Language:English
San Diego Padres v Colorado Rockies
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
San Diego Padres (Local)
Prediction 67.54%1.48fair odd
EV -1.39%
Edge -0.951%
Kelly -3.02%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.46
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
65.63%67.44%67.51%69.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.351.411.411.4674.07%70.82%70.92%68.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Colorado Rockies (Visit)
Prediction 32.46%3.08fair odd
EV +2.24%
Edge +0.712%
Kelly +1.04%
Growth +0.023%
assuming max odds 3.15
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.46%32.56%32.49%34.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.702.942.953.1537.04%34.00%33.90%31.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: San Diego Padres (Local): 67.54%; Colorado Rockies (Visit): 32.46%. For Colorado Rockies (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.08. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.15, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.24%.
Sportsbook Odds (65 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bovada🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -6.79%E -4.92%K -17.87%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV +2.24%E +0.712%K +1.04%G +0.023% | 4.2% | 2026-07-29 01:39 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 68.58%EV -4.09%E -2.88%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.42%EV +0.619%E +0.200%K +0.295%G +0.002% | 2.7% | 2026-07-29 01:35 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -6.79%E -4.92%K -17.87%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV +0.619%E +0.200%K +0.295%G +0.002% | 4.7% | 2026-07-29 01:34 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 68.29%EV -3.41%E -2.39%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 31.71%EV -0.030%E -0.010%K -0.015%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-07-29 01:34 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 68.29%EV -3.41%E -2.39%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 31.71%EV -0.030%E -0.010%K -0.015%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-07-29 01:35 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 68.29%EV -3.41%E -2.39%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 31.71%EV -0.030%E -0.010%K -0.015%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-07-29 01:19 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 68.23%EV -4.09%E -2.88%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.77%EV -1.00%E -0.329%K -0.490%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-07-28 21:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 68.23%EV -4.09%E -2.88%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.77%EV -1.00%E -0.329%K -0.490%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-07-28 21:39 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -5.44%E -3.89%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -1.00%E -0.329%K -0.490%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-28 22:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -5.44%E -3.89%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -1.00%E -0.329%K -0.490%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-28 21:54 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.94%EV -3.41%E -2.39%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 32.06%EV -1.65%E -0.546%K -0.814%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-07-29 01:34 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -4.77%E -3.38%K -11.62%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -2.63%E -0.876%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-29 01:39 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -4.77%E -3.38%K -11.62%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -2.63%E -0.876%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-29 01:14 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.44%E -3.89%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.63%E -0.876%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-29 01:34 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.44%E -3.89%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.63%E -0.876%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-29 01:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.44%E -3.89%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.63%E -0.876%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-29 01:34 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.44%E -3.89%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.63%E -0.876%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-28 21:39 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.44%E -3.89%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.63%E -0.876%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-28 21:39 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.44%E -3.89%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.63%E -0.876%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-28 21:39 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.44%E -3.89%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.63%E -0.876%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-28 21:38 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.44%E -3.89%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.63%E -0.876%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-28 21:39 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.44%E -3.89%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.63%E -0.876%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-28 21:39 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -6.12%E -4.40%K -15.68%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -2.63%E -0.876%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-29 01:39 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.79%E -4.92%K -17.87%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -2.63%E -0.876%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-28 22:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.79%E -4.92%K -17.87%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -2.63%E -0.876%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-28 21:59 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.79%E -4.92%K -17.87%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -2.63%E -0.876%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-28 21:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -7.47%E -5.45%K -20.18%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -2.63%E -0.876%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-29 01:39 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.88%EV -4.77%E -3.38%K -11.62%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.12%EV -3.28%E -1.10%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-29 01:34 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 66.97%EV -1.39%E -0.951%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.03%EV -3.93%E -1.33%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-07-28 23:49 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -3.41%E -2.39%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -4.25%E -1.44%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-29 00:29 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -4.77%E -3.38%K -11.62%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -4.25%E -1.44%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-29 00:14 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.44%E -3.89%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.25%E -1.44%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-29 01:19 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.44%E -3.89%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.25%E -1.44%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-29 00:14 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.44%E -3.89%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.25%E -1.44%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-29 00:14 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.44%E -3.89%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.25%E -1.44%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-29 00:14 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.44%E -3.89%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.25%E -1.44%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-29 01:39 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.60%EV -8.82%E -6.53%K -25.19%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -4.25%E -1.44%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-28 21:59 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.89%EV -2.06%E -1.42%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 33.11%EV -4.90%E -1.67%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-07-28 22:39 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.51%EV -4.77%E -3.38%K -11.62%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 32.49%EV -4.90%E -1.67%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-28 22:59 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.97%EV -2.74%E -1.90%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.03%EV -5.22%E -1.79%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-28 22:59 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.67%EV -2.06%E -1.42%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.33%EV -5.87%E -2.03%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-07-28 18:39 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -2.74%E -1.90%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -5.87%E -2.03%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-29 01:34 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -3.41%E -2.39%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -5.87%E -2.03%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-28 23:55 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -3.41%E -2.39%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -5.87%E -2.03%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-29 01:19 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.09%E -2.88%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -5.87%E -2.03%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-29 00:14 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.09%E -2.88%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -5.87%E -2.03%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-29 01:14 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.09%E -2.88%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -5.87%E -2.03%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-29 01:34 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.44%E -3.89%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.87%E -2.03%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-29 00:34 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.44%E -3.89%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.87%E -2.03%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-29 01:39 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.05%EV -4.09%E -2.88%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 2.89I 34.60%NM 32.95%EV -6.20%E -2.14%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-28 23:54 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.51%EV -2.06%E -1.42%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.49%EV -6.52%E -2.26%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-29 01:04 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.67%EV -2.74%E -1.90%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.33%EV -6.52%E -2.26%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-29 01:34 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -5.44%E -3.89%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -6.52%E -2.26%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-29 01:24 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -2.74%E -1.90%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -7.50%E -2.63%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-29 01:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -2.74%E -1.90%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -7.50%E -2.63%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-29 01:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.51%EV -3.41%E -2.39%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.49%EV -7.82%E -2.75%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-28 18:39 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.51%EV -3.41%E -2.39%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.49%EV -7.82%E -2.75%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-28 18:38 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -4.09%E -2.88%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -9.12%E -3.26%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-29 01:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.44%E -3.89%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -9.12%E -3.26%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-28 23:14 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.99%EV -6.79%E -4.92%K -17.87%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%EV -9.12%E -3.26%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-29 01:14 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -2.74%E -1.90%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -10.74%E -3.91%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-29 01:39 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -2.74%E -1.90%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -10.74%E -3.91%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-29 01:39 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -4.09%E -2.88%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -10.74%E -3.91%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-29 01:34 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -5.44%E -3.89%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -12.36%E -4.58%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-29 01:28 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -5.44%E -3.89%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -12.36%E -4.58%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-29 01:28 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.69% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 32.31% | 0.5% | 2026-07-29 01:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03% | 0.7% | 2026-07-29 01:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03% | 0.7% | 2026-07-29 01:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03% | 0.7% | 2026-07-29 01:39 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.33% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 32.67% | 1.0% | 2026-07-28 18:00 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.33% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 32.67% | 1.0% | 2026-07-28 23:49 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 68.78% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.22% | 1.7% | 2026-07-29 01:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 68.43% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.57% | 2.2% | 2026-07-29 01:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.74% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.26% | 3.2% | 2026-07-29 01:39 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.20% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.80% | 4.2% | 2026-07-29 01:39 |
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