Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

San Francisco Giants v Detroit Tigers

Kickoff: 2026-08-08 02:16 UTC

Final: San Francisco Giants 5–2 Detroit Tigers

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

61 sportsbooks (20 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

San Francisco Giants (Local)

Prediction 42.72%2.34fair odd
EV +1.24%
Edge +0.522%
Kelly +0.903%
Growth +0.011%

assuming max odds 2.37

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.45%42.87%42.71%44.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.232.222.3747.62%44.91%45.05%42.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Detroit Tigers (Visit)

Prediction 57.28%1.75fair odd
EV -0.899%
Edge -0.520%
Kelly -1.23%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.73

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.12%57.13%57.29%59.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.551.671.681.7364.52%59.70%59.52%57.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: San Francisco Giants (Local): 42.72%; Detroit Tigers (Visit): 57.28%. For San Francisco Giants (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.34. 8 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.37, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.24%.

Sportsbook Odds (61 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
GTbets🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 41.34%EV +1.24%E +0.522%K +0.903%G +0.011%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.66%EV -4.34%E -2.60%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-08 02:15
BetUS🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 41.04%EV +1.24%E +0.522%K +0.903%G +0.011%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.96%EV -5.48%E -3.32%K -8.43%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-08 02:10
Coral🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV +1.24%E +0.522%K +0.903%G +0.011%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -7.77%E -4.83%K -12.74%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-08 02:14
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV +1.24%E +0.522%K +0.903%G +0.011%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -7.77%E -4.83%K -12.74%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-08 02:14
BetOnline.ag🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 41.44%EV +0.811%E +0.343%K +0.596%G +0.005%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.56%EV -4.34%E -2.60%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-08 02:15
BetAnything🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 41.15%EV +0.811%E +0.343%K +0.596%G +0.005%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.85%EV -5.48%E -3.32%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-08 02:15
Caesars🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 41.83%EV +0.383%E +0.163%K +0.284%G +0.001%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.17%EV -3.19%E -1.89%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.7%2026-08-08 02:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV +0.383%E +0.163%K +0.284%G +0.001%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -6.63%E -4.07%K -10.52%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-08 02:14
LowVig.ag🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 41.79%EV -0.044%E -0.019%K -0.033%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.21%EV -3.76%E -2.24%K -5.53%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-08 02:15
FanDuel🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV -1.75%E -0.762%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -2.04%E -1.20%K -2.88%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-08 02:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV -1.75%E -0.762%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -2.04%E -1.20%K -2.88%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-08 01:45
Pinnacle🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 42.75%EV -2.18%E -0.952%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.25%EV -2.04%E -1.20%K -2.88%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-08 01:50
DraftKings🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 42.32%EV -2.18%E -0.952%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.68%EV -3.76%E -2.24%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-08 02:15
1xBet🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 43.36%EV -3.46%E -1.53%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 56.64%EV -0.899%E -0.520%K -1.23%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-08 01:55
MyBookie.ag🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 42.49%EV -3.46%E -1.53%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.51%EV -4.34%E -2.60%K -6.47%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-08 02:10
theScore Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.89%E -1.73%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.19%E -1.89%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-08 02:10
TAB🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -3.89%E -1.73%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -3.76%E -2.24%K -5.53%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-08 02:10
Fanatics🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.89%E -1.73%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.34%E -2.60%K -6.47%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-08 01:49
ReBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.89%E -1.73%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.34%E -2.60%K -6.47%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-08 02:10
BetMGM🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.89%E -1.73%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.34%E -2.60%K -6.47%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-08 00:35
888sport🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.89%E -1.73%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.48%E -3.32%K -8.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-08 02:14
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.89%E -1.73%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.48%E -3.32%K -8.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-08 02:14
888sport (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.89%E -1.73%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.48%E -3.32%K -8.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-08 02:14
Betr (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -3.89%E -1.73%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -6.05%E -3.69%K -9.46%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-08 02:15
Fliff🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -3.89%E -1.73%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -7.20%E -4.44%K -11.61%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-08 02:10
Tipico (DE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -3.89%E -1.73%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.21%EV -11.21%E -7.23%K -20.38%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-08 02:15
Bovada🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -4.32%E -1.93%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -3.76%E -2.24%K -5.53%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-08 02:04
Bet Right🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 42.56%EV -4.32%E -1.93%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.44%EV -4.91%E -2.96%K -7.44%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-08 02:15
SportsBet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.74%E -2.13%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -4.91%E -2.96%K -7.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-08 02:00
Coolbet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.74%E -2.13%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -4.91%E -2.96%K -7.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-08 02:14
NordicBet🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -5.17%E -2.33%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -4.91%E -2.96%K -7.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-08 02:11
Betsson🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -5.17%E -2.33%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -4.91%E -2.96%K -7.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-08 02:15
Marathon Bet🎯2.21I 45.25%NM 43.04%EV -5.60%E -2.53%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.96%EV -4.34%E -2.60%K -6.47%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-08 02:14
BetRivers🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 44.02%EV -6.02%E -2.74%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.98%EV -0.899%E -0.520%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-07 23:25
Svenska Spel🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 44.02%EV -6.02%E -2.74%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.98%EV -0.899%E -0.520%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-07 23:25
PlayUp🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.02%E -2.74%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.76%E -2.24%K -5.53%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-08 01:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.02%E -2.74%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.76%E -2.24%K -5.53%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-08 00:40
Neds🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.02%E -2.74%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.76%E -2.24%K -5.53%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-08 00:35
William Hill🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.02%E -2.74%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.34%E -2.60%K -6.47%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-08 01:05
Unibet (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -6.02%E -2.74%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -6.05%E -3.69%K -9.46%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-08 02:10
Paddy Power🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.02%E -2.74%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.20%E -4.44%K -11.61%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-08 01:23
Unibet (SE)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -6.88%E -3.16%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -2.04%E -1.20%K -2.88%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-07 23:25
Unibet (NL)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -6.88%E -3.16%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -2.04%E -1.20%K -2.88%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-07 23:25
Casumo🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -6.88%E -3.16%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -2.62%E -1.54%K -3.74%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-07 23:25
Unibet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -6.88%E -3.16%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -2.62%E -1.54%K -3.74%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-07 23:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -6.88%E -3.16%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -2.62%E -1.54%K -3.74%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-07 23:25
Bally Bet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -6.88%E -3.16%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -2.62%E -1.54%K -3.74%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-07 23:25
betPARX🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -6.88%E -3.16%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -2.62%E -1.54%K -3.74%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-07 23:25
ATG (SE)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -6.88%E -3.16%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -2.62%E -1.54%K -3.74%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-07 23:25
TABtouch🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -7.31%E -3.37%K -6.24%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -2.62%E -1.54%K -3.74%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-07 23:25
Betclic (FR)🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 42.86%EV -7.73%E -3.58%K -6.67%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.14%EV -7.20%E -4.44%K -11.61%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-08 02:14
Unibet (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -8.16%E -3.80%K -7.10%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -0.899%E -0.520%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-08 02:15
Dabble (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -8.16%E -3.80%K -7.10%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -2.62%E -1.54%K -3.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-08 01:55
LiveScore Bet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.98%EV -8.59%E -4.01%K -7.53%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.02%EV -3.76%E -2.24%K -5.53%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-07 23:25
Virgin Bet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.98%EV -8.59%E -4.01%K -7.53%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.02%EV -3.76%E -2.24%K -5.53%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-07 23:25
Betway🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -10.30%E -4.90%K -9.36%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -2.04%E -1.20%K -2.88%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-08 02:15
betano_uk🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -10.30%E -4.90%K -9.36%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -2.62%E -1.54%K -3.74%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-08 02:09
Bet Victor🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -10.30%E -4.90%K -9.36%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -2.62%E -1.54%K -3.74%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-08 02:08
Winamax (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -10.30%E -4.90%K -9.36%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -2.62%E -1.54%K -3.74%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-08 02:15
Winamax (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -10.30%E -4.90%K -9.36%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -2.62%E -1.54%K -3.74%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-08 02:15
Grosvenor🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.85%EV -10.30%E -4.90%K -9.36%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.15%EV -6.05%E -3.69%K -9.46%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-07 23:25
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51%1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49%0.5%2026-08-08 02:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51%1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49%0.5%2026-08-08 02:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51%1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49%0.5%2026-08-08 02:15
Matchbook2.34I 42.74%NM 42.36%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.64%0.9%2026-08-08 02:10
Polymarket2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%1.1%2026-08-08 02:15
Kalshi2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%1.1%2026-08-08 01:35
ProphetX2.34I 42.74%NM 42.22%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.78%1.2%2026-08-08 02:15
Novig2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%2.1%2026-08-08 02:15
Smarkets2.30I 43.48%NM 42.50%1.70I 58.82%NM 57.50%2.3%2026-08-08 02:00
BetOpenly2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%7.1%2026-08-08 02:14