Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

San Francisco Giants v Colorado Rockies

2026-08-15 20:06 UTC — MLB

Head to Head

28 sportsbooks (12 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

San Francisco Giants (Local)

Prediction 61.63%1.62fair odd
EV -2.00%
Edge -1.26%
Kelly -3.39%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.59

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.69%61.74%61.57%63.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.491.541.541.5967.11%64.92%64.94%62.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Colorado Rockies (Visit)

Prediction 38.37%2.61fair odd
EV -0.248%
Edge -0.095%
Kelly -0.155%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.70%38.26%38.43%39.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.492.502.6043.48%40.21%40.00%38.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: San Francisco Giants (Local): 61.63%; Colorado Rockies (Visit): 38.37%. For Colorado Rockies (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.61. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.60, with an expected value of -0.248%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (28 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
GTbets🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 61.59%EV -2.00%E -1.26%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 38.41%EV -2.17%E -0.849%K -1.40%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-14 17:49
LowVig.ag🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 61.50%EV -2.00%E -1.26%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.50%EV -2.55%E -1.00%K -1.66%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-14 17:34
BetOnline.ag🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 61.50%EV -2.00%E -1.26%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.50%EV -2.55%E -1.00%K -1.66%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-14 17:34
1xBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 62.02%EV -2.62%E -1.66%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.98%EV -1.01%E -0.393%K -0.642%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-14 17:45
Fanatics🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.85%E -2.47%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.08%E -1.63%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-14 17:34
DraftKings🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.29%EV -3.85%E -2.47%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 38.71%EV -5.24%E -2.12%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-14 17:45
Fliff🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.85%E -2.47%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -6.00%E -2.45%K -4.14%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-14 19:34
NordicBet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -3.85%E -2.47%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -7.15%E -2.96%K -5.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-14 17:49
Betsson🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -3.85%E -2.47%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -7.15%E -2.96%K -5.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-14 17:49
Unibet (UK)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.47%E -2.88%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.08%E -1.63%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-14 17:49
PlayUp🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.47%E -2.88%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.00%E -2.45%K -4.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 17:49
theScore Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -5.08%E -3.30%K -9.42%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -2.17%E -0.849%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-14 18:00
Bet Right🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -5.08%E -3.30%K -9.42%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.08%E -1.63%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-14 17:49
Winamax (DE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -5.08%E -3.30%K -9.42%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -6.00%E -2.45%K -4.14%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-14 17:47
Betclic (FR)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -5.08%E -3.30%K -9.42%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -6.00%E -2.45%K -4.14%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-14 17:48
FanDuel🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -5.70%E -3.73%K -10.76%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -0.248%E -0.095%K -0.155%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-14 17:34
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -5.70%E -3.73%K -10.76%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -0.248%E -0.095%K -0.155%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-14 17:39
888sport🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.70%E -3.73%K -10.76%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.08%E -1.63%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-14 17:49
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.70%E -3.73%K -10.76%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.08%E -1.63%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-14 17:49
888sport (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.70%E -3.73%K -10.76%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.08%E -1.63%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-14 17:49
Betr (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.70%E -3.73%K -10.76%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.08%E -1.63%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-14 17:49
betano_uk🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.70%E -3.73%K -10.76%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.00%E -2.45%K -4.14%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-14 17:49
Bet Victor🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.70%E -3.73%K -10.76%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.00%E -2.45%K -4.14%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-14 17:49
ReBet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.38%EV -6.93%E -4.59%K -13.59%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.62%EV -7.92%E -3.30%K -5.66%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-14 17:49
Paddy Power🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -7.55%E -5.03%K -15.10%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -2.17%E -0.849%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-14 17:34
SportsBet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.30%EV -8.17%E -5.48%K -16.66%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 36.70%EV -1.40%E -0.544%K -0.891%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-14 17:34
Unibet (FR)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 61.20%EV -8.17%E -5.48%K -16.66%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.80%EV -9.84%E -4.19%K -7.29%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-14 17:49
Winamax (FR)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 60.69%EV -8.17%E -5.48%K -16.66%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.31%EV -11.76%E -5.11%K -9.04%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-14 17:49
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi1.64I 60.98%NM 60.95%2.56I 39.06%NM 39.05%0.0%2026-08-14 17:45
Polymarket1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.2%2026-08-14 19:15
Smarkets1.49I 67.11%NM 60.89%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.11%10.2%2026-08-14 17:49
Novig1.46I 68.49%NM 61.68%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.32%11.0%2026-08-14 18:00

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