Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

San Diego Padres v San Francisco Giants

Início: 2026-08-02 20:11 UTC

Final: San Diego Padres 5–4 San Francisco Giants

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

62 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

San Diego Padres (Local)

Previsão 53.51%1.87odd justa
EV -1.01%
Vantagem -0.545%
Kelly -1.19%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.85

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
51.23%53.71%53.54%57.14%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.651.791.801.8560.61%55.73%55.56%54.05%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

San Francisco Giants (Visitante)

Previsão 46.49%2.15odd justa
EV +2.28%
Vantagem +1.04%
Kelly +1.90%
Crescimento +0.043%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.20

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
42.86%46.29%46.46%48.77%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.882.042.052.2053.19%49.12%48.78%45.45%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: San Diego Padres (Local): 53.51%; San Francisco Giants (Visitante): 46.49%. Para San Francisco Giants (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.15. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 2.20, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +2.28%.

Odds das casas de apostas (62 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
Tipico (DE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -11.71%E -7.10%K -18.02%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV +2.28%E +1.04%K +1.90%G +0.043%6.1%2026-08-02 17:10
GTbets🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 54.06%EV -3.15%E -1.74%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.94%EV -0.974%E -0.457%K -0.862%G +0.000%2.2%2026-08-02 18:44
Caesars🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 53.81%EV -2.61%E -1.44%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.19%EV -1.44%E -0.679%K -1.28%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-02 20:09
Everygame🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 53.81%EV -2.61%E -1.44%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.19%EV -1.44%E -0.679%K -1.28%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-02 19:04
LowVig.ag🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 53.94%EV -3.15%E -1.74%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.06%EV -1.44%E -0.679%K -1.28%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-02 18:44
BetOnline.ag🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 53.94%EV -3.15%E -1.74%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.06%EV -1.44%E -0.679%K -1.28%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-02 18:45
Pinnacle🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.55%EV -2.08%E -1.14%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.45%EV -1.90%E -0.902%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-02 18:15
BetUS🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%EV -2.61%E -1.44%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%EV -1.90%E -0.902%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-02 19:09
BetAnything🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.96%EV -3.68%E -2.05%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.04%EV -1.90%E -0.902%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-02 18:49
FanDuel🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 53.16%EV -1.01%E -0.545%K -1.19%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.84%EV -2.37%E -1.13%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.7%2026-08-02 20:10
1xBet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.08%E -1.14%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -2.37%E -1.13%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-02 19:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.08%E -1.14%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -2.37%E -1.13%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-02 17:20
DraftKings🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.29%EV -5.82%E -3.31%K -7.66%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.71%EV -2.83%E -1.36%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-02 20:04
Unibet (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.61%EV -3.68%E -2.05%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.39%EV -3.30%E -1.59%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-02 20:10
Dabble (AU)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -6.36%E -3.63%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -3.30%E -1.59%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 17:20
MyBookie.ag🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.37%EV -3.68%E -2.05%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.63%EV -4.23%E -2.05%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-02 17:23
Bovada🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.51%EV -4.22%E -2.36%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.49%EV -4.23%E -2.05%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-02 18:05
BetRivers🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.84%EV -2.08%E -1.14%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.16%EV -4.69%E -2.29%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-02 19:30
Svenska Spel🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.84%EV -2.08%E -1.14%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.16%EV -4.69%E -2.29%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-02 19:30
ReBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.68%E -2.05%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.69%E -2.29%K -4.47%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-02 17:15
theScore Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.68%E -2.05%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.69%E -2.29%K -4.47%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-02 17:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.68%E -2.05%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.69%E -2.29%K -4.47%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-02 18:45
Coral🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.68%E -2.05%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.69%E -2.29%K -4.47%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-02 18:45
TAB🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.68%E -2.05%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.69%E -2.29%K -4.47%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-02 17:50
Fanatics🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.68%E -2.05%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.69%E -2.29%K -4.47%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-02 17:25
SportsBet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.75%E -2.67%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.69%E -2.29%K -4.47%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-02 20:09
Bet Right🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.75%E -2.67%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.69%E -2.29%K -4.47%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-02 19:50
Coolbet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.75%E -2.67%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.69%E -2.29%K -4.47%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-02 19:39
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.29%E -2.99%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.69%E -2.29%K -4.47%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 19:35
PlayUp🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.29%E -2.99%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.69%E -2.29%K -4.47%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 17:20
BetMGM🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.29%E -2.99%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.69%E -2.29%K -4.47%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 18:44
Betr (AU)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.82%E -3.31%K -7.66%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -4.69%E -2.29%K -4.47%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-02 17:24
Winamax (DE)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.82%E -3.31%K -7.66%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -4.69%E -2.29%K -4.47%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-02 20:09
888sport🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.36%E -3.63%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.69%E -2.29%K -4.47%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-02 17:50
888sport (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.36%E -3.63%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.69%E -2.29%K -4.47%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-02 17:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.36%E -3.63%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.69%E -2.29%K -4.47%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-02 17:49
Betway🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.89%E -3.96%K -9.32%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -4.69%E -2.29%K -4.47%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-02 20:09
Marathon Bet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -4.75%E -2.67%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -5.16%E -2.53%K -4.96%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 19:05
NordicBet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -4.75%E -2.67%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -5.62%E -2.77%K -5.46%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 17:49
Betsson🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -4.75%E -2.67%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -5.62%E -2.77%K -5.46%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 17:50
Neds🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.68%E -2.05%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.09%E -3.01%K -5.97%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 18:44
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.68%E -2.05%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.09%E -3.01%K -5.97%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 18:45
Fliff🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.68%E -2.05%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.02%E -3.51%K -7.02%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-02 19:59
William Hill🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.68%E -2.05%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.02%E -3.51%K -7.02%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-02 17:49
Unibet (FR)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.29%E -2.99%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -7.02%E -3.51%K -7.02%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-02 19:55
Winamax (FR)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -5.82%E -3.31%K -7.66%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -7.02%E -3.51%K -7.02%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-02 17:14
betano_uk🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.36%E -3.63%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -7.02%E -3.51%K -7.02%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-02 20:08
Bet Victor🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.36%E -3.63%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -7.02%E -3.51%K -7.02%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-02 20:10
Betclic (FR)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.23%EV -6.89%E -3.96%K -9.32%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.77%EV -7.95%E -4.01%K -8.11%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-02 19:43
Unibet (NL)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -2.08%E -1.14%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -8.88%E -4.53%K -9.25%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-02 19:30
Unibet (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -2.08%E -1.14%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -8.88%E -4.53%K -9.25%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-02 19:30
Virgin Bet🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.45%EV -1.54%E -0.839%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.55%EV -9.34%E -4.79%K -9.83%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-02 19:30
LiveScore Bet🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.45%EV -1.54%E -0.839%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.55%EV -9.34%E -4.79%K -9.83%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-02 19:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -2.08%E -1.14%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -9.34%E -4.79%K -9.83%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-02 19:30
Casumo🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -2.08%E -1.14%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -9.34%E -4.79%K -9.83%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-02 19:30
Unibet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -2.08%E -1.14%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -9.34%E -4.79%K -9.83%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-02 19:30
betPARX🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -2.08%E -1.14%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -9.34%E -4.79%K -9.83%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-02 19:30
ATG (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -2.08%E -1.14%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -9.34%E -4.79%K -9.83%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-02 19:30
Bally Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -2.08%E -1.14%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -9.34%E -4.79%K -9.83%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-02 19:29
Paddy Power🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -3.68%E -2.05%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -9.34%E -4.79%K -9.83%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-02 20:09
TABtouch🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.46%EV -2.08%E -1.14%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.54%EV -9.81%E -5.06%K -10.43%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-02 19:30
Grosvenor🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 51.23%EV -4.22%E -2.36%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.77%EV -12.60%E -6.70%K -14.31%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-02 19:29
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00%2.16I 46.30%NM 46.00%0.6%2026-08-02 20:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00%2.16I 46.30%NM 46.00%0.6%2026-08-02 20:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00%2.16I 46.30%NM 46.00%0.6%2026-08-02 20:10
ProphetX◎1.83I 54.64%NM 54.25%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.75%0.7%2026-08-02 20:10
Kalshi◎1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.0%2026-08-02 18:45
Polymarket◎1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.0%2026-08-02 17:45
Matchbook◎1.82I 54.95%NM 54.27%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.73%1.2%2026-08-02 20:10
Novig◎1.82I 54.95%NM 54.16%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.84%1.5%2026-08-02 20:10
BetOpenly◎1.85I 54.05%NM 53.16%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.84%1.7%2026-08-02 20:00
Smarkets◎1.82I 54.95%NM 54.04%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.96%1.7%2026-08-02 20:10