Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

San Diego Padres v Colorado Rockies

2026-07-29 20:11 UTC — MLB

Head to Head

22 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

San Diego Padres (Local)

Prediction 56.46%1.77fair odd
EV -1.20%
Edge -0.687%
Kelly -1.60%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.79%56.46%56.41%58.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.621.681.681.7561.73%59.64%59.52%57.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Colorado Rockies (Visit)

Prediction 43.54%2.30fair odd
EV +0.151%
Edge +0.065%
Kelly +0.116%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.33%43.54%43.59%44.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.172.182.3048.78%46.06%45.87%43.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sportsbook Odds (22 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Fliff1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -8.54%E -5.27%K -13.78%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV +0.151%E +0.065%K +0.116%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-28 18:04
PointsBet (AU)1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.59%E -2.72%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.03%E -0.901%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-28 18:10
1xBet1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%EV -1.20%E -0.687%K -1.60%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%EV -3.33%E -1.50%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.2%2026-07-28 18:20
MyBookie.ag1.70I 58.82%NM 56.52%EV -4.02%E -2.37%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.48%EV -3.77%E -1.71%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-28 18:14
FanDuel1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.02%E -2.37%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.20%E -1.91%K -3.50%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-28 18:04
Fanatics1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.59%E -2.72%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.20%E -1.91%K -3.50%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-28 18:23
Hard Rock Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.59%E -2.72%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.20%E -1.91%K -3.50%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-28 18:44
888sport1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.72%E -3.42%K -8.53%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.20%E -1.91%K -3.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-28 18:09
888sport (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.72%E -3.42%K -8.53%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.20%E -1.91%K -3.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-28 18:09
Mr Green (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.72%E -3.42%K -8.53%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.20%E -1.91%K -3.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-28 18:09
Bet Right1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.02%E -2.37%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -5.07%E -2.33%K -4.30%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-28 18:09
Unibet (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.02%E -2.37%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -5.07%E -2.33%K -4.30%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-28 18:09
Betr (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.02%E -2.37%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.38%E -2.97%K -5.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-28 18:09
SportsBet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.15%E -3.07%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -6.38%E -2.97%K -5.55%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-28 18:04
Winamax (DE)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.15%E -3.07%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -6.38%E -2.97%K -5.55%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-28 18:09
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.72%E -3.42%K -8.53%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.38%E -2.97%K -5.55%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-28 18:04
betano_uk1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.72%E -3.42%K -8.53%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.38%E -2.97%K -5.55%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-28 18:09
Bet Victor1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.72%E -3.42%K -8.53%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.38%E -2.97%K -5.55%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-28 18:09
PlayUp1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -5.15%E -3.07%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -7.69%E -3.63%K -6.86%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-28 18:09
ReBet1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -6.85%E -4.15%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -8.56%E -4.08%K -7.78%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-28 18:09
Unibet (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 55.86%EV -8.54%E -5.27%K -13.78%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.14%EV -10.74%E -5.24%K -10.22%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-28 18:10
Winamax (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 55.86%EV -8.54%E -5.27%K -13.78%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.14%EV -10.74%E -5.24%K -10.22%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-28 18:09
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Polymarket1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-07-28 18:15
Kalshi1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-07-28 19:45
Novig1.63I 61.35%NM 56.42%2.11I 47.39%NM 43.58%8.7%2026-07-28 19:30
Smarkets1.62I 61.73%NM 55.98%2.06I 48.54%NM 44.02%10.3%2026-07-28 18:09