Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

San Francisco Giants v Chicago Cubs

Kickoff: 2026-06-14 02:06 UTC

Final: San Francisco Giants 1–6 Chicago Cubs

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

64 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

San Francisco Giants (Local)

Prediction 47.76%2.09fair odd
EV -0.184%
Edge -0.088%
Kelly -0.169%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.09

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.34%47.79%47.78%49.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.902.002.002.0952.63%50.13%50.00%47.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Chicago Cubs (Visit)

Prediction 52.24%1.91fair odd
EV -0.742%
Edge -0.390%
Kelly -0.824%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.67%52.21%52.22%53.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.771.831.831.9056.50%54.58%54.64%52.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: San Francisco Giants (Local): 47.76%; Chicago Cubs (Visit): 52.24%. For San Francisco Giants (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.094. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.090, with an expected value of -0.184%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (64 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetUS🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 46.82%EV -0.184%E -0.088%K -0.169%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 53.18%EV -3.88%E -2.11%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.2%2026-06-14 02:00
GTbets🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%EV -0.662%E -0.318%K -0.613%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%EV -3.35%E -1.81%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-14 01:40
BetAnything🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%EV -0.662%E -0.318%K -0.613%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%EV -3.35%E -1.81%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-14 02:00
Everygame🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%EV -0.662%E -0.318%K -0.613%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%EV -3.35%E -1.81%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-14 01:20
BetOnline.ag🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -1.14%E -0.550%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -3.35%E -1.81%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-14 01:40
LowVig.ag🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -1.14%E -0.550%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -3.35%E -1.81%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-14 01:40
Caesars🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.09%E -1.02%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.97%E -3.31%K -7.46%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-14 01:59
Coral🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.09%E -1.02%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.97%E -3.31%K -7.46%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-14 02:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.09%E -1.02%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.97%E -3.31%K -7.46%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-14 02:00
BetMGM🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.09%E -1.02%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.97%E -3.31%K -7.46%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-14 02:00
theScore Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.09%E -1.02%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.97%E -3.31%K -7.46%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-14 01:20
Neds🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -2.09%E -1.02%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -7.01%E -3.94%K -8.99%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-14 02:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -2.09%E -1.02%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -7.01%E -3.94%K -8.99%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-14 02:00
Fliff🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -2.09%E -1.02%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -7.53%E -4.26%K -9.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-14 00:20
Pinnacle🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 48.21%EV -3.05%E -1.50%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.79%EV -1.26%E -0.669%K -1.42%G +0.000%2.2%2026-06-14 01:50
1xBet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 48.47%EV -3.53%E -1.75%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 51.53%EV -0.742%E -0.390%K -0.824%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-13 23:50
Unibet (UK)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.67%EV -3.53%E -1.75%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 52.33%EV -3.88%E -2.11%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-14 02:00
DraftKings🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 47.52%EV -4.00%E -1.99%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.48%EV -4.92%E -2.70%K -6.00%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-14 02:00
Svenska Spel🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.45%EV -4.48%E -2.24%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.55%EV -1.79%E -0.950%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.2%2026-06-14 01:10
FanDuel🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.48%E -2.24%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.35%E -1.81%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-13 22:30
MyBookie.ag🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.48%E -2.24%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.35%E -1.81%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-14 02:00
TAB🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.48%E -2.24%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.35%E -1.81%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-14 01:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.48%E -2.24%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.35%E -1.81%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-13 22:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.48%E -2.24%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.40%E -2.40%K -5.30%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-13 15:00
Bet Right🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.48%E -2.24%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.40%E -2.40%K -5.30%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-14 01:10
Fanatics🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.48%E -2.24%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.40%E -2.40%K -5.30%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-13 23:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.48%E -2.24%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.40%E -2.40%K -5.30%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-13 18:20
ReBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.48%E -2.24%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.40%E -2.40%K -5.30%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-14 01:20
Betway🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.48%E -2.24%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.40%E -2.40%K -5.30%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-13 21:50
PlayUp🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.48%E -2.24%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.92%E -2.70%K -6.00%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-13 23:50
Coolbet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.48%E -2.24%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.92%E -2.70%K -6.00%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-14 01:10
888sport🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.48%E -2.24%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.97%E -3.31%K -7.46%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-13 15:30
888sport (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.48%E -2.24%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.97%E -3.31%K -7.46%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-13 15:31
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.48%E -2.24%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.97%E -3.31%K -7.46%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-13 15:30
William Hill🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.48%E -2.24%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.97%E -3.31%K -7.46%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-13 08:40
BoyleSports🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.48%E -2.24%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.97%E -3.31%K -7.46%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-14 02:00
Bovada🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 48.04%EV -4.96%E -2.49%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.96%EV -3.88%E -2.11%K -4.61%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-14 02:00
Betr (AU)🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 47.77%EV -4.96%E -2.49%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.23%EV -4.92%E -2.70%K -6.00%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-14 01:10
Dabble (AU)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -5.44%E -2.75%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -3.35%E -1.81%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-14 01:40
SportsBet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.44%E -2.75%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.40%E -2.40%K -5.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-13 22:30
NordicBet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.44%E -2.75%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.40%E -2.40%K -5.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-14 02:00
Betsson🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.44%E -2.75%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.40%E -2.40%K -5.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-14 02:00
Winamax (DE)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -5.44%E -2.75%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -4.92%E -2.70%K -6.00%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-14 01:20
Unibet (FR)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.88%EV -5.92%E -3.00%K -6.10%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.12%EV -5.44%E -3.01%K -6.72%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-14 02:00
Unibet (NL)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.83%EV -6.39%E -3.26%K -6.66%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.17%EV -2.31%E -1.23%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-14 01:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.83%EV -6.39%E -3.26%K -6.66%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.17%EV -2.31%E -1.23%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-14 01:10
Marathon Bet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -6.39%E -3.26%K -6.66%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -3.88%E -2.11%K -4.61%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-13 23:50
Winamax (FR)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -6.39%E -3.26%K -6.66%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.13%EV -5.97%E -3.31%K -7.46%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-14 01:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.87%E -3.52%K -7.23%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.35%E -1.81%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-14 01:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.87%E -3.52%K -7.23%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.35%E -1.81%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-14 01:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.87%E -3.52%K -7.23%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.35%E -1.81%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-14 01:10
LeoVegas🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.87%E -3.52%K -7.23%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.35%E -1.81%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-14 01:10
Unibet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.87%E -3.52%K -7.23%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.35%E -1.81%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-14 01:10
Casumo🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.87%E -3.52%K -7.23%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.35%E -1.81%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-14 01:10
betPARX🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.87%E -3.52%K -7.23%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.35%E -1.81%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-14 01:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.87%E -3.52%K -7.23%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.35%E -1.81%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-14 01:10
Bally Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.87%E -3.52%K -7.23%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.35%E -1.81%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-14 01:09
TABtouch🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -7.35%E -3.79%K -7.82%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -3.35%E -1.81%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-14 01:10
BetRivers🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -7.35%E -3.79%K -7.82%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -3.35%E -1.81%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-14 01:10
Betclic (FR)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.85%EV -7.35%E -3.79%K -7.82%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.15%EV -7.01%E -3.94%K -8.99%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-14 02:00
Grosvenor🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.67%EV -7.83%E -4.05%K -8.41%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.33%EV -4.40%E -2.40%K -5.30%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-14 01:10
Tipico (DE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.67%EV -7.83%E -4.05%K -8.41%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.33%EV -4.40%E -2.40%K -5.30%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-13 21:50
Paddy Power🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -8.78%E -4.60%K -9.65%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -4.40%E -2.40%K -5.30%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-13 23:40
Bet Victor🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -9.26%E -4.87%K -10.29%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -3.35%E -1.81%K -3.95%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-14 01:58
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly2.15I 46.51%NM 46.52%1.87I 53.48%NM 53.48%-0.0%2026-06-14 02:00
Novig2.11I 47.39%NM 47.38%1.90I 52.63%NM 52.62%0.0%2026-06-14 02:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 47.37%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.63%0.5%2026-06-14 02:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 47.37%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.63%0.5%2026-06-14 02:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.10I 47.62%NM 47.37%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.63%0.5%2026-06-14 02:00
Matchbook2.10I 47.62%NM 47.24%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.76%0.8%2026-06-14 02:00
Kalshi2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%1.0%2026-06-14 02:00
Polymarket2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%1.0%2026-06-13 23:20
ProphetX2.09I 47.85%NM 47.36%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.64%1.0%2026-06-14 02:00
Smarkets2.06I 48.54%NM 47.58%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.42%2.0%2026-06-13 23:30