The School of Odds

San Francisco Giants v Colorado Rockies

2026-07-11 20:06 UTC — MLB

Head to Head

24 sportsbooks (10 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

San Francisco Giants (Local)

Prediction 56.97%1.76fair odd
EV -0.302%
Edge -0.173%
Kelly -0.403%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.83%56.98%56.98%57.75%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.601.671.671.7563%60%60%57%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Colorado Rockies (Visit)

Prediction 43.03%2.32fair odd
EV -0.601%
Edge -0.260%
Kelly -0.459%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.31

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.25%43.02%43.02%45.17%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.052.202.202.3149%46%45%43%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (24 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
1xBet1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%EV -0.302%E -0.173%K -0.403%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%EV -4.47%E -2.02%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.2%2026-07-10 19:14
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -1.44%E -0.833%K -1.97%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -9.64%E -4.59%K -8.76%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-10 18:19
Bet Right1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -3.15%E -1.85%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -6.20%E -2.84%K -5.25%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-10 18:59
Betr (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.15%E -1.85%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -7.49%E -3.48%K -6.51%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-10 17:34
LowVig.ag1.69I 59.17%NM 57.75%EV -3.72%E -2.20%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 42.25%EV -0.601%E -0.260%K -0.459%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-10 18:59
BetOnline.ag1.69I 59.17%NM 57.75%EV -3.72%E -2.20%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 42.25%EV -0.601%E -0.260%K -0.459%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-10 18:59
PointsBet (AU)1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.72%E -2.20%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.18%E -1.41%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-10 18:59
theScore Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.72%E -2.20%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.18%E -1.41%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-10 19:04
FanDuel1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -4.29%E -2.55%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -3.61%E -1.61%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-10 18:59
Unibet (UK)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.29%E -2.55%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.33%E -2.42%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-10 19:05
PlayUp1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.29%E -2.55%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.33%E -2.42%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-10 19:05
Fanatics1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.86%E -2.91%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.18%E -1.41%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-10 19:04
Fliff1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.86%E -2.91%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.33%E -2.42%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-10 17:49
Bet Victor1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.86%E -2.91%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.33%E -2.42%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-10 19:04
888sport1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.86%E -2.91%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.33%E -2.42%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-10 19:00
888sport (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.86%E -2.91%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.33%E -2.42%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-10 19:00
Mr Green (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.86%E -2.91%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.33%E -2.42%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-10 18:59
Winamax (DE)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.43%E -3.27%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.33%E -2.42%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-10 19:05
Betclic (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.77%EV -5.43%E -3.27%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.23%EV -6.20%E -2.84%K -5.25%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-10 19:03
SportsBet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.00%E -3.64%K -9.23%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.33%E -2.42%K -4.45%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-10 18:59
Paddy Power1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.00%E -3.64%K -9.23%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.33%E -2.42%K -4.45%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-10 18:59
ReBet1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.00%E -3.64%K -9.23%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.49%E -3.48%K -6.51%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-10 19:05
Unibet (FR)1.61I 62.11%NM 56.60%EV -8.28%E -5.14%K -13.57%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.40%EV -9.64%E -4.59%K -8.76%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-10 19:04
Winamax (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 56.16%EV -8.85%E -5.53%K -14.75%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.84%EV -11.79%E -5.75%K -11.23%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-10 19:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is the most recent time we recorded each book's price — on the default model, when it last changed, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi1.72I 58.14%NM 56.89%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.11%2.2%2026-07-10 19:15
Polymarket1.72I 58.14%NM 56.89%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.11%2.2%2026-07-10 18:39
Smarkets1.61I 62.11%NM 56.37%2.08I 48.08%NM 43.63%10.2%2026-07-10 19:05