Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

San Diego Padres v New York Yankees

2026-09-06 20:10 UTC — MLB

Résultat du match

56 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

San Diego Padres (Local)

Prévision 49.67%2.01cote équitable
EV -1.65%
Avantage -0.835%
Kelly -1.69%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.98

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
48.43%49.56%49.61%50.00%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.861.931.921.9853.76%51.87%51.95%50.51%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

New York Yankees (Visiteur)

Prévision 50.33%1.99cote équitable
EV -1.35%
Avantage -0.690%
Kelly -1.41%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.96

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
50.00%50.44%50.39%51.57%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.801.881.881.9655.56%53.06%53.19%51.02%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : San Diego Padres (Local) : 49.67% ; New York Yankees (Visiteur) : 50.33%. Pour New York Yankees (Visiteur), cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 1.99. Aucun opérateur admissible ne propose de cote supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure cote disponible est 1.96, pour une espérance de -1.35% ; elle ne produit pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (56 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
FanDuel🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.44%EV -1.65%E -0.835%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.56%EV -6.39%E -3.43%K -7.43%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-05 23:05
Bovada🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -2.15%E -1.09%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -6.89%E -3.72%K -8.10%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-05 23:05
1xBet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%EV -2.65%E -1.35%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%EV -1.35%E -0.690%K -1.41%G +0.000%2.0%2026-09-05 23:05
BetOnline.ag🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -2.65%E -1.35%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -2.36%E -1.22%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.6%2026-09-06 00:05
LowVig.ag🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -2.65%E -1.35%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -2.36%E -1.22%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.6%2026-09-06 00:05
GTbets🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -2.65%E -1.35%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -2.36%E -1.22%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.6%2026-09-06 00:05
BetUS🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -2.65%E -1.35%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -2.36%E -1.22%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.6%2026-09-06 00:05
Unibet (SE)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.96%EV -2.65%E -1.35%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.04%EV -5.38%E -2.86%K -6.11%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-06 00:20
BetRivers🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.96%EV -2.65%E -1.35%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.04%EV -5.38%E -2.86%K -6.11%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-06 00:20
Unibet (NL)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.96%EV -2.65%E -1.35%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.04%EV -5.38%E -2.86%K -6.11%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-06 00:20
Svenska Spel🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.96%EV -2.65%E -1.35%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.04%EV -5.38%E -2.86%K -6.11%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-06 00:20
Caesars🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -3.14%E -1.61%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -1.86%E -0.952%K -1.95%G +0.000%2.6%2026-09-05 23:03
BetMGM🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.14%E -1.61%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.88%E -3.15%K -6.76%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-06 01:04
theScore Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.14%E -1.61%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.88%E -3.15%K -6.76%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-06 00:39
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.14%E -1.61%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.88%E -3.15%K -6.76%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-05 23:05
BetAnything🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.14%E -1.61%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.88%E -3.15%K -6.76%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-06 01:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.14%E -1.61%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.89%E -3.72%K -8.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-06 01:05
Coral🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.14%E -1.61%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.89%E -3.72%K -8.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-06 01:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -3.64%E -1.88%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -5.88%E -3.15%K -6.76%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-06 01:05
Neds🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -3.64%E -1.88%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -5.88%E -3.15%K -6.76%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-06 01:05
Casumo🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -3.64%E -1.88%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -5.88%E -3.15%K -6.76%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-06 00:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -3.64%E -1.88%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -5.88%E -3.15%K -6.76%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-06 00:20
ATG (SE)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -3.64%E -1.88%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -5.88%E -3.15%K -6.76%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-06 00:20
betPARX🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -3.64%E -1.88%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -5.88%E -3.15%K -6.76%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-06 00:20
Bally Bet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -3.64%E -1.88%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -5.88%E -3.15%K -6.76%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-06 00:20
SportsBet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -3.64%E -1.88%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -6.39%E -3.43%K -7.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-05 23:05
MyBookie.ag🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -4.14%E -2.14%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV -3.87%E -2.03%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-06 00:15
DraftKings🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.61%EV -4.14%E -2.14%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.39%EV -4.37%E -2.30%K -4.86%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-06 01:05
Unibet (UK)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -4.63%E -2.41%K -5.04%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -4.37%E -2.30%K -4.86%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-05 23:05
Bet Right🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -4.63%E -2.41%K -5.04%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -4.37%E -2.30%K -4.86%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-05 23:05
Dabble (AU)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -4.63%E -2.41%K -5.04%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -4.37%E -2.30%K -4.86%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-06 02:20
Coolbet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -4.63%E -2.41%K -5.04%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -4.88%E -2.58%K -5.48%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-05 23:44
Virgin Bet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.94%EV -4.63%E -2.41%K -5.04%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.06%EV -7.39%E -4.02%K -8.80%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-06 00:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.94%EV -4.63%E -2.41%K -5.04%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.06%EV -7.39%E -4.02%K -8.80%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-06 00:20
888sport🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.13%E -2.69%K -5.64%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.87%E -2.03%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-05 23:05
betfred_uk🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.13%E -2.69%K -5.64%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.87%E -2.03%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-05 23:05
Betway🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.13%E -2.69%K -5.64%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.87%E -2.03%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-05 23:05
Fliff🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.13%E -2.69%K -5.64%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.87%E -2.03%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-05 23:05
888sport (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.13%E -2.69%K -5.64%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.87%E -2.03%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-05 23:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.13%E -2.69%K -5.64%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.87%E -2.03%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-05 23:05
PlayUp🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -5.13%E -2.69%K -5.64%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV -4.37%E -2.30%K -4.86%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-06 02:05
Betr (AU)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -5.13%E -2.69%K -5.64%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -4.88%E -2.58%K -5.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-05 23:05
Bet Victor🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -5.13%E -2.69%K -5.64%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -5.88%E -3.15%K -6.76%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-05 23:03
betano_uk🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -5.13%E -2.69%K -5.64%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -5.88%E -3.15%K -6.76%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-05 23:05
ReBet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -5.13%E -2.69%K -5.64%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -5.88%E -3.15%K -6.76%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-05 23:04
BoyleSports🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -5.13%E -2.69%K -5.64%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -5.88%E -3.15%K -6.76%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-06 02:25
Paddy Power🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.63%E -2.96%K -6.25%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.37%E -2.30%K -4.86%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-05 23:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.63%E -2.96%K -6.25%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.37%E -2.30%K -4.86%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-05 23:05
Marathon Bet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.63%E -2.96%K -6.25%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.37%E -2.30%K -4.86%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-05 23:25
NordicBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.63%E -2.96%K -6.25%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.37%E -2.30%K -4.86%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-06 02:05
Betsson🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.63%E -2.96%K -6.25%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.37%E -2.30%K -4.86%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-06 02:05
Winamax (DE)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.74%EV -5.63%E -2.96%K -6.25%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.26%EV -5.38%E -2.86%K -6.11%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-05 23:05
Betclic (FR)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -5.63%E -2.96%K -6.25%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -5.88%E -3.15%K -6.76%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-05 23:01
Grosvenor🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.91%EV -6.62%E -3.52%K -7.52%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.09%EV -9.41%E -5.23%K -11.76%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-06 00:20
Unibet (FR)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 49.73%EV -7.61%E -4.09%K -8.85%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 50.27%EV -7.39%E -4.02%K -8.80%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-06 02:14
Winamax (FR)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 49.46%EV -7.61%E -4.09%K -8.85%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.54%EV -8.40%E -4.61%K -10.24%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-05 23:05
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Kalshi2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-09-05 23:05
Polymarket1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-09-05 23:05
ProphetX1.99I 50.25%NM 49.62%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.38%1.3%2026-09-06 02:25
Novig1.98I 50.51%NM 49.75%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.25%1.5%2026-09-06 01:15
Matchbook1.94I 51.55%NM 50.13%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.87%2.8%2026-09-05 23:20
Smarkets1.85I 54.05%NM 49.73%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%8.7%2026-09-06 02:25