Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

San Francisco Giants v Minnesota Twins

2026-09-23 01:46 UTC — MLB

Head to Head

26 sportsbooks (10 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

San Francisco Giants (Local)

Prediction 45.61%2.19fair odd
EV -1.03%
Edge -0.476%
Kelly -0.884%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.17

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.73%45.50%45.68%46.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.942.092.102.1751.55%47.90%47.62%46.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Minnesota Twins (Visit)

Prediction 54.39%1.84fair odd
EV -2.09%
Edge -1.16%
Kelly -2.61%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.66%54.50%54.32%55.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.651.741.741.8060.61%57.38%57.47%55.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: San Francisco Giants (Local): 45.61%; Minnesota Twins (Visit): 54.39%. For San Francisco Giants (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.19. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.17, with an expected value of -1.03%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (26 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%EV -1.03%E -0.476%K -0.884%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%EV -2.64%E -1.47%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.9%2026-09-21 17:59
GTbets🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -1.95%E -0.905%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -2.09%E -1.16%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.1%2026-09-21 18:09
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -1.95%E -0.905%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.36%E -3.08%K -7.24%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-21 17:49
FanDuel🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -2.40%E -1.12%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -4.81%E -2.75%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-21 17:44
LowVig.ag🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 45.80%EV -2.86%E -1.34%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.20%EV -2.09%E -1.16%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-21 18:04
BetOnline.ag🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 45.80%EV -2.86%E -1.34%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.20%EV -2.09%E -1.16%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-21 18:04
Bovada🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 44.96%EV -2.86%E -1.34%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.04%EV -5.36%E -3.08%K -7.24%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-21 17:54
Fanatics🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.23%E -2.01%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.72%E -2.10%K -4.84%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-21 18:09
Bet Right🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.23%E -2.01%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.81%E -2.75%K -6.42%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-21 18:49
Fliff🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.23%E -2.01%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.36%E -3.08%K -7.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-21 17:54
Paddy Power🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.23%E -2.01%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.90%E -3.41%K -8.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-21 17:48
888sport🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.23%E -2.01%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.90%E -3.41%K -8.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-21 17:54
Betr (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.23%E -2.01%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.90%E -3.41%K -8.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-21 17:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.23%E -2.01%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.90%E -3.41%K -8.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-21 17:54
888sport (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.23%E -2.01%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.90%E -3.41%K -8.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-21 17:54
SportsBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -4.23%E -2.01%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -6.44%E -3.75%K -8.95%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-21 17:49
DraftKings🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -5.14%E -2.47%K -4.76%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -4.27%E -2.42%K -5.62%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-21 18:44
Unibet (UK)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.14%E -2.47%K -4.76%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.81%E -2.75%K -6.42%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-21 18:44
PlayUp🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.14%E -2.47%K -4.76%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.81%E -2.75%K -6.42%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-21 18:09
Betclic (FR)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.67%EV -5.59%E -2.70%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.33%EV -5.36%E -3.08%K -7.24%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-21 18:44
betfred_uk🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.51%E -3.17%K -6.20%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.72%E -2.10%K -4.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-21 18:44
Winamax (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.51%E -3.17%K -6.20%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.36%E -3.08%K -7.24%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-21 18:54
Bet Victor🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.51%E -3.17%K -6.20%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -5.90%E -3.41%K -8.08%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-21 18:48
ReBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -8.79%E -4.39%K -8.79%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -6.99%E -4.09%K -9.84%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-21 18:44
Winamax (FR)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 45.60%EV -9.70%E -4.90%K -9.90%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 54.40%EV -9.71%E -5.85%K -14.71%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-21 18:54
Unibet (FR)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 45.96%EV -11.52%E -5.94%K -12.26%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 54.04%EV -10.25%E -6.21%K -15.77%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-21 18:44
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%0.9%2026-09-21 18:54
Polymarket2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%0.9%2026-09-21 17:49
Smarkets1.98I 50.51%NM 45.90%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.10%10.0%2026-09-21 18:44