Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

San Diego Padres v Minnesota Twins

Início: 2026-08-23 00:41 UTC

Final: San Diego Padres 7–5 Minnesota Twins

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

63 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

San Diego Padres (Local)

Previsão 56.52%1.77odd justa
EV -1.08%
Vantagem -0.618%
Kelly -1.44%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.75

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
54.97%56.39%56.48%57.59%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.621.701.701.7561.73%58.94%58.82%57.14%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Minnesota Twins (Visitante)

Previsão 43.48%2.30odd justa
EV -0.442%
Vantagem -0.193%
Kelly -0.343%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.29

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
42.41%43.61%43.52%45.03%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.102.192.202.2947.62%45.63%45.45%43.67%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: San Diego Padres (Local): 56.52%; Minnesota Twins (Visitante): 43.48%. Para Minnesota Twins (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.30. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 2.29, com valor esperado de -0.442%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (63 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
1xBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%EV -1.08%E -0.618%K -1.44%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%EV -3.49%E -1.57%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.2%2026-08-22 13:29
BetUS🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.81%EV -1.08%E -0.618%K -1.44%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 44.19%EV -3.92%E -1.77%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-23 00:39
Unibet (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -1.08%E -0.618%K -1.44%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -6.53%E -3.04%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-23 00:40
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -1.65%E -0.946%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV -2.18%E -0.969%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-22 13:24
Pinnacle🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 56.28%EV -1.65%E -0.946%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.72%EV -2.62%E -1.17%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-23 00:35
Everygame🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 56.75%EV -2.21%E -1.28%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.25%EV -1.31%E -0.578%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-23 00:15
BetRivers🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.98%EV -2.21%E -1.28%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.02%EV -4.35%E -1.98%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-23 00:04
Svenska Spel🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.98%EV -2.21%E -1.28%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.02%EV -4.35%E -1.98%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-23 00:04
DraftKings🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 57.11%EV -2.78%E -1.61%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.89%EV -0.442%E -0.193%K -0.343%G +0.000%1.8%2026-08-22 23:20
FanDuel🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00%EV -2.78%E -1.61%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00%EV -0.877%E -0.384%K -0.685%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-22 22:20
GTbets🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00%EV -2.78%E -1.61%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00%EV -0.877%E -0.384%K -0.685%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-23 00:39
Caesars🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00%EV -2.78%E -1.61%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00%EV -0.877%E -0.384%K -0.685%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-23 00:14
MyBookie.ag🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.78%EV -2.78%E -1.61%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.22%EV -5.66%E -2.61%K -4.84%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-22 22:03
Winamax (DE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -2.78%E -1.61%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -8.70%E -4.14%K -7.91%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-23 00:40
Dabble (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -2.78%E -1.61%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -8.70%E -4.14%K -7.91%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-23 00:04
BetOnline.ag🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 57.14%EV -3.34%E -1.95%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.86%EV -0.877%E -0.384%K -0.685%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-23 00:39
LowVig.ag🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 57.04%EV -3.34%E -1.95%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.96%EV -1.31%E -0.578%K -1.03%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-23 00:39
BetAnything🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.71%EV -3.34%E -1.95%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.29%EV -2.62%E -1.17%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-22 20:14
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.34%E -1.95%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.35%E -1.98%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-22 13:24
Unibet (NL)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -3.34%E -1.95%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -5.22%E -2.40%K -4.43%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-23 00:04
Unibet (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -3.34%E -1.95%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -5.22%E -2.40%K -4.43%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-23 00:04
Betway🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -3.34%E -1.95%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -8.70%E -4.14%K -7.91%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-23 00:39
theScore Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 57.07%EV -3.91%E -2.30%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.93%EV -1.75%E -0.773%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-22 13:24
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.91%E -2.30%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.35%E -1.98%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-22 13:24
TAB🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.91%E -2.30%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.35%E -1.98%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-22 13:28
Bovada🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.30%EV -3.91%E -2.30%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.70%EV -4.79%E -2.19%K -4.02%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-23 00:35
Unibet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -3.91%E -2.30%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -5.22%E -2.40%K -4.43%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-22 23:39
Casumo🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -3.91%E -2.30%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -5.22%E -2.40%K -4.43%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-22 23:34
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -3.91%E -2.30%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -5.22%E -2.40%K -4.43%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-22 23:34
ATG (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -3.91%E -2.30%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -5.22%E -2.40%K -4.43%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-22 23:34
Bally Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -3.91%E -2.30%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -5.22%E -2.40%K -4.43%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-22 23:34
betPARX🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -3.91%E -2.30%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -5.22%E -2.40%K -4.43%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-22 23:39
TABtouch🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -3.91%E -2.30%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -5.66%E -2.61%K -4.84%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-23 00:04
PlayUp🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.91%E -2.30%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.53%E -3.04%K -5.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-22 13:29
Marathon Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.91%E -2.30%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.53%E -3.04%K -5.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-22 13:24
Bet Victor🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -3.91%E -2.30%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -8.70%E -4.14%K -7.91%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-23 00:28
Winamax (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -3.91%E -2.30%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -8.70%E -4.14%K -7.91%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-23 00:39
betano_uk🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -3.91%E -2.30%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -8.70%E -4.14%K -7.91%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-23 00:29
Fliff🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.47%E -2.65%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.35%E -1.98%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-23 00:19
Fanatics🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.47%E -2.65%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.35%E -1.98%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-23 00:39
ReBet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.47%E -2.65%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.35%E -1.98%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-22 21:59
Bet Right🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.04%E -3.00%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.35%E -1.98%K -3.63%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-22 13:45
Coolbet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.04%E -3.00%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.35%E -1.98%K -3.63%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-22 13:45
Neds🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.04%E -3.00%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.35%E -1.98%K -3.63%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-23 00:39
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.04%E -3.00%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.35%E -1.98%K -3.63%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-23 00:39
Betsson🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.04%E -3.00%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.22%E -2.40%K -4.43%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-23 00:39
NordicBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.04%E -3.00%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.22%E -2.40%K -4.43%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-23 00:39
Virgin Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.02%EV -5.04%E -3.00%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.98%EV -6.96%E -3.25%K -6.11%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-23 00:04
LiveScore Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.02%EV -5.04%E -3.00%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.98%EV -6.96%E -3.25%K -6.11%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-23 00:04
Coral🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.60%E -3.36%K -8.36%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -2.18%E -0.969%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-23 00:39
BetMGM🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.60%E -3.36%K -8.36%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -2.18%E -0.969%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-23 00:40
SportsBet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -5.60%E -3.36%K -8.36%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -3.49%E -1.57%K -2.86%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-22 22:19
888sport🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.60%E -3.36%K -8.36%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.35%E -1.98%K -3.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-22 13:34
Betr (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.60%E -3.36%K -8.36%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.35%E -1.98%K -3.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-22 13:34
888sport (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.60%E -3.36%K -8.36%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.35%E -1.98%K -3.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-22 13:34
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.60%E -3.36%K -8.36%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.35%E -1.98%K -3.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-22 13:34
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.60%E -3.36%K -8.36%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.35%E -1.98%K -3.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-22 20:54
Unibet (FR)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.60%E -3.36%K -8.36%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.53%E -3.04%K -5.68%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-23 00:30
BoyleSports🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.60%E -3.36%K -8.36%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.53%E -3.04%K -5.68%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-22 13:29
Tipico (DE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.73%E -4.08%K -10.36%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -4.35%E -1.98%K -3.63%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-22 13:24
Betclic (FR)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.38%EV -7.30%E -4.45%K -11.41%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.62%EV -7.83%E -3.69%K -6.99%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-23 00:13
Grosvenor🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.15%EV -7.30%E -4.45%K -11.41%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.85%EV -8.70%E -4.14%K -7.91%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-22 23:50
Paddy Power🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -8.43%E -5.20%K -13.60%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -4.35%E -1.98%K -3.63%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-22 22:19
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
ProphetX◎1.74I 57.47%NM 57.35%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.65%0.2%2026-08-23 00:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.76I 56.82%NM 56.65%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.35%0.3%2026-08-23 00:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.76I 56.82%NM 56.65%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.35%0.3%2026-08-23 00:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.76I 56.82%NM 56.65%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.35%0.3%2026-08-23 00:40
BetOpenly◎1.75I 57.14%NM 56.58%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42%1.0%2026-08-23 00:39
Kalshi◎1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-08-22 13:29
Polymarket◎1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-08-22 13:55
Novig◎1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-08-23 00:40
Smarkets◎1.73I 57.80%NM 56.86%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.14%1.7%2026-08-23 00:40
Matchbook◎1.74I 57.47%NM 56.28%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.72%2.1%2026-08-23 00:40