3.71%K -7.05%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -2.57%E -1.49%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-22 19:14
Betclic (FR)🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 43.88%EV -7.83%E -3.71%K -7.05%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.12%EV -7.08%E -4.29%K -10.89%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-23 01:39
Unibet (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -8.26%E -3.94%K -7.51%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV +0.244%E +0.137%K +0.312%G +0.001%3.8%2026-09-23 01:44
William Hill🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -8.26%E -3.94%K -7.51%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.57%E -1.49%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-22 18:00
Dabble (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -8.26%E -3.94%K -7.51%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -3.14%E -1.82%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-22 22:48
Bet Victor🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -10.45%E -5.10%K -9.95%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -1.45%E -0.826%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-23 01:30
betano_uk🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -10.45%E -5.10%K -9.95%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -1.45%E -0.826%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-23 01:34
Winamax (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -10.45%E -5.10%K -9.95%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -2.01%E -1.15%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-23 01:45
Winamax (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -10.45%E -5.10%K -9.95%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -2.01%E -1.15%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-23 01:45
Betway🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -10.45%E -5.10%K -9.95%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -2.01%E -1.15%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-23 01:44
Unibet (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.84%EV -10.45%E -5.10%K -9.95%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 56.16%EV -9.89%E -6.18%K -16.49%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-23 01:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (9)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
ProphetX◎2.30I 43.48%NM 43.35%1.76I 56.82%NM 56.65%0.3%2026-09-23 01:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.30I 43.48%NM 43.35%1.76I 56.82%NM 56.65%0.3%2026-09-23 01:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.30I 43.48%NM 43.35%1.76I 56.82%NM 56.65%0.3%2026-09-23 01:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%0.7%2026-09-23 01:45
Kalshi◎2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%1.2%2026-09-23 01:25
Polymarket◎2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%1.2%2026-09-23 01:45
BetOpenly◎2.34I 42.74%NM 42.22%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.78%1.2%2026-09-23 01:44
Smarkets◎2.26I 44.25%NM 43.36%1.73I 57.80%NM 56.64%2.1%2026-09-23 01:45
Matchbook◎2.26I 44.25%NM 43.22%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.78%2.4%2026-09-23 01:45