Language:English
San Diego Padres v Philadelphia Phillies
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
San Diego Padres (Local)
Prediction 43.90%2.28fair odd
EV -0.775%
Edge -0.343%
Kelly -0.615%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.26
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.86%43.84%43.83%45.20%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.182.192.2647.62%45.83%45.66%44.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Philadelphia Phillies (Visit)
Prediction 56.10%1.78fair odd
EV +0.410%
Edge +0.229%
Kelly +0.519%
Growth +0.002%
assuming max odds 1.79
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.80%56.16%56.17%58.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.621.701.701.7961.73%58.74%58.82%55.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: San Diego Padres (Local): 43.90%; Philadelphia Phillies (Visit): 56.10%. For Philadelphia Phillies (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.78. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.79, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.410%.
Sportsbook Odds (61 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Everygame🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%EV -4.73%E -2.18%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%EV +0.410%E +0.229%K +0.519%G +0.002% | 1.9% | 2026-05-27 20:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -3.41%E -1.55%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -0.712%E -0.402%K -0.924%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-05-27 20:09 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.19I 45.66%NM 44.70%EV -3.85%E -1.76%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.30%EV -0.712%E -0.402%K -0.924%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-05-27 19:19 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV -4.29%E -1.97%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -0.712%E -0.402%K -0.924%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-05-27 20:00 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.67%EV -4.29%E -1.97%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.33%EV -1.27%E -0.723%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-05-27 20:09 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -5.60%E -2.61%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -1.83%E -1.05%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-27 20:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.50%EV -0.775%E -0.343%K -0.615%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.50%EV -2.39%E -1.38%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.7% | 2026-05-27 20:09 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.83%EV -2.09%E -0.938%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.17%EV -2.39%E -1.38%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-05-27 20:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.83%EV -2.09%E -0.938%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.17%EV -2.39%E -1.38%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-05-27 20:10 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -5.60%E -2.61%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.39%E -1.38%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-27 20:06 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -5.60%E -2.61%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -2.96%E -1.71%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-27 19:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -5.60%E -2.61%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -2.96%E -1.71%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-27 19:59 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -4.29%E -1.97%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -3.52%E -2.04%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-27 20:09 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.33%EV -5.17%E -2.39%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.67%EV -3.52%E -2.04%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-27 20:09 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.92%E -3.26%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.52%E -2.04%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-27 19:59 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.92%E -3.26%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.52%E -2.04%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-27 20:09 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.92%E -3.26%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.52%E -2.04%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-27 19:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.92%E -3.26%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.52%E -2.04%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-27 19:59 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.18%EV -1.21%E -0.539%K -0.971%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.82%EV -4.08%E -2.38%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-05-27 20:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.41%E -1.55%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.08%E -2.38%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-27 14:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.41%E -1.55%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.08%E -2.38%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-27 15:29 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.60%E -2.61%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.08%E -2.38%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-27 19:59 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.60%E -2.61%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.08%E -2.38%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-27 19:59 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.26%EV -2.09%E -0.938%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.74%EV -4.64%E -2.73%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-27 20:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.26%EV -2.09%E -0.938%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.74%EV -4.64%E -2.73%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-27 20:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%EV -2.53%E -1.14%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63%EV -4.64%E -2.73%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-27 18:19 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.41%E -1.55%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.64%E -2.73%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-27 20:10 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.29%E -1.97%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.64%E -2.73%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-27 19:59 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.29%E -1.97%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.64%E -2.73%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-27 19:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.29%E -1.97%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.64%E -2.73%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-27 19:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -4.73%E -2.18%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -4.64%E -2.73%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-27 19:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -5.17%E -2.39%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -4.64%E -2.73%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-27 20:09 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.60%E -2.61%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.64%E -2.73%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-27 20:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.60%E -2.61%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.64%E -2.73%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-27 20:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.60%E -2.61%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.64%E -2.73%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-27 20:10 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.60%E -2.61%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.64%E -2.73%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-27 20:09 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.41%E -1.55%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -5.20%E -3.08%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-27 19:59 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.41%E -1.55%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -5.20%E -3.08%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-27 20:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.60%E -2.61%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.20%E -3.08%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-27 20:09 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -2.09%E -0.938%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -5.76%E -3.43%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-27 17:19 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.41%E -1.55%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.76%E -3.43%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-27 20:09 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.41%E -1.55%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.76%E -3.43%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-27 20:09 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.41%E -1.55%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.76%E -3.43%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-27 20:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.41%E -1.55%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.76%E -3.43%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-27 20:09 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.41%E -1.55%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.76%E -3.43%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-27 20:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.41%E -1.55%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.76%E -3.43%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-27 20:09 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.60%E -2.61%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.76%E -3.43%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-27 19:59 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -7.80%E -3.71%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -5.76%E -3.43%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-27 20:10 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.41%E -1.55%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.32%E -3.79%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-27 19:59 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.41%E -1.55%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.32%E -3.79%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-27 16:49 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.41%E -1.55%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.32%E -3.79%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-27 16:49 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.41%E -1.55%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.32%E -3.79%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-27 16:49 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.41%E -1.55%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.32%E -3.79%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-27 17:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.41%E -1.55%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.32%E -3.79%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-27 20:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.41%E -1.55%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.32%E -3.79%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-27 20:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.41%E -1.55%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.32%E -3.79%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-27 20:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.41%E -1.55%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.32%E -3.79%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-27 20:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.60%E -2.61%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.32%E -3.79%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-27 19:59 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.60%E -2.61%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.32%E -3.79%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-27 19:59 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.60%E -2.61%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.32%E -3.79%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-27 20:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -1.21%E -0.539%K -0.971%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -9.13%E -5.63%K -14.72%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-27 20:09 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 2.29I 43.67%NM 43.60% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 56.40% | 0.2% | 2026-05-27 20:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.70% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 56.30% | 0.4% | 2026-05-27 20:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.70% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 56.30% | 0.4% | 2026-05-27 20:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44% | 0.7% | 2026-05-27 20:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44% | 0.7% | 2026-05-27 20:10 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36% | 0.9% | 2026-05-27 20:00 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.23I 44.84%NM 44.39% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.61% | 1.0% | 2026-05-27 20:10 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47% | 1.2% | 2026-05-27 20:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.72% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.28% | 2.1% | 2026-05-27 20:10 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.71% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.29% | 4.5% | 2026-05-27 20:09 |