Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

San Francisco Giants v Detroit Tigers

2026-08-09 20:05 UTC — MLB

Head to Head

23 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

San Francisco Giants (Local)

Prediction 48.65%2.06fair odd
EV +0.703%
Edge +0.340%
Kelly +0.657%
Growth +0.005%

assuming max odds 2.07

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.33%48.42%48.67%48.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.861.971.962.0753.76%50.88%51.02%48.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Detroit Tigers (Visit)

Prediction 51.35%1.95fair odd
EV -2.43%
Edge -1.28%
Kelly -2.70%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.05%51.58%51.33%52.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.761.831.831.9056.82%54.61%54.64%52.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: San Francisco Giants (Local): 48.65%; Detroit Tigers (Visit): 51.35%. For San Francisco Giants (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.06. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 2.07, producing a positive expected value of +0.703%.

Sportsbook Odds (23 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 47.33%EV +0.703%E +0.340%K +0.657%G +0.005%1.86I 53.76%NM 52.67%EV -4.49%E -2.41%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-08 18:30
FanDuel🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -1.73%E -0.856%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -6.03%E -3.29%K -7.26%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-08 19:05
BetOnline.ag🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 48.59%EV -2.22%E -1.10%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 51.41%EV -2.43%E -1.28%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-08 18:05
LowVig.ag🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 48.59%EV -2.22%E -1.10%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 51.41%EV -2.43%E -1.28%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-08 18:04
888sport🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.70%E -1.35%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.57%E -4.20%K -9.46%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-08 18:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.70%E -1.35%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.57%E -4.20%K -9.46%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-08 18:14
888sport (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.70%E -1.35%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.57%E -4.20%K -9.46%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-08 18:14
SportsBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.70%E -1.35%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.57%E -4.20%K -9.46%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-08 19:05
Paddy Power🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.70%E -1.35%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.57%E -4.20%K -9.46%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-08 19:05
Bet Right🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.17%EV -3.68%E -1.86%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.83%EV -5.51%E -3.00%K -6.56%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-08 18:15
Betr (AU)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -4.16%E -2.11%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -5.51%E -3.00%K -6.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-08 18:14
DraftKings🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69%EV -4.65%E -2.37%K -4.84%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31%EV -4.49%E -2.41%K -5.22%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-08 18:05
PlayUp🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.13%E -2.63%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.97%E -2.12%K -4.57%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-08 18:19
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.13%E -2.63%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.97%E -2.12%K -4.57%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-08 19:10
Unibet (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.13%E -2.63%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.00%E -2.70%K -5.88%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-08 18:09
Fliff🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.13%E -2.63%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.03%E -3.29%K -7.26%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-08 18:04
Betclic (FR)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.68%EV -5.62%E -2.90%K -5.98%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.32%EV -5.51%E -3.00%K -6.56%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-08 18:08
Winamax (DE)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.68%EV -5.62%E -2.90%K -5.98%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.32%EV -5.51%E -3.00%K -6.56%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-08 18:10
betano_uk🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.67%EV -6.11%E -3.16%K -6.57%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.33%EV -6.03%E -3.29%K -7.26%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-08 18:09
Bet Victor🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.67%EV -6.11%E -3.16%K -6.57%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.33%EV -6.03%E -3.29%K -7.26%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-08 18:10
ReBet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.08%E -3.71%K -7.78%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.57%E -4.20%K -9.46%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-08 18:10
Unibet (FR)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.63%EV -9.03%E -4.83%K -10.38%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 51.37%EV -9.11%E -5.15%K -11.83%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-08 18:09
Winamax (FR)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 48.62%EV -9.51%E -5.11%K -11.06%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 51.38%EV -9.62%E -5.47%K -12.66%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-08 18:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%1.0%2026-08-08 19:10
Polymarket2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%1.1%2026-08-08 18:04
Novig1.94I 51.55%NM 47.99%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.01%7.4%2026-08-08 19:10