Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

San Francisco Giants v Colorado Rockies

Kickoff: 2026-07-12 20:06 UTC

Final: San Francisco Giants 3–1 Colorado Rockies

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

61 sportsbooks (19 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

San Francisco Giants (Local)

Prediction 57.57%1.74fair odd
EV -2.14%
Edge -1.26%
Kelly -3.05%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.70%57.67%57.40%59.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.571.651.651.7063.69%60.53%60.61%58.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Colorado Rockies (Visit)

Prediction 42.43%2.36fair odd
EV +0.145%
Edge +0.061%
Kelly +0.106%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.36

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.78%42.33%42.60%43.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.162.272.262.3646.30%44.11%44.25%42.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: San Francisco Giants (Local): 57.57%; Colorado Rockies (Visit): 42.43%. For Colorado Rockies (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.357. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.360, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.145%.

Sportsbook Odds (61 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
GTbets1.68I 59.52%NM 58.42%EV -3.29%E -1.96%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.58%EV +0.145%E +0.061%K +0.106%G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-12 19:59
BetOnline.ag1.68I 59.52%NM 58.21%EV -3.29%E -1.96%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.79%EV -0.704%E -0.301%K -0.525%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-12 19:59
LowVig.ag1.68I 59.52%NM 58.21%EV -3.29%E -1.96%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.79%EV -0.704%E -0.301%K -0.525%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-12 20:04
Everygame1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%EV -2.71%E -1.61%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%EV -1.13%E -0.484%K -0.848%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-12 19:50
Pinnacle1.70I 58.82%NM 57.71%EV -2.14%E -1.26%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.29%EV -1.55%E -0.669%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-12 20:04
BetUS1.68I 59.52%NM 58.00%EV -3.29%E -1.96%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.00%EV -1.55%E -0.669%K -1.18%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-12 19:59
BetAnything1.68I 59.52%NM 58.00%EV -3.29%E -1.96%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.00%EV -1.55%E -0.669%K -1.18%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-12 20:05
1xBet1.70I 58.82%NM 57.61%EV -2.14%E -1.26%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 42.39%EV -1.98%E -0.856%K -1.51%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-12 17:24
Svenska Spel1.68I 59.52%NM 57.79%EV -3.29%E -1.96%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.21%EV -2.40%E -1.04%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-12 17:54
PointsBet (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.86%E -2.31%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -2.40%E -1.04%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-12 17:19
Caesars1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -5.02%E -3.04%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -2.40%E -1.04%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-12 17:19
TAB1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -5.02%E -3.04%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -2.40%E -1.04%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-12 17:19
Unibet (NL)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.74%E -4.16%K -10.88%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.40%E -1.04%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-12 18:54
Unibet (SE)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.74%E -4.16%K -10.88%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.40%E -1.04%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-12 18:54
LeoVegas (SE)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.74%E -4.16%K -10.88%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.40%E -1.04%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-12 17:54
Bally Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.74%E -4.16%K -10.88%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.40%E -1.04%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-12 17:54
betPARX1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.74%E -4.16%K -10.88%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.40%E -1.04%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-12 17:55
Casumo1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.74%E -4.16%K -10.88%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.40%E -1.04%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-12 17:54
Unibet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.74%E -4.16%K -10.88%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.40%E -1.04%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-12 17:54
ATG (SE)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.74%E -4.16%K -10.88%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.40%E -1.04%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-12 17:54
LiveScore Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -7.32%E -4.55%K -12.00%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -2.40%E -1.04%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-12 17:54
Virgin Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -7.32%E -4.55%K -12.00%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -2.40%E -1.04%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-12 17:54
TABtouch1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -7.32%E -4.55%K -12.00%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -2.40%E -1.04%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-12 17:55
BetRivers1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -7.32%E -4.55%K -12.00%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -2.40%E -1.04%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-12 17:55
Tipico (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -7.89%E -4.93%K -13.16%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -2.40%E -1.04%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-12 17:54
MyBookie.ag1.67I 59.88%NM 57.72%EV -3.86%E -2.31%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.28%EV -3.25%E -1.43%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-12 19:40
PlayUp1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -6.17%E -3.78%K -9.79%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -3.25%E -1.43%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-12 20:04
Grosvenor1.57I 63.69%NM 59.22%EV -9.62%E -6.13%K -16.88%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.78%EV -3.25%E -1.43%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-12 17:54
NordicBet1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -6.17%E -3.78%K -9.79%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -3.67%E -1.62%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-12 17:19
Betsson1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -6.17%E -3.78%K -9.79%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -3.67%E -1.62%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-12 17:19
FanDuel1.68I 59.52%NM 57.36%EV -3.29%E -1.96%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.64%EV -4.10%E -1.81%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-12 17:19
Bovada1.67I 59.88%NM 57.51%EV -3.86%E -2.31%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.49%EV -4.10%E -1.81%K -3.25%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-12 19:59
Bet Right1.65I 60.61%NM 57.80%EV -5.02%E -3.04%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.20%EV -4.10%E -1.81%K -3.25%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-12 20:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.96%EV -2.14%E -1.26%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.04%EV -4.52%E -2.01%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-12 20:05
theScore Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -2.71%E -1.61%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -4.52%E -2.01%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-12 17:19
Unibet (UK)1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -3.29%E -1.96%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -4.52%E -2.01%K -3.62%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-12 18:10
ReBet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.86%E -2.31%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.52%E -2.01%K -3.62%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-12 17:54
Coral1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.86%E -2.31%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.52%E -2.01%K -3.62%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-12 17:24
Ladbrokes (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.86%E -2.31%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.52%E -2.01%K -3.62%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-12 17:24
BetMGM1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.86%E -2.31%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.52%E -2.01%K -3.62%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-12 17:25
Hard Rock Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.86%E -2.31%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.52%E -2.01%K -3.62%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-12 17:18
Fanatics1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.86%E -2.31%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.52%E -2.01%K -3.62%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-12 19:59
888sport1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.02%E -3.04%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.52%E -2.01%K -3.62%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-12 17:39
888sport (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.02%E -3.04%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.52%E -2.01%K -3.62%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-12 17:39
Mr Green (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.02%E -3.04%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.52%E -2.01%K -3.62%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-12 17:39
Dabble (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.02%E -3.04%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.52%E -2.01%K -3.62%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-12 17:24
Coolbet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.02%E -3.04%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.52%E -2.01%K -3.62%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-12 20:04
Betr (AU)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.59%E -3.41%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.52%E -2.01%K -3.62%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-12 17:39
DraftKings1.67I 59.88%NM 57.29%EV -3.86%E -2.31%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.71%EV -4.95%E -2.21%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-12 17:19
SportsBet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -4.44%E -2.68%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -5.37%E -2.41%K -4.37%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-12 17:19
Marathon Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -4.44%E -2.68%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -5.80%E -2.61%K -4.75%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-12 20:04
Ladbrokes (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.29%E -1.96%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.64%E -3.02%K -5.54%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-12 17:24
Neds1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.29%E -1.96%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.64%E -3.02%K -5.54%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-12 17:24
Fliff1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.86%E -2.31%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.64%E -3.02%K -5.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-12 19:35
Betway1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.86%E -2.31%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.64%E -3.02%K -5.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-12 20:04
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.86%E -2.31%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.64%E -3.02%K -5.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-11 23:35
Unibet (FR)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.02%E -3.04%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.64%E -3.02%K -5.54%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-12 19:54
Winamax (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -5.59%E -3.41%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -6.64%E -3.02%K -5.54%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-12 17:55
Winamax (DE)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -5.59%E -3.41%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -6.64%E -3.02%K -5.54%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-12 20:04
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.74%E -4.16%K -10.88%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.64%E -3.02%K -5.54%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-12 17:39
Betclic (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.14%EV -6.74%E -4.16%K -10.88%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 42.86%EV -8.34%E -3.86%K -7.19%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-12 19:39
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly1.71I 58.48%NM 58.39%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.61%0.1%2026-07-12 20:04
Matchbook1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46%0.5%2026-07-12 19:44
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46%0.5%2026-07-12 19:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46%0.5%2026-07-12 19:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46%0.5%2026-07-12 19:40
Novig1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81%0.5%2026-07-12 19:55
ProphetX1.69I 59.17%NM 58.68%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.32%0.8%2026-07-12 19:59
Polymarket1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.1%2026-07-12 17:19
Kalshi1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-07-12 18:05
Smarkets1.68I 59.52%NM 58.21%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.79%2.3%2026-07-12 20:00