Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

San Diego Padres v Houston Astros

2026-08-08 01:41 UTC — MLB

Head to Head

25 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

52%

48%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

San Diego Padres (Local)

Prediction 52.37%1.91fair odd

EV +0.021%

Edge +0.011%

Kelly +0.024%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.91

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

50.00%52.43%52.00%53.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.741.821.821.9157.47%54.96%54.95%52.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Houston Astros (Visit)

Prediction 47.63%2.10fair odd

EV +0.029%

Edge +0.014%

Kelly +0.026%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

46.56%47.57%48.00%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.881.992.002.1053.19%50.23%50.00%47.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: San Diego Padres (Local): 52.37%; Houston Astros (Visit): 47.63%. For Houston Astros (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.099. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 2.100, producing a positive expected value of +0.029%.

Sportsbook Odds (25 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

Bookmaker	Local	Visit ▼	Margin	Updated
GTbets🎯	1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -4.17%E -2.28%K -5.02%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV +0.029%E +0.014%K +0.026%G +0.000%	2.3%	2026-08-06 18:20
LowVig.ag🎯	1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV -4.17%E -2.28%K -5.02%G +0.000%	2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV -0.448%E -0.214%K -0.411%G +0.000%	2.5%	2026-08-06 17:55
BetOnline.ag🎯	1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV -4.17%E -2.28%K -5.02%G +0.000%	2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV -0.448%E -0.214%K -0.411%G +0.000%	2.5%	2026-08-06 17:55
1xBet🎯	1.86I 53.76%NM 52.67%EV -2.60%E -1.40%K -3.02%G +0.000%	2.07I 48.31%NM 47.33%EV -1.40%E -0.676%K -1.31%G +0.000%	2.1%	2026-08-06 18:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯	1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.74%E -3.19%K -7.17%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.35%E -1.15%K -2.24%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-08-06 18:30
Caesars🎯	1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.74%E -3.19%K -7.17%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.35%E -1.15%K -2.24%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-08-06 18:19
Hard Rock Bet🎯	1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV +0.021%E +0.011%K +0.024%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -4.73%E -2.37%K -4.73%G +0.000%	2.4%	2026-08-06 18:40
Bet Right🎯	1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.17%E -2.28%K -5.02%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.73%E -2.37%K -4.73%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-08-06 18:20
PlayUp🎯	1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.69%E -2.58%K -5.72%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.73%E -2.37%K -4.73%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-08-06 18:10
William Hill🎯	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.74%E -3.19%K -7.17%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.73%E -2.37%K -4.73%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-08-06 17:50
888sport🎯	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.74%E -3.19%K -7.17%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.73%E -2.37%K -4.73%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-08-06 18:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.74%E -3.19%K -7.17%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.73%E -2.37%K -4.73%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-08-06 18:20
888sport (SE)🎯	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.74%E -3.19%K -7.17%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.73%E -2.37%K -4.73%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-08-06 18:20
Betr (AU)🎯	1.82I 54.95%NM 52.23%EV -4.69%E -2.58%K -5.72%G +0.000%	1.99I 50.25%NM 47.77%EV -5.21%E -2.62%K -5.26%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-08-06 18:20
FanDuel🎯	1.86I 53.76%NM 51.56%EV -2.60%E -1.40%K -3.02%G +0.000%	1.98I 50.51%NM 48.44%EV -5.69%E -2.87%K -5.80%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-08-06 17:35
Unibet (UK)🎯	1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.17%E -2.28%K -5.02%G +0.000%	1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.69%E -2.87%K -5.80%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-08-06 18:25
Winamax (DE)🎯	1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -4.69%E -2.58%K -5.72%G +0.000%	1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -5.69%E -2.87%K -5.80%G +0.000%	5.5%	2026-08-06 18:25
Betclic (FR)🎯	1.81I 55.25%NM 51.99%EV -5.22%E -2.88%K -6.44%G +0.000%	1.96I 51.02%NM 48.01%EV -6.64%E -3.39%K -6.92%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-08-06 18:25
SportsBet🎯	1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.12%E -1.69%K -3.67%G +0.000%	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -7.12%E -3.65%K -7.49%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-08-06 17:35
Fliff🎯	1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.17%E -2.28%K -5.02%G +0.000%	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -7.12%E -3.65%K -7.49%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-08-06 17:45
Bet Victor🎯	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.74%E -3.19%K -7.17%G +0.000%	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.12%E -3.65%K -7.49%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-08-06 18:25
ReBet🎯	1.77I 56.50%NM 51.90%EV -7.31%E -4.13%K -9.49%G +0.000%	1.91I 52.36%NM 48.10%EV -9.02%E -4.72%K -9.91%G +0.000%	8.9%	2026-08-06 18:25
Paddy Power🎯	1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -0.502%E -0.264%K -0.558%G +0.000%	1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -9.50%E -5.00%K -10.55%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-08-06 17:35
Unibet (FR)🎯	1.75I 57.14%NM 51.92%EV -8.36%E -4.78%K -11.14%G +0.000%	1.89I 52.91%NM 48.08%EV -9.97%E -5.28%K -11.21%G +0.000%	10.1%	2026-08-06 18:25
Winamax (FR)🎯	1.74I 57.47%NM 51.93%EV -8.88%E -5.10%K -12.00%G +0.000%	1.88I 53.19%NM 48.07%EV -10.45%E -5.56%K -11.88%G +0.000%	10.7%	2026-08-06 18:25

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Margin ▲	Updated
Kalshi◎	1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%	2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%	1.1%	2026-08-06 17:35
Polymarket◎	1.85I 54.05%NM 52.44%	2.04I 49.02%NM 47.56%	3.1%	2026-08-06 18:10
Smarkets◎	1.75I 57.14%NM 51.92%	1.89I 52.91%NM 48.08%	10.1%	2026-08-06 18:25
Novig◎	1.00I 100.00%NM 64.66%	1.83I 54.64%NM 35.34%	54.6%	2026-08-06 18:45

Arbitrage (1 combination) +0.02%Hard Rock Bet 1.91 (52.4%) / GTbets 2.10 (47.6%)Show details

Hard Rock Bet🎯 GTbets🎯

San Diego Padres (Local)	Houston Astros (Visit)	Margin
Hard Rock Bet🎯 1.91 (52.4%)	GTbets🎯 2.10 (47.6%)	+0.025%