Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

San Diego Padres v San Francisco Giants

2026-08-02 20:11 UTC — MLB

Frente a frente

58 casas de apostas (19 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

San Diego Padres (Local)

Previsão 57.05%1.75odd justa
EV -1.88%
Vantagem -1.09%
Kelly -2.61%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.72

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
56.27%57.20%57.07%59.80%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.581.671.671.7263.29%59.87%59.88%58.14%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

San Francisco Giants (Visitante)

Previsão 42.95%2.33odd justa
EV +1.37%
Vantagem +0.581%
Kelly +1.01%
Crescimento +0.014%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.36

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
40.20%42.80%42.93%43.73%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.102.232.232.3647.62%44.86%44.84%42.37%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Frente a frente, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: San Diego Padres (Local): 57.05%; San Francisco Giants (Visitante): 42.95%. Para San Francisco Giants (Visitante), essa estimativa equivale a odds decimais justas de 2.33. 4 casas de apostas oferecem odds acima desse nível; as melhores odds disponíveis são 2.36, produzindo um valor esperado positivo de +1.37%.

Odds das casas de apostas (58 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
Pinnacle1.66I 60.24%NM 58.71%EV -5.30%E -3.19%K -8.03%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.29%EV +1.37%E +0.581%K +1.01%G +0.014%2.6%2026-08-01 23:20
1xBet1.68I 59.52%NM 58.31%EV -4.16%E -2.48%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.69%EV +0.941%E +0.400%K +0.697%G +0.007%2.1%2026-08-02 00:54
PointsBet (AU)1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -7.01%E -4.30%K -11.13%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV +0.941%E +0.400%K +0.697%G +0.007%3.9%2026-08-02 00:45
Dabble (AU)1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -9.87%E -6.24%K -17.01%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV +0.941%E +0.400%K +0.697%G +0.007%5.8%2026-08-02 02:45
GTbets1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -2.45%E -1.43%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV -1.21%E -0.525%K -0.928%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-01 18:45
Hard Rock Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -2.45%E -1.43%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV -1.21%E -0.525%K -0.928%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-01 22:35
Marathon Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -7.01%E -4.30%K -11.13%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -2.07%E -0.906%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 00:45
LowVig.ag1.71I 58.48%NM 57.04%EV -2.45%E -1.43%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.96%EV -2.50%E -1.10%K -1.97%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-01 18:44
BetOnline.ag1.71I 58.48%NM 57.04%EV -2.45%E -1.43%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.96%EV -2.50%E -1.10%K -1.97%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-01 18:44
FanDuel1.72I 58.14%NM 56.78%EV -1.88%E -1.09%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.22%EV -2.93%E -1.29%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-01 18:45
BetUS1.71I 58.48%NM 56.93%EV -2.45%E -1.43%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.07%EV -2.93%E -1.29%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.7%2026-08-02 00:44
BetRivers1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -4.16%E -2.48%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -3.35%E -1.49%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-02 01:19
Unibet (NL)1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -4.16%E -2.48%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -3.35%E -1.49%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-02 01:20
Unibet (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -4.16%E -2.48%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -3.35%E -1.49%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-02 01:20
Svenska Spel1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -4.16%E -2.48%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -3.35%E -1.49%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-02 01:19
Betway1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.73%E -2.83%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.35%E -1.49%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-02 00:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.73%E -2.83%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.35%E -1.49%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-02 00:10
BetMGM1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.73%E -2.83%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.35%E -1.49%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-02 00:10
Coral1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.73%E -2.83%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.35%E -1.49%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-02 00:09
BetAnything1.69I 59.17%NM 57.00%EV -3.59%E -2.13%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.00%EV -3.78%E -1.69%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-02 01:20
DraftKings1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -4.73%E -2.83%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -4.21%E -1.89%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-02 00:09
LeoVegas (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -4.73%E -2.83%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -4.21%E -1.89%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-02 01:20
Casumo1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -4.73%E -2.83%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -4.21%E -1.89%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-02 01:20
Unibet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -4.73%E -2.83%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -4.21%E -1.89%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-02 01:19
betPARX1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -4.73%E -2.83%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -4.21%E -1.89%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-02 01:20
ATG (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -4.73%E -2.83%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -4.21%E -1.89%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-02 01:20
Bally Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -4.73%E -2.83%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -4.21%E -1.89%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-02 01:19
Virgin Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.30%E -3.19%K -8.03%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.21%E -1.89%K -3.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 01:19
LiveScore Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.30%E -3.19%K -8.03%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.21%E -1.89%K -3.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 01:19
TABtouch1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.30%E -3.19%K -8.03%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.21%E -1.89%K -3.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 01:20
MyBookie.ag1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -3.59%E -2.13%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -4.64%E -2.09%K -3.81%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-02 01:49
Caesars1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -3.59%E -2.13%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -4.64%E -2.09%K -3.81%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-01 23:58
Unibet (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -4.73%E -2.83%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -4.64%E -2.09%K -3.81%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-02 00:09
Bovada1.69I 59.17%NM 56.67%EV -3.59%E -2.13%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.33%EV -5.07%E -2.30%K -4.19%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-01 21:04
theScore Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -2.45%E -1.43%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -5.50%E -2.50%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-01 20:15
PlayUp1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.16%E -2.48%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.50%E -2.50%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-02 00:10
Bet Right1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.16%E -2.48%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.50%E -2.50%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-01 18:50
Neds1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.16%E -2.48%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.50%E -2.50%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-02 00:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.16%E -2.48%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.50%E -2.50%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-02 00:10
Coolbet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.16%E -2.48%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.50%E -2.50%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-02 02:14
Fliff1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.73%E -2.83%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.50%E -2.50%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-01 18:44
888sport1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.73%E -2.83%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.50%E -2.50%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-01 18:50
Betr (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.73%E -2.83%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.50%E -2.50%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-01 18:49
888sport (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.73%E -2.83%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.50%E -2.50%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-01 18:50
Mr Green (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.73%E -2.83%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.50%E -2.50%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-01 18:50
ReBet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.73%E -2.83%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.50%E -2.50%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 00:09
Winamax (DE)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.30%E -3.19%K -8.03%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.50%E -2.50%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-02 00:10
Paddy Power1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.87%E -3.56%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.50%E -2.50%K -4.59%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-01 18:44
betano_uk1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.87%E -3.56%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.50%E -2.50%K -4.59%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-02 00:10
Bet Victor1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.87%E -3.56%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.50%E -2.50%K -4.59%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-02 00:08
Tipico (DE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.87%E -3.56%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.50%E -2.50%K -4.59%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-01 21:00
Betclic (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.88%EV -5.30%E -3.19%K -8.03%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.12%EV -5.93%E -2.71%K -4.98%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-02 00:08
NordicBet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.16%E -2.48%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -6.36%E -2.92%K -5.39%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 02:10
Betsson1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.16%E -2.48%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -6.36%E -2.92%K -5.39%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 02:09
SportsBet1.66I 60.24%NM 56.77%EV -5.30%E -3.19%K -8.03%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.23%EV -6.36%E -2.92%K -5.39%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-01 18:44
Unibet (FR)1.63I 61.35%NM 56.88%EV -7.01%E -4.30%K -11.13%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.12%EV -7.65%E -3.56%K -6.65%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-02 02:15
Grosvenor1.61I 62.11%NM 57.18%EV -8.16%E -5.07%K -13.37%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -7.65%E -3.56%K -6.65%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-02 01:19
Winamax (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 56.45%EV -7.58%E -4.68%K -12.23%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.55%EV -9.80%E -4.67%K -8.91%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-02 00:09
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
BetOpenly1.75I 57.14%NM 57.11%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.89%0.1%2026-08-02 00:54
Novig1.72I 58.14%NM 57.74%2.35I 42.55%NM 42.26%0.7%2026-08-02 02:30
ProphetX1.70I 58.82%NM 58.33%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.67%0.8%2026-08-02 02:50
Kalshi1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.1%2026-08-01 21:55
Polymarket1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-08-02 02:10
Matchbook1.67I 59.88%NM 58.35%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.65%2.6%2026-08-02 01:30
Smarkets1.61I 62.11%NM 57.29%2.16I 46.30%NM 42.71%8.4%2026-08-02 02:45