Language:English
San Diego Padres v Pittsburgh Pirates
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
San Diego Padres (Local)
Prediction 51.92%1.93fair odd
EV -0.836%
Edge -0.437%
Kelly -0.918%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.91
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.05%51.89%51.93%52.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.771.841.831.9156.50%54.32%54.64%52.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Pittsburgh Pirates (Visit)
Prediction 48.08%2.08fair odd
EV -0.471%
Edge -0.228%
Kelly -0.441%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.07
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.19%48.11%48.07%48.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.901.981.982.0752.63%50.39%50.51%48.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: San Diego Padres (Local): 51.92%; Pittsburgh Pirates (Visit): 48.08%. For Pittsburgh Pirates (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.08. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.07, with an expected value of -0.471%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (63 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.28%EV -0.836%E -0.437%K -0.918%G +0.000% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 48.72%EV -3.36%E -1.67%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-08-25 01:14 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -0.836%E -0.437%K -0.918%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -3.84%E -1.92%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-08-24 15:49 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.91%EV -1.87%E -0.992%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.09%EV -1.91%E -0.938%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-08-24 20:44 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%EV -1.87%E -0.992%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%EV -2.88%E -1.42%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-08-24 16:19 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%EV -1.87%E -0.992%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%EV -2.88%E -1.42%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-08-24 23:54 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.29%EV -1.87%E -0.992%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 48.71%EV -4.32%E -2.17%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-25 00:34 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.16%EV -2.39%E -1.27%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.84%EV -1.43%E -0.699%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-08-25 01:34 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.93%EV -2.91%E -1.56%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.07%EV -2.88%E -1.42%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-25 01:29 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.93%EV -2.91%E -1.56%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.07%EV -2.88%E -1.42%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-25 01:29 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.93%EV -2.91%E -1.56%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.07%EV -2.88%E -1.42%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-24 23:29 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.68%EV -2.91%E -1.56%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32%EV -3.84%E -1.92%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-24 20:48 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.43%EV -2.91%E -1.56%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.57%EV -4.80%E -2.42%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-24 23:44 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.91%E -1.56%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.24%E -3.20%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-24 15:49 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.91%E -1.56%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.24%E -3.20%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-25 01:39 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.91%E -1.56%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.24%E -3.20%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-24 15:49 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 52.55%EV -3.43%E -1.84%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.45%EV -0.952%E -0.462%K -0.898%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-25 00:24 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 52.43%EV -3.43%E -1.84%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.57%EV -1.43%E -0.699%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-08-25 00:24 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 52.43%EV -3.43%E -1.84%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.57%EV -1.43%E -0.699%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-08-25 00:24 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.69%EV -3.43%E -1.84%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 48.31%EV -4.32%E -2.17%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-24 20:53 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -3.95%E -2.14%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -0.471%E -0.228%K -0.441%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-08-24 22:50 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -3.95%E -2.14%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -0.471%E -0.228%K -0.441%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-08-25 00:07 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.95%E -2.14%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.84%E -1.92%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-25 01:29 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.95%E -2.14%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.84%E -1.92%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-25 01:29 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.95%E -2.14%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.84%E -1.92%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-24 16:19 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -3.95%E -2.14%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -4.80%E -2.42%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-24 20:49 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.95%E -2.14%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.24%E -3.20%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-25 01:29 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.95%E -2.14%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.24%E -3.20%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-24 23:19 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.83%EV -4.47%E -2.43%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.17%EV -4.80%E -2.42%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-24 23:34 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -4.47%E -2.43%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -5.28%E -2.68%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-24 22:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -4.47%E -2.43%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -5.28%E -2.68%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-24 22:59 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.32%EV -4.47%E -2.43%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.68%EV -6.72%E -3.46%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-25 01:39 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.99%E -2.73%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.84%E -1.92%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-25 00:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.99%E -2.73%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.84%E -1.92%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-25 00:28 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.99%E -2.73%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.84%E -1.92%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-25 00:24 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.99%E -2.73%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.84%E -1.92%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-25 01:33 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.99%E -2.73%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.84%E -1.92%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-24 22:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.99%E -2.73%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.80%E -2.42%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-25 00:24 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.99%E -2.73%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.80%E -2.42%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-25 00:24 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.99%E -2.73%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.80%E -2.42%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-24 16:24 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.99%E -2.73%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.80%E -2.42%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-25 01:34 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -4.99%E -2.73%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -5.28%E -2.68%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-25 01:29 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -4.99%E -2.73%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -5.28%E -2.68%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-25 01:29 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -4.99%E -2.73%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -5.28%E -2.68%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-25 01:29 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -4.99%E -2.73%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -5.28%E -2.68%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-25 01:29 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -4.99%E -2.73%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -5.28%E -2.68%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-25 01:29 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -4.99%E -2.73%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -5.28%E -2.68%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-25 01:29 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -4.99%E -2.73%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -5.76%E -2.94%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-25 01:29 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.99%E -2.73%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.24%E -3.20%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-25 01:29 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -4.99%E -2.73%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -8.16%E -4.27%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-24 23:14 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.51%E -3.03%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -3.84%E -1.92%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-24 23:34 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.34%EV -5.51%E -3.03%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.66%EV -7.68%E -4.00%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-25 01:39 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.86%EV -6.03%E -3.33%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.14%EV -6.24%E -3.20%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-25 01:29 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.86%EV -6.03%E -3.33%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.14%EV -6.24%E -3.20%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-25 01:29 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.55%E -3.64%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.84%E -1.92%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-24 23:34 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.55%E -3.64%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.84%E -1.92%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-24 23:34 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.55%E -3.64%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.84%E -1.92%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-24 23:34 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.55%E -3.64%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.84%E -1.92%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-24 23:34 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.55%E -3.64%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.84%E -1.92%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-24 20:49 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -6.55%E -3.64%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -5.28%E -2.68%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-24 15:53 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.55%E -3.64%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -8.16%E -4.27%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-25 01:13 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -6.55%E -3.64%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -8.65%E -4.55%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-25 01:38 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -6.55%E -3.64%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -8.65%E -4.55%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-25 01:39 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.90%EV -8.10%E -4.58%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.10%EV -8.16%E -4.27%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-25 01:29 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 1.90I 52.63%NM 52.50% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.50% | 0.3% | 2026-08-25 01:34 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.91I 52.36%NM 52.13% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.87% | 0.4% | 2026-08-25 01:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.91I 52.36%NM 52.13% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.87% | 0.4% | 2026-08-25 01:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.91I 52.36%NM 52.13% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.87% | 0.4% | 2026-08-25 01:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.91I 52.36%NM 52.13% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.87% | 0.4% | 2026-08-25 01:39 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61% | 1.0% | 2026-08-24 23:49 |
| Novig◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61% | 1.0% | 2026-08-25 01:34 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48% | 1.1% | 2026-08-24 23:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.28% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.72% | 1.7% | 2026-08-25 01:35 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.55% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 48.45% | 3.7% | 2026-08-25 01:34 |