Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

San Diego Padres v Los Angeles Dodgers

Kickoff: 2026-05-21 00:41 UTC

Final: San Diego Padres 0–4 Los Angeles Dodgers

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

60 sportsbooks (19 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

San Diego Padres (Local)

Prediction 36.64%2.73fair odd
EV -0.341%
Edge -0.125%
Kelly -0.198%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.72

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.47%36.67%36.59%37.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.622.622.7240.00%38.19%38.24%36.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Los Angeles Dodgers (Visit)

Prediction 63.36%1.58fair odd
EV -1.79%
Edge -1.16%
Kelly -3.26%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.55

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
62.35%63.33%63.41%64.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.441.501.501.5569.44%66.48%66.67%64.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: San Diego Padres (Local): 36.64%; Los Angeles Dodgers (Visit): 63.36%. For San Diego Padres (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.73. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.72, with an expected value of -0.341%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (60 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 36.00%EV -0.341%E -0.125%K -0.198%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 64.00%EV -3.06%E -2.00%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-21 00:30
BetOnline.ag🎯2.71I 36.90%NM 36.08%EV -0.707%E -0.261%K -0.414%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.92%EV -3.06%E -2.00%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-21 00:40
LowVig.ag🎯2.71I 36.90%NM 36.08%EV -0.707%E -0.261%K -0.414%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.92%EV -3.06%E -2.00%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-21 00:40
MyBookie.ag🎯2.68I 37.31%NM 35.89%EV -1.81%E -0.674%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.11%EV -4.96%E -3.31%K -9.92%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-21 00:18
1xBet🎯2.67I 37.45%NM 36.73%EV -2.17%E -0.814%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 63.27%EV -1.79%E -1.16%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-20 21:30
BetAnything🎯2.67I 37.45%NM 36.43%EV -2.17%E -0.814%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.57%EV -3.06%E -2.00%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-20 23:20
GTbets🎯2.67I 37.45%NM 36.43%EV -2.17%E -0.814%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.57%EV -3.06%E -2.00%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-20 23:20
BetUS🎯2.66I 37.59%NM 36.52%EV -2.54%E -0.955%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.48%EV -3.06%E -2.00%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-21 00:39
Bovada🎯2.66I 37.59%NM 36.06%EV -2.54%E -0.955%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.94%EV -4.96%E -3.31%K -9.92%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-20 23:38
Svenska Spel🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -2.91%E -1.10%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -3.06%E -2.00%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-21 00:20
Unibet (UK)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.45%EV -2.91%E -1.10%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.55%EV -3.69%E -2.43%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-20 23:50
ReBet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -2.91%E -1.10%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -4.33%E -2.86%K -8.48%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-20 23:40
Fanatics🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -2.91%E -1.10%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.96%E -3.31%K -9.92%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-21 00:40
Bet Right🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -2.91%E -1.10%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.96%E -3.31%K -9.92%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-21 00:09
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -2.91%E -1.10%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.96%E -3.31%K -9.92%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-20 23:59
Neds🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -2.91%E -1.10%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.96%E -3.31%K -9.92%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-21 00:40
BetMGM🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -2.91%E -1.10%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.96%E -3.31%K -9.92%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-21 00:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -2.91%E -1.10%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.96%E -3.31%K -9.92%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-21 00:40
Fliff🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -2.91%E -1.10%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -5.59%E -3.75%K -11.41%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-21 00:00
888sport🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -2.91%E -1.10%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -6.86%E -4.67%K -14.60%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-21 00:09
888sport (SE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -2.91%E -1.10%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -6.86%E -4.67%K -14.60%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-21 00:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -2.91%E -1.10%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -6.86%E -4.67%K -14.60%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-21 00:09
FanDuel🎯2.64I 37.88%NM 36.39%EV -3.27%E -1.24%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.61%EV -4.33%E -2.86%K -8.48%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-20 21:20
Unibet (NL)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.47%EV -3.64%E -1.38%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.53%EV -4.33%E -2.86%K -8.48%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-21 00:20
Unibet (SE)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.47%EV -3.64%E -1.38%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.53%EV -4.33%E -2.86%K -8.48%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-21 00:20
DraftKings🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.56%EV -4.00%E -1.53%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.44%EV -4.33%E -2.86%K -8.48%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-20 23:40
Caesars🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.56%EV -4.00%E -1.53%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.44%EV -4.33%E -2.86%K -8.48%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-20 23:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -4.00%E -1.53%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.96%E -3.31%K -9.92%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-21 00:40
Coral🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -4.00%E -1.53%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.96%E -3.31%K -9.92%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-21 00:40
Paddy Power🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -4.00%E -1.53%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.76%E -6.08%K -19.91%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-20 22:19
SportsBet🎯2.61I 38.31%NM 36.50%EV -4.37%E -1.67%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.50%EV -4.96%E -3.31%K -9.92%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-20 21:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -4.74%E -1.82%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.06%E -2.00%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-20 14:39
TAB🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -4.74%E -1.82%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -3.69%E -2.43%K -7.10%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-20 21:30
Betr (AU)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.74%E -1.82%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.96%E -3.31%K -9.92%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-20 22:50
PlayUp🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.74%E -1.82%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.96%E -3.31%K -9.92%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-20 23:09
Coolbet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.74%E -1.82%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.96%E -3.31%K -9.92%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-20 22:39
Casumo🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.74%E -1.82%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.96%E -3.31%K -9.92%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-21 00:20
LiveScore Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.74%E -1.82%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.96%E -3.31%K -9.92%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-21 00:20
Unibet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.74%E -1.82%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.96%E -3.31%K -9.92%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-21 00:20
Virgin Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.74%E -1.82%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.96%E -3.31%K -9.92%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-21 00:20
LeoVegas🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.74%E -1.82%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.96%E -3.31%K -9.92%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-21 00:20
BetRivers🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.74%E -1.82%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.96%E -3.31%K -9.92%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-21 00:20
TABtouch🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.74%E -1.82%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.96%E -3.31%K -9.92%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-21 00:20
Grosvenor🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.74%E -1.82%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.96%E -3.31%K -9.92%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-21 00:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.74%E -1.82%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.96%E -3.31%K -9.92%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-21 00:20
betPARX🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.74%E -1.82%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.96%E -3.31%K -9.92%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-21 00:20
Bally Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.74%E -1.82%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.96%E -3.31%K -9.92%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-21 00:19
ATG (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.74%E -1.82%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.96%E -3.31%K -9.92%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-21 00:20
William Hill🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.74%E -1.82%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.96%E -3.31%K -9.92%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-20 16:30
Dabble (AU)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -4.74%E -1.82%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.23%E -4.21%K -12.97%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-21 00:20
Marathon Bet🎯2.59I 38.61%NM 36.67%EV -5.10%E -1.97%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.33%EV -4.96%E -3.31%K -9.92%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-20 21:30
NordicBet🎯2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV -5.84%E -2.27%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -4.33%E -2.86%K -8.48%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-20 21:00
Betsson🎯2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV -5.84%E -2.27%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -4.33%E -2.86%K -8.48%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-20 21:00
theScore Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -6.57%E -2.58%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -2.42%E -1.57%K -4.49%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-20 14:39
Winamax (DE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.57%E -2.58%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.96%E -3.31%K -9.92%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-21 00:40
Betway🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.57%E -2.58%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.96%E -3.31%K -9.92%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-21 00:39
Tipico (DE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.57%E -2.58%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.96%E -3.31%K -9.92%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-20 23:20
Unibet (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -6.57%E -2.58%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -6.23%E -4.21%K -12.97%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-21 00:30
Bet Victor🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.40%E -3.36%K -5.60%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.96%E -3.31%K -9.92%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-21 00:31
Winamax (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.40%E -3.36%K -5.60%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.96%E -3.31%K -9.92%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-21 00:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly2.80I 35.71%NM 35.63%1.55I 64.52%NM 64.37%0.2%2026-05-21 00:39
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72%0.6%2026-05-21 00:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72%0.6%2026-05-21 00:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72%0.6%2026-05-21 00:40
Polymarket2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65%1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35%0.9%2026-05-20 23:40
Kalshi2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%1.1%2026-05-21 00:40
ProphetX2.74I 36.50%NM 35.98%1.54I 64.94%NM 64.02%1.4%2026-05-21 00:40
Matchbook2.74I 36.50%NM 35.98%1.54I 64.94%NM 64.02%1.4%2026-05-21 00:40
Smarkets2.72I 36.76%NM 36.15%1.54I 64.94%NM 63.85%1.7%2026-05-21 00:40
Novig2.70I 37.04%NM 36.32%1.54I 64.94%NM 63.68%2.0%2026-05-21 00:40