La escuela de los momios

San Diego Padres v Seattle Mariners

Inicio: 2026-04-17 00:41 UTC

Final: San Diego Padres 5–2 Seattle Mariners

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

60 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

San Diego Padres (Local)

Predicción 47.57%2.10momio equitativo
EV -1.54%
Ventaja -0.743%
Kelly -1.44%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.07

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
46.34%47.57%47.57%48.95%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.952.012.002.0751.28%49.85%50.00%48.31%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Seattle Mariners (Visitante)

Predicción 52.43%1.91momio equitativo
EV -1.42%
Ventaja -0.758%
Kelly -1.62%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.88

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
51.05%52.43%52.43%53.66%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.771.821.821.8856.50%54.86%54.95%53.19%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (60 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Pinnacle2.07I 48.31%NM 47.33%EV -1.54%E -0.743%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 52.67%EV -2.47%E -1.33%K -2.88%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-17 00:35
GTbets2.06I 48.54%NM 47.45%EV -2.01%E -0.978%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 52.55%EV -2.47%E -1.33%K -2.88%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-16 23:54
BetUS2.06I 48.54%NM 47.45%EV -2.01%E -0.978%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 52.55%EV -2.47%E -1.33%K -2.88%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-16 22:19
Everygame2.06I 48.54%NM 47.45%EV -2.01%E -0.978%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 52.55%EV -2.47%E -1.33%K -2.88%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-16 21:58
1xBet2.05I 48.78%NM 47.84%EV -2.49%E -1.21%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.16%EV -1.42%E -0.758%K -1.62%G +0.000%2.0%2026-04-17 00:25
BetOnline.ag2.05I 48.78%NM 47.57%EV -2.49%E -1.21%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 52.43%EV -2.47%E -1.33%K -2.88%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-16 23:54
LowVig.ag2.05I 48.78%NM 47.57%EV -2.49%E -1.21%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 52.43%EV -2.47%E -1.33%K -2.88%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-16 23:54
Bet Victor2.05I 48.78%NM 47.44%EV -2.49%E -1.21%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.56%EV -3.00%E -1.62%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.8%2026-04-16 21:44
Fliff2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -2.49%E -1.21%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -7.19%E -4.06%K -9.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-16 23:10
FanDuel2.04I 49.02%NM 47.15%EV -2.97%E -1.45%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.85%EV -4.57%E -2.51%K -5.57%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-16 22:30
DraftKings2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -3.92%E -1.94%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -4.57%E -2.51%K -5.57%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-17 00:39
SportsBet2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -3.92%E -1.94%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.62%E -3.12%K -7.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-16 22:30
Bovada2.01I 49.75%NM 47.66%EV -4.39%E -2.19%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.34%EV -4.05%E -2.21%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-17 00:40
Svenska Spel2.00I 50.00%NM 48.45%EV -4.87%E -2.43%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.55%EV -1.42%E -0.758%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-17 00:19
MyBookie.ag2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.87%E -2.43%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.00%E -1.62%K -3.53%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-16 15:18
TAB2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.87%E -2.43%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.00%E -1.62%K -3.53%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-16 20:19
PointsBet (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.87%E -2.43%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.05%E -2.21%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-15 21:39
ReBet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.87%E -2.43%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.05%E -2.21%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-16 16:50
Bet Right2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.87%E -2.43%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.05%E -2.21%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-16 20:10
Fanatics2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.87%E -2.43%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.05%E -2.21%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-16 21:30
theScore Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.87%E -2.43%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.05%E -2.21%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-16 22:49
Caesars2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.87%E -2.43%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.05%E -2.21%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-16 01:59
BetMGM2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.87%E -2.43%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.05%E -2.21%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-16 01:09
Coral2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.87%E -2.43%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.05%E -2.21%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-16 01:09
Ladbrokes (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.87%E -2.43%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.05%E -2.21%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-16 01:09
PlayUp2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.87%E -2.43%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.57%E -2.51%K -5.57%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-17 00:10
Ladbrokes (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.87%E -2.43%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.57%E -2.51%K -5.57%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-16 01:10
Neds2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.87%E -2.43%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.57%E -2.51%K -5.57%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-16 01:09
Unibet (NL)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.87%E -2.43%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.57%E -2.51%K -5.57%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-17 00:19
Unibet (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.87%E -2.43%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.57%E -2.51%K -5.57%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-17 00:19
Dabble (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.87%E -2.43%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.57%E -2.51%K -5.57%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-17 00:39
Coolbet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.87%E -2.43%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.57%E -2.51%K -5.57%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-16 13:45
LeoVegas2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.87%E -2.43%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.09%E -2.81%K -6.29%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-17 00:19
LeoVegas (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.87%E -2.43%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.09%E -2.81%K -6.29%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-17 00:19
Grosvenor2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.87%E -2.43%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.09%E -2.81%K -6.29%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-17 00:20
Unibet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.87%E -2.43%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.09%E -2.81%K -6.29%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-17 00:19
Casumo2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.87%E -2.43%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.09%E -2.81%K -6.29%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-17 00:19
Bally Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.87%E -2.43%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.09%E -2.81%K -6.29%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-17 00:19
betPARX2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.87%E -2.43%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.09%E -2.81%K -6.29%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-17 00:19
ATG (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.87%E -2.43%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.09%E -2.81%K -6.29%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-17 00:19
888sport2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.87%E -2.43%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.62%E -3.12%K -7.02%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-16 01:59
888sport (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.87%E -2.43%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.62%E -3.12%K -7.02%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-16 01:59
Mr Green (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.87%E -2.43%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.62%E -3.12%K -7.02%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-16 01:59
Winamax (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.87%E -2.43%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.62%E -3.12%K -7.02%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-17 00:39
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.87%E -2.43%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.62%E -3.12%K -7.02%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-17 00:39
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.87%E -2.43%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.62%E -3.12%K -7.02%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-16 01:19
Virgin Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.87%E -2.43%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.62%E -3.12%K -7.02%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-17 00:20
TABtouch2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.87%E -2.43%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.62%E -3.12%K -7.02%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-17 00:19
LiveScore Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.87%E -2.43%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.62%E -3.12%K -7.02%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-17 00:19
BetRivers2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.87%E -2.43%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.62%E -3.12%K -7.02%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-17 00:19
BoyleSports2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.87%E -2.43%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.62%E -3.12%K -7.02%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-16 17:20
Betr (AU)1.99I 50.25%NM 47.77%EV -5.34%E -2.69%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.23%EV -4.57%E -2.51%K -5.57%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-16 20:09
Marathon Bet1.99I 50.25%NM 47.77%EV -5.34%E -2.69%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.23%EV -4.57%E -2.51%K -5.57%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-17 00:19
Betsson1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.82%E -2.94%K -5.94%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.05%E -2.21%K -4.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-16 20:24
NordicBet1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.82%E -2.94%K -5.94%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.05%E -2.21%K -4.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-16 20:30
Unibet (FR)1.98I 50.51%NM 47.76%EV -5.82%E -2.94%K -5.94%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.24%EV -5.09%E -2.81%K -6.29%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-17 00:29
Winamax (FR)1.98I 50.51%NM 47.34%EV -5.82%E -2.94%K -5.94%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.66%EV -6.67%E -3.75%K -8.55%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-17 00:40
Tipico (DE)1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -6.29%E -3.20%K -6.49%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -5.62%E -3.12%K -7.02%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-16 22:49
Hard Rock Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -7.25%E -3.72%K -7.63%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -1.95%E -1.04%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-16 21:39
Paddy Power1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.25%E -3.72%K -7.63%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.62%E -3.12%K -7.02%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-16 22:14
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly2.12I 47.17%NM 47.13%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.87%0.1%2026-04-17 00:39
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.06I 48.54%NM 48.24%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.76%0.6%2026-04-17 00:39
Novig2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74%1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26%0.7%2026-04-17 00:39
Kalshi2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%1.1%2026-04-17 00:39
Polymarket2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%1.1%2026-04-17 00:10
Matchbook2.06I 48.54%NM 47.98%1.90I 52.63%NM 52.02%1.2%2026-04-17 00:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.06I 48.54%NM 47.85%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.15%1.5%2026-04-17 00:39
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.06I 48.54%NM 47.85%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.15%1.5%2026-04-17 00:39
ProphetX2.07I 48.31%NM 47.46%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.54%1.8%2026-04-17 00:40
Smarkets2.02I 49.50%NM 48.21%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.79%2.7%2026-04-17 00:39