The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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San Diego Padres v New York Mets

Kickoff: 2026-06-07 20:11 UTC

Final: San Diego Padres 3–7 New York Mets

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

62 sportsbooks (20 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

San Diego Padres (Local)

Prediction 49.28%2.03fair odd
EV +0.036%
Edge +0.018%
Kelly +0.035%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.03

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.78%49.33%49.34%50.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.861.941.942.0353.76%51.47%51.55%49.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

New York Mets (Visit)

Prediction 50.72%1.97fair odd
EV -0.586%
Edge -0.299%
Kelly -0.611%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.96

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
49.47%50.67%50.66%52.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.831.881.871.9654.64%53.23%53.48%51.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: San Diego Padres (Local): 49.28%; New York Mets (Visit): 50.72%. For San Diego Padres (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.029. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.030, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.036%.

Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
GTbets🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 48.08%EV +0.036%E +0.018%K +0.035%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.92%EV -4.64%E -2.47%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-07 20:09
BetOnline.ag🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 48.08%EV +0.036%E +0.018%K +0.035%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.92%EV -4.64%E -2.47%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-07 20:09
LowVig.ag🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 48.08%EV +0.036%E +0.018%K +0.035%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.92%EV -4.64%E -2.47%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-07 20:09
BetUS🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 48.08%EV +0.036%E +0.018%K +0.035%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.92%EV -4.64%E -2.47%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-07 20:09
Pinnacle🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 48.60%EV -0.457%E -0.226%K -0.448%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.40%EV -3.12%E -1.63%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.9%2026-06-07 20:09
BetAnything🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -1.44%E -0.721%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -3.12%E -1.63%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-07 20:09
Fanatics🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -1.44%E -0.721%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -7.18%E -3.92%K -8.65%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-07 20:10
Everygame🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -2.92%E -1.48%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -2.11%E -1.09%K -2.27%G +0.000%2.6%2026-06-07 19:29
Svenska Spel🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.96%EV -2.92%E -1.48%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.04%EV -4.14%E -2.19%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-07 20:10
1xBet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%EV -3.41%E -1.74%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%EV -0.586%E -0.299%K -0.611%G +0.000%2.0%2026-06-07 19:50
FanDuel🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 49.09%EV -3.41%E -1.74%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.91%EV -4.14%E -2.19%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-07 20:09
Bovada🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69%EV -3.41%E -1.74%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31%EV -5.66%E -3.04%K -6.58%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-07 20:09
ReBet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 49.48%EV -3.91%E -2.00%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.52%EV -3.12%E -1.63%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.6%2026-06-07 18:09
Bet Victor🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 49.48%EV -3.91%E -2.00%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.52%EV -3.12%E -1.63%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.6%2026-06-07 18:08
TAB🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -3.91%E -2.00%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -3.63%E -1.91%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-07 20:00
MyBookie.ag🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 49.22%EV -3.91%E -2.00%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.78%EV -4.14%E -2.19%K -4.65%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-07 20:09
Unibet (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -3.91%E -2.00%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -4.64%E -2.47%K -5.28%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-07 20:09
Unibet (NL)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -3.91%E -2.00%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -4.64%E -2.47%K -5.28%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-07 20:09
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.91%E -2.00%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.15%E -2.75%K -5.92%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-07 20:09
PlayUp🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.91%E -2.00%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.15%E -2.75%K -5.92%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-07 20:09
Caesars🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.91%E -2.00%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.15%E -2.75%K -5.92%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-07 19:58
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.91%E -2.00%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.15%E -2.75%K -5.92%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-07 20:09
theScore Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.91%E -2.00%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.15%E -2.75%K -5.92%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-07 20:00
BetMGM🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.91%E -2.00%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.15%E -2.75%K -5.92%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-07 20:00
Dabble (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.91%E -2.00%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.17%E -3.33%K -7.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-07 19:59
Coral🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.91%E -2.00%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.17%E -3.33%K -7.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-07 19:59
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.91%E -2.00%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.17%E -3.33%K -7.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-07 19:59
Fliff🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -3.91%E -2.00%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -7.18%E -3.92%K -8.65%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-07 19:09
DraftKings🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -4.40%E -2.27%K -4.68%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -4.64%E -2.47%K -5.28%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-07 19:59
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.40%E -2.27%K -4.68%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -5.15%E -2.75%K -5.92%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-07 20:09
Casumo🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.40%E -2.27%K -4.68%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -5.15%E -2.75%K -5.92%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-07 20:10
LeoVegas🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.40%E -2.27%K -4.68%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -5.15%E -2.75%K -5.92%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-07 20:09
Unibet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.40%E -2.27%K -4.68%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -5.15%E -2.75%K -5.92%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-07 20:10
betPARX🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.40%E -2.27%K -4.68%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -5.15%E -2.75%K -5.92%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-07 20:08
Bally Bet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.40%E -2.27%K -4.68%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -5.15%E -2.75%K -5.92%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-07 20:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.40%E -2.27%K -4.68%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -5.15%E -2.75%K -5.92%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-07 20:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.40%E -2.27%K -4.68%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -5.15%E -2.75%K -5.92%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-07 20:00
Neds🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.40%E -2.27%K -4.68%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -5.15%E -2.75%K -5.92%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-07 20:00
SportsBet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -4.40%E -2.27%K -4.68%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -5.66%E -3.04%K -6.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-07 20:09
LiveScore Bet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -4.40%E -2.27%K -4.68%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -5.66%E -3.04%K -6.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-07 20:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -4.40%E -2.27%K -4.68%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -5.66%E -3.04%K -6.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-07 20:10
TABtouch🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -4.89%E -2.53%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -6.17%E -3.33%K -7.25%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-07 20:10
BetRivers🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -4.89%E -2.53%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -6.17%E -3.33%K -7.25%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-07 20:09
Bet Right🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -5.38%E -2.80%K -5.85%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -3.63%E -1.91%K -4.03%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-07 18:09
Coolbet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -5.38%E -2.80%K -5.85%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -4.14%E -2.19%K -4.65%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-07 20:08
NordicBet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.38%E -2.80%K -5.85%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.64%E -2.47%K -5.28%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-07 20:00
Betsson🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.38%E -2.80%K -5.85%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.64%E -2.47%K -5.28%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-07 20:00
Unibet (FR)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.21%EV -5.38%E -2.80%K -5.85%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 50.79%EV -5.66%E -3.04%K -6.58%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-07 20:08
Winamax (DE)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.21%EV -5.38%E -2.80%K -5.85%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 50.79%EV -5.66%E -3.04%K -6.58%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-07 20:09
Grosvenor🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.80%EV -5.38%E -2.80%K -5.85%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.20%EV -7.18%E -3.92%K -8.65%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-07 20:09
Unibet (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.39%EV -5.88%E -3.08%K -6.46%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.61%EV -1.60%E -0.825%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-07 20:09
888sport🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.88%E -3.08%K -6.46%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.12%E -1.63%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-07 09:29
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.88%E -3.08%K -6.46%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.12%E -1.63%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-07 09:19
888sport (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.88%E -3.08%K -6.46%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.12%E -1.63%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-07 09:29
William Hill🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.88%E -3.08%K -6.46%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.12%E -1.63%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-06 23:09
Betr (AU)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -5.88%E -3.08%K -6.46%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -4.14%E -2.19%K -4.65%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-07 18:09
Paddy Power🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -5.88%E -3.08%K -6.46%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -7.18%E -3.92%K -8.65%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-07 20:10
Marathon Bet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.37%E -3.35%K -7.08%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.63%E -1.91%K -4.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-07 19:39
Tipico (DE)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -6.37%E -3.35%K -7.08%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -5.15%E -2.75%K -5.92%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-07 18:39
Betway🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -7.85%E -4.20%K -9.02%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -3.12%E -1.63%K -3.43%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-07 20:08
Betclic (FR)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.46%EV -7.85%E -4.20%K -9.02%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -7.18%E -3.92%K -8.65%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-07 20:03
Winamax (FR)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 50.53%EV -8.34%E -4.48%K -9.70%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.47%EV -3.63%E -1.91%K -4.03%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-07 20:09
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (9)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎2.03I 49.26%NM 48.99%1.95I 51.28%NM 51.01%0.5%2026-06-07 20:09
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.04I 49.02%NM 48.74%1.94I 51.55%NM 51.26%0.6%2026-06-07 20:09
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.04I 49.02%NM 48.74%1.94I 51.55%NM 51.26%0.6%2026-06-07 20:09
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.04I 49.02%NM 48.74%1.94I 51.55%NM 51.26%0.6%2026-06-07 20:10
Polymarket◎2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%1.1%2026-06-07 20:09
Smarkets◎2.02I 49.50%NM 48.73%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.27%1.6%2026-06-07 20:10
BetOpenly◎2.03I 49.26%NM 48.48%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.52%1.6%2026-06-07 20:09
ProphetX◎2.03I 49.26%NM 48.48%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.52%1.6%2026-06-07 20:10
Kalshi◎2.00I 50.00%NM 48.98%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.02%2.1%2026-06-07 20:09