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San Diego Padres v Seattle Mariners
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
San Diego Padres (Local)
Predicción 47.57%2.10momio equitativo
EV -1.54%
Ventaja -0.743%
Kelly -1.44%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.07
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
46.34%47.57%47.57%48.95%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.952.012.002.0751.28%49.85%50.00%48.31%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Seattle Mariners (Visitante)
Predicción 52.43%1.91momio equitativo
EV -1.42%
Ventaja -0.758%
Kelly -1.62%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.88
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
51.05%52.43%52.43%53.66%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.771.821.821.8856.50%54.86%54.95%53.19%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: San Diego Padres (Local): 47.57%; Seattle Mariners (Visitante): 52.43%. Para Seattle Mariners (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 1.91. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 1.88, con un valor esperado de -1.42%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (60 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 47.33%EV -1.54%E -0.743%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 52.67%EV -2.47%E -1.33%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-04-17 00:35 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.45%EV -2.01%E -0.978%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 52.55%EV -2.47%E -1.33%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-04-16 23:54 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.45%EV -2.01%E -0.978%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 52.55%EV -2.47%E -1.33%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-04-16 22:19 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.45%EV -2.01%E -0.978%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 52.55%EV -2.47%E -1.33%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-04-16 21:58 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.84%EV -2.49%E -1.21%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.16%EV -1.42%E -0.758%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-04-17 00:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.57%EV -2.49%E -1.21%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 52.43%EV -2.47%E -1.33%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-04-16 23:54 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.57%EV -2.49%E -1.21%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 52.43%EV -2.47%E -1.33%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-04-16 23:54 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.44%EV -2.49%E -1.21%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.56%EV -3.00%E -1.62%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-04-16 21:44 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -2.49%E -1.21%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -7.19%E -4.06%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-16 23:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.15%EV -2.97%E -1.45%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.85%EV -4.57%E -2.51%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-16 22:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -3.92%E -1.94%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -4.57%E -2.51%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-17 00:39 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -3.92%E -1.94%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.62%E -3.12%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-16 22:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.01I 49.75%NM 47.66%EV -4.39%E -2.19%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.34%EV -4.05%E -2.21%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-17 00:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.45%EV -4.87%E -2.43%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.55%EV -1.42%E -0.758%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-17 00:19 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.87%E -2.43%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.00%E -1.62%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-16 15:18 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.87%E -2.43%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.00%E -1.62%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-16 20:19 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.87%E -2.43%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.05%E -2.21%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-15 21:39 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.87%E -2.43%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.05%E -2.21%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-16 16:50 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.87%E -2.43%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.05%E -2.21%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-16 20:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.87%E -2.43%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.05%E -2.21%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-16 21:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.87%E -2.43%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.05%E -2.21%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-16 22:49 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.87%E -2.43%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.05%E -2.21%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-16 01:59 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.87%E -2.43%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.05%E -2.21%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-16 01:09 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.87%E -2.43%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.05%E -2.21%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-16 01:09 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.87%E -2.43%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.05%E -2.21%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-16 01:09 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.87%E -2.43%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.57%E -2.51%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-17 00:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.87%E -2.43%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.57%E -2.51%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-16 01:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.87%E -2.43%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.57%E -2.51%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-16 01:09 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.87%E -2.43%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.57%E -2.51%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-17 00:19 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.87%E -2.43%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.57%E -2.51%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-17 00:19 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.87%E -2.43%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.57%E -2.51%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-17 00:39 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.87%E -2.43%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.57%E -2.51%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-16 13:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.87%E -2.43%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.09%E -2.81%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-17 00:19 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.87%E -2.43%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.09%E -2.81%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-17 00:19 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.87%E -2.43%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.09%E -2.81%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-17 00:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.87%E -2.43%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.09%E -2.81%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-17 00:19 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.87%E -2.43%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.09%E -2.81%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-17 00:19 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.87%E -2.43%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.09%E -2.81%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-17 00:19 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.87%E -2.43%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.09%E -2.81%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-17 00:19 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.87%E -2.43%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.09%E -2.81%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-17 00:19 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.87%E -2.43%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.62%E -3.12%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-16 01:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.87%E -2.43%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.62%E -3.12%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-16 01:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.87%E -2.43%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.62%E -3.12%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-16 01:59 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.87%E -2.43%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.62%E -3.12%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-17 00:39 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.87%E -2.43%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.62%E -3.12%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-17 00:39 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.87%E -2.43%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.62%E -3.12%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-16 01:19 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.87%E -2.43%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.62%E -3.12%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-17 00:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.87%E -2.43%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.62%E -3.12%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-17 00:19 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.87%E -2.43%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.62%E -3.12%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-17 00:19 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.87%E -2.43%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.62%E -3.12%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-17 00:19 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.87%E -2.43%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.62%E -3.12%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-16 17:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.77%EV -5.34%E -2.69%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.23%EV -4.57%E -2.51%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-16 20:09 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.77%EV -5.34%E -2.69%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.23%EV -4.57%E -2.51%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-17 00:19 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.82%E -2.94%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.05%E -2.21%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-16 20:24 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.82%E -2.94%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.05%E -2.21%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-16 20:30 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.76%EV -5.82%E -2.94%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.24%EV -5.09%E -2.81%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-17 00:29 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.34%EV -5.82%E -2.94%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.66%EV -6.67%E -3.75%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-17 00:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -6.29%E -3.20%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -5.62%E -3.12%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-16 22:49 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -7.25%E -3.72%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -1.95%E -1.04%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-16 21:39 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.25%E -3.72%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.62%E -3.12%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-16 22:14 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (10)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 47.13% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.87% | 0.1% | 2026-04-17 00:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.24% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.76% | 0.6% | 2026-04-17 00:39 |
| Novig◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26% | 0.7% | 2026-04-17 00:39 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52% | 1.1% | 2026-04-17 00:39 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52% | 1.1% | 2026-04-17 00:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.98% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 52.02% | 1.2% | 2026-04-17 00:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.85% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.15% | 1.5% | 2026-04-17 00:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.85% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.15% | 1.5% | 2026-04-17 00:39 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.07I 48.31%NM 47.46% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.54% | 1.8% | 2026-04-17 00:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.21% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.79% | 2.7% | 2026-04-17 00:39 |