Language:English
San Diego Padres v St. Louis Cardinals
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
San Diego Padres (Local)
Prediction 56.73%1.76fair odd
EV -1.29%
Edge -0.743%
Kelly -1.75%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.74
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.84%56.82%56.78%58.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.611.671.681.7462.11%59.81%59.52%57.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
St. Louis Cardinals (Visit)
Prediction 43.27%2.31fair odd
EV +0.389%
Edge +0.168%
Kelly +0.295%
Growth +0.001%
assuming max odds 2.32
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.12%43.18%43.22%44.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.152.232.212.3246.51%44.78%45.35%43.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: San Diego Padres (Local): 56.73%; St. Louis Cardinals (Visit): 43.27%. For St. Louis Cardinals (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.31. 11 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.32, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.389%.
Sportsbook Odds (60 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.15%EV -5.26%E -3.15%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.85%EV +0.389%E +0.168%K +0.295%G +0.001% | 3.0% | 2026-05-08 22:49 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.73%EV -7.53%E -4.62%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.27%EV +0.389%E +0.168%K +0.295%G +0.001% | 4.5% | 2026-05-08 22:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.73%EV -7.53%E -4.62%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.27%EV +0.389%E +0.168%K +0.295%G +0.001% | 4.5% | 2026-05-08 22:49 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -8.10%E -5.00%K -13.06%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV +0.389%E +0.168%K +0.295%G +0.001% | 4.8% | 2026-05-08 22:49 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -8.10%E -5.00%K -13.06%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV +0.389%E +0.168%K +0.295%G +0.001% | 4.8% | 2026-05-08 22:49 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -8.10%E -5.00%K -13.06%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV +0.389%E +0.168%K +0.295%G +0.001% | 4.8% | 2026-05-08 22:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -8.10%E -5.00%K -13.06%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV +0.389%E +0.168%K +0.295%G +0.001% | 4.8% | 2026-05-08 22:49 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -8.10%E -5.00%K -13.06%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV +0.389%E +0.168%K +0.295%G +0.001% | 4.8% | 2026-05-08 22:49 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -8.10%E -5.00%K -13.06%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV +0.389%E +0.168%K +0.295%G +0.001% | 4.8% | 2026-05-08 22:49 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -8.10%E -5.00%K -13.06%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV +0.389%E +0.168%K +0.295%G +0.001% | 4.8% | 2026-05-08 22:49 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -8.10%E -5.00%K -13.06%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV +0.389%E +0.168%K +0.295%G +0.001% | 4.8% | 2026-05-08 22:50 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -2.99%E -1.75%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV -0.476%E -0.207%K -0.366%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-05-09 01:34 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -5.26%E -3.15%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -0.476%E -0.207%K -0.366%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-09 01:39 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -8.67%E -5.38%K -14.21%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -0.476%E -0.207%K -0.366%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-08 22:49 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -8.67%E -5.38%K -14.21%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -0.476%E -0.207%K -0.366%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-08 22:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -8.67%E -5.38%K -14.21%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -0.476%E -0.207%K -0.366%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-08 22:49 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -8.67%E -5.38%K -14.21%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -0.476%E -0.207%K -0.366%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-08 22:50 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.11%EV -2.43%E -1.41%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 42.89%EV -0.909%E -0.397%K -0.705%G +0.000% | 1.8% | 2026-05-09 01:34 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.04%EV -2.99%E -1.75%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.96%EV -1.77%E -0.782%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-05-09 01:34 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.04%EV -2.99%E -1.75%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.96%EV -1.77%E -0.782%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-05-09 01:34 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -1.29%E -0.743%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV -2.64%E -1.17%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-05-09 01:34 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.13%E -2.44%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.64%E -1.17%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-05-08 06:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -4.70%E -2.80%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -2.64%E -1.17%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-09 01:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.28%EV -1.29%E -0.743%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.72%EV -3.07%E -1.37%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-05-09 01:24 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -4.70%E -2.80%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -3.07%E -1.37%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-08 10:04 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -1.29%E -0.743%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -3.94%E -1.77%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-05-09 01:44 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -4.13%E -2.44%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -3.94%E -1.77%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-08 14:23 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -5.26%E -3.15%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -3.94%E -1.77%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-08 13:50 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -5.26%E -3.15%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -3.94%E -1.77%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-08 18:54 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.52%EV -3.56%E -2.09%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.48%EV -4.37%E -1.98%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-09 01:34 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -2.99%E -1.75%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.80%E -2.18%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-09 01:19 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.56%E -2.09%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.80%E -2.18%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-09 01:19 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.56%E -2.09%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.80%E -2.18%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-09 01:24 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.56%E -2.09%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.80%E -2.18%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-09 01:24 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.13%E -2.44%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.80%E -2.18%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-09 01:34 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.13%E -2.44%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.80%E -2.18%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-09 01:24 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.70%E -2.80%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.80%E -2.18%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-09 01:39 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.70%E -2.80%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.80%E -2.18%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-09 01:34 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.26%E -3.15%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.80%E -2.18%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-08 18:54 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.26%E -3.15%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.80%E -2.18%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-08 18:54 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.26%E -3.15%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.80%E -2.18%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-08 18:54 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.26%E -3.15%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.80%E -2.18%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-08 18:54 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.26%E -3.15%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.80%E -2.18%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-07 19:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.26%E -3.15%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.80%E -2.18%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-09 01:44 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.26%E -3.15%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.80%E -2.18%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-08 14:24 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.40%E -3.88%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -4.80%E -2.18%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-09 01:34 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -8.10%E -5.00%K -13.06%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -4.80%E -2.18%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-08 23:19 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.30%EV -3.56%E -2.09%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.70%EV -5.24%E -2.39%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-09 01:34 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -2.99%E -1.75%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -5.67%E -2.60%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-09 01:44 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -4.13%E -2.44%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -5.67%E -2.60%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-09 01:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.70%E -2.80%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.67%E -2.60%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-09 01:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.70%E -2.80%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.67%E -2.60%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-09 01:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.22%EV -4.13%E -2.44%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.78%EV -6.10%E -2.81%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-09 01:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.56%E -2.09%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.97%E -3.24%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-09 01:19 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.56%E -2.09%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.97%E -3.24%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-09 01:24 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.56%E -2.09%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.97%E -3.24%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-09 01:44 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -4.13%E -2.44%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -6.97%E -3.24%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-09 01:39 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -4.70%E -2.80%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -6.97%E -3.24%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-09 01:34 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.26%E -3.15%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.97%E -3.24%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-09 01:34 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.43%EV -5.83%E -3.51%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.57%EV -6.97%E -3.24%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-09 01:34 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.77I 56.50%NM 56.30% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.70% | 0.4% | 2026-05-09 01:44 |
| Novig◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.90% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 43.10% | 0.4% | 2026-05-09 01:44 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86% | 0.6% | 2026-05-09 01:45 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21% | 0.6% | 2026-05-09 01:45 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.93% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.07% | 0.9% | 2026-05-09 01:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.93% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.07% | 0.9% | 2026-05-09 01:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.93% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.07% | 0.9% | 2026-05-09 01:44 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47% | 1.1% | 2026-05-08 03:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.50% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.50% | 1.7% | 2026-05-09 01:45 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.89% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.11% | 2.2% | 2026-05-09 01:45 |