Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

San Francisco Giants v Colorado Rockies

Kickoff: 2026-07-11 02:16 UTC

Final: San Francisco Giants 3–4 Colorado Rockies

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

62 sportsbooks (20 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

San Francisco Giants (Local)

Prediction 58.29%1.72fair odd
EV -1.50%
Edge -0.886%
Kelly -2.17%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.69

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.85%58.37%58.15%59.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.551.631.641.6964.52%61.19%60.98%59.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Colorado Rockies (Visit)

Prediction 41.71%2.40fair odd
EV -0.719%
Edge -0.302%
Kelly -0.521%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.38

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.05%41.63%41.85%43.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.292.302.3845.45%43.58%43.48%42.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
GTbets1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%EV -1.50%E -0.886%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%EV -2.81%E -1.20%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-11 02:15
Pinnacle1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%EV -1.50%E -0.886%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%EV -2.81%E -1.20%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-11 02:05
Everygame1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%EV -1.50%E -0.886%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%EV -2.81%E -1.20%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-10 15:30
LowVig.ag1.69I 59.17%NM 57.75%EV -1.50%E -0.886%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 42.25%EV -3.64%E -1.58%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-11 02:15
BetOnline.ag1.69I 59.17%NM 57.75%EV -1.50%E -0.886%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 42.25%EV -3.64%E -1.58%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-11 02:15
BetAnything1.69I 59.17%NM 57.64%EV -1.50%E -0.886%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.36%EV -4.06%E -1.76%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-11 02:14
1xBet1.68I 59.52%NM 58.31%EV -2.08%E -1.24%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.69%EV -1.97%E -0.839%K -1.46%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-10 14:20
BetUS1.68I 59.52%NM 58.00%EV -2.08%E -1.24%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.00%EV -3.22%E -1.39%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-11 02:14
TAB1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -2.08%E -1.24%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -6.14%E -2.73%K -4.91%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-10 23:33
Bet Victor1.67I 59.88%NM 58.77%EV -2.66%E -1.59%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.23%EV -0.719%E -0.302%K -0.521%G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-10 23:18
theScore Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.66%E -1.59%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -4.06%E -1.76%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-11 02:10
Unibet (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.61%EV -2.66%E -1.59%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.39%EV -5.31%E -2.34%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-11 02:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -2.66%E -1.59%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -6.14%E -2.73%K -4.91%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-11 01:54
Neds1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.66%E -1.59%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.23%E -3.74%K -6.86%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-10 23:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.66%E -1.59%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.23%E -3.74%K -6.86%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-10 22:59
Svenska Spel1.66I 60.24%NM 58.60%EV -3.25%E -1.96%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.40%EV -1.97%E -0.839%K -1.46%G +0.000%2.8%2026-07-11 02:09
FanDuel1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -3.25%E -1.96%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -4.89%E -2.15%K -3.82%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-10 23:34
NordicBet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -3.25%E -1.96%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -7.39%E -3.33%K -6.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-10 23:35
Betsson1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -3.25%E -1.96%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -7.39%E -3.33%K -6.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-10 23:35
MyBookie.ag1.65I 60.61%NM 58.33%EV -3.83%E -2.32%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.67%EV -3.64%E -1.58%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-10 22:32
ReBet1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.83%E -2.32%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.06%E -1.76%K -3.12%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-10 22:29
Hard Rock Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.83%E -2.32%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.06%E -1.76%K -3.12%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-10 15:24
Bovada1.65I 60.61%NM 58.12%EV -3.83%E -2.32%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 41.88%EV -4.47%E -1.95%K -3.47%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-11 02:14
SportsBet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.83%E -2.32%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.14%E -2.73%K -4.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-10 23:29
PlayUp1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.83%E -2.32%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.14%E -2.73%K -4.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-10 14:30
Ladbrokes (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.83%E -2.32%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.14%E -2.73%K -4.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-10 23:00
BetMGM1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.83%E -2.32%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.14%E -2.73%K -4.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-10 22:59
Coral1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.83%E -2.32%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.14%E -2.73%K -4.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-10 22:59
Dabble (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.83%E -2.32%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.14%E -2.73%K -4.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-11 02:14
Coolbet1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -4.41%E -2.69%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -5.31%E -2.34%K -4.18%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-10 16:14
Betr (AU)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.41%E -2.69%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.14%E -2.73%K -4.91%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-10 16:14
Winamax (DE)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -4.41%E -2.69%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -8.23%E -3.74%K -6.86%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-11 02:15
PointsBet (AU)1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -4.99%E -3.06%K -7.93%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -1.97%E -0.839%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-10 02:39
Marathon Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.99%E -3.06%K -7.93%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.89%E -2.15%K -3.82%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-10 14:19
Caesars1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.58%E -3.44%K -9.00%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -1.97%E -0.839%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-10 15:42
DraftKings1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -5.58%E -3.44%K -9.00%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -2.81%E -1.20%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-10 22:29
Fliff1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.58%E -3.44%K -9.00%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.06%E -1.76%K -3.12%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-11 02:04
888sport1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.58%E -3.44%K -9.00%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.06%E -1.76%K -3.12%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-10 14:25
888sport (SE)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.58%E -3.44%K -9.00%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.06%E -1.76%K -3.12%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-10 14:24
Mr Green (SE)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.58%E -3.44%K -9.00%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.06%E -1.76%K -3.12%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-10 14:24
William Hill1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.58%E -3.44%K -9.00%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.06%E -1.76%K -3.12%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-10 15:20
Unibet (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.58%E -3.44%K -9.00%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.14%E -2.73%K -4.91%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-11 02:04
Betway1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.58%E -3.44%K -9.00%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.14%E -2.73%K -4.91%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-11 02:15
Winamax (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -5.58%E -3.44%K -9.00%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -8.23%E -3.74%K -6.86%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-11 02:15
Fanatics1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -6.16%E -3.83%K -10.10%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -1.97%E -0.839%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-11 01:10
Casumo1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -6.74%E -4.21%K -11.24%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -1.97%E -0.839%K -1.46%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-11 02:10
Unibet1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -6.74%E -4.21%K -11.24%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -1.97%E -0.839%K -1.46%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-11 02:10
Unibet (NL)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -6.74%E -4.21%K -11.24%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -1.97%E -0.839%K -1.46%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-11 02:10
Unibet (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -6.74%E -4.21%K -11.24%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -1.97%E -0.839%K -1.46%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-11 02:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -6.74%E -4.21%K -11.24%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -1.97%E -0.839%K -1.46%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-11 02:10
ATG (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -6.74%E -4.21%K -11.24%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -1.97%E -0.839%K -1.46%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-11 02:09
betPARX1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -6.74%E -4.21%K -11.24%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -1.97%E -0.839%K -1.46%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-11 02:09
Bally Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -6.74%E -4.21%K -11.24%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -1.97%E -0.839%K -1.46%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-11 02:10
Paddy Power1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.74%E -4.21%K -11.24%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.14%E -2.73%K -4.91%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-10 23:50
LeoVegas1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.74%E -4.21%K -11.24%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.14%E -2.73%K -4.91%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-11 02:15
Betclic (FR)1.59I 62.89%NM 58.16%EV -7.33%E -4.61%K -12.42%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 41.84%EV -7.81%E -3.53%K -6.46%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-11 01:48
Virgin Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -7.91%E -5.01%K -13.64%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -1.97%E -0.839%K -1.46%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-11 02:10
LiveScore Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -7.91%E -5.01%K -13.64%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -1.97%E -0.839%K -1.46%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-11 02:10
BetRivers1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -8.49%E -5.41%K -14.90%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -1.97%E -0.839%K -1.46%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-11 02:10
TABtouch1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -8.49%E -5.41%K -14.90%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -1.97%E -0.839%K -1.46%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-11 02:10
Grosvenor1.56I 64.10%NM 59.90%EV -9.07%E -5.82%K -16.20%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.10%EV -2.81%E -1.20%K -2.11%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-11 02:10
Tipico (DE)1.55I 64.52%NM 59.21%EV -9.66%E -6.23%K -17.56%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -6.14%E -2.73%K -4.91%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-11 02:15
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly1.71I 58.48%NM 58.39%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.61%0.1%2026-07-11 02:14
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.72I 58.14%NM 58.05%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.95%0.2%2026-07-11 02:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 58.05%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.95%0.2%2026-07-11 02:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.72I 58.14%NM 58.05%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.95%0.2%2026-07-11 02:15
Novig1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81%0.5%2026-07-11 02:00
Polymarket1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.1%2026-07-11 00:40
Kalshi1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-07-11 02:15
ProphetX1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-07-11 02:15
Smarkets1.69I 59.17%NM 57.86%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.14%2.3%2026-07-11 01:54
Matchbook1.65I 60.61%NM 59.06%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.94%2.6%2026-07-11 02:15

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
Bet Right1.73I 57.80%NM 53.07%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.73%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.20%8.9%2026-07-10 23:24