Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

San Diego Padres v Los Angeles Dodgers

Kickoff: 2026-05-19 01:41 UTC

Final: San Diego Padres 1–0 Los Angeles Dodgers

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

58 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

San Diego Padres (Local)

Prediction 43.43%2.30fair odd
EV -0.549%
Edge -0.240%
Kelly -0.426%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.29

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.41%43.58%43.44%44.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.202.202.2947.62%45.42%45.45%43.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Los Angeles Dodgers (Visit)

Prediction 56.57%1.77fair odd
EV -1.000%
Edge -0.571%
Kelly -1.33%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.12%56.42%56.56%57.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.621.691.681.7561.73%59.31%59.52%57.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: San Diego Padres (Local): 43.43%; Los Angeles Dodgers (Visit): 56.57%. For San Diego Padres (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.30. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.29, with an expected value of -0.549%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (58 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
GTbets🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 42.89%EV -0.549%E -0.240%K -0.426%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.11%EV -2.70%E -1.57%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.8%2026-05-19 01:20
Pinnacle🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 43.11%EV -1.42%E -0.624%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.89%EV -2.70%E -1.57%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-19 01:39
BetOnline.ag🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 43.22%EV -1.85%E -0.819%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.78%EV -2.70%E -1.57%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-19 01:20
LowVig.ag🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 43.22%EV -1.85%E -0.819%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.78%EV -2.70%E -1.57%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-19 01:19
BetAnything🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 43.22%EV -1.85%E -0.819%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.78%EV -2.70%E -1.57%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-19 01:20
BetUS🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 43.07%EV -1.85%E -0.819%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.93%EV -3.26%E -1.91%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.7%2026-05-19 01:20
Svenska Spel🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 43.04%EV -2.29%E -1.02%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.96%EV -3.83%E -2.25%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-18 22:45
ReBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -2.29%E -1.02%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.53%E -3.31%K -8.25%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-18 13:40
DraftKings🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 42.71%EV -2.72%E -1.21%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.29%EV -5.53%E -3.31%K -8.25%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-18 22:05
MyBookie.ag🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 43.11%EV -3.15%E -1.41%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.89%EV -4.39%E -2.60%K -6.37%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-18 22:45
Bovada🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -3.15%E -1.41%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -4.96%E -2.95%K -7.29%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-19 01:39
Unibet (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -3.15%E -1.41%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -4.96%E -2.95%K -7.29%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-18 22:20
Unibet (NL)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -3.15%E -1.41%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -4.96%E -2.95%K -7.29%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-18 22:20
1xBet🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%EV -3.59%E -1.62%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%EV -1.000%E -0.571%K -1.33%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-18 22:10
FanDuel🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -3.59%E -1.62%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -4.39%E -2.60%K -6.37%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-18 17:55
Caesars🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -3.59%E -1.62%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -4.39%E -2.60%K -6.37%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-19 01:29
SportsBet🎯2.21I 45.25%NM 43.04%EV -4.02%E -1.82%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.96%EV -5.53%E -3.31%K -8.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-18 17:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.46%E -2.03%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.26%E -1.91%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-18 17:55
theScore Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.46%E -2.03%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.26%E -1.91%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-18 17:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.46%E -2.03%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.83%E -2.25%K -5.47%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-18 20:05
Coral🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.46%E -2.03%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.83%E -2.25%K -5.47%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-18 20:05
TAB🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.46%E -2.03%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.83%E -2.25%K -5.47%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-18 17:53
Coolbet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.46%E -2.03%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.83%E -2.25%K -5.47%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-19 01:40
Fanatics🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.46%E -2.03%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.39%E -2.60%K -6.37%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-19 01:09
BetMGM🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.46%E -2.03%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.39%E -2.60%K -6.37%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-18 20:10
Bet Right🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.46%E -2.03%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.96%E -2.95%K -7.29%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-19 01:20
Neds🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.46%E -2.03%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.96%E -2.95%K -7.29%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-18 20:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.46%E -2.03%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.96%E -2.95%K -7.29%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-18 20:10
betPARX🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.46%E -2.03%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.96%E -2.95%K -7.29%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-18 22:20
ATG (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.46%E -2.03%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.96%E -2.95%K -7.29%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-18 22:20
LeoVegas🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.46%E -2.03%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.96%E -2.95%K -7.29%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-18 22:20
Casumo🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.46%E -2.03%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.96%E -2.95%K -7.29%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-18 22:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.46%E -2.03%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.96%E -2.95%K -7.29%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-18 22:20
Grosvenor🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.46%E -2.03%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.96%E -2.95%K -7.29%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-18 22:20
Unibet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.46%E -2.03%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.96%E -2.95%K -7.29%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-18 22:20
888sport🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.46%E -2.03%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.53%E -3.31%K -8.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-18 17:55
Betr (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.46%E -2.03%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.53%E -3.31%K -8.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-18 17:55
888sport (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.46%E -2.03%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.53%E -3.31%K -8.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-18 17:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.46%E -2.03%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.53%E -3.31%K -8.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-18 17:55
William Hill🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.46%E -2.03%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.53%E -3.31%K -8.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-18 14:01
BetRivers🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.46%E -2.03%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.53%E -3.31%K -8.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-18 22:20
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.46%E -2.03%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.53%E -3.31%K -8.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 01:19
Virgin Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.46%E -2.03%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.53%E -3.31%K -8.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-18 22:20
TABtouch🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.46%E -2.03%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.53%E -3.31%K -8.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-18 22:20
Tipico (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -4.46%E -2.03%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.66%E -4.03%K -10.24%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-18 22:55
Unibet (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -4.46%E -2.03%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.44%EV -7.79%E -4.78%K -12.36%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-19 01:30
Paddy Power🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -4.46%E -2.03%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -8.35%E -5.16%K -13.47%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-18 23:20
Betsson🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.33%E -2.44%K -4.51%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.96%E -2.95%K -7.29%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-18 23:10
NordicBet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.33%E -2.44%K -4.51%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.96%E -2.95%K -7.29%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-18 23:10
LiveScore Bet🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.31%EV -6.19%E -2.87%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.69%EV -6.66%E -4.03%K -10.24%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-19 01:40
Bally Bet🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.31%EV -6.19%E -2.87%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.69%EV -6.66%E -4.03%K -10.24%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-19 01:40
Unibet (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -6.63%E -3.08%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -2.13%E -1.23%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-19 01:40
PlayUp🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.63%E -3.08%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.83%E -2.25%K -5.47%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-18 22:05
Marathon Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.63%E -3.08%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.83%E -2.25%K -5.47%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-18 22:10
Dabble (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -6.63%E -3.08%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -4.96%E -2.95%K -7.29%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-19 01:39
Betway🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -8.80%E -4.19%K -8.00%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -3.26%E -1.91%K -4.60%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-19 01:39
Winamax (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -8.80%E -4.19%K -8.00%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -3.83%E -2.25%K -5.47%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-19 01:40
Winamax (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -8.80%E -4.19%K -8.00%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -3.83%E -2.25%K -5.47%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-19 01:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly2.29I 43.67%NM 43.46%1.76I 56.82%NM 56.54%0.5%2026-05-19 01:39
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%0.7%2026-05-19 01:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%0.7%2026-05-19 01:40
ProphetX2.27I 44.05%NM 43.67%1.76I 56.82%NM 56.33%0.9%2026-05-19 01:40
Matchbook2.26I 44.25%NM 43.78%1.76I 56.82%NM 56.22%1.1%2026-05-19 01:40
Polymarket2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%1.2%2026-05-18 09:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.26I 44.25%NM 43.64%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.36%1.4%2026-05-19 01:40
Smarkets2.26I 44.25%NM 43.50%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.50%1.7%2026-05-19 01:40
Novig2.27I 44.05%NM 43.25%1.73I 57.80%NM 56.75%1.9%2026-05-19 01:40
Kalshi2.27I 44.05%NM 43.11%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.89%2.2%2026-05-19 01:40