Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

San Diego Padres v Colorado Rockies

Kickoff: 2026-04-11 01:41 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

58 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

San Diego Padres (Local)

Prediction 60.78%1.65fair odd
EV -0.329%
Edge -0.201%
Kelly -0.514%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.64

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.14%60.56%60.78%62.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.511.561.561.6466.23%63.98%64.10%60.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Colorado Rockies (Visit)

Prediction 39.22%2.55fair odd
EV +1.98%
Edge +0.763%
Kelly +1.24%
Growth +0.025%

assuming max odds 2.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.35%39.44%39.22%41.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.462.452.6044.44%40.69%40.82%38.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: San Diego Padres (Local): 60.78%; Colorado Rockies (Visit): 39.22%. For Colorado Rockies (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.55. 11 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.60, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.98%.

Sportsbook Odds (58 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Svenska Spel🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.65%EV -5.80%E -3.74%K -10.54%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.35%EV +1.98%E +0.763%K +1.24%G +0.025%3.0%2026-04-11 00:40
Unibet (NL)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -6.41%E -4.16%K -11.86%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV +0.024%E +0.009%K +0.015%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-11 00:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -6.41%E -4.16%K -11.86%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV +0.024%E +0.009%K +0.015%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-11 00:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -7.01%E -4.58%K -13.23%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV +0.024%E +0.009%K +0.015%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-11 00:40
Grosvenor🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -7.01%E -4.58%K -13.23%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV +0.024%E +0.009%K +0.015%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-11 00:40
Casumo🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -7.01%E -4.58%K -13.23%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV +0.024%E +0.009%K +0.015%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-11 00:40
Unibet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -7.01%E -4.58%K -13.23%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV +0.024%E +0.009%K +0.015%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-11 00:40
LeoVegas🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -7.01%E -4.58%K -13.23%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV +0.024%E +0.009%K +0.015%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-11 00:40
Bally Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -7.01%E -4.58%K -13.23%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV +0.024%E +0.009%K +0.015%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-11 00:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -7.01%E -4.58%K -13.23%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV +0.024%E +0.009%K +0.015%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-11 00:40
betPARX🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -7.01%E -4.58%K -13.23%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV +0.024%E +0.009%K +0.015%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-11 00:40
Pinnacle🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.92%EV -2.15%E -1.34%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 39.08%EV -1.55%E -0.616%K -1.02%G +0.000%2.0%2026-04-11 00:25
GTbets🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83%EV -2.15%E -1.34%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17%EV -1.94%E -0.775%K -1.29%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-10 23:30
FanDuel🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -5.19%E -3.33%K -9.27%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -1.94%E -0.775%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-10 20:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -5.19%E -3.33%K -9.27%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -1.94%E -0.775%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-10 19:49
William Hill🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -7.01%E -4.58%K -13.23%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -1.94%E -0.775%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-10 11:59
LiveScore Bet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -7.62%E -5.01%K -14.66%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -1.94%E -0.775%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-11 00:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -7.62%E -5.01%K -14.66%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -1.94%E -0.775%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-11 00:40
BetRivers🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -8.23%E -5.45%K -16.14%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -1.94%E -0.775%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-11 00:40
TABtouch🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -8.23%E -5.45%K -16.14%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -1.94%E -0.775%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-11 00:40
LowVig.ag🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.73%EV -2.15%E -1.34%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 39.27%EV -2.33%E -0.936%K -1.56%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-10 23:30
BetOnline.ag🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.73%EV -2.15%E -1.34%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 39.27%EV -2.33%E -0.936%K -1.56%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-10 23:30
1xBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 60.49%EV -1.54%E -0.953%K -2.49%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.51%EV -2.72%E -1.10%K -1.84%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-10 20:00
SportsBet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -6.41%E -4.16%K -11.86%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -2.72%E -1.10%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-10 20:00
MyBookie.ag🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.99%EV -3.98%E -2.52%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 39.01%EV -3.11%E -1.26%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-11 00:03
BetUS🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.44%EV -2.15%E -1.34%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.56%EV -3.51%E -1.43%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.8%2026-04-10 23:39
ReBet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -3.37%E -2.12%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -3.90%E -1.59%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-11 01:38
theScore Bet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -3.37%E -2.12%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -3.90%E -1.59%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-10 20:04
BetMGM🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.58%E -2.92%K -8.04%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.90%E -1.59%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-10 20:04
Neds🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.58%E -2.92%K -8.04%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.90%E -1.59%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-10 20:04
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.58%E -2.92%K -8.04%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.90%E -1.59%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-10 20:04
Coral🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.58%E -2.92%K -8.04%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.90%E -1.59%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-10 20:04
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.58%E -2.92%K -8.04%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.90%E -1.59%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-10 20:05
Fanatics🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.58%E -2.92%K -8.04%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.90%E -1.59%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-10 19:59
Bet Right🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.19%E -3.33%K -9.27%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -3.90%E -1.59%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-10 20:05
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.19%E -3.33%K -9.27%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -3.90%E -1.59%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-10 20:10
Coolbet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.19%E -3.33%K -9.27%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -3.90%E -1.59%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-10 23:15
Betr (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.80%E -3.74%K -10.54%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.90%E -1.59%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-10 20:05
888sport (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -7.01%E -4.58%K -13.23%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -3.90%E -1.59%K -2.69%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-10 20:04
888sport🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -7.01%E -4.58%K -13.23%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -3.90%E -1.59%K -2.69%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-10 20:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -7.01%E -4.58%K -13.23%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -3.90%E -1.59%K -2.69%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-10 20:05
Bovada🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.85%EV -4.58%E -2.92%K -8.04%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.15%EV -4.29%E -1.76%K -2.98%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-10 23:00
Caesars🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -3.37%E -2.12%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -4.68%E -1.93%K -3.28%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-10 19:59
NordicBet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -5.19%E -3.33%K -9.27%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -5.08%E -2.10%K -3.57%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-11 01:24
Betsson🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -5.19%E -3.33%K -9.27%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -5.08%E -2.10%K -3.57%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-11 01:25
DraftKings🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.40%EV -3.98%E -2.52%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 39.60%EV -5.47%E -2.27%K -3.88%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-11 01:40
TAB🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -2.76%E -1.72%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -5.86%E -2.44%K -4.19%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-11 00:04
PlayUp🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -3.98%E -2.52%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -5.86%E -2.44%K -4.19%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-11 00:05
Marathon Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.58%E -2.92%K -8.04%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.86%E -2.44%K -4.19%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-10 19:59
Unibet (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.19%E -3.33%K -9.27%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.86%E -2.44%K -4.19%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-11 01:39
Tipico (DE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.80%E -3.74%K -10.54%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.86%E -2.44%K -4.19%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-10 20:55
Dabble (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.80%E -3.74%K -10.54%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.86%E -2.44%K -4.19%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-11 00:25
Paddy Power🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.01%E -4.58%K -13.23%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.64%E -2.79%K -4.81%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-10 23:15
Fliff🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -3.37%E -2.12%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -7.82%E -3.33%K -5.79%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-11 01:39
Unibet (UK)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -0.329%E -0.201%K -0.514%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -9.78%E -4.25%K -7.53%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-11 01:40
Winamax (DE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -1.54%E -0.953%K -2.49%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -11.74%E -5.22%K -9.40%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-11 01:40
Betway🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -1.54%E -0.953%K -2.49%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -11.74%E -5.22%K -9.40%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-11 01:40
Winamax (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -2.76%E -1.72%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -11.74%E -5.22%K -9.40%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-11 01:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.63I 61.35%NM 60.91%2.54I 39.37%NM 39.09%0.7%2026-04-11 01:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.63I 61.35%NM 60.91%2.54I 39.37%NM 39.09%0.7%2026-04-11 01:40
ProphetX1.62I 61.73%NM 61.24%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.76%0.8%2026-04-11 01:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 61.24%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.76%0.8%2026-04-11 01:40
Kalshi1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-04-11 01:35
Polymarket1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-04-10 20:55
Matchbook1.62I 61.73%NM 61.06%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.94%1.1%2026-04-11 01:40
BetOpenly1.60I 62.50%NM 61.54%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.46%1.6%2026-04-11 01:39
Novig1.62I 61.73%NM 60.68%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.32%1.7%2026-04-11 01:40
Smarkets1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17%2.1%2026-04-11 01:35