The School of Odds

San Francisco Giants v Colorado Rockies

2026-07-10 01:46 — MLB

Head to Head

53 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

San Francisco Giants (Local)

Prediction 55.23%1.81fair odd
EV -2.24%
Edge -1.27%
Kelly -2.91%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.77

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.66%55.29%55.24%56.85%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.671.721.711.77MINMEANMEDIANMAX
All estimators
53.66%1.863Min
56.85%1.759Max
55.29%1.809Mean
55.24%1.810Median
55.23%1.811IQM
55.31%1.808Margin-weighted

Colorado Rockies (Visit)

Prediction 44.77%2.23fair odd
EV -0.610%
Edge -0.275%
Kelly -0.500%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.22

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.15%44.71%44.76%46.34%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.052.142.152.22MINMEANMEDIANMAX
All estimators
43.15%2.317Min
46.34%2.158Max
44.71%2.237Mean
44.76%2.234Median
44.77%2.234IQM
44.69%2.238Margin-weighted

Sportsbook Odds (55 sportsbooks)

BookmakerSan Francisco Giants (Local) ▼Colorado Rockies (Visit)MarginUpdated
Neds1.77I 56.50% NM 53.66%EV -2.24% E -1.27% K -2.91% G +0.000%2.05I 48.78% NM 46.34%EV -8.22% E -4.01% K -7.83% G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-09 12:50
Ladbrokes (AU)1.77I 56.50% NM 53.66%EV -2.24% E -1.27% K -2.91% G +0.000%2.05I 48.78% NM 46.34%EV -8.22% E -4.01% K -7.83% G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-09 12:50
1xBet1.75I 57.14% NM 55.92%EV -3.35% E -1.91% K -4.46% G +0.000%2.22I 45.05% NM 44.08%EV -0.610% E -0.275% K -0.500% G +0.000%2.2%2026-07-09 11:45
TAB1.75I 57.14% NM 55.13%EV -3.35% E -1.91% K -4.46% G +0.000%2.15I 46.51% NM 44.87%EV -3.74% E -1.74% K -3.26% G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-09 12:53
Ladbrokes (UK)1.75I 57.14% NM 54.55%EV -3.35% E -1.91% K -4.46% G +0.000%2.10I 47.62% NM 45.45%EV -5.98% E -2.85% K -5.44% G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-09 12:50
Coral1.75I 57.14% NM 54.55%EV -3.35% E -1.91% K -4.46% G +0.000%2.10I 47.62% NM 45.45%EV -5.98% E -2.85% K -5.44% G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-09 12:49
FanDuel1.74I 57.47% NM 55.38%EV -3.90% E -2.24% K -5.27% G +0.000%2.16I 46.30% NM 44.62%EV -3.30% E -1.53% K -2.84% G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-09 12:50
Betway1.74I 57.47% NM 55.27%EV -3.90% E -2.24% K -5.27% G +0.000%2.15I 46.51% NM 44.73%EV -3.74% E -1.74% K -3.26% G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-09 12:50
theScore Bet1.74I 57.47% NM 55.27%EV -3.90% E -2.24% K -5.27% G +0.000%2.15I 46.51% NM 44.73%EV -3.74% E -1.74% K -3.26% G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-09 12:50
Caesars1.74I 57.47% NM 55.27%EV -3.90% E -2.24% K -5.27% G +0.000%2.15I 46.51% NM 44.73%EV -3.74% E -1.74% K -3.26% G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-09 12:48
DraftKings1.74I 57.47% NM 55.04%EV -3.90% E -2.24% K -5.27% G +0.000%2.13I 46.95% NM 44.96%EV -4.64% E -2.18% K -4.11% G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-09 12:50
BetMGM1.74I 57.47% NM 54.69%EV -3.90% E -2.24% K -5.27% G +0.000%2.10I 47.62% NM 45.31%EV -5.98% E -2.85% K -5.44% G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-09 12:50
Unibet (UK)1.73I 57.80% NM 55.06%EV -4.45% E -2.57% K -6.10% G +0.000%2.12I 47.17% NM 44.94%EV -5.09% E -2.40% K -4.54% G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-09 13:15
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80% NM 54.83%EV -4.45% E -2.57% K -6.10% G +0.000%2.10I 47.62% NM 45.17%EV -5.98% E -2.85% K -5.44% G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-09 12:50
Bet Victor1.73I 57.80% NM 54.83%EV -4.45% E -2.57% K -6.10% G +0.000%2.10I 47.62% NM 45.17%EV -5.98% E -2.85% K -5.44% G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-09 12:50
Unibet (NL)1.72I 58.14% NM 55.90%EV -5.00% E -2.91% K -6.95% G +0.000%2.18I 45.87% NM 44.10%EV -2.40% E -1.10% K -2.03% G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-09 13:10
Unibet (SE)1.72I 58.14% NM 55.90%EV -5.00% E -2.91% K -6.95% G +0.000%2.18I 45.87% NM 44.10%EV -2.40% E -1.10% K -2.03% G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-09 13:10
Svenska Spel1.72I 58.14% NM 55.90%EV -5.00% E -2.91% K -6.95% G +0.000%2.18I 45.87% NM 44.10%EV -2.40% E -1.10% K -2.03% G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-09 13:10
Bovada1.72I 58.14% NM 55.56%EV -5.00% E -2.91% K -6.95% G +0.000%2.15I 46.51% NM 44.44%EV -3.74% E -1.74% K -3.26% G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-09 13:35
PlayUp1.72I 58.14% NM 55.21%EV -5.00% E -2.91% K -6.95% G +0.000%2.12I 47.17% NM 44.79%EV -5.09% E -2.40% K -4.54% G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-09 12:50
Betsson1.72I 58.14% NM 55.21%EV -5.00% E -2.91% K -6.95% G +0.000%2.12I 47.17% NM 44.79%EV -5.09% E -2.40% K -4.54% G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-09 12:50
NordicBet1.72I 58.14% NM 55.21%EV -5.00% E -2.91% K -6.95% G +0.000%2.12I 47.17% NM 44.79%EV -5.09% E -2.40% K -4.54% G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-09 12:55
Winamax (DE)1.72I 58.14% NM 54.97%EV -5.00% E -2.91% K -6.95% G +0.000%2.10I 47.62% NM 45.03%EV -5.98% E -2.85% K -5.44% G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-09 13:15
Tipico (DE)1.72I 58.14% NM 54.97%EV -5.00% E -2.91% K -6.95% G +0.000%2.10I 47.62% NM 45.03%EV -5.98% E -2.85% K -5.44% G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-09 13:14
PointsBet (AU)1.71I 58.48% NM 56.27%EV -5.56% E -3.25% K -7.83% G +0.000%2.20I 45.45% NM 43.73%EV -1.51% E -0.684% K -1.25% G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-09 08:34
MyBookie.ag1.71I 58.48% NM 56.27%EV -5.56% E -3.25% K -7.83% G +0.000%2.20I 45.45% NM 43.73%EV -1.51% E -0.684% K -1.25% G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-09 08:38
Unibet1.71I 58.48% NM 55.81%EV -5.56% E -3.25% K -7.83% G +0.000%2.16I 46.30% NM 44.19%EV -3.30% E -1.53% K -2.84% G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-09 13:09
Casumo1.71I 58.48% NM 55.81%EV -5.56% E -3.25% K -7.83% G +0.000%2.16I 46.30% NM 44.19%EV -3.30% E -1.53% K -2.84% G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-09 13:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.71I 58.48% NM 55.81%EV -5.56% E -3.25% K -7.83% G +0.000%2.16I 46.30% NM 44.19%EV -3.30% E -1.53% K -2.84% G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-09 13:10
ATG (SE)1.71I 58.48% NM 55.81%EV -5.56% E -3.25% K -7.83% G +0.000%2.16I 46.30% NM 44.19%EV -3.30% E -1.53% K -2.84% G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-09 13:09
betPARX1.71I 58.48% NM 55.81%EV -5.56% E -3.25% K -7.83% G +0.000%2.16I 46.30% NM 44.19%EV -3.30% E -1.53% K -2.84% G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-09 13:09
Bally Bet1.71I 58.48% NM 55.81%EV -5.56% E -3.25% K -7.83% G +0.000%2.16I 46.30% NM 44.19%EV -3.30% E -1.53% K -2.84% G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-09 13:10
Fanatics1.71I 58.48% NM 55.70%EV -5.56% E -3.25% K -7.83% G +0.000%2.15I 46.51% NM 44.30%EV -3.74% E -1.74% K -3.26% G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-09 12:50
Fliff1.71I 58.48% NM 55.70%EV -5.56% E -3.25% K -7.83% G +0.000%2.15I 46.51% NM 44.30%EV -3.74% E -1.74% K -3.26% G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-09 08:40
888sport1.71I 58.48% NM 55.70%EV -5.56% E -3.25% K -7.83% G +0.000%2.15I 46.51% NM 44.30%EV -3.74% E -1.74% K -3.26% G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-09 12:50
Bet Right1.71I 58.48% NM 55.70%EV -5.56% E -3.25% K -7.83% G +0.000%2.15I 46.51% NM 44.30%EV -3.74% E -1.74% K -3.26% G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-09 13:20
888sport (SE)1.71I 58.48% NM 55.70%EV -5.56% E -3.25% K -7.83% G +0.000%2.15I 46.51% NM 44.30%EV -3.74% E -1.74% K -3.26% G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-09 12:50
Mr Green (SE)1.71I 58.48% NM 55.70%EV -5.56% E -3.25% K -7.83% G +0.000%2.15I 46.51% NM 44.30%EV -3.74% E -1.74% K -3.26% G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-09 12:50
Hard Rock Bet1.71I 58.48% NM 55.70%EV -5.56% E -3.25% K -7.83% G +0.000%2.15I 46.51% NM 44.30%EV -3.74% E -1.74% K -3.26% G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-09 13:50
SportsBet1.71I 58.48% NM 55.58%EV -5.56% E -3.25% K -7.83% G +0.000%2.14I 46.73% NM 44.42%EV -4.19% E -1.96% K -3.68% G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-09 13:50
ReBet1.71I 58.48% NM 55.12%EV -5.56% E -3.25% K -7.83% G +0.000%2.10I 47.62% NM 44.88%EV -5.98% E -2.85% K -5.44% G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-09 12:50
Betclic (FR)1.71I 58.48% NM 55.12%EV -5.56% E -3.25% K -7.83% G +0.000%2.10I 47.62% NM 44.88%EV -5.98% E -2.85% K -5.44% G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-09 13:15
Betr (AU)1.70I 58.82% NM 55.84%EV -6.11% E -3.59% K -8.73% G +0.000%2.15I 46.51% NM 44.16%EV -3.74% E -1.74% K -3.26% G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-09 12:50
Dabble (AU)1.70I 58.82% NM 55.84%EV -6.11% E -3.59% K -8.73% G +0.000%2.15I 46.51% NM 44.16%EV -3.74% E -1.74% K -3.26% G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-09 13:15
BetRivers1.70I 58.82% NM 55.84%EV -6.11% E -3.59% K -8.73% G +0.000%2.15I 46.51% NM 44.16%EV -3.74% E -1.74% K -3.26% G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-09 13:10
LiveScore Bet1.70I 58.82% NM 55.84%EV -6.11% E -3.59% K -8.73% G +0.000%2.15I 46.51% NM 44.16%EV -3.74% E -1.74% K -3.26% G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-09 13:09
Virgin Bet1.70I 58.82% NM 55.84%EV -6.11% E -3.59% K -8.73% G +0.000%2.15I 46.51% NM 44.16%EV -3.74% E -1.74% K -3.26% G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-09 13:10
TABtouch1.70I 58.82% NM 55.84%EV -6.11% E -3.59% K -8.73% G +0.000%2.15I 46.51% NM 44.16%EV -3.74% E -1.74% K -3.26% G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-09 13:10
Marathon Bet1.70I 58.82% NM 55.84%EV -6.11% E -3.59% K -8.73% G +0.000%2.15I 46.51% NM 44.16%EV -3.74% E -1.74% K -3.26% G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-09 11:40
Unibet (FR)1.70I 58.82% NM 55.26%EV -6.11% E -3.59% K -8.73% G +0.000%2.10I 47.62% NM 44.74%EV -5.98% E -2.85% K -5.44% G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-09 13:45
Coolbet1.68I 59.52% NM 56.70%EV -7.21% E -4.29% K -10.61% G +0.000%2.20I 45.45% NM 43.30%EV -1.51% E -0.684% K -1.25% G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-09 12:20
Grosvenor1.68I 59.52% NM 55.79%EV -7.21% E -4.29% K -10.61% G +0.000%2.12I 47.17% NM 44.21%EV -5.09% E -2.40% K -4.54% G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-09 13:10
Winamax (FR)1.68I 59.52% NM 54.96%EV -7.21% E -4.29% K -10.61% G +0.000%2.05I 48.78% NM 45.04%EV -8.22% E -4.01% K -7.83% G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-09 13:15
William Hill1.67I 59.88% NM 56.85%EV -7.77% E -4.65% K -11.59% G +0.000%2.20I 45.45% NM 43.15%EV -1.51% E -0.684% K -1.25% G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-09 08:59
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88% NM 56.28%EV -7.77% E -4.65% K -11.59% G +0.000%2.15I 46.51% NM 43.72%EV -3.74% E -1.74% K -3.26% G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-09 12:44
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerSan Francisco Giants (Local)Colorado Rockies (Visit)Margin ▲Updated
BetOpenly1.79I 55.87% NM 55.80%2.26I 44.25% NM 44.20%0.1%2026-07-09 13:15
Novig1.80I 55.56% NM 55.22%2.22I 45.05% NM 44.78%0.6%2026-07-09 13:35
Polymarket1.79I 55.87% NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05% NM 44.64%0.9%2026-07-09 12:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.77I 56.50% NM 55.64%2.22I 45.05% NM 44.36%1.5%2026-07-09 13:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.77I 56.50% NM 55.64%2.22I 45.05% NM 44.36%1.5%2026-07-09 13:40
ProphetX1.77I 56.50% NM 55.64%2.22I 45.05% NM 44.36%1.5%2026-07-09 13:40
Kalshi1.75I 57.14% NM 55.92%2.22I 45.05% NM 44.08%2.2%2026-07-09 09:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.76I 56.82% NM 55.56%2.20I 45.45% NM 44.44%2.3%2026-07-09 13:50
Matchbook1.76I 56.82% NM 55.33%2.18I 45.87% NM 44.67%2.7%2026-07-09 13:15
Smarkets1.75I 57.14% NM 55.47%2.18I 45.87% NM 44.53%3.0%2026-07-09 13:45