Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

San Francisco Giants v Arizona Diamondbacks

Kickoff: 2026-05-25 21:06 UTC

Final: San Francisco Giants 2–6 Arizona Diamondbacks

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

61 sportsbooks (19 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

San Francisco Giants (Local)

Prediction 54.28%1.84fair odd
EV -1.21%
Edge -0.663%
Kelly -1.47%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.82

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.99%54.37%54.26%56.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.681.751.751.8259.52%57.26%57.14%54.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Arizona Diamondbacks (Visit)

Prediction 45.72%2.19fair odd
EV +0.123%
Edge +0.056%
Kelly +0.103%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.19

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.86%45.63%45.74%47.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.112.102.1950.00%47.41%47.62%45.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: San Francisco Giants (Local): 54.28%; Arizona Diamondbacks (Visit): 45.72%. For Arizona Diamondbacks (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.187. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.190, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.123%.

Sportsbook Odds (61 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 55.30%EV -3.92%E -2.22%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 44.70%EV +0.123%E +0.056%K +0.103%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-25 14:40
Everygame🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 54.68%EV -2.84%E -1.58%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.32%EV -1.25%E -0.578%K -1.08%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-25 17:19
GTbets🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -2.29%E -1.27%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -1.71%E -0.793%K -1.48%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-25 20:40
Svenska Spel🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.99%EV -4.46%E -2.54%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.01%EV -1.71%E -0.793%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-25 21:00
theScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.55%E -3.19%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -1.71%E -0.793%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-25 12:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.55%E -3.19%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -1.71%E -0.793%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-25 16:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -7.18%E -4.20%K -10.11%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -1.71%E -0.793%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-25 21:00
Unibet (NL)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -7.18%E -4.20%K -10.11%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -1.71%E -0.793%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-25 21:00
Casumo🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -7.72%E -4.54%K -11.03%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -1.71%E -0.793%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-25 21:00
Grosvenor🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -7.72%E -4.54%K -11.03%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -1.71%E -0.793%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-25 21:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -7.72%E -4.54%K -11.03%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -1.71%E -0.793%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-25 21:00
Unibet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -7.72%E -4.54%K -11.03%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -1.71%E -0.793%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-25 21:00
LeoVegas🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -7.72%E -4.54%K -11.03%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -1.71%E -0.793%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-25 21:00
betPARX🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -7.72%E -4.54%K -11.03%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -1.71%E -0.793%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-25 21:00
Bally Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -7.72%E -4.54%K -11.03%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -1.71%E -0.793%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-25 21:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -7.72%E -4.54%K -11.03%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -1.71%E -0.793%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-25 21:00
BetRivers🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -8.81%E -5.24%K -12.95%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -1.71%E -0.793%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-25 21:00
TABtouch🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -8.81%E -5.24%K -12.95%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -1.71%E -0.793%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-25 21:00
LiveScore Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -8.81%E -5.24%K -12.95%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -1.71%E -0.793%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-25 21:00
Virgin Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -8.81%E -5.24%K -12.95%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -1.71%E -0.793%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-25 21:00
FanDuel🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -5.01%E -2.86%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -2.16%E -1.01%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-25 19:40
Pinnacle🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 53.92%EV -1.21%E -0.663%K -1.47%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.08%EV -2.62%E -1.23%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.9%2026-05-25 19:20
LowVig.ag🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 54.20%EV -2.29%E -1.27%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.80%EV -2.62%E -1.23%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-25 20:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 54.20%EV -2.29%E -1.27%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.80%EV -2.62%E -1.23%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-25 20:50
BetUS🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 53.94%EV -1.75%E -0.967%K -2.16%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.06%EV -3.08%E -1.45%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-25 21:00
BetAnything🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%EV -1.21%E -0.663%K -1.47%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%EV -3.53%E -1.68%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-25 20:30
SportsBet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -6.09%E -3.52%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -3.53%E -1.68%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-25 19:40
Unibet (UK)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -3.38%E -1.90%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -3.99%E -1.90%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-25 20:50
MyBookie.ag🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -3.38%E -1.90%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -3.99%E -1.90%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-25 20:50
Fanatics🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.92%E -2.22%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.99%E -1.90%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-25 18:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.92%E -2.22%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.99%E -1.90%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-25 20:09
ReBet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.92%E -2.22%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.99%E -1.90%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-25 16:00
Caesars🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.92%E -2.22%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.99%E -1.90%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-25 15:59
Betway🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.92%E -2.22%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.99%E -1.90%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-25 16:00
Bet Right🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.01%E -2.86%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.99%E -1.90%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-25 18:20
Coral🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.01%E -2.86%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.99%E -1.90%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-25 15:30
Neds🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.01%E -2.86%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.99%E -1.90%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-25 15:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.01%E -2.86%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.99%E -1.90%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-25 15:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.01%E -2.86%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.99%E -1.90%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-25 15:40
TAB🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.01%E -2.86%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.99%E -1.90%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-25 20:59
Coolbet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.01%E -2.86%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.99%E -1.90%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-25 18:20
BetMGM🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.55%E -3.19%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.99%E -1.90%K -3.63%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-25 15:40
888sport🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.09%E -3.52%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.99%E -1.90%K -3.63%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-25 15:59
Betr (AU)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.09%E -3.52%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.99%E -1.90%K -3.63%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-25 15:10
888sport (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.09%E -3.52%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.99%E -1.90%K -3.63%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-25 15:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.09%E -3.52%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.99%E -1.90%K -3.63%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-25 15:59
William Hill🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.09%E -3.52%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.99%E -1.90%K -3.63%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-25 12:50
DraftKings🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -4.46%E -2.54%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.91%E -2.36%K -4.54%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-25 20:50
PlayUp🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -5.01%E -2.86%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -4.91%E -2.36%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-25 21:00
NordicBet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.46%E -2.54%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.36%E -2.59%K -5.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-25 20:50
Betsson🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.46%E -2.54%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.36%E -2.59%K -5.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-25 20:50
Dabble (AU)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -3.38%E -1.90%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -6.28%E -3.06%K -5.98%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-25 21:00
Fliff🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.92%E -2.22%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.28%E -3.06%K -5.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-25 20:20
Marathon Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.92%E -2.22%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.28%E -3.06%K -5.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-25 20:49
Unibet (FR)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.55%E -3.19%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.28%E -3.06%K -5.98%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-25 21:00
Winamax (DE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.55%E -3.19%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.28%E -3.06%K -5.98%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-25 16:00
Winamax (FR)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.55%E -3.19%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.28%E -3.06%K -5.98%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-25 20:50
Paddy Power🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.09%E -3.52%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.28%E -3.06%K -5.98%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-25 19:40
BoyleSports🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.09%E -3.52%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.28%E -3.06%K -5.98%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-25 16:00
Bovada🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.99%EV -1.75%E -0.967%K -2.16%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.01%EV -6.73%E -3.30%K -6.48%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-25 21:00
Tipico (DE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -3.92%E -2.22%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -8.56%E -4.28%K -8.56%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-25 15:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
ProphetX1.84I 54.35%NM 54.23%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.77%0.2%2026-05-25 20:40
Novig1.85I 54.05%NM 53.87%2.16I 46.30%NM 46.13%0.4%2026-05-25 21:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00%2.16I 46.30%NM 46.00%0.6%2026-05-25 21:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00%2.16I 46.30%NM 46.00%0.6%2026-05-25 21:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00%2.16I 46.30%NM 46.00%0.6%2026-05-25 21:00
Matchbook1.83I 54.64%NM 54.14%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.86%0.9%2026-05-25 21:00
Kalshi1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.0%2026-05-25 21:00
Polymarket1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.0%2026-05-25 20:40
Smarkets1.81I 55.25%NM 53.94%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.06%2.4%2026-05-25 21:00
BetOpenly1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%4.0%2026-05-25 21:00