Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

San Diego Padres v Colorado Rockies

Kickoff: 2026-04-12 00:41 UTC

Final: San Diego Padres 9–5 Colorado Rockies

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

59 sportsbooks (19 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

San Diego Padres (Local)

Prediction 60.03%1.67fair odd
EV +0.256%
Edge +0.154%
Kelly +0.383%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 1.67

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.14%59.84%60.15%60.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.531.591.581.6765.36%62.99%63.29%59.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Colorado Rockies (Visit)

Prediction 39.97%2.50fair odd
EV -0.884%
Edge -0.356%
Kelly -0.597%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.48

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.05%40.16%39.85%41.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.402.402.4844.44%41.68%41.67%40.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: San Diego Padres (Local): 60.03%; Colorado Rockies (Visit): 39.97%. For San Diego Padres (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.666. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.670, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.256%.

Sportsbook Odds (59 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 58.77%EV +0.256%E +0.154%K +0.383%G +0.001%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.23%EV -4.88%E -2.05%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.9%2026-04-11 21:05
Unibet (UK)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.69%EV -1.54%E -0.942%K -2.41%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.31%EV -6.88%E -2.95%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-12 00:40
GTbets🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 60.15%EV -2.14%E -1.32%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.85%EV -1.68%E -0.684%K -1.15%G +0.000%2.0%2026-04-12 00:20
LowVig.ag🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.95%EV -2.14%E -1.32%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.05%EV -2.48%E -1.02%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-12 00:20
BetOnline.ag🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.95%EV -2.14%E -1.32%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.05%EV -2.48%E -1.02%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-12 00:20
Pinnacle🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 60.39%EV -2.75%E -1.69%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 39.61%EV -1.28%E -0.520%K -0.873%G +0.000%2.2%2026-04-11 23:05
BetUS🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.90%EV -2.75%E -1.69%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.10%EV -3.28%E -1.36%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-12 00:39
Betway🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -2.75%E -1.69%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -10.08%E -4.48%K -8.06%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-12 00:40
theScore Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.35%E -2.08%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -4.08%E -1.70%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-11 10:10
MyBookie.ag🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.75%EV -3.35%E -2.08%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 40.25%EV -4.48%E -1.87%K -3.22%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-11 22:43
Marathon Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.93%EV -3.35%E -2.08%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.07%EV -7.68%E -3.32%K -5.86%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-11 21:04
Fliff🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -3.35%E -2.08%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -8.08%E -3.51%K -6.21%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-12 00:34
Svenska Spel🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.78%EV -3.95%E -2.47%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.22%EV -0.884%E -0.356%K -0.597%G +0.000%2.8%2026-04-12 00:30
FanDuel🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.20%EV -3.95%E -2.47%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.80%EV -3.28%E -1.36%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-11 16:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.95%E -2.47%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.08%E -1.70%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-11 02:30
Coral🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.95%E -2.47%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.08%E -1.70%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-11 02:30
TAB🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.95%E -2.47%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.08%E -1.70%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-11 22:14
PlayUp🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.95%E -2.47%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.08%E -2.59%K -4.50%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-11 15:59
Tipico (DE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -3.95%E -2.47%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -8.08%E -3.51%K -6.21%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-11 21:10
Winamax (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -3.95%E -2.47%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -10.08%E -4.48%K -8.06%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-12 00:40
ReBet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -4.55%E -2.86%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -2.08%E -0.850%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-11 21:30
Caesars🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -4.55%E -2.86%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -2.88%E -1.19%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-11 23:24
Bovada🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.25%EV -4.55%E -2.86%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 39.75%EV -3.68%E -1.53%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-11 22:59
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.55%E -2.86%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.08%E -1.70%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-11 22:19
Fanatics🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.55%E -2.86%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.08%E -1.70%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-11 22:25
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.55%E -2.86%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.08%E -1.70%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-11 02:49
BetMGM🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.55%E -2.86%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.08%E -1.70%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-11 21:45
DraftKings🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.60%EV -5.15%E -3.26%K -8.87%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.40%EV -2.88%E -1.19%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-11 21:30
Bet Right🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.15%E -3.26%K -8.87%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.08%E -1.70%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-12 00:39
Neds🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.15%E -3.26%K -8.87%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.08%E -1.70%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-11 21:44
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.15%E -3.26%K -8.87%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.08%E -1.70%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-11 21:45
Coolbet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.15%E -3.26%K -8.87%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.08%E -1.70%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-12 00:39
NordicBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -5.15%E -3.26%K -8.87%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -5.28%E -2.23%K -3.85%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-11 22:15
Betsson🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -5.15%E -3.26%K -8.87%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -5.28%E -2.23%K -3.85%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-11 22:15
Unibet (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.75%E -3.66%K -10.08%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -2.08%E -0.850%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-12 00:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.75%E -3.66%K -10.08%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -2.08%E -0.850%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-12 00:30
Grosvenor🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -5.75%E -3.66%K -10.08%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -2.88%E -1.19%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-12 00:29
Virgin Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -5.75%E -3.66%K -10.08%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -2.88%E -1.19%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-12 00:30
LeoVegas🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -5.75%E -3.66%K -10.08%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -2.88%E -1.19%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-12 00:30
LiveScore Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -5.75%E -3.66%K -10.08%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -2.88%E -1.19%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-12 00:29
Unibet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -5.75%E -3.66%K -10.08%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -2.88%E -1.19%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-12 00:30
Casumo🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -5.75%E -3.66%K -10.08%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -2.88%E -1.19%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-12 00:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -5.75%E -3.66%K -10.08%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -2.88%E -1.19%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-12 00:29
betPARX🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -5.75%E -3.66%K -10.08%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -2.88%E -1.19%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-12 00:30
Bally Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -5.75%E -3.66%K -10.08%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -2.88%E -1.19%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-12 00:30
ATG (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -5.75%E -3.66%K -10.08%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -2.88%E -1.19%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-12 00:30
SportsBet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.55%EV -5.75%E -3.66%K -10.08%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 39.45%EV -3.68%E -1.53%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-11 16:00
888sport🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.75%E -3.66%K -10.08%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.08%E -1.70%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-10 21:00
Betr (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.75%E -3.66%K -10.08%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.08%E -1.70%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-12 00:39
888sport (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.75%E -3.66%K -10.08%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.08%E -1.70%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-10 21:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.75%E -3.66%K -10.08%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.08%E -1.70%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-10 21:00
William Hill🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.75%E -3.66%K -10.08%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.88%E -2.05%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-11 10:10
BoyleSports🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.75%E -3.66%K -10.08%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.88%E -2.05%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-11 08:25
Unibet (FR)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.75%E -3.66%K -10.08%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.08%E -2.59%K -4.50%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-12 00:29
Dabble (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.75%E -3.66%K -10.08%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.08%E -2.59%K -4.50%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-11 22:20
BetRivers🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -6.35%E -4.07%K -11.33%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -2.88%E -1.19%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-12 00:30
TABtouch🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -6.35%E -4.07%K -11.33%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -2.88%E -1.19%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-12 00:30
Winamax (DE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.35%E -4.07%K -11.33%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -4.08%E -1.70%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-11 21:29
Paddy Power🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -8.15%E -5.33%K -15.37%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -4.88%E -2.05%K -3.54%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-11 22:14
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly1.65I 60.61%NM 60.62%2.54I 39.37%NM 39.38%-0.0%2026-04-12 00:30
ProphetX1.66I 60.24%NM 60.10%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.90%0.2%2026-04-12 00:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44%0.5%2026-04-12 00:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90%2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10%0.6%2026-04-12 00:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90%2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10%0.6%2026-04-12 00:40
Polymarket1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-04-12 00:40
Kalshi1.64I 60.98%NM 59.80%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.20%2.0%2026-04-12 00:35
Novig1.64I 60.98%NM 59.80%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.20%2.0%2026-04-12 00:40
Smarkets1.64I 60.98%NM 59.61%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.39%2.3%2026-04-12 00:40
Matchbook1.60I 62.50%NM 60.59%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.41%3.2%2026-04-12 00:40