Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

San Diego Padres v Minnesota Twins

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-23 00:41 UTC

Score final : San Diego Padres 7–5 Minnesota Twins

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

63 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

San Diego Padres (Local)

Prévision 56.52%1.77cote équitable
EV -1.08%
Avantage -0.618%
Kelly -1.44%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
54.97%56.39%56.48%57.59%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.621.701.701.7561.73%58.94%58.82%57.14%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Minnesota Twins (Visiteur)

Prévision 43.48%2.30cote équitable
EV -0.442%
Avantage -0.193%
Kelly -0.343%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.29

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
42.41%43.61%43.52%45.03%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.102.192.202.2947.62%45.63%45.45%43.67%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : San Diego Padres (Local) : 56.52% ; Minnesota Twins (Visiteur) : 43.48%. Pour Minnesota Twins (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.30. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 2.29, pour une espérance de -0.442% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (63 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
1xBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%EV -1.08%E -0.618%K -1.44%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%EV -3.49%E -1.57%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.2%2026-08-22 13:29
BetUS🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.81%EV -1.08%E -0.618%K -1.44%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 44.19%EV -3.92%E -1.77%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-23 00:39
Unibet (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -1.08%E -0.618%K -1.44%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -6.53%E -3.04%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-23 00:40
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -1.65%E -0.946%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV -2.18%E -0.969%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-22 13:24
Pinnacle🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 56.28%EV -1.65%E -0.946%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.72%EV -2.62%E -1.17%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-23 00:35
Everygame🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 56.75%EV -2.21%E -1.28%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.25%EV -1.31%E -0.578%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-23 00:15
BetRivers🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.98%EV -2.21%E -1.28%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.02%EV -4.35%E -1.98%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-23 00:04
Svenska Spel🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.98%EV -2.21%E -1.28%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.02%EV -4.35%E -1.98%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-23 00:04
DraftKings🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 57.11%EV -2.78%E -1.61%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.89%EV -0.442%E -0.193%K -0.343%G +0.000%1.8%2026-08-22 23:20
FanDuel🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00%EV -2.78%E -1.61%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00%EV -0.877%E -0.384%K -0.685%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-22 22:20
GTbets🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00%EV -2.78%E -1.61%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00%EV -0.877%E -0.384%K -0.685%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-23 00:39
Caesars🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00%EV -2.78%E -1.61%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00%EV -0.877%E -0.384%K -0.685%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-23 00:14
MyBookie.ag🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.78%EV -2.78%E -1.61%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.22%EV -5.66%E -2.61%K -4.84%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-22 22:03
Winamax (DE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -2.78%E -1.61%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -8.70%E -4.14%K -7.91%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-23 00:40
Dabble (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -2.78%E -1.61%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -8.70%E -4.14%K -7.91%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-23 00:04
BetOnline.ag🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 57.14%EV -3.34%E -1.95%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.86%EV -0.877%E -0.384%K -0.685%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-23 00:39
LowVig.ag🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 57.04%EV -3.34%E -1.95%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.96%EV -1.31%E -0.578%K -1.03%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-23 00:39
BetAnything🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.71%EV -3.34%E -1.95%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.29%EV -2.62%E -1.17%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-22 20:14
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.34%E -1.95%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.35%E -1.98%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-22 13:24
Unibet (NL)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -3.34%E -1.95%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -5.22%E -2.40%K -4.43%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-23 00:04
Unibet (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -3.34%E -1.95%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -5.22%E -2.40%K -4.43%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-23 00:04
Betway🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -3.34%E -1.95%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -8.70%E -4.14%K -7.91%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-23 00:39
theScore Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 57.07%EV -3.91%E -2.30%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.93%EV -1.75%E -0.773%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-22 13:24
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.91%E -2.30%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.35%E -1.98%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-22 13:24
TAB🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.91%E -2.30%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.35%E -1.98%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-22 13:28
Bovada🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.30%EV -3.91%E -2.30%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.70%EV -4.79%E -2.19%K -4.02%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-23 00:35
Unibet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -3.91%E -2.30%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -5.22%E -2.40%K -4.43%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-22 23:39
Casumo🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -3.91%E -2.30%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -5.22%E -2.40%K -4.43%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-22 23:34
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -3.91%E -2.30%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -5.22%E -2.40%K -4.43%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-22 23:34
ATG (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -3.91%E -2.30%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -5.22%E -2.40%K -4.43%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-22 23:34
Bally Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -3.91%E -2.30%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -5.22%E -2.40%K -4.43%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-22 23:34
betPARX🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -3.91%E -2.30%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -5.22%E -2.40%K -4.43%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-22 23:39
TABtouch🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -3.91%E -2.30%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -5.66%E -2.61%K -4.84%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-23 00:04
PlayUp🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.91%E -2.30%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.53%E -3.04%K -5.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-22 13:29
Marathon Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.91%E -2.30%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.53%E -3.04%K -5.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-22 13:24
Bet Victor🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -3.91%E -2.30%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -8.70%E -4.14%K -7.91%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-23 00:28
Winamax (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -3.91%E -2.30%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -8.70%E -4.14%K -7.91%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-23 00:39
betano_uk🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -3.91%E -2.30%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -8.70%E -4.14%K -7.91%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-23 00:29
Fliff🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.47%E -2.65%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.35%E -1.98%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-23 00:19
Fanatics🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.47%E -2.65%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.35%E -1.98%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-23 00:39
ReBet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.47%E -2.65%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.35%E -1.98%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-22 21:59
Bet Right🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.04%E -3.00%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.35%E -1.98%K -3.63%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-22 13:45
Coolbet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.04%E -3.00%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.35%E -1.98%K -3.63%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-22 13:45
Neds🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.04%E -3.00%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.35%E -1.98%K -3.63%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-23 00:39
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.04%E -3.00%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.35%E -1.98%K -3.63%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-23 00:39
Betsson🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.04%E -3.00%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.22%E -2.40%K -4.43%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-23 00:39
NordicBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.04%E -3.00%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.22%E -2.40%K -4.43%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-23 00:39
Virgin Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.02%EV -5.04%E -3.00%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.98%EV -6.96%E -3.25%K -6.11%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-23 00:04
LiveScore Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.02%EV -5.04%E -3.00%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.98%EV -6.96%E -3.25%K -6.11%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-23 00:04
Coral🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.60%E -3.36%K -8.36%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -2.18%E -0.969%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-23 00:39
BetMGM🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.60%E -3.36%K -8.36%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -2.18%E -0.969%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-23 00:40
SportsBet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -5.60%E -3.36%K -8.36%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -3.49%E -1.57%K -2.86%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-22 22:19
888sport🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.60%E -3.36%K -8.36%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.35%E -1.98%K -3.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-22 13:34
Betr (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.60%E -3.36%K -8.36%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.35%E -1.98%K -3.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-22 13:34
888sport (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.60%E -3.36%K -8.36%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.35%E -1.98%K -3.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-22 13:34
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.60%E -3.36%K -8.36%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.35%E -1.98%K -3.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-22 13:34
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.60%E -3.36%K -8.36%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.35%E -1.98%K -3.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-22 20:54
Unibet (FR)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.60%E -3.36%K -8.36%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.53%E -3.04%K -5.68%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-23 00:30
BoyleSports🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.60%E -3.36%K -8.36%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.53%E -3.04%K -5.68%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-22 13:29
Tipico (DE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.73%E -4.08%K -10.36%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -4.35%E -1.98%K -3.63%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-22 13:24
Betclic (FR)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.38%EV -7.30%E -4.45%K -11.41%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.62%EV -7.83%E -3.69%K -6.99%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-23 00:13
Grosvenor🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.15%EV -7.30%E -4.45%K -11.41%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.85%EV -8.70%E -4.14%K -7.91%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-22 23:50
Paddy Power🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -8.43%E -5.20%K -13.60%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -4.35%E -1.98%K -3.63%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-22 22:19
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
ProphetX◎1.74I 57.47%NM 57.35%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.65%0.2%2026-08-23 00:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.76I 56.82%NM 56.65%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.35%0.3%2026-08-23 00:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.76I 56.82%NM 56.65%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.35%0.3%2026-08-23 00:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.76I 56.82%NM 56.65%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.35%0.3%2026-08-23 00:40
BetOpenly◎1.75I 57.14%NM 56.58%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42%1.0%2026-08-23 00:39
Kalshi◎1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-08-22 13:29
Polymarket◎1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-08-22 13:55
Novig◎1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-08-23 00:40
Smarkets◎1.73I 57.80%NM 56.86%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.14%1.7%2026-08-23 00:40
Matchbook◎1.74I 57.47%NM 56.28%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.72%2.1%2026-08-23 00:40