La scuola delle quote

San Diego Padres v Seattle Mariners

Inizio: 2026-04-17 00:41 UTC

Finale: San Diego Padres 5–2 Seattle Mariners

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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60 bookmaker (19 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

San Diego Padres (Casa)

Previsione 47.57%2.10quota equa
EV -1.54%
Vantaggio -0.743%
Kelly -1.44%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.07

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
46.34%47.57%47.57%48.95%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.952.012.002.0751.28%49.85%50.00%48.31%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Seattle Mariners (Trasferta)

Previsione 52.43%1.91quota equa
EV -1.42%
Vantaggio -0.758%
Kelly -1.62%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.88

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
51.05%52.43%52.43%53.66%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.771.821.821.8856.50%54.86%54.95%53.19%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (60 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle2.07I 48.31%NM 47.33%EV -1.54%E -0.743%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 52.67%EV -2.47%E -1.33%K -2.88%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-17 00:35
GTbets2.06I 48.54%NM 47.45%EV -2.01%E -0.978%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 52.55%EV -2.47%E -1.33%K -2.88%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-16 23:54
BetUS2.06I 48.54%NM 47.45%EV -2.01%E -0.978%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 52.55%EV -2.47%E -1.33%K -2.88%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-16 22:19
Everygame2.06I 48.54%NM 47.45%EV -2.01%E -0.978%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 52.55%EV -2.47%E -1.33%K -2.88%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-16 21:58
1xBet2.05I 48.78%NM 47.84%EV -2.49%E -1.21%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.16%EV -1.42%E -0.758%K -1.62%G +0.000%2.0%2026-04-17 00:25
BetOnline.ag2.05I 48.78%NM 47.57%EV -2.49%E -1.21%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 52.43%EV -2.47%E -1.33%K -2.88%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-16 23:54
LowVig.ag2.05I 48.78%NM 47.57%EV -2.49%E -1.21%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 52.43%EV -2.47%E -1.33%K -2.88%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-16 23:54
Bet Victor2.05I 48.78%NM 47.44%EV -2.49%E -1.21%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.56%EV -3.00%E -1.62%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.8%2026-04-16 21:44
Fliff2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -2.49%E -1.21%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -7.19%E -4.06%K -9.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-16 23:10
FanDuel2.04I 49.02%NM 47.15%EV -2.97%E -1.45%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.85%EV -4.57%E -2.51%K -5.57%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-16 22:30
DraftKings2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -3.92%E -1.94%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -4.57%E -2.51%K -5.57%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-17 00:39
SportsBet2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -3.92%E -1.94%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.62%E -3.12%K -7.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-16 22:30
Bovada2.01I 49.75%NM 47.66%EV -4.39%E -2.19%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.34%EV -4.05%E -2.21%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-17 00:40
Svenska Spel2.00I 50.00%NM 48.45%EV -4.87%E -2.43%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.55%EV -1.42%E -0.758%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-17 00:19
MyBookie.ag2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.87%E -2.43%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.00%E -1.62%K -3.53%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-16 15:18
TAB2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.87%E -2.43%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.00%E -1.62%K -3.53%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-16 20:19
PointsBet (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.87%E -2.43%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.05%E -2.21%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-15 21:39
ReBet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.87%E -2.43%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.05%E -2.21%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-16 16:50
Bet Right2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.87%E -2.43%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.05%E -2.21%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-16 20:10
Fanatics2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.87%E -2.43%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.05%E -2.21%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-16 21:30
theScore Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.87%E -2.43%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.05%E -2.21%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-16 22:49
Caesars2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.87%E -2.43%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.05%E -2.21%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-16 01:59
BetMGM2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.87%E -2.43%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.05%E -2.21%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-16 01:09
Coral2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.87%E -2.43%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.05%E -2.21%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-16 01:09
Ladbrokes (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.87%E -2.43%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.05%E -2.21%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-16 01:09
PlayUp2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.87%E -2.43%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.57%E -2.51%K -5.57%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-17 00:10
Ladbrokes (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.87%E -2.43%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.57%E -2.51%K -5.57%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-16 01:10
Neds2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.87%E -2.43%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.57%E -2.51%K -5.57%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-16 01:09
Unibet (NL)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.87%E -2.43%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.57%E -2.51%K -5.57%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-17 00:19
Unibet (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.87%E -2.43%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.57%E -2.51%K -5.57%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-17 00:19
Dabble (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.87%E -2.43%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.57%E -2.51%K -5.57%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-17 00:39
Coolbet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.87%E -2.43%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.57%E -2.51%K -5.57%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-16 13:45
LeoVegas2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.87%E -2.43%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.09%E -2.81%K -6.29%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-17 00:19
LeoVegas (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.87%E -2.43%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.09%E -2.81%K -6.29%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-17 00:19
Grosvenor2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.87%E -2.43%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.09%E -2.81%K -6.29%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-17 00:20
Unibet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.87%E -2.43%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.09%E -2.81%K -6.29%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-17 00:19
Casumo2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.87%E -2.43%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.09%E -2.81%K -6.29%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-17 00:19
Bally Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.87%E -2.43%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.09%E -2.81%K -6.29%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-17 00:19
betPARX2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.87%E -2.43%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.09%E -2.81%K -6.29%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-17 00:19
ATG (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.87%E -2.43%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.09%E -2.81%K -6.29%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-17 00:19
888sport2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.87%E -2.43%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.62%E -3.12%K -7.02%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-16 01:59
888sport (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.87%E -2.43%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.62%E -3.12%K -7.02%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-16 01:59
Mr Green (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.87%E -2.43%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.62%E -3.12%K -7.02%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-16 01:59
Winamax (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.87%E -2.43%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.62%E -3.12%K -7.02%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-17 00:39
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.87%E -2.43%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.62%E -3.12%K -7.02%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-17 00:39
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.87%E -2.43%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.62%E -3.12%K -7.02%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-16 01:19
Virgin Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.87%E -2.43%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.62%E -3.12%K -7.02%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-17 00:20
TABtouch2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.87%E -2.43%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.62%E -3.12%K -7.02%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-17 00:19
LiveScore Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.87%E -2.43%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.62%E -3.12%K -7.02%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-17 00:19
BetRivers2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.87%E -2.43%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.62%E -3.12%K -7.02%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-17 00:19
BoyleSports2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.87%E -2.43%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.62%E -3.12%K -7.02%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-16 17:20
Betr (AU)1.99I 50.25%NM 47.77%EV -5.34%E -2.69%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.23%EV -4.57%E -2.51%K -5.57%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-16 20:09
Marathon Bet1.99I 50.25%NM 47.77%EV -5.34%E -2.69%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.23%EV -4.57%E -2.51%K -5.57%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-17 00:19
Betsson1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.82%E -2.94%K -5.94%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.05%E -2.21%K -4.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-16 20:24
NordicBet1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.82%E -2.94%K -5.94%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.05%E -2.21%K -4.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-16 20:30
Unibet (FR)1.98I 50.51%NM 47.76%EV -5.82%E -2.94%K -5.94%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.24%EV -5.09%E -2.81%K -6.29%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-17 00:29
Winamax (FR)1.98I 50.51%NM 47.34%EV -5.82%E -2.94%K -5.94%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.66%EV -6.67%E -3.75%K -8.55%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-17 00:40
Tipico (DE)1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -6.29%E -3.20%K -6.49%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -5.62%E -3.12%K -7.02%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-16 22:49
Hard Rock Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -7.25%E -3.72%K -7.63%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -1.95%E -1.04%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-16 21:39
Paddy Power1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.25%E -3.72%K -7.63%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.62%E -3.12%K -7.02%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-16 22:14
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (10)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
BetOpenly2.12I 47.17%NM 47.13%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.87%0.1%2026-04-17 00:39
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.06I 48.54%NM 48.24%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.76%0.6%2026-04-17 00:39
Novig2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74%1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26%0.7%2026-04-17 00:39
Kalshi2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%1.1%2026-04-17 00:39
Polymarket2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%1.1%2026-04-17 00:10
Matchbook2.06I 48.54%NM 47.98%1.90I 52.63%NM 52.02%1.2%2026-04-17 00:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.06I 48.54%NM 47.85%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.15%1.5%2026-04-17 00:39
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.06I 48.54%NM 47.85%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.15%1.5%2026-04-17 00:39
ProphetX2.07I 48.31%NM 47.46%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.54%1.8%2026-04-17 00:40
Smarkets2.02I 49.50%NM 48.21%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.79%2.7%2026-04-17 00:39