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San Diego Padres v San Francisco Giants
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
San Diego Padres (Local)
Prediction 45.65%2.19fair odd
EV -0.947%
Edge -0.436%
Kelly -0.809%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.17
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.72%45.54%45.74%46.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.062.132.132.1748.54%47.06%46.95%46.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
San Francisco Giants (Visit)
Prediction 54.35%1.84fair odd
EV -1.08%
Edge -0.592%
Kelly -1.31%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.82
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.92%54.46%54.26%56.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.671.741.731.8259.88%57.34%57.80%54.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: San Diego Padres (Local): 45.65%; San Francisco Giants (Visit): 54.35%. For San Diego Padres (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.19. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.17, with an expected value of -0.947%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (37 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.36%EV -0.947%E -0.436%K -0.809%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.64%EV -5.97%E -3.45%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-01 01:39 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.36%EV -0.947%E -0.436%K -0.809%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.64%EV -5.97%E -3.45%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-01 01:39 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -1.86%E -0.865%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -2.16%E -1.20%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-04-01 01:39 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.43%EV -1.86%E -0.865%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.57%EV -2.71%E -1.51%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-04-01 01:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -1.86%E -0.865%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -6.51%E -3.79%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-01 01:39 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -1.86%E -0.865%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -6.51%E -3.79%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-01 01:39 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -1.86%E -0.865%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -6.51%E -3.79%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-01 01:39 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -1.86%E -0.865%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -6.51%E -3.79%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-01 01:39 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -1.86%E -0.865%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -6.51%E -3.79%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-01 01:39 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -1.86%E -0.865%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -6.51%E -3.79%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-01 01:39 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -1.86%E -0.865%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -6.51%E -3.79%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-01 01:39 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -1.86%E -0.865%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -7.06%E -4.13%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-01 01:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -1.86%E -0.865%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -9.23%E -5.53%K -13.78%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-01 01:39 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.82%EV -2.32%E -1.08%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.18%EV -1.62%E -0.895%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-04-01 01:39 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -2.32%E -1.08%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -7.06%E -4.13%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-01 01:39 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -2.32%E -1.08%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -7.06%E -4.13%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-01 01:39 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -2.32%E -1.08%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -7.06%E -4.13%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-01 01:39 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -2.32%E -1.08%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -7.06%E -4.13%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-01 01:39 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.08%EV -2.77%E -1.30%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.92%EV -1.08%E -0.592%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-04-01 01:29 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.13I 46.95%NM 45.80%EV -2.77%E -1.30%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.20%EV -2.16%E -1.20%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-04-01 01:39 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.13I 46.95%NM 45.10%EV -2.77%E -1.30%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.90%EV -4.88%E -2.79%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-01 01:39 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -3.23%E -1.52%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -4.88%E -2.79%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-01 01:39 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.14%E -1.97%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.79%E -2.14%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-01 01:39 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.14%E -1.97%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.79%E -2.14%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-01 01:39 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.14%E -1.97%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.79%E -2.14%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-01 01:39 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.14%E -1.97%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.79%E -2.14%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-01 01:39 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.14%E -1.97%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.88%E -2.79%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-01 01:39 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.14%E -1.97%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.88%E -2.79%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-01 01:39 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.14%E -1.97%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.88%E -2.79%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-01 01:39 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.14%E -1.97%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.88%E -2.79%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-01 01:39 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.14%E -1.97%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.97%E -3.45%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-01 01:39 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.14%E -1.97%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.97%E -3.45%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-01 01:39 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.14%E -1.97%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.97%E -3.45%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-01 01:39 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.14%E -1.97%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.97%E -3.45%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-01 01:39 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.71%EV -4.60%E -2.20%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.29%EV -4.34%E -2.46%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-01 01:39 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -5.06%E -2.43%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -3.79%E -2.14%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-01 01:38 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -5.97%E -2.90%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -4.34%E -2.46%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-01 01:39 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.27% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.73% | 0.4% | 2026-04-01 01:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.27% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.73% | 0.4% | 2026-04-01 01:40 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.27% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.73% | 0.4% | 2026-04-01 01:39 |
| Novig◎ | 2.19I 45.66%NM 45.39% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.61% | 0.6% | 2026-04-01 01:39 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.19I 45.66%NM 45.39% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.61% | 0.6% | 2026-04-01 01:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.50% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.50% | 0.8% | 2026-04-01 01:40 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52% | 1.0% | 2026-04-01 01:40 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39% | 1.0% | 2026-04-01 01:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.09% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.91% | 1.7% | 2026-04-01 01:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.69% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.31% | 2.3% | 2026-04-01 01:40 |