Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.24
assuming max odds 1.82
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: San Francisco Giants (Local): 45.61%; Detroit Tigers (Visit): 54.39%. For San Francisco Giants (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.19. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.24, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.16%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caesars🎯 | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.86%EV +2.16%E +0.962%K +1.74%G +0.037% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.14%EV -4.81%E -2.75%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 1.8% | 2026-08-09 19:58 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.21I 45.25%NM 44.33%EV +0.787%E +0.356%K +0.651%G +0.005% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.67%EV -4.27%E -2.42%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-08-09 19:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.72%EV +0.331%E +0.151%K +0.276%G +0.001% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.28%EV -3.18%E -1.78%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.6% | 2026-08-09 20:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.19I 45.66%NM 44.56%EV -0.125%E -0.057%K -0.105%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.44%EV -4.27%E -2.42%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-08-09 19:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.19I 45.66%NM 44.56%EV -0.125%E -0.057%K -0.105%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.44%EV -4.27%E -2.42%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-08-09 19:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.19I 45.66%NM 44.56%EV -0.125%E -0.057%K -0.105%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.44%EV -4.27%E -2.42%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-08-09 19:50 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.90%EV -1.49%E -0.691%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.10%EV -4.27%E -2.42%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-09 20:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -1.95%E -0.907%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -2.09%E -1.16%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-08-09 18:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -1.95%E -0.907%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.35%E -3.08%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-09 19:59 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -1.95%E -0.907%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -6.98%E -4.08%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-09 19:50 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -1.95%E -0.907%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -8.07%E -4.78%K -11.70%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-09 19:15 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.08%EV -2.86%E -1.34%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.92%EV -1.00%E -0.550%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-08-09 18:15 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.08%EV -2.86%E -1.34%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.92%EV -1.00%E -0.550%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-08-09 19:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.19%EV -3.32%E -1.56%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.81%EV -1.00%E -0.550%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-08-09 17:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -4.23%E -2.01%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -3.18%E -1.78%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-09 18:20 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.23%E -2.01%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.72%E -2.10%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-09 18:19 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.23%E -2.01%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.72%E -2.10%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-09 18:19 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.23%E -2.01%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.72%E -2.10%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-09 15:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.23%E -2.01%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.81%E -2.75%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-09 19:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.23%E -2.01%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.81%E -2.75%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-09 19:45 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.23%E -2.01%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.81%E -2.75%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-09 19:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.23%E -2.01%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.35%E -3.08%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-09 19:44 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.23%E -2.01%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.90%E -3.41%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-09 19:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.23%E -2.01%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.90%E -3.41%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-09 19:19 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.23%E -2.01%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.90%E -3.41%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-09 19:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.23%E -2.01%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.90%E -3.41%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-09 19:29 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -4.23%E -2.01%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -7.53%E -4.43%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-09 17:50 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.99%EV -4.69%E -2.24%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.01%EV -3.18%E -1.78%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-09 18:19 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.71%EV -4.69%E -2.24%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.29%EV -4.27%E -2.42%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-09 19:59 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.67%EV -5.14%E -2.47%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.33%EV -1.00%E -0.550%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-09 19:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.67%EV -5.14%E -2.47%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.33%EV -1.00%E -0.550%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-09 19:55 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -5.14%E -2.47%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -4.27%E -2.42%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-09 19:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -5.14%E -2.47%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -4.27%E -2.42%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-09 19:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.60%E -2.70%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.27%E -2.42%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-09 19:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.60%E -2.70%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.27%E -2.42%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-09 19:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.63%EV -6.05%E -2.94%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.37%EV -2.09%E -1.16%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-09 19:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.63%EV -6.05%E -2.94%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.37%EV -2.09%E -1.16%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-09 19:54 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -6.05%E -2.94%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -3.72%E -2.10%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-09 17:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -6.05%E -2.94%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -4.27%E -2.42%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-09 18:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -6.51%E -3.18%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.09%E -1.16%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-09 19:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -6.51%E -3.18%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -2.63%E -1.47%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-09 19:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -6.51%E -3.18%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -2.63%E -1.47%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-09 19:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -6.51%E -3.18%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -2.63%E -1.47%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-09 19:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -6.51%E -3.18%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -2.63%E -1.47%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-09 19:54 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -6.51%E -3.18%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -2.63%E -1.47%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-09 19:55 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -6.51%E -3.18%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -2.63%E -1.47%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-09 19:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.51%E -3.18%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.72%E -2.10%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-09 19:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.51%E -3.18%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.72%E -2.10%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-09 19:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.51%E -3.18%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.72%E -2.10%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-09 19:45 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -6.51%E -3.18%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -4.27%E -2.42%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-09 18:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.51%E -3.18%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.35%E -3.08%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-09 20:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.51%E -3.18%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.35%E -3.08%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-09 20:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -6.51%E -3.18%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -6.44%E -3.74%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-09 20:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -6.97%E -3.41%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -3.18%E -1.78%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-09 19:55 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -7.88%E -3.90%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -2.09%E -1.16%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-09 19:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.56%EV -7.88%E -3.90%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.44%EV -4.27%E -2.42%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-09 19:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.56%EV -7.88%E -3.90%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.44%EV -4.27%E -2.42%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-09 19:54 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.01I 49.75%NM 46.11%EV -8.33%E -4.15%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.89%EV -6.44%E -3.74%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-09 19:39 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -8.79%E -4.39%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -4.81%E -2.75%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-09 19:54 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -8.79%E -4.39%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -4.81%E -2.75%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-09 19:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -8.79%E -4.39%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -4.81%E -2.75%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-09 17:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.61%EV -10.16%E -5.16%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.39%EV -6.44%E -3.74%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-09 19:54 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.77% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 54.23% | 0.2% | 2026-08-09 20:00 |
| Novig◎ | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.27% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.73% | 0.4% | 2026-08-09 19:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.27% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.73% | 0.4% | 2026-08-09 20:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.50% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.50% | 0.8% | 2026-08-09 20:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.50% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.50% | 0.8% | 2026-08-09 20:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.50% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.50% | 0.8% | 2026-08-09 20:00 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52% | 1.0% | 2026-08-09 17:40 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39% | 1.0% | 2026-08-09 17:50 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93% | 2.1% | 2026-08-09 20:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.69% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.31% | 2.3% | 2026-08-09 19:50 |