Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

San Diego Padres v San Francisco Giants

2026-08-02 20:11 UTC — MLB

Résultat du match

58 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

San Diego Padres (Local)

Prévision 57.05%1.75cote équitable
EV -1.88%
Avantage -1.09%
Kelly -2.61%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.72

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
56.27%57.20%57.07%59.80%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.581.671.671.7263.29%59.87%59.88%58.14%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

San Francisco Giants (Visiteur)

Prévision 42.95%2.33cote équitable
EV +1.37%
Avantage +0.581%
Kelly +1.01%
Croissance +0.014%

avec la cote maximale 2.36

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
40.20%42.80%42.93%43.73%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.102.232.232.3647.62%44.86%44.84%42.37%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : San Diego Padres (Local) : 57.05% ; San Francisco Giants (Visiteur) : 42.95%. Pour San Francisco Giants (Visiteur), cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 2.33. 4 opérateurs proposent une cote supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure cote disponible est 2.36, pour une espérance positive de +1.37%.

Cotes des opérateurs (58 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Pinnacle1.66I 60.24%NM 58.71%EV -5.30%E -3.19%K -8.03%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.29%EV +1.37%E +0.581%K +1.01%G +0.014%2.6%2026-08-01 23:20
1xBet1.68I 59.52%NM 58.31%EV -4.16%E -2.48%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.69%EV +0.941%E +0.400%K +0.697%G +0.007%2.1%2026-08-02 00:54
PointsBet (AU)1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -7.01%E -4.30%K -11.13%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV +0.941%E +0.400%K +0.697%G +0.007%3.9%2026-08-02 00:45
Dabble (AU)1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -9.87%E -6.24%K -17.01%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV +0.941%E +0.400%K +0.697%G +0.007%5.8%2026-08-02 02:45
GTbets1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -2.45%E -1.43%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV -1.21%E -0.525%K -0.928%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-01 18:45
Hard Rock Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -2.45%E -1.43%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV -1.21%E -0.525%K -0.928%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-01 22:35
Marathon Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -7.01%E -4.30%K -11.13%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -2.07%E -0.906%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 00:45
LowVig.ag1.71I 58.48%NM 57.04%EV -2.45%E -1.43%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.96%EV -2.50%E -1.10%K -1.97%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-01 18:44
BetOnline.ag1.71I 58.48%NM 57.04%EV -2.45%E -1.43%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.96%EV -2.50%E -1.10%K -1.97%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-01 18:44
FanDuel1.72I 58.14%NM 56.78%EV -1.88%E -1.09%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.22%EV -2.93%E -1.29%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-01 18:45
BetUS1.71I 58.48%NM 56.93%EV -2.45%E -1.43%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.07%EV -2.93%E -1.29%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.7%2026-08-02 00:44
BetRivers1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -4.16%E -2.48%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -3.35%E -1.49%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-02 01:19
Unibet (NL)1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -4.16%E -2.48%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -3.35%E -1.49%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-02 01:20
Unibet (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -4.16%E -2.48%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -3.35%E -1.49%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-02 01:20
Svenska Spel1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -4.16%E -2.48%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -3.35%E -1.49%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-02 01:19
Betway1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.73%E -2.83%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.35%E -1.49%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-02 00:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.73%E -2.83%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.35%E -1.49%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-02 00:10
BetMGM1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.73%E -2.83%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.35%E -1.49%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-02 00:10
Coral1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.73%E -2.83%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.35%E -1.49%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-02 00:09
BetAnything1.69I 59.17%NM 57.00%EV -3.59%E -2.13%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.00%EV -3.78%E -1.69%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-02 01:20
DraftKings1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -4.73%E -2.83%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -4.21%E -1.89%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-02 00:09
LeoVegas (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -4.73%E -2.83%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -4.21%E -1.89%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-02 01:20
Casumo1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -4.73%E -2.83%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -4.21%E -1.89%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-02 01:20
Unibet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -4.73%E -2.83%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -4.21%E -1.89%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-02 01:19
betPARX1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -4.73%E -2.83%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -4.21%E -1.89%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-02 01:20
ATG (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -4.73%E -2.83%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -4.21%E -1.89%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-02 01:20
Bally Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -4.73%E -2.83%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -4.21%E -1.89%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-02 01:19
Virgin Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.30%E -3.19%K -8.03%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.21%E -1.89%K -3.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 01:19
LiveScore Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.30%E -3.19%K -8.03%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.21%E -1.89%K -3.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 01:19
TABtouch1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.30%E -3.19%K -8.03%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.21%E -1.89%K -3.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 01:20
MyBookie.ag1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -3.59%E -2.13%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -4.64%E -2.09%K -3.81%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-02 01:49
Caesars1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -3.59%E -2.13%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -4.64%E -2.09%K -3.81%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-01 23:58
Unibet (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -4.73%E -2.83%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -4.64%E -2.09%K -3.81%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-02 00:09
Bovada1.69I 59.17%NM 56.67%EV -3.59%E -2.13%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.33%EV -5.07%E -2.30%K -4.19%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-01 21:04
theScore Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -2.45%E -1.43%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -5.50%E -2.50%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-01 20:15
PlayUp1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.16%E -2.48%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.50%E -2.50%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-02 00:10
Bet Right1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.16%E -2.48%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.50%E -2.50%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-01 18:50
Neds1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.16%E -2.48%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.50%E -2.50%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-02 00:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.16%E -2.48%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.50%E -2.50%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-02 00:10
Coolbet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.16%E -2.48%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.50%E -2.50%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-02 02:14
Fliff1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.73%E -2.83%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.50%E -2.50%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-01 18:44
888sport1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.73%E -2.83%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.50%E -2.50%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-01 18:50
Betr (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.73%E -2.83%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.50%E -2.50%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-01 18:49
888sport (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.73%E -2.83%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.50%E -2.50%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-01 18:50
Mr Green (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.73%E -2.83%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.50%E -2.50%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-01 18:50
ReBet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.73%E -2.83%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.50%E -2.50%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 00:09
Winamax (DE)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.30%E -3.19%K -8.03%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.50%E -2.50%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-02 00:10
Paddy Power1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.87%E -3.56%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.50%E -2.50%K -4.59%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-01 18:44
betano_uk1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.87%E -3.56%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.50%E -2.50%K -4.59%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-02 00:10
Bet Victor1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.87%E -3.56%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.50%E -2.50%K -4.59%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-02 00:08
Tipico (DE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.87%E -3.56%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.50%E -2.50%K -4.59%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-01 21:00
Betclic (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.88%EV -5.30%E -3.19%K -8.03%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.12%EV -5.93%E -2.71%K -4.98%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-02 00:08
NordicBet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.16%E -2.48%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -6.36%E -2.92%K -5.39%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 02:10
Betsson1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.16%E -2.48%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -6.36%E -2.92%K -5.39%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 02:09
SportsBet1.66I 60.24%NM 56.77%EV -5.30%E -3.19%K -8.03%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.23%EV -6.36%E -2.92%K -5.39%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-01 18:44
Unibet (FR)1.63I 61.35%NM 56.88%EV -7.01%E -4.30%K -11.13%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.12%EV -7.65%E -3.56%K -6.65%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-02 02:15
Grosvenor1.61I 62.11%NM 57.18%EV -8.16%E -5.07%K -13.37%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -7.65%E -3.56%K -6.65%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-02 01:19
Winamax (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 56.45%EV -7.58%E -4.68%K -12.23%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.55%EV -9.80%E -4.67%K -8.91%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-02 00:09
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly1.75I 57.14%NM 57.11%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.89%0.1%2026-08-02 00:54
Novig1.72I 58.14%NM 57.74%2.35I 42.55%NM 42.26%0.7%2026-08-02 02:30
ProphetX1.70I 58.82%NM 58.33%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.67%0.8%2026-08-02 02:50
Kalshi1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.1%2026-08-01 21:55
Polymarket1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-08-02 02:10
Matchbook1.67I 59.88%NM 58.35%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.65%2.6%2026-08-02 01:30
Smarkets1.61I 62.11%NM 57.29%2.16I 46.30%NM 42.71%8.4%2026-08-02 02:45