Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

San Diego Padres v Colorado Rockies

Kickoff: 2026-04-12 20:11 UTC

Final: San Diego Padres 7–2 Colorado Rockies

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

59 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

San Diego Padres (Local)

Prediction 66.20%1.51fair odd
EV -0.702%
Edge -0.468%
Kelly -1.40%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
63.73%66.05%66.24%68.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.401.441.441.5071.43%69.67%69.44%66.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Colorado Rockies (Visit)

Prediction 33.80%2.96fair odd
EV +3.09%
Edge +1.01%
Kelly +1.51%
Growth +0.047%

assuming max odds 3.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.77%33.95%33.76%36.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.862.853.0538.46%34.97%35.09%32.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: San Diego Padres (Local): 66.20%; Colorado Rockies (Visit): 33.80%. For Colorado Rockies (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.96. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.05, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.09%.

Sportsbook Odds (59 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Svenska Spel🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 68.23%EV -6.00%E -4.22%K -14.28%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.77%EV +3.09%E +1.01%K +1.51%G +0.047%3.2%2026-04-12 18:15
Unibet (SE)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -6.66%E -4.72%K -16.24%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV +1.40%E +0.468%K +0.702%G +0.010%4.3%2026-04-12 18:15
Unibet (NL)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -6.66%E -4.72%K -16.24%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV +1.40%E +0.468%K +0.702%G +0.010%4.3%2026-04-12 18:14
LeoVegas🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -6.66%E -4.72%K -16.24%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -0.286%E -0.097%K -0.147%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-12 18:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -6.66%E -4.72%K -16.24%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -0.286%E -0.097%K -0.147%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-12 18:20
Casumo🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -6.66%E -4.72%K -16.24%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -0.286%E -0.097%K -0.147%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-12 18:20
Grosvenor🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -6.66%E -4.72%K -16.24%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -0.286%E -0.097%K -0.147%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-12 18:20
Unibet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -6.66%E -4.72%K -16.24%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -0.286%E -0.097%K -0.147%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-12 18:20
ATG (SE)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -6.66%E -4.72%K -16.24%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -0.286%E -0.097%K -0.147%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-12 18:19
Bally Bet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -6.66%E -4.72%K -16.24%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -0.286%E -0.097%K -0.147%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-12 18:20
betPARX🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -6.66%E -4.72%K -16.24%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -0.286%E -0.097%K -0.147%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-12 18:20
TABtouch🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -7.32%E -5.23%K -18.30%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -0.286%E -0.097%K -0.147%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-12 18:15
LiveScore Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -7.32%E -5.23%K -18.30%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -0.286%E -0.097%K -0.147%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-12 18:15
BetRivers🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -7.32%E -5.23%K -18.30%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -0.286%E -0.097%K -0.147%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-12 18:15
Virgin Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -7.32%E -5.23%K -18.30%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -0.286%E -0.097%K -0.147%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-12 18:15
Everygame🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 66.67%EV -4.01%E -2.77%K -8.92%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.33%EV -1.98%E -0.681%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-12 17:20
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -5.34%E -3.73%K -12.41%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -1.98%E -0.681%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-12 19:09
William Hill🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.32%E -5.23%K -18.30%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -1.98%E -0.681%K -1.04%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-12 00:19
Tipico (DE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.32%E -5.23%K -18.30%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -1.98%E -0.681%K -1.04%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-12 18:49
LowVig.ag🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 66.13%EV -2.03%E -1.37%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 33.87%EV -2.31%E -0.801%K -1.22%G +0.000%2.2%2026-04-12 17:20
BetOnline.ag🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 66.13%EV -2.03%E -1.37%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 33.87%EV -2.31%E -0.801%K -1.22%G +0.000%2.2%2026-04-12 17:20
Pinnacle🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 66.06%EV -2.03%E -1.37%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.94%EV -2.65%E -0.921%K -1.41%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-12 19:55
FanDuel🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.67%EV -4.67%E -3.25%K -10.62%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.33%EV -2.65%E -0.921%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-12 17:35
MyBookie.ag🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 66.44%EV -4.01%E -2.77%K -8.92%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 33.56%EV -2.99%E -1.04%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-12 18:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.59%EV -4.67%E -3.25%K -10.62%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 33.41%EV -2.99%E -1.04%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-12 06:20
Coral🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.59%EV -4.67%E -3.25%K -10.62%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 33.41%EV -2.99%E -1.04%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-12 06:18
1xBet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 65.75%EV -1.36%E -0.915%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.25%EV -3.33%E -1.16%K -1.79%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-12 18:25
SportsBet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.67%EV -5.34%E -3.73%K -12.41%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.33%EV -3.33%E -1.16%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-12 17:35
GTbets🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.82%EV -2.03%E -1.37%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 34.18%EV -3.67%E -1.29%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.7%2026-04-12 17:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.67%E -3.25%K -10.62%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -3.67%E -1.29%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-12 17:15
ReBet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.67%E -3.25%K -10.62%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -3.67%E -1.29%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-12 18:45
Bet Right🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.67%E -3.25%K -10.62%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -3.67%E -1.29%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-12 19:59
Caesars🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.67%E -3.25%K -10.62%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -3.67%E -1.29%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-12 17:15
Neds🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.67%E -3.25%K -10.62%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -3.67%E -1.29%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-12 06:19
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.67%E -3.25%K -10.62%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -3.67%E -1.29%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-12 06:20
BetMGM🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.67%E -3.25%K -10.62%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -3.67%E -1.29%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-12 06:15
Bovada🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.67%E -3.25%K -10.62%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -3.67%E -1.29%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-12 17:47
Coolbet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.34%E -3.73%K -12.41%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.67%E -1.29%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-12 17:20
Betr (AU)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.34%E -3.73%K -12.41%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.67%E -1.29%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-12 17:20
888sport🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -7.32%E -5.23%K -18.30%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -3.67%E -1.29%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-12 13:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -7.32%E -5.23%K -18.30%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -3.67%E -1.29%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-12 13:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -7.32%E -5.23%K -18.30%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -3.67%E -1.29%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-12 13:55
DraftKings🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.36%EV -4.67%E -3.25%K -10.62%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.64%EV -4.00%E -1.41%K -2.18%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-12 18:45
BetUS🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.58%EV -2.03%E -1.37%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 34.42%EV -4.68%E -1.66%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-12 17:20
theScore Bet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -2.69%E -1.83%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -5.36%E -1.91%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-12 17:34
PlayUp🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.01%E -2.77%K -8.92%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -5.36%E -1.91%K -2.98%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-12 17:15
Fanatics🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.01%E -2.77%K -8.92%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -5.36%E -1.91%K -2.98%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-12 17:19
TAB🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.01%E -2.77%K -8.92%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -5.36%E -1.91%K -2.98%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-12 18:24
Unibet (FR)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.34%E -3.73%K -12.41%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -5.36%E -1.91%K -2.98%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-12 19:55
Dabble (AU)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.00%E -4.22%K -14.28%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -5.36%E -1.91%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-12 17:15
Paddy Power🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.32%E -5.23%K -18.30%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -5.36%E -1.91%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-12 17:45
Betsson🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.88%EV -4.67%E -3.25%K -10.62%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.12%EV -6.03%E -2.17%K -3.39%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-12 18:24
NordicBet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.88%EV -4.67%E -3.25%K -10.62%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.12%EV -6.03%E -2.17%K -3.39%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-12 18:25
Marathon Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.80%EV -4.67%E -3.25%K -10.62%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.20%EV -6.37%E -2.30%K -3.60%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-12 18:25
Fliff🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.01%E -2.77%K -8.92%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -7.05%E -2.56%K -4.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-12 20:10
Unibet (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -0.702%E -0.468%K -1.40%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -8.74%E -3.24%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-12 20:10
Betway🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -2.03%E -1.37%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -10.43%E -3.93%K -6.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-12 20:10
Winamax (DE)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -2.03%E -1.37%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -12.12%E -4.66%K -7.57%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-12 20:10
Winamax (FR)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -2.69%E -1.83%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -12.12%E -4.66%K -7.57%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-12 20:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly1.51I 66.23%NM 66.37%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.63%-0.2%2026-04-12 19:55
ProphetX1.49I 67.11%NM 66.52%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.48%0.9%2026-04-12 20:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.49I 67.11%NM 66.52%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.48%0.9%2026-04-12 20:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.49I 67.11%NM 66.52%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.48%0.9%2026-04-12 20:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.49I 67.11%NM 66.52%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.48%0.9%2026-04-12 20:05
Novig1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04%0.9%2026-04-12 20:10
Polymarket1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63%1.1%2026-04-12 17:35
Kalshi1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63%1.1%2026-04-12 20:10
Matchbook1.48I 67.57%NM 66.52%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.48%1.6%2026-04-12 20:10
Smarkets1.47I 68.03%NM 66.51%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.49%2.3%2026-04-12 20:10