Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

San Diego Padres v New York Yankees

2026-09-06 20:10 UTC — MLB

Resultado del partido

56 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

San Diego Padres (Local)

Predicción 49.67%2.01momio equitativo
EV -1.65%
Ventaja -0.835%
Kelly -1.69%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.98

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
48.43%49.56%49.61%50.00%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.861.931.921.9853.76%51.87%51.95%50.51%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

New York Yankees (Visitante)

Predicción 50.33%1.99momio equitativo
EV -1.35%
Ventaja -0.690%
Kelly -1.41%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.96

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
50.00%50.44%50.39%51.57%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.801.881.881.9655.56%53.06%53.19%51.02%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: San Diego Padres (Local): 49.67%; New York Yankees (Visitante): 50.33%. Para New York Yankees (Visitante), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 1.99. Ningún corredor elegible ofrece momios superiores a ese nivel: los mejores momios disponibles son 1.96, con un valor esperado de -1.35%; no producen valor esperado positivo.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (56 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
FanDuel🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.44%EV -1.65%E -0.835%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.56%EV -6.39%E -3.43%K -7.43%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-05 23:05
Bovada🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -2.15%E -1.09%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -6.89%E -3.72%K -8.10%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-05 23:05
1xBet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%EV -2.65%E -1.35%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%EV -1.35%E -0.690%K -1.41%G +0.000%2.0%2026-09-05 23:05
BetOnline.ag🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -2.65%E -1.35%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -2.36%E -1.22%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.6%2026-09-06 00:05
LowVig.ag🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -2.65%E -1.35%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -2.36%E -1.22%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.6%2026-09-06 00:05
GTbets🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -2.65%E -1.35%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -2.36%E -1.22%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.6%2026-09-06 00:05
BetUS🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -2.65%E -1.35%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -2.36%E -1.22%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.6%2026-09-06 00:05
Unibet (SE)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.96%EV -2.65%E -1.35%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.04%EV -5.38%E -2.86%K -6.11%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-06 00:20
BetRivers🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.96%EV -2.65%E -1.35%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.04%EV -5.38%E -2.86%K -6.11%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-06 00:20
Unibet (NL)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.96%EV -2.65%E -1.35%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.04%EV -5.38%E -2.86%K -6.11%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-06 00:20
Svenska Spel🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.96%EV -2.65%E -1.35%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.04%EV -5.38%E -2.86%K -6.11%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-06 00:20
Caesars🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -3.14%E -1.61%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -1.86%E -0.952%K -1.95%G +0.000%2.6%2026-09-05 23:03
BetMGM🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.14%E -1.61%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.88%E -3.15%K -6.76%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-06 01:04
theScore Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.14%E -1.61%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.88%E -3.15%K -6.76%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-06 00:39
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.14%E -1.61%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.88%E -3.15%K -6.76%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-05 23:05
BetAnything🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.14%E -1.61%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.88%E -3.15%K -6.76%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-06 01:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.14%E -1.61%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.89%E -3.72%K -8.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-06 01:05
Coral🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.14%E -1.61%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.89%E -3.72%K -8.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-06 01:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -3.64%E -1.88%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -5.88%E -3.15%K -6.76%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-06 01:05
Neds🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -3.64%E -1.88%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -5.88%E -3.15%K -6.76%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-06 01:05
Casumo🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -3.64%E -1.88%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -5.88%E -3.15%K -6.76%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-06 00:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -3.64%E -1.88%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -5.88%E -3.15%K -6.76%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-06 00:20
ATG (SE)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -3.64%E -1.88%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -5.88%E -3.15%K -6.76%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-06 00:20
betPARX🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -3.64%E -1.88%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -5.88%E -3.15%K -6.76%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-06 00:20
Bally Bet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -3.64%E -1.88%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -5.88%E -3.15%K -6.76%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-06 00:20
SportsBet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -3.64%E -1.88%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -6.39%E -3.43%K -7.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-05 23:05
MyBookie.ag🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -4.14%E -2.14%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV -3.87%E -2.03%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-06 00:15
DraftKings🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.61%EV -4.14%E -2.14%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.39%EV -4.37%E -2.30%K -4.86%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-06 01:05
Unibet (UK)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -4.63%E -2.41%K -5.04%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -4.37%E -2.30%K -4.86%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-05 23:05
Bet Right🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -4.63%E -2.41%K -5.04%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -4.37%E -2.30%K -4.86%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-05 23:05
Dabble (AU)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -4.63%E -2.41%K -5.04%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -4.37%E -2.30%K -4.86%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-06 02:20
Coolbet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -4.63%E -2.41%K -5.04%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -4.88%E -2.58%K -5.48%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-05 23:44
Virgin Bet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.94%EV -4.63%E -2.41%K -5.04%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.06%EV -7.39%E -4.02%K -8.80%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-06 00:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.94%EV -4.63%E -2.41%K -5.04%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.06%EV -7.39%E -4.02%K -8.80%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-06 00:20
888sport🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.13%E -2.69%K -5.64%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.87%E -2.03%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-05 23:05
betfred_uk🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.13%E -2.69%K -5.64%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.87%E -2.03%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-05 23:05
Betway🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.13%E -2.69%K -5.64%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.87%E -2.03%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-05 23:05
Fliff🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.13%E -2.69%K -5.64%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.87%E -2.03%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-05 23:05
888sport (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.13%E -2.69%K -5.64%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.87%E -2.03%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-05 23:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.13%E -2.69%K -5.64%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.87%E -2.03%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-05 23:05
PlayUp🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -5.13%E -2.69%K -5.64%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV -4.37%E -2.30%K -4.86%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-06 02:05
Betr (AU)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -5.13%E -2.69%K -5.64%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -4.88%E -2.58%K -5.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-05 23:05
Bet Victor🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -5.13%E -2.69%K -5.64%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -5.88%E -3.15%K -6.76%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-05 23:03
betano_uk🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -5.13%E -2.69%K -5.64%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -5.88%E -3.15%K -6.76%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-05 23:05
ReBet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -5.13%E -2.69%K -5.64%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -5.88%E -3.15%K -6.76%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-05 23:04
BoyleSports🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -5.13%E -2.69%K -5.64%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -5.88%E -3.15%K -6.76%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-06 02:25
Paddy Power🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.63%E -2.96%K -6.25%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.37%E -2.30%K -4.86%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-05 23:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.63%E -2.96%K -6.25%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.37%E -2.30%K -4.86%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-05 23:05
Marathon Bet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.63%E -2.96%K -6.25%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.37%E -2.30%K -4.86%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-05 23:25
NordicBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.63%E -2.96%K -6.25%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.37%E -2.30%K -4.86%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-06 02:05
Betsson🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.63%E -2.96%K -6.25%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.37%E -2.30%K -4.86%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-06 02:05
Winamax (DE)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.74%EV -5.63%E -2.96%K -6.25%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.26%EV -5.38%E -2.86%K -6.11%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-05 23:05
Betclic (FR)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -5.63%E -2.96%K -6.25%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -5.88%E -3.15%K -6.76%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-05 23:01
Grosvenor🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.91%EV -6.62%E -3.52%K -7.52%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.09%EV -9.41%E -5.23%K -11.76%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-06 00:20
Unibet (FR)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 49.73%EV -7.61%E -4.09%K -8.85%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 50.27%EV -7.39%E -4.02%K -8.80%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-06 02:14
Winamax (FR)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 49.46%EV -7.61%E -4.09%K -8.85%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.54%EV -8.40%E -4.61%K -10.24%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-05 23:05
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Kalshi2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-09-05 23:05
Polymarket1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-09-05 23:05
ProphetX1.99I 50.25%NM 49.62%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.38%1.3%2026-09-06 02:25
Novig1.98I 50.51%NM 49.75%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.25%1.5%2026-09-06 01:15
Matchbook1.94I 51.55%NM 50.13%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.87%2.8%2026-09-05 23:20
Smarkets1.85I 54.05%NM 49.73%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%8.7%2026-09-06 02:25