Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.69
assuming max odds 2.38
1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GTbets | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%EV -1.50%E -0.886%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%EV -2.81%E -1.20%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-07-11 02:15 |
| Pinnacle | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%EV -1.50%E -0.886%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%EV -2.81%E -1.20%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-07-11 02:05 |
| Everygame | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%EV -1.50%E -0.886%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%EV -2.81%E -1.20%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-07-10 15:30 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.75%EV -1.50%E -0.886%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 42.25%EV -3.64%E -1.58%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-07-11 02:15 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.75%EV -1.50%E -0.886%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 42.25%EV -3.64%E -1.58%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-07-11 02:15 |
| BetAnything | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.64%EV -1.50%E -0.886%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.36%EV -4.06%E -1.76%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-07-11 02:14 |
| 1xBet | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.31%EV -2.08%E -1.24%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.69%EV -1.97%E -0.839%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-07-10 14:20 |
| BetUS | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.00%EV -2.08%E -1.24%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.00%EV -3.22%E -1.39%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-07-11 02:14 |
| TAB | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -2.08%E -1.24%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -6.14%E -2.73%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-10 23:33 |
| Bet Victor | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.77%EV -2.66%E -1.59%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.23%EV -0.719%E -0.302%K -0.521%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-07-10 23:18 |
| theScore Bet | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.66%E -1.59%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -4.06%E -1.76%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-07-11 02:10 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.61%EV -2.66%E -1.59%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.39%EV -5.31%E -2.34%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-11 02:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -2.66%E -1.59%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -6.14%E -2.73%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-11 01:54 |
| Neds | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.66%E -1.59%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.23%E -3.74%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-10 23:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.66%E -1.59%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.23%E -3.74%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-10 22:59 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.60%EV -3.25%E -1.96%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.40%EV -1.97%E -0.839%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-07-11 02:09 |
| FanDuel | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -3.25%E -1.96%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -4.89%E -2.15%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-10 23:34 |
| NordicBet | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -3.25%E -1.96%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -7.39%E -3.33%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-10 23:35 |
| Betsson | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -3.25%E -1.96%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -7.39%E -3.33%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-10 23:35 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.33%EV -3.83%E -2.32%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.67%EV -3.64%E -1.58%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-10 22:32 |
| ReBet | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.83%E -2.32%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.06%E -1.76%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-10 22:29 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.83%E -2.32%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.06%E -1.76%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-10 15:24 |
| Bovada | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.12%EV -3.83%E -2.32%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 41.88%EV -4.47%E -1.95%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-11 02:14 |
| SportsBet | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.83%E -2.32%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.14%E -2.73%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-10 23:29 |
| PlayUp | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.83%E -2.32%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.14%E -2.73%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-10 14:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.83%E -2.32%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.14%E -2.73%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-10 23:00 |
| BetMGM | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.83%E -2.32%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.14%E -2.73%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-10 22:59 |
| Coral | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.83%E -2.32%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.14%E -2.73%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-10 22:59 |
| Dabble (AU) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.83%E -2.32%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.14%E -2.73%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-11 02:14 |
| Coolbet | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -4.41%E -2.69%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -5.31%E -2.34%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-10 16:14 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.41%E -2.69%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.14%E -2.73%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-10 16:14 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -4.41%E -2.69%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -8.23%E -3.74%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-11 02:15 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -4.99%E -3.06%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -1.97%E -0.839%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-10 02:39 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.99%E -3.06%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.89%E -2.15%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-10 14:19 |
| Caesars | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.58%E -3.44%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -1.97%E -0.839%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-10 15:42 |
| DraftKings | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -5.58%E -3.44%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -2.81%E -1.20%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-10 22:29 |
| Fliff | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.58%E -3.44%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.06%E -1.76%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-11 02:04 |
| 888sport | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.58%E -3.44%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.06%E -1.76%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-10 14:25 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.58%E -3.44%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.06%E -1.76%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-10 14:24 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.58%E -3.44%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.06%E -1.76%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-10 14:24 |
| William Hill | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.58%E -3.44%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.06%E -1.76%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-10 15:20 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.58%E -3.44%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.14%E -2.73%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-11 02:04 |
| Betway | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.58%E -3.44%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.14%E -2.73%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-11 02:15 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -5.58%E -3.44%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -8.23%E -3.74%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-11 02:15 |
| Fanatics | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -6.16%E -3.83%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -1.97%E -0.839%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-11 01:10 |
| Casumo | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -6.74%E -4.21%K -11.24%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -1.97%E -0.839%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-11 02:10 |
| Unibet | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -6.74%E -4.21%K -11.24%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -1.97%E -0.839%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-11 02:10 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -6.74%E -4.21%K -11.24%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -1.97%E -0.839%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-11 02:10 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -6.74%E -4.21%K -11.24%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -1.97%E -0.839%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-11 02:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -6.74%E -4.21%K -11.24%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -1.97%E -0.839%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-11 02:10 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -6.74%E -4.21%K -11.24%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -1.97%E -0.839%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-11 02:09 |
| betPARX | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -6.74%E -4.21%K -11.24%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -1.97%E -0.839%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-11 02:09 |
| Bally Bet | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -6.74%E -4.21%K -11.24%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -1.97%E -0.839%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-11 02:10 |
| Paddy Power | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.74%E -4.21%K -11.24%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.14%E -2.73%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-10 23:50 |
| LeoVegas | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.74%E -4.21%K -11.24%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.14%E -2.73%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-11 02:15 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.16%EV -7.33%E -4.61%K -12.42%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 41.84%EV -7.81%E -3.53%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-11 01:48 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -7.91%E -5.01%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -1.97%E -0.839%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-11 02:10 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -7.91%E -5.01%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -1.97%E -0.839%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-11 02:10 |
| BetRivers | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -8.49%E -5.41%K -14.90%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -1.97%E -0.839%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-11 02:10 |
| TABtouch | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -8.49%E -5.41%K -14.90%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -1.97%E -0.839%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-11 02:10 |
| Grosvenor | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.90%EV -9.07%E -5.82%K -16.20%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.10%EV -2.81%E -1.20%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-11 02:10 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.21%EV -9.66%E -6.23%K -17.56%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -6.14%E -2.73%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-11 02:15 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly | 1.71I 58.48%NM 58.39% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.61% | 0.1% | 2026-07-11 02:14 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 58.05% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.95% | 0.2% | 2026-07-11 02:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 58.05% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.95% | 0.2% | 2026-07-11 02:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 58.05% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.95% | 0.2% | 2026-07-11 02:15 |
| Novig | 1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81% | 0.5% | 2026-07-11 02:00 |
| Polymarket | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47% | 1.1% | 2026-07-11 00:40 |
| Kalshi | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52% | 1.2% | 2026-07-11 02:15 |
| ProphetX | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52% | 1.2% | 2026-07-11 02:15 |
| Smarkets | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.86% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.14% | 2.3% | 2026-07-11 01:54 |
| Matchbook | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.06% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.94% | 2.6% | 2026-07-11 02:15 |
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet Right | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.07% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.73% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.20% | 8.9% | 2026-07-10 23:24 |