Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.60
assuming max odds 2.60
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: San Diego Padres (Local): 61.99%; Colorado Rockies (Visit): 38.01%. For San Diego Padres (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.61. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.60, with an expected value of -0.818%; they did not produce positive expected value.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.35%EV -0.818%E -0.511%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.65%EV -3.45%E -1.36%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-04-10 01:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.02%EV -2.06%E -1.30%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.98%EV -1.93%E -0.748%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-04-09 21:44 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.35%EV -2.68%E -1.71%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.65%EV -1.17%E -0.450%K -0.731%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-04-09 22:44 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.17%EV -2.68%E -1.71%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.83%EV -1.93%E -0.748%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-04-09 22:44 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.17%EV -2.68%E -1.71%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.83%EV -1.93%E -0.748%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-04-09 22:44 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.80%EV -2.68%E -1.71%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.20%EV -3.45%E -1.36%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-04-10 00:34 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.76%EV -3.30%E -2.11%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.24%EV -4.21%E -1.67%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-10 01:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.30%E -2.11%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.97%E -1.99%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-10 00:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.30%E -2.11%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.97%E -1.99%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-09 23:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -3.30%E -2.11%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -5.73%E -2.31%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-10 01:24 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -3.30%E -2.11%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -8.77%E -3.66%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-10 01:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -3.30%E -2.11%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -8.77%E -3.66%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-10 01:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -3.30%E -2.11%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -10.67%E -4.54%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-10 01:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.65%EV -3.92%E -2.53%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.35%EV -1.17%E -0.450%K -0.731%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-04-10 00:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.20%EV -3.92%E -2.53%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.80%EV -3.07%E -1.20%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-10 00:39 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.92%EV -3.92%E -2.53%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.08%EV -4.21%E -1.67%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-10 00:38 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.92%E -2.53%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.97%E -1.99%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-10 01:39 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.92%E -2.53%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.97%E -1.99%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-09 21:45 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -3.92%E -2.53%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -12.57%E -5.47%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-10 01:40 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.54%E -2.95%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.07%E -1.20%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-10 01:39 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.54%E -2.95%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.07%E -1.20%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-10 00:34 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.54%E -2.95%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.07%E -1.20%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-10 00:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.54%E -2.95%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.07%E -1.20%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-10 00:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.16%EV -4.54%E -2.95%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 37.84%EV -3.83%E -1.51%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-10 01:40 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.54%E -2.95%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.97%E -1.99%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-10 01:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.54%E -2.95%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.73%E -2.31%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-09 21:44 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.54%E -2.95%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.73%E -2.31%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-09 21:44 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -5.16%E -3.37%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -1.93%E -0.748%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-09 22:42 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.16%E -3.37%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -3.07%E -1.20%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-10 01:35 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.16%E -3.37%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -3.07%E -1.20%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-10 01:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.16%E -3.37%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -3.07%E -1.20%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-10 00:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.16%E -3.37%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -3.07%E -1.20%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-10 00:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.16%E -3.37%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -3.07%E -1.20%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-10 00:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.16%E -3.37%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -3.07%E -1.20%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-10 00:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.16%E -3.37%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -3.07%E -1.20%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-10 00:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.16%E -3.37%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -3.07%E -1.20%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-10 00:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.16%E -3.37%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -3.07%E -1.20%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-10 00:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.16%E -3.37%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -3.07%E -1.20%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-10 00:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.16%E -3.37%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -3.07%E -1.20%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-09 22:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.16%E -3.37%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -3.07%E -1.20%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-09 22:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.16%E -3.37%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -3.07%E -1.20%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-09 22:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.22%EV -5.16%E -3.37%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.78%EV -4.21%E -1.67%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-10 01:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.13%EV -5.16%E -3.37%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 2.51I 39.84%NM 37.87%EV -4.59%E -1.83%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-10 01:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.16%E -3.37%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.97%E -1.99%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-10 01:14 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.16%E -3.37%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.97%E -1.99%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-10 00:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.16%E -3.37%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.97%E -1.99%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-10 01:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.16%E -3.37%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.97%E -1.99%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-10 01:15 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.16%E -3.37%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.97%E -1.99%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-10 01:39 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.16%E -3.37%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.97%E -1.99%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-09 22:49 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.16%E -3.37%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.97%E -1.99%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-09 22:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.16%E -3.37%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.97%E -1.99%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-10 00:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -5.78%E -3.80%K -11.11%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -3.07%E -1.20%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-09 22:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -5.78%E -3.80%K -11.11%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -3.07%E -1.20%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-09 22:45 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.78%E -3.80%K -11.11%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -4.97%E -1.99%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-10 01:39 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -6.40%E -4.24%K -12.54%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -3.07%E -1.20%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-09 22:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -6.40%E -4.24%K -12.54%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -3.07%E -1.20%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-09 22:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -7.02%E -4.68%K -14.03%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.17%E -0.450%K -0.731%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-08 19:34 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -7.02%E -4.68%K -14.03%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.07%E -1.20%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-10 00:29 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.02%E -4.68%K -14.03%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.97%E -1.99%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-09 23:15 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.02%E -4.68%K -14.03%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.97%E -1.99%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-10 01:39 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 62.35% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 37.65% | 0.2% | 2026-04-10 01:30 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.59% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.41% | 0.5% | 2026-04-10 01:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 62.09% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.91% | 0.7% | 2026-04-10 01:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 62.09% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.91% | 0.7% | 2026-04-10 01:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 62.09% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.91% | 0.7% | 2026-04-10 01:35 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68% | 0.9% | 2026-04-10 01:20 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68% | 0.9% | 2026-04-09 22:30 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.06% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.94% | 1.0% | 2026-04-10 01:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.86% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.14% | 2.0% | 2026-04-10 01:40 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.98% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.02% | 3.1% | 2026-04-10 01:20 |