Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.61
assuming max odds 2.70
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: San Diego Padres (Local): 62.60%; Colorado Rockies (Visit): 37.40%. For Colorado Rockies (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.67. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.70, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.967%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV +0.794%E +0.493%K +1.30%G +0.010% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -10.25%E -4.27%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-29 19:44 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.69%EV -0.458%E -0.288%K -0.776%G +0.000% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.31%EV -4.27%E -1.67%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-07-29 19:24 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -1.71%E -1.09%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -8.38%E -3.42%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-29 19:50 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -1.71%E -1.09%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -10.25%E -4.27%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-29 19:35 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.50%EV -2.34%E -1.50%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.50%EV -2.77%E -1.07%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-07-29 20:09 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -2.34%E -1.50%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -4.64%E -1.82%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-07-29 19:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -2.34%E -1.50%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -4.64%E -1.82%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-07-29 19:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -2.34%E -1.50%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -6.51%E -2.60%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-29 20:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 63.01%EV -2.96%E -1.91%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.99%EV -1.28%E -0.484%K -0.779%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-07-29 19:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 63.01%EV -2.96%E -1.91%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.99%EV -1.28%E -0.484%K -0.779%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-07-29 19:40 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.83%EV -2.96%E -1.91%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.17%EV -2.03%E -0.773%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-07-29 19:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.20%EV -2.96%E -1.91%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.80%EV -4.64%E -1.82%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-29 19:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.20%EV -2.96%E -1.91%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.80%EV -4.64%E -1.82%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-29 19:55 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -2.96%E -1.91%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -6.51%E -2.60%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-29 19:49 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -2.96%E -1.91%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -8.38%E -3.42%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-29 19:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -2.96%E -1.91%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -8.38%E -3.42%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-29 19:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.68%EV -3.59%E -2.33%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.32%EV +0.967%E +0.358%K +0.569%G +0.005% | 2.0% | 2026-07-29 20:10 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.98%EV -3.59%E -2.33%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.02%EV -2.03%E -0.773%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-07-29 20:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.25%EV -3.59%E -2.33%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.75%EV -5.02%E -1.98%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-29 19:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -3.59%E -2.33%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -6.51%E -2.60%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-29 19:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -3.59%E -2.33%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -6.51%E -2.60%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-29 19:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -3.59%E -2.33%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -6.51%E -2.60%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-29 19:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -3.59%E -2.33%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -6.51%E -2.60%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-29 19:55 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -3.59%E -2.33%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -6.51%E -2.60%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-29 19:54 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -3.59%E -2.33%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -6.51%E -2.60%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-29 19:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -3.59%E -2.33%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -7.26%E -2.93%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-29 19:49 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -3.59%E -2.33%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -7.26%E -2.93%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-29 19:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -3.59%E -2.33%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -7.26%E -2.93%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-29 19:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -3.59%E -2.33%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -8.38%E -3.42%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-29 20:10 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -4.21%E -2.75%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -0.903%E -0.341%K -0.547%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-07-29 20:10 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.21%E -2.75%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -2.77%E -1.07%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-29 20:05 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.21%E -2.75%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -2.77%E -1.07%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-29 20:00 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -4.21%E -2.75%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -3.52%E -1.36%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-29 19:39 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.21%E -2.75%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -4.64%E -1.82%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-29 20:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.21%E -2.75%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.51%E -2.60%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-29 19:49 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.21%E -2.75%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.51%E -2.60%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-29 19:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.21%E -2.75%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.51%E -2.60%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-29 19:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.21%E -2.75%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.51%E -2.60%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-29 19:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.21%E -2.75%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.51%E -2.60%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-29 19:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.21%E -2.75%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.51%E -2.60%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-29 19:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -4.21%E -2.75%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -8.38%E -3.42%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-29 20:10 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.20%EV -4.84%E -3.18%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 2.61I 38.31%NM 36.80%EV -2.40%E -0.919%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-29 20:08 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.93%EV -4.84%E -3.18%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.07%EV -3.52%E -1.36%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-29 20:09 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.84%E -3.18%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -4.64%E -1.82%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-29 20:08 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.47%EV -4.84%E -3.18%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 37.53%EV -5.39%E -2.13%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-29 19:50 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -4.84%E -3.18%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -6.51%E -2.60%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-29 20:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -4.84%E -3.18%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -8.38%E -3.42%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-29 19:55 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -4.84%E -3.18%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -8.38%E -3.42%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-29 20:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.44%EV -5.47%E -3.62%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.56%EV -2.03%E -0.773%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-29 20:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.35%EV -5.47%E -3.62%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 2.61I 38.31%NM 36.65%EV -2.40%E -0.919%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-29 20:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -5.47%E -3.62%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -2.77%E -1.07%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-29 20:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.47%E -3.62%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.64%E -1.82%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-29 20:09 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -6.09%E -4.06%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -0.903%E -0.341%K -0.547%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-29 20:05 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.09%E -4.06%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.77%E -1.07%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-29 20:05 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.09%E -4.06%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.64%E -1.82%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-29 20:05 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.09%E -4.06%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.64%E -1.82%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-29 20:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.09%E -4.06%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.64%E -1.82%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-29 20:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.09%E -4.06%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.64%E -1.82%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-29 20:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.09%E -4.06%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.51%E -2.60%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-29 19:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.09%E -4.06%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.51%E -2.60%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-29 20:10 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.09%E -4.06%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -10.25%E -4.27%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-29 20:09 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.09%E -4.06%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -10.25%E -4.27%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-29 20:05 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.53%EV -7.34%E -4.96%K -15.30%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 37.47%EV -7.63%E -3.09%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-29 20:08 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.15%EV -7.34%E -4.96%K -15.30%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.85%EV -9.13%E -3.76%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-29 19:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -7.97%E -5.42%K -16.96%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -2.77%E -1.07%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-29 20:10 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.40% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.60% | 0.5% | 2026-07-29 20:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.55% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.45% | 0.9% | 2026-07-29 20:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.55% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.45% | 0.9% | 2026-07-29 20:10 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62% | 1.1% | 2026-07-29 20:10 |
| Novig◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62% | 1.1% | 2026-07-29 20:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62% | 1.1% | 2026-07-29 20:10 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62% | 1.1% | 2026-07-29 20:10 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.68% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.32% | 2.0% | 2026-07-29 20:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.51% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.49% | 2.2% | 2026-07-29 20:10 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.04% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.96% | 4.3% | 2026-07-29 20:09 |
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